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2025 child tax credit, earned income tax credit terms

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Child tax credit for 2025

The refundable portion of the child tax credit — a tax break parents can take for qualifying children — will be $1,700 for 2025, which is unchanged from 2024. That figure represents how much families may claim even with zero tax balance on their tax returns.

The maximum child tax credit of $2,000 per child under 17 is available to parents with up to $400,000 in modified adjusted gross income if they are married and filing jointly, or under $200,000 if they are single. Those figures are also unchanged from 2024.

Notably, the terms of the current child tax credit are set to expire at the end of tax year 2025. At that time, the child tax credit is scheduled to drop to a maximum $1,000 per child.

However, lawmakers on both sides of the aisle have touted proposals to make the credit more generous.

The new changes for 2025 are standard adjustments for inflation to make it so taxpayers don’t face higher tax liabilities, according to Alex Durante, economist at the Tax Foundation. The terms still reflect the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017.

“But the year following, 2026, families should be expecting to see higher tax liabilities unless Congress votes to extend these tax provisions that were implemented in 2017,” Durante said.

Earned income tax credit for 2025

A tax credit for low- to middle-income individuals and families — the earned income tax credit, or EITC — will have higher maximum amounts in 2025.

The earned income tax credit helps qualifying individuals and families reduce the amount of tax they owe, while also potentially providing a refund, according to the IRS.

In 2025, the maximum EITC amount will be $8,046 for qualifying taxpayers with three or more eligible children. That is up from $7,830 for tax year 2024.

The maximum amount available for qualifying taxpayers with two eligible children will be $7,152, up from $6,960 in 2024; one qualifying child, $4,328, compared to $4,213 in 2024; and no qualifying children, $649, up from $632 this year.

To qualify for the tax credit, individuals and families must be under certain thresholds for adjusted gross income — defined as total income excluding any eligible deductions.

In 2025, the maximum AGI to qualify for the EITC for married couples with three or more children will be $68,675, up from $66,819 in 2024; and for single, head of household and widowed filers with three or more children will be $61,555, adjusted from $59,899 this year. The EITC is also subject to phaseout thresholds.

Taxpayers are also limited to how much investment income they can have in order to qualify for the earned income tax credit. In 2025, that threshold will go up to $11,950, up from $11,600 in 2024. If investment income is above $11,950 in 2025, taxpayers will not qualify for the credit.

Adoption, gift tax exclusion changes

Other changes announced by the IRS may also affect families.

The maximum adoption credit for a child, including those with special needs, will apply to qualified expenses of up to $17,280 in 2025, up from $16,810 in 2024.

The annual exclusion for gifts will go up to $19,000, up from $18,000 in 2024. If taxpayers give $19,000 to each of their children in 2025, the annual exclusion will apply to each gift.

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Amid tariff sell-off, avoid ‘dangerous’ investment instincts, experts say

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As U.S. markets continue to suffer steep declines in the wake of the Trump administration’s new tariff policies, you may be wondering what the next best move is when it comes to your retirement portfolio and other investments.

Behavioral finance experts warn now is the worst time to make any drastic moves.

“It is dangerous for you — unless you can read what is going to happen next in the political world, in the economic world — to make a decision,” said Meir Statman, a professor of finance at Santa Clara University.

“It is more likely to be driven by emotion and, in this case, emotion that is going to act against you rather than for you,” said Statman, who is author of the book, “A Wealth of Well-Being: A Holistic Approach to Behavioral Finance.”

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That may sound easier said than done when headlines show stocks are sliding into bear market territory while J.P. Morgan is raising the chances of a recession this year to 60% from 40%.

“When the market drops, we have sort of a herd instinct,” said Bradley Klontz, a psychologist, certified financial planner and managing principal of YMW Advisors in Boulder, Colorado. Klontz is also a member of the CNBC FA Council.

That survival instinct to run towards safety and away from danger dates back to humans’ hunter gatherer days, Klontz said. Back then, following those cues was necessary for survival.

But when it comes to investing, those impulses can backfire, he said.

“It’s an internal panic, and we’re just sort of wired to sell at the absolute worst times,” Klontz said.

‘Never trust your instincts when it comes to investing’

When conditions are stressful, our frame of reference narrows to today, tomorrow and what’s going to happen, Klontz said.

It may be tempting to come up with a story for why taking action now makes sense, Klontz said.

“Never trust your instincts when it comes to investing,” said Klontz, particularly when you’re excited or scared.

Why investors should hold despite market sell-off

Meanwhile, many investors are likely in a fight or flight response mode now, said Danielle Labotka, behavioral scientist at Morningstar.

“The problem with that, in acting right away, is that we’re going to be relying on what we call fast thinking,” Labotka said.

Instead, investors would be wise to slow down, she said.

Just as grief requires moving through emotional stages in order to eventually feel good, it’s impossible to jump to a good investing decision, Labotka said.

Good investment decisions take time, she said.

What should be guiding your decisions now

Many investors have experienced market drops before, whether it be during the Covid pandemic, the financial crisis of 2008 or the dot-com bust.

Even though we’ve experienced volatility before, it feels different every time, Labotka said.

That can make it difficult to heed to the advice to stay the course, she said.

Investors would be wise to ask themselves whether their reasons for investing and the goals they’re trying to achieve have changed, experts say.

“Even though the markets have changed, why you’re invested, your values and your goals probably haven’t,” Labotka said. “These are the things that should be guiding your investments.”

