Accounting
Understanding 2025 tax policy risks as election approaches
In less than 30 days, Americans will elect the politicians who will set policy for the next two years in Congress and four years at the White House.
Between now and then, aside from campaign banter about eliminating taxes on tips or raising the corporate tax rate, tax policy likely won’t command much attention from the candidates. Nonetheless, it will be one of the single most important challenges facing those taking office in January. For American business leaders, the operative emotions around the coming tax policy debate might include the word fear.
In 2017, Congress passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, a massive tax bill that broadened the tax base for both businesses and individuals, fundamentally changed how the U.S. taxes multinational companies, and lowered the corporate tax rate while temporarily providing a host of individual tax cuts, including doubling the Child Tax Credit, providing a larger standard deduction, lowering individual taxes and providing AMT relief.
Generally speaking, the TCJA’s international and corporate base broadening offset the cost of the international tax changes and a substantial reduction in the corporate tax rate, while the individual base broadening, plus some deficit financing, paid for lower individual taxes. And herein lies the problem for corporate America.
While the tax changes affecting corporations were generally permanent to avoid distortions in business decision-making, the rules for individuals were made mostly temporary.
They are set to expire next year.
Those looking ahead have dubbed 2025 the year of “Tax Armageddon” for the sheer importance of how much is at stake. In fact, Deloitte recently released “
According to
To be clear, it is not even remotely probable that Congress will identify more than $4 trillion in spending cuts to pay for extending tax relief. For a sense of scope, federal spending on discretionary programs, including defense, will total about $1.7 trillion in fiscal year 2024. There is simply no way Congress could find more than $4 trillion in spending cuts over a decade without changes to Social Security and Medicare, programs that are generally seen as off-limits by many members of Congress.
Similarly, Congress is highly unlikely to scour the Tax Code and identify over $4 trillion in politically acceptable tax increases on families to offset the looming tax cliff they face. Increasing the deficit no longer goes without notice, and doing nothing is also not a viable option, as it would result in higher taxes for the vast majority of American families in 2026.
The reality is that if Congress decides to pay for some or all of the TCJA extensions, which seems likely in almost any alignment of power next year, the fundamental architecture of the 2017 law is very much at risk.
House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Jason Smith, R-Missouri, noted that some of his GOP colleagues think the corporate rate came down too much in 2017 and could be increased. The question that is going to be asked often next year may not be whether taxes on corporate America will increase, but whether Congress will raise the corporate rate or generate revenue by broadening the corporate tax base.
And the answer very well could be: “Why not both?”
Compounding this risk for businesses are two stark realities.
First, there has been tremendous turnover in Congress generally and on the tax-writing panels in particular. Many lawmakers with institutional knowledge about the flaws in the pre-2017 Tax Code and the reasons for the changes made that year — especially the rationale for the international reforms and for the 21% corporate rate — have left Washington.
Second, an increasing number of Republicans in the House and Senate, who once were reliable opponents of tax increases on businesses, now belong to what has become a far more populist political party and are more apt to listen to small-business owners than corporate CEOs. It is difficult, though not impossible, to envision a political alignment next year that would support fully deficit-financing extensions of the current law.
In 2017, business leaders played offense and defense. They pushed hard for a lower corporate tax rate and fought to minimize the impact of the base broadeners on their specific companies. However, 2025 promises to be a much more defensive exercise for corporate leaders.
Accordingly, the time is now for business executives to identify the real-world impact of some of the options that may have surface political appeal. Similarly, finance function leaders would be well advised to make sure all internal stakeholders understand and educate themselves about the stakes in next year’s tax fight and the potential impact to the company’s bottom line.
Amid the many pressing issues as we head into the final stretch of this campaign season, tax policy may not be top of mind, but it should be. The stakes for the 2025 tax debate are high and the impacts will be far-reaching.
Jody Padar, an author and speaker known as “The Radical CPA,” and Katie Tolin, a growth strategist for CPAs, together launched a training and technology platform called XcelLabs.
