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Fed rate cuts should favor preferred stocks, Virtus fund manager says

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A place for "preferred" stocks

One financial firm is trying to capitalize on preferred stocks – which carry more risks than bonds, but aren’t as risky as common stocks.

Infrastructure Capital Advisors Founder and CEO Jay Hatfield manages the Virtus InfraCap U.S. Preferred Stock ETF (PFFA). He leads the company’s investing and business development.

“High yield bonds and preferred stocks… tend to do better than other fixed income categories when the stock market is strong, and when we’re coming out of a tightening cycle like we are now,” he told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week.

Hatfield’s ETF is up 10% in 2024 and almost 23% over the past year.

His ETF’s three top holdings are Regions Financial, SLM Corporation, and Energy Transfer LP as of Sept. 30, according to FactSet. All three stocks are up about 18% or more this year.

Hatfield’s team selects names that it deems are mispriced relative to their risk and yield, he said. “Most of the top holdings are in what we call asset intensive businesses,” Hatfield said.

Since its May 2018 inception, the Virtus InfraCap U.S. Preferred Stock ETF is down almost 9%.

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Bessent says ‘Main Street’s turn’ after Wall Street wealth grew for 4 decades

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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrives for a meeting on the House side of the U.S. Capitol on Tuesday, April 8, 2025. 

Brendan Smialowski | Afp | Getty Images

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Wednesday President Donald Trump’s aim is for Main Street businesses and consumers to thrive even as the administration’s shockingly steep tariffs could tip the economy into a recession.

“For the last four decades, basically since I began my career in Wall Street, Wall Street has grown wealthier than ever before, and it can continue to grow and do well, but for the next four years,” Bessent said at the American Bankers Association’s Washington Summit.

“The Trump agenda is focused on Main Street. It’s Main Street’s turn. It’s Main Street’s turn to hire workers. It’s Main Street’s turn to drive investment, and it’s Main Street’s turn to restore the American Dream,” he said.

Trump’s imposition of a higher tariffs has fueled the biggest four-day rout for stocks since the onset of the pandemic in 2020. The S&P 500 is nearly 19% off its record high from February, inches away from dipping into a bear market, or a 20% decline from its peak. While the wealthy do own equities in greater numbers, Main Street’s ownership has increased because of 401(k) prevalance. Also, the stock market can dictate business confidence that impacts small businesses.

Bessent, a hedge fund veteran, founded investment firm Key Square Capital Management after working with George Soros for years. He has become the main economic spokesman for Trump’s agenda of tax cuts, deregulation and trade rebalancing.

“We want to de-leverage the government sector, re-leverage the private sector …. we can’t do it all at once, or that will cause a recession,” Bessent said. “What will keep us from having a recession is making sure that the tax bill doesn’t expire, adding back 100% depreciation and then adding some of President Trump’s agenda — No tax on tips, no tax on Social Security, no tax on overtime.”

Recession fears have been rising as the Trump tariffs spur uncertainty about how far the trade war will escalate. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Wednesday he sees the U.S. economy likely headed to recession because of the trade battle.

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WMT, TGT, AAPL, PFE, LLY, F and more

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Wall Street starts to cut China GDP forecasts on U.S. trade tensions

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Trucks line up at the container terminal in the Longtan Port area of Nanjing Port, Jiangsu province, China on the evening of April 8, 2025. 

Cfoto | Future Publishing | Getty Images

BEIJING — Citi on Tuesday became one of the first investment firms to lower its China growth forecast on escalating trade tensions with the U.S.

In less than a week, U.S. tariffs on goods from China have more than doubled, while Beijing has hit back with more duties and restrictions on U.S. businesses.

Citi analysts cut their forecast for China’s gross domestic product to 4.2% this year, down by 0.5 percentage point, as they see “little scope for a deal between the U.S. and China after recent escalations.”

Natixis on Monday also told reporters the firm was cutting its China GDP forecast to 4.2% this year, down from 4.7% previously.

Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have not yet cut their forecasts, but warned this week of increasing downside risks to their expectation — currently both predict 4.5% growth.

China in March announced its official growth target would be “around 5%” for 2025, but stressed that it would not be easy to reach the goal.

China’s escalation toolbox ultimately limited, China Beige Book’s Shehzad Qazi says

“The main issue is that uncertainty for the economy is rising,” Hao Zhou, chief economist at Guotai Junan International, said Tuesday in Mandarin, translated by CNBC. He noted that visibility on future growth had dropped significantly, while U.S. tariffs might keep on rising.

U.S. President Donald Trump announced an additional 50% in tariffs on Chinese goods entering the U.S. will take effect Wednesday after Beijing raised duties on all U.S. products by 34%. As part of its plan for sweeping tariffs on multiple countries, the White House last week had said it would add a 34% levy on Chinese goods.

Combined with two rounds of 10% tariff increases earlier this year, new U.S. tariffs on Chinese products in 2025 have reached 104%.

Diminishing impact from new tariffs

While an initial 50% increase in duties could reduce Chinese GDP by 1.5 percentage points, a subsequent 50% increase would drag it down by a smaller 0.9 percentage point, Goldman Sachs analysts said in a report Tuesday.

Chinese exports to the U.S. account for about 3 percentage points of China’s total GDP, Goldman said, noting that includes 2.35 percentage points of domestic value add and 0.65 percentage point of associated manufacturing investment.

China is expected to report March trade data on Monday, and first quarter GDP on April 16.

Nomura now expects China’s exports to drop by 2% this year, worse than their previous expectation of no change, the firm’s Chief China Economist Ting Lu said in a report Tuesday.

But he kept his 2025 GDP forecast of 4.5%. “Given the extraordinarily fluid situation, it is impossible to reasonably estimate the impact of the ongoing U.S.-China trade war on China’s economy,” he said, adding that his forecast already accounted for significantly worse tensions.

China this week signaled it could cut interest rates or increase fiscal spending to bolster growth in the near future.

Diminishing impact from tariffs can also feed into Beijing’s calculus that U.S. leverage is likely reaching a ceiling, Yue Su, principal economist, China, at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said in an email.

“From Beijing’s perspective, the strategic gains of a strong retaliation now appear to outweigh the associated economic costs,” she said.

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