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Tax planning for the unknown

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It’s the time of year that most tax professionals begin reaching out to clients to begin planning for the tax season and tax years ahead — and this year, more than any in recent memory, is a very tough time to plan.

Why is it such a tough time to plan? “Historically, when we talk about tax planning, it involves deferring income or bunching expenses or implementing shifting strategies,” said Annie Schwab, franchise operations manager at Padgett Business Service. “But not this year!”

That’s because two events are looming to cause uncertainty: The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is set to expire at the end of 2025, and the November elections will usher in a new president and Congress. Either or both may cause major disruptions in tax.

A close up of the capital building with an American flag

There are three possible outcomes of the elections: Republicans take control, Democrats take control, or a divided government. It’s likely that the new president will want to get legislation through as soon as possible, according to Padgett president Roger Harris, so it’s possible that we could see changes sooner rather than later, closer to the expiration of the TCJA at the end of 2025. 

  • Individual tax rates. The TCJA lowered tax rates to 10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35%, and 37%. The top rate, 37%, was lowered from 39.6%. The TCJA rates will expire Dec. 31, 2025, and revert back to the prior rates. The top tax rate beginning Jan. 1, 2026 is currently slated to be 39.6%.
  • Standard deduction. The standard deduction was nearly doubled for all filing statuses ($12,000 for single filers and $24,000 for married filing jointly) by the TCJA. As a result, many taxpayers itemized deductions. Starting in 2026, the standard deduction is slated to be about half of what it is currently.

The act also impacted various Schedule A deductions: 

  • SALT: The state and local tax deduction was capped at $10,000. After 2025, this limitation will expire, allowing greater benefit from deducting taxes during the calendar year, including real estate taxes, state or local income taxes, and personal property taxes.
  • Mortgage interest deduction: The TCJA generally suspended the home equity loan interest deduction. It limited the home mortgage interest deduction to the first $750,000 of deductible interest. Beginning in 2026, this is scheduled to revert to pre-TCJA levels, allowing interest to be deducted from the first $1 million in home mortgage debt and $100,000 in a home equity loan. 
  • Miscellaneous itemized deductions: The TCJA temporarily eliminated these deductions, which will once again be allowed starting Jan. 1, 2026, under the previous rules, to the extent they exceed 2% of the taxpayer’s adjusted gross income. 
  • Child Tax Credit. The CTC was increased from $1,000 to $2,000 per qualifying child. This higher tax credit will revert to pre-TCJA levels in 2026 to $1,000 per qualifying child.
  • Alternative Minimum Tax exemption and phaseout. The TCJA increased exemption amounts, as well as the exemption phaseout threshold, lessening the AMT burden on taxpayers. At sunset, the AMT exemption will revert to pre-TCJA levels. The number of taxpayers subject to AMT is expected to double.

A number of business provisions are also up in the air: 

  • QBI 20% deduction (Section 199A). Owners of passthrough businesses and partnerships and S corporations, as well as sole proprietorships, may currently claim a deduction of up to 20% of qualified business income. Beginning in 2026, the Section 199A QBI deduction will no longer be available. 
  • Bonus depreciation on qualified property.  The TCJA changed the applicable percentage on qualifying property, ranging from 100% for property placed in service after Sept. 27, 2017, and before Jan. 1, 2023, to 0% for property placed in service after Dec. 31, 2026.

In a recent Accounting Today webinar on tax planning, Harris and Schwab also highlighted the complexities of the Clean Vehicle Credit, which must be claimed on Form 8936.

The credit is available to individuals and their businesses. To qualify, they must buy it for their own use, not for resale, and use it primarily in the U.S. In addition, their modified adjusted gross income may not exceed $300,000 for married filing jointly or a surviving spouse, $225,000 for head of household, or $150,000 for all other filers.

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Taxpayers can use modified AGI from the year they take delivery or the year before, whichever is less. If they do not transfer the credit, it is nonrefundable when they file their taxes, so they can’t get back more than they owe in taxes, or apply any excess to future years.

At the time of sale, a seller must give the buyer information about the vehicle’s qualifications, and must also register and report the same information to the IRS. 

