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Fed Governor Bowman explains dissent on rate vote, says she’s worried about inflation

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US Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman attends a “Fed Listens” event at the Federal Reserve headquarters in Washington, DC, on October 4, 2019. 

Eric Baradat | AFP | Getty Images

Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday she thought her colleagues should have taken a more measured approach to last week’s half percentage point interest rate cut as she worries that inflation could reignite.

Bowman was the lone dissenter from the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to lower benchmark interest rates for the first time in more than four years. No governor had dissented from an interest rate decision since 2005.

In explaining her rationale, Bowman said the half percentage point, or 50 basis point, reduction posed a number of risks to the Fed’s twin goals of achieving low inflation and full employment.

The jumbo cut “could be interpreted as a premature declaration of victory on our price-stability mandate. Accomplishing our mission of returning to low and stable inflation at our 2 percent goal is necessary to foster a strong labor market and an economy that works for everyone in the longer term,” she said in remarks to a bankers group in Kentucky.

Inflation by the Fed’s preferred metric is running at 2.5%, above the central bank’s 2% goal. Excluding food and energy, core inflation is at 2.6%.

Though Bowman favored a reduction, she preferred the Fed lower by a quarter percentage point, more in line with the traditional moves at the central bank. The FOMC last cut by half a point in the early days of the Covid pandemic in March 2020, and before that the global financial crisis in 2008.

Bowman cited several specific concerns: that the big move would indicate that Fed officials see “some fragility or greater downside risks to the economy”; that markets might expect a series of large cuts; that large amounts of sideline cash could be put to work as rates fall, stoking inflation; and her general feeling that rates won’t need to come down as much as her fellow policymakers have indicated.

“In light of these considerations, I believe that, by moving at a measured pace toward a more neutral policy stance, we will be better positioned to achieve further progress in bringing inflation down to our 2 percent target, while closely watching the evolution of labor market conditions,” she said.

In recent statements, Fed officials have cited easing inflation and a softening labor market as justification for the cut. At last week’s meeting, individual policymakers indicated they expect another half percentage point in cuts this year and another full point in 2025. Market pricing, however, is more aggressive, expecting 2 full percentage points in cuts through next year.

The Fed’s benchmark overnight borrowing rate is now targeted at 4.75%-5%.

Bowman said she respects the committee’s decision and emphasized that policy isn’t on a preset course and will depend on the data, which she said has indicated the labor market has softened a bit but is still strong

“I continue to see greater risks to price stability, especially while the labor market continues to be near estimates of full employment,” she said.

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A growing share of Gen Z adults don’t think they’ll retire

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Gen Z is the youngest generation of adults today, but with many struggling to make ends meet, a growing proportion say they do not expect to retire and few are socking away money to do so.

A new report from the TIAA Institute and UTA’s NextGen Practice found that a greater share of these adults age 27 and below do not anticipate retiring – at least in the traditional sense – after prior data showed nearly half of young adults either don’t want to retire, don’t believe they will be able to afford to, or are not thinking about it at all.

Man commuting to work

Gen Z as a whole has a very different view of retirement than previous generations, and a growing proportion of young adults say they do not plan on retiring at all. (iStock / iStock)

What’s more, just 20% of Gen Z respondents of working age say they are saving for retirement at all. While planning for retirement is important for everyone, saving for the future is critical for this generation that is projected to live past 100 years old. Yet, a higher cost of living could be impacting their ability to do so.

The study found that almost one-third of Gen Z (29%) are living paycheck-to-paycheck, with most of their money going to funding their basic needs, making it increasingly difficult for them to achieve financial milestones like homeownership while saving for their financial futures.

THIS AVOIDABLE SPENDING HABIT IS CREATING A RETIREMENT ‘CRISIS,’ FINANCIAL EXPERT WARNS

“Thirty-six percent of respondents cited high debt or low income as the primary reason they are not saving for retirement,” Surya Kolluri, head of the TIAA Institute told FOX Business. “Gen Z is spending more on essentials than previous generations.”