XcelLabs provides solutions to help accountants use artificial technology fluently and strategically. The Pennsylvania Institute of CPAs and CPA Crossings joined with Padar and Tolin as strategic partners and investors.
“To reinvent the profession, we must start by training the professional who can then transform their firms,” Padar said in a statement. “By equipping people with data and insights that help them see things differently, they can provide better advice to their clients and firm.”
The platform includes XcelLabs Academy, a series of educational online courses on the basics of AI, being a better advisor, leadership and practice management; Navi, a proprietary tool that uses AI to help accountants turn unstructured data like emails, phone calls and meetings into insights; and training and consulting services. These offerings are currently in beta testing.
“Accountants know they need to be more advisory, but not everyone can figure out how to do it,” Tolin said in a statement. “Couple that with the fact that AI will be doing a lot of the lower-level work accountants do today, and we need to create that next level advisor now. By showing accountants how to unlock patterns in their actions and turn client conversations into emotionally intelligent advice, we can create the accounting professional of the future.”
“AI is transforming how CPAs work, and XcelLabs is focused on helping the profession evolve with it,” PICPA CEO Jennifer Cryder said in a statement. “At PICPA, we’re proud to support a mission that aligns so closely with ours: empowering firms to use AI not just for efficiency, but to drive growth, value and long-term relevance.”
The accountant the world urgently needs has evolved far beyond the traditional role we recognized just a few years ago.
The transformation of the accounting profession is not merely an anticipated change; it is a pressing reality that is currently shaping business decisions, academic programs and the expected contributions of professionals. Yet, in many areas, accounting education stubbornly clings to outdated, overly technical models that fail to connect with the actual demands of the market. We must confront a critical question: If we continue to train accountants solely to file tax reports, are we truly equipping them for the challenges of today’s world?
This shift in mindset extends beyond individual countries or educational systems; it is a global movement. The recent announcement of the
The CIMA/CGMA proposal for 2026 is not just a curriculum update; it is a powerful manifesto. This new program positions analytical thinking, strategic business partnering and technology application at the core of accounting education. It unequivocally highlights sustainability, aligning with IFRS S1 and S2, and expands the accountant’s responsibilities beyond mere numbers to encompass conscious leadership, environmental impact and corporate governance.
The current changes in the accounting profession underscore an urgent shift in expectations from both educators and employers. Today, companies of all sizes and industries demand accountants who can do far more than interpret balance sheets. They expect professionals who grasp the deeper context behind the numbers, identify inconsistencies, anticipate potential issues before they escalate into losses, and act decisively as a bridge between data and decision making.
To meet these expectations, a radical mindset shift is essential. There are firms still operating on autopilot, mindlessly repeating tasks with minimal critical analysis. Likewise, many academic programs continue to treat accounting as purely a technical discipline, disregarding the vital elements of reflection, strategy and behavioral insight. This outdated approach creates a significant mismatch. While the world forges ahead, parts of the accounting profession remain stuck in the past.
The consequences of this shift are already becoming evident. The demand for compliance, transparency and sustainability now applies not only to large corporations but also to small and mid-sized businesses. Many of these organizations rely on professionals ill-equipped to drive the necessary changes, putting both business performance and the reputation of the profession at risk.
The positive news is that accountants who are ready to thrive in this new era do not necessarily need additional degrees. What they truly need is a commitment to awareness, a dedication to continuous learning, and the courage to step beyond their comfort zones. The future of accounting is here, and it is firmly rooted in analytical, strategic and human-oriented perspectives. The 2026 curriculum is a clear indication of the changes underway. Those who fail to think critically and holistically will be left behind.
In contrast, accountants who see the big picture, understand the ripple effects of their decisions, and actively contribute to the financial and ethical health of organizations will undeniably remain indispensable, anywhere in the world.
Congressional Republicans are siding with Donald Trump in the messy divorce between the president and Elon Musk, an optimistic sign for eventual passage of a tax cut bill at the root of the two billionaires’ public feud.