The vehicle must be an electric vehicle, plug-in hybrid electric vehicle, or fuel cell vehicle. The manufacturer’s suggested retail price of a pickup truck, van or SUV must be $80,000 or less; for all other passenger vehicles, $55,000 or less. Final assembly must have occurred in North America. For vehicles placed in service on or after April 18, 2023, the vehicle must meet the critical mineral and battery requirement. Visit FuelEconomy.gov to determine credit amount.

Planning for planners

Harris and Schwab also discussed the recently discovered breach of nearly 3 billion Social Security numbers. The IRS and the practitioner communities are asking that tax preparers encourage taxpayers to get an IP PIN, regardless of whether they were part of the breach. At a minimum, they should have the “Security Six” implemented: anti-virus software, firewalls, multi-factor authentication, backup software, drive encryptions, and a virtual private network.

They noted that a WISP — or written information security plan — is required by law. It has been around for several years, and has been added to the PTIN application. The IRS has issued a revised template, 28 pages in length, designed to help tax professionals, particularly those with smaller practices. 

“It is meant to be a living document, not something you put in a drawer,” remarked Schwab.

Tax professionals face a number of real challenges, according to Harris: Fewer people are going into the profession, workers want a great degree of flexibility, compensation packages are complex, and outsourcing is becoming a reality. 

“Practitioners tend to price by the hour or by form,” he added. “There needs to be a movement to price for value, and be the clients’ trusted advisor, not just a tax preparer.”

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Accounting

AI-Driven Automation and Continuous Accounting Frameworks

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The accounting profession is undergoing a fundamental structural transition as enterprise finance departments shift from periodic month-end closes toward automated continuous accounting models. By integrating specialized machine learning algorithms directly into enterprise resource planning (ERP) platforms, chief accounting officers are transforming financial reporting from a retrospective exercise into a real-time operational asset.

The Shift from Periodic Close to Continuous Financial Reporting
Traditional accounting workflows heavily relied on manual data reconciliation, spreadsheet calculations, and multi-week closing cycles at the end of each fiscal period. In contrast, continuous accounting frameworks utilize automated software agents to process, validate, and post transactional data in real time as business activities occur.

Automated bank reconciliation tools cross-reference incoming bank feeds, invoice records, and purchase orders automatically. By resolving transactional variances instantly throughout the month, corporate accounting teams eliminate the traditional workload spikes associated with quarterly and annual closes.

Machine Learning in Audit Trails and Anomaly Detection
Advanced natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning tools are redefining internal audit and financial control environments. Automated systems analyze 100% of general ledger entries, identifying anomalous transactions, duplicate payments, and unauthorized journal entries in real time.

Rather than relying on random statistical sampling, corporate internal auditors can focus their attention on high-risk flags automatically surfaced by algorithmic monitoring platforms. This continuous risk assessment strengthens internal controls over financial reporting (ICFR) and significantly reduces fraud risk.

Evolving Roles for Accounting Professionals
As routine data entry and manual reconciliation tasks become fully automated, the skill set required for accounting professionals is shifting toward data analysis, system design, and strategic business advisory.
– Systems Governance: Accountants are increasingly responsible for monitoring algorithmic accuracy and managing data integration pipelines.
– Business Partnership: Finance professionals leverage real-time financial dashboards to advise operational leaders on margin management and working capital allocation.
– Regulatory Compliance Management: Accounting teams utilize automated platforms to ensure compliance with dynamic tax codes and international accounting standards.

Core Implementation Recommendations
1. Deploy Automated Reconciliation Tools: Integrate continuous transaction processing modules into existing enterprise ERP architectures.
2. Establish Algorithmic Governance Controls: Implement strict internal testing protocols to ensure automated accounting rules comply with GAAP/IFRS standards.
3. Reskill Accounting Teams: Invest in training finance staff on data analytics, workflow automation, and predictive financial modeling.

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Accounting

Global ESG Reporting Standards and Double Materiality Compliance

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Corporate accounting departments face expanding reporting expectations as international sustainability disclosure standards achieve regulatory enforcement across major global jurisdictions. Chief Accounting Officers (CAOs) and corporate controllers are establishing rigorous internal accounting controls to treat Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) metrics with the same data precision, auditability, and governance as traditional financial statements.