Anxiety at work

Inflation is weighing on Gen Z’s finances more than prior generations, data shows. (iStock / iStock)

Kolluri said it is true that Gen Z is bearing the brunt of inflation more than the generations that preceded them, noting that as of this year, the annual inflation rate for Gen Z was half a percent higher than it was for other generations at the same age. 

SILVER CEILING: CAREER EXPERT WARNS DELAYED RETIREMENT TREND COULD HAVE ‘RIPPLE EFFECT’ ON YOUNGER GENERATIONS

But Kolluri pointed to some positive findings in the data, too. He said that while only 1 in 5 reported saving for retirement, 66% of those who are saving for retirement are doing so through 401(k)s

There is also at least an awareness amid Gen Z’ers that it is important to save for the future. Eighty-four percent report saving a portion of their income each month (albeit not for retirement), and 57% say they have a budget that they stick to.

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Kolluri noted 52% of Gen Z reported putting savings into savings accounts because they value the liquidity that supports current financial freedom. 

“They do not equate saving for retirement as helping to ensure their financial freedom later in life…and ‘freedom’ is a concept that is very important to Gen Z,” he said. “They want flexibility and access to savings if and as they want.”

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After rejecting Google takeover, Wiz says will IPO when ‘stars align’

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Wiz co-founder discusses the company's expansion into the UK

LONDON — Cybersecurity firm Wiz is seeking to hit $1 billion of annual recurring revenues next year, the company’s billionaire co-founder Roy Reznik told CNBC, adding that the firm will go public “when the stars align.”

Wiz makes software that connects to cloud storage providers like Amazon Web Services or Microsoft Azure and scans for everything it stores in the cloud, helping organizations identify and remove risks in their cloud environments. It was founded by four Israeli friends while they served in 8200, the intelligence unit of Israel’s army, and most of Wiz’s engineering personnel are still based in Tel Aviv, Israel.

Earlier this year, the company rejected a $23-billion acquisition bid from Google, which would have marked the tech giant’s largest-ever takeover. At the time, Wiz CEO Assaf Rappaport said the startup was “flattered” by the offer, but would remain an independent company and aim to list instead.

Speaking with CNBC at Wiz’s new office space in London, Reznik said that the company has received offers from “many people that want to get their hands on Wiz stock” — but that, while “very flattering,” the firm still thinks it can do it alone by going public.

“We’ve already broken a few records as a private company, and we believe we can also break a few more records as an independent public company as well,” Reznik said.

Four-year-old Wiz has raised $1.9 billion in venture capital to date, including $1 billion secured this year in a funding round led by Andreessen Horowitz, Lightspeed Venture Partners and Thrive Capital at a valuation of $12 billion.

In 2022, Wiz said it had reached $100 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR), up from just $1 million in 18 months. At the time, the startup said it was “the fastest software company to achieve this feat.”

Reznik, who is the vice president of research and development at Wiz, said the firm now hopes to double from the $500 million of ARR it achieved this year and hit $1 billion in ARR in 2025, which CEO Rappaport cited as a key condition before the company goes public.

UK expansion

Wiz has been expanding its presence internationally, with a particular focus on Europe, from where it sources 35% of its revenues. Last month, the firm opened its first European office in London.

Wiz co-founder discusses the company's expansion into the UK

“I think the talent here is amazing, and the ecosystem is amazing,” Reznik told CNBC. “We have always been very much involved in Europe — and specifically the U.K. — and I feel like it’s a natural evolvement of Wiz to double down even more here in London and the U.K.”

The U.K. represents a major growth opportunity when it comes to cybersecurity, Reznik said, adding that recent events like the cyberattack on National Health Service hospitals and an incident affecting Transport for London have “roof topped” the level of interest in the kinds of products Wiz offers.

“The cloud market is going to reach $1 trillion over the next next few years,” Reznik, who moved from Israel to the U.K. just three months ago, told CNBC. “This year is going to be around $700 million, while security is just 4% out of that, I would say. So that makes it a $30 billion market, which is huge.”

Speaking about the U.K. market, Reznik said: “We see a lot of interest here. Many of the largest banks and retailers, are Wiz customers. But we’re also seeing a huge potential for growth.”

Wiz’s customers include online retailer ASOS and digital bank Revolut as customers in the U.K.

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