While there is the notion that life well-being is based on financial well-being, it helps to take a broader view, Statman said.

At any moment, no one has everything perfect when it comes to their finances, family and health. In life, as in an investment portfolio, all stocks don’t necessarily go up, and it’s helpful to learn to live with the good and the bad, he said.

“Things are never perfect for anyone,” Statman said.

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20 items and goods most exposed to price shocks

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Employees at a clothing factory in Vo Cuong, Bac Ninh province, in Vietnam.

SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Trump administration’s plan to slap steep tariffs on goods from dozens of countries is expected to spike prices for consumers. Some items, like leather goods, will see a bigger jump than others.

The overall impact on households will vary based on their purchasing habits. But most families — especially lower earners — are likely to feel the pain to some degree, economists said.

According to an analysis by the Budget Lab at Yale University, the average household will lose $3,800 of purchasing power per year as a result of all President Donald Trump‘s tariff policies — and retaliatory trade actions by other nations — announced as of Wednesday.

That’s a “meaningful amount,” said Ernie Tedeschi, the lab’s director of economics and former chief economist at the White House Council of Economic Advisers during the Biden administration.

The analysis doesn’t include the 34% retaliatory tariff China announced Friday on all U.S. exports, set to take effect April 10. The U.S. exported nearly $144 billion worth of goods to China in 2024, the third-largest market for U.S. goods behind Canada and Mexico, according to the Census Bureau.

Clothing prices poised to spike

The garment industry is among the most susceptible to tariff-related price shocks.

Prices for clothing and shoes, gloves and handbags, and wool and silk products will all increase by between 10% and 20% due to the tariffs Trump has so far imposed, according to the Yale Budget Lab analysis. Tedeschi noted that some of these price increases could take 5 years or more to unfold.

Srdjanpav | E+ | Getty Images

The bulk of apparel and shoes sold in the U.S. is manufactured in China, Vietnam, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, said Denise Green, an associate professor at Cornell University and director of the Cornell Fashion + Textile Collection.

Under the “reciprocal tariffs” Trump announced Wednesday, Chinese imports will face a 34% duty. Goods from Vietnam, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh face tariffs of 46%, 44% and 37%, respectively.

Taking into account the pre-existing tariffs on China totaling 20%, Beijing now faces an effective tariff rate of at least 54%.

“The tariffs are disastrous for the apparel industry worldwide, but especially for smaller countries with highly specialized garment manufacturing,” Green said.

A lot of clothing production has moved overseas over the last 50 years, Tedeschi said, but it’s “very unlikely” clothing and textile manufacturing will return to the U.S. from Asia in the wake of the new tariffs.

“People will still import clothing to a large extent, and they’ll have to eat the price increase,” he said.

Car prices are another pain point

Various Mercedes-Benz vehicles assembled in the “Factory 56” production hall.

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The duties announced Wednesday are on top of other tariffs Trump has imposed since his second inauguration, including duties on automobiles and car parts; copper, steel and aluminum; and certain imports from Canada and Mexico.

The cost of motor vehicles and car parts could swell by over 8% according to the Yale Budget Lab analysis.

Bank of America estimated that new vehicle prices could increase as much as $10,000 if automakers pass the full impact of tariffs on to consumers.

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“Rising car prices are already a major pain point for the vast majority of Americans who live in an area where they need a car to get to work, school, their kids’ activities, and medical appointments,” said Erin Witte, director of consumer protection for the Consumer Federation of America.

“These tariffs will make it much worse, and will significantly reduce Americans’ choices about what car they want to buy,” she said.

Tariffs on specific commodities like aluminum and steel affect consumers indirectly, since the materials are used to manufacture a swath of consumer goods.

White House spokesman Kush Desai pushed back on analyses that prices will spike because of Trump’s tariff policy.

“Chicken Little ‘expert’ predictions didn’t quite pan out during President Trump’s first term, and they’re not going to pan out during his second term when President Trump again restores American Greatness from Main Street to Wall Street,” Desai said in an e-mailed statement.

Trump’s second-term tariffs are orders of magnitude larger than his first term, however.

The first Trump administration put tariffs on about $380 billion worth of goods in 2018 and 2019, according to the Tax Foundation. The tariffs so far imposed in Trump’s second term affect more than $2.5 trillion of U.S. imports, it said.

There’s also evidence that the first-term tariffs raised prices for some consumers.

Retail prices for the typical washing machine and clothing dryer rose by about 12% each — about $86 and $92 per unit, respectively — due to 2018 tariffs on imports of washing machines, according to a study by economists at the Federal Reserve Board and University of Chicago. The increased cost to consumers totaled $1.5 billion a year, the study found.

Tariffs are expected to raise the U.S. inflation rate

Economists also expect the overall U.S. inflation rate to jump due to tariffs.

American businesses that import goods from abroad will be the ones on the hook for paying the cost of tariffs, and economists anticipate that companies will pass at least some of those costs on to consumers.

The tariffs are disastrous for the apparel industry worldwide, but especially for smaller countries with highly specialized garment manufacturing.

Denise Green

director of the Cornell Fashion + Textile Collection

An environment of rising prices for foreign goods may give U.S. businesses cover to somewhat raise their prices, too.

As a result, the consumer price index could jump to 4.5% later in 2025, Capital Economics estimated Thursday. That’s up from 2.8% in February, and roughly double the Federal Reserve’s long-term inflation target.

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What to know before trying to ‘buy the dip’ amid tariff sell-off

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As the stock market continues to fall, some investors are eager to “