Regulatory Harmonization Under Global Sustainability Frameworks
The implementation of standardized sustainability reporting frameworks—notably rules established by international sustainability accounting boards—has created unified expectations for public and large private enterprises. Corporations must report standardized metrics covering greenhouse gas emissions (Scope 1, 2, and material Scope 3), energy utilization, workforce demographics, and supply chain governance.

In Europe and other participating international jurisdictions, double materiality principles are mandatory. Under double materiality, organizations must report both how external sustainability risks impact corporate financial performance, and how internal corporate operations affect surrounding environmental and social structures.

Integrating Sustainability Metrics into Core ERP Systems
To provide auditable non-financial data, enterprise organizations are integrating specialized carbon accounting and ESG management platforms directly into core ERP systems. Automated data collectors capture energy utility invoices, logistics fuel consumption metrics, and vendor compliance records in real time.

Establishing automated, traceable data pipelines ensures that non-financial reporting is supported by clear audit trails. This structured approach allows external financial auditors to provide reasonable assurance on sustainability disclosures during annual corporate reporting cycles.

Financial Impacts and Capital Market Disclosure
Accurate ESG reporting directly influences corporate cost of capital and institutional credit ratings. Commercial lenders and institutional asset managers systematically incorporate sustainability metrics into risk pricing models. Companies that demonstrate transparent, verifiable progress in operational energy efficiency and climate risk mitigation benefit from expanded access to green bond markets and lower debt pricing.

Action Steps for Accounting Leadership
1. Implement Double Materiality Frameworks: Conduct comprehensive assessments to identify material financial and operational sustainability metrics.
2. Build Auditable Non-Financial Data Pipelines: Automate ESG data collection within core accounting software to ensure data integrity.
3. Align Sustainability with Annual Financial Filings: Prepare non-financial disclosures concurrently with financial statements to satisfy regulatory audit expectations.

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Accounting

Modernizing Internal Controls: Machine Learning and Continuous Monitoring in Auditing

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Internal audit departments and corporate risk managers are modernizing internal control frameworks by shifting from periodic sampling techniques to continuous monitoring and machine learning analytics. As operational data volumes increase across enterprise organizations, automated control testing ensures financial integrity, prevents corporate fraud, and streamlines annual audit engagements.

The Limitation of Periodic Audit Sampling
Historically, internal and external auditors evaluated internal controls by reviewing random samples of financial transactions—often analyzing less than five percent of total ledger entries. In complex enterprise environments, periodic sampling methods carry inherent risks of overlooking localized financial misstatements, unauthorized disbursements, or operational control breakdowns.

In 2026, progressive internal audit functions are utilizing automated continuous monitoring platforms that evaluate one hundred percent of financial transactions in real time. Continuous control auditing systems continuously monitor general ledger entries, procurement approvals, and expense reimbursements across all operating subsidiaries.

AI-Powered Fraud Detection and Anomaly Identification
Machine learning models trained on historical corporate financial data excel at identifying subtle transactional anomalies that indicate potential fraud or operational error. Automated systems instantly flag duplicate invoice payments, unapproved vendor creation, unusual journal entry timing, and unauthorized override of authority thresholds.

When an anomaly is detected, the automated auditing platform generates an instant risk alert, allowing internal audit teams to investigate root causes immediately. Early detection prevents minor operational errors from escalating into material weaknesses in financial reporting.

Streamlining External Audit Preparation
Continuous internal control monitoring delivers significant benefits during annual external financial audits. External audit firms can review continuous audit logs and automated control testing documentation, reducing the time required for manual field testing.

This integrated approach lowers overall audit compliance fees, reduces administrative burdens on corporate accounting staff, and provides senior management and audit committees with real-time visibility into the organization’s overall risk profile.

Core Implementation Guidelines
1. Transition to 100% Data Testing: Replace legacy sampling methods with automated continuous audit monitoring systems.
2. Deploy Anomaly Detection Algorithms: Implement machine learning models to identify unauthorized transactions and operational control overrides.
3. Align Internal and External Audit Workflows: Coordinate continuous control testing protocols with external auditors to optimize annual compliance cycles.

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