Lawmakers are largely taking their cues from Trump and sticking by the $3 trillion bill at the center of the White House’s economic agenda. Musk, the biggest political donor of the 2024 cycle, has threatened to help primary anyone who votes for the legislation, but lawmakers are betting that staying in the president’s good graces is the safer path to political survival.
“The tax bill is not in jeopardy. We are going to deliver on that,” House Speaker Mike Johnson told reporters on Friday.
“I’ll tell you what — do not doubt, don’t second guess and do not challenge the President of the United States Donald Trump,” he added. “He is the leader of the party. He’s the most consequential political figure of our time.”
A fight between Trump and Musk exploded into public view this week. The sparring started with the tech titan calling the president’s tax bill a “disgusting abomination,” but quickly escalated to more personal attacks and Trump threatening to cancel all federal contracts and subsidies to Musk’s companies, such as Tesla Inc. and SpaceX which have benefitted from government ties.
Republicans on Capitol Hill, who had — until recently — publicly embraced Musk, said they weren’t swayed by the billionaire’s criticism that the bill cost too much. Lawmakers have refuted official estimates of the package, saying that the tax cuts for households, small businesses and politically important groups — including hospitality and hourly workers — will generate enough economic growth to offset the price tag.
“I don’t tell my friend Elon, I don’t argue with him about how to build rockets, and I wish he wouldn’t argue with me about how to craft legislation and pass it,” Johnson told CNBC earlier Friday.
House Budget Committee Chair Jodey Arrington told reporters that House lawmakers are focused on working with the Senate as it revises the bill to make sure the legislation has the political support in both chambers to make it to Trump’s desk for his signature.
“We move past the drama and we get the substance of what is needed to make the modest improvements that can be made,” he said.
House fiscal hawks said that they hadn’t changed their prior positions on the legislation based on Musk’s statements. They also said they agree with GOP leaders that there will be other chances to make further spending cuts outside the tax bill.
Representative Tom McClintock, a fiscal conservative, said “the bill will pass because it has to pass,” adding that both Musk and Trump needed to calm down. “They both need to take a nap,” he said.
Even some of the House bill’s most vociferous critics appeared resigned to its passage. Kentucky Representative Thomas Massie, who voted against the House version, predicted that despite Musk’s objections, the Senate will make only small changes.
“The speaker is right about one thing. This barely passed the House. If they muck with it too much in the Senate, it may not pass the House again,” he said.
Trump is pressuring lawmakers to move at breakneck speed to pass the tax-cut bill, demanding they vote on the bill before the July 4 holiday. The president has been quick to blast critics of the bill — including calling Senator Rand Paul
As the legislation worked its way through the House last month, Trump took to social media to criticize holdouts and invited undecided members to the White House to compel them to support the package. It passed by one vote.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune — who is planning to unveil his chamber’s version of the bill as soon as next week — said his timeline is unmoved by Musk.
“We are already pretty far down the trail,” he said.
China’s EV race to the bottom leaves a few possible winners
What Pell Grant changes in Trump budget, House tax bill mean for students
What a ‘revenge tax’ in Trump’s spending bill means for investors
New 2023 K-1 instructions stir the CAMT pot for partnerships and corporations
The Essential Practice of Bank and Credit Card Statement Reconciliation
Are American progressives making themselves sad?
-
Blog Post1 week agoCommon Bookkeeping Challenges and Solutions for Small Businesses
-
Economics1 week agoWhy the president must not be lexicographer-in-chief
-
Finance1 week agoThis is why Jamie Dimon is so gloomy on the economy
-
Economics1 week agoAmerica has found a new lever to squeeze foreigners for cash
-
Economics1 week agoWhy would Texas Republicans object to conservative, pro-family developers?
-
Personal Finance1 week agoU.S. birth rate drop outpaces policy response, raising future concerns
-
Accounting1 week agoSteinhoff fraud trial moved to South Africa’s high court
-
Economics1 week agoGerman inflation May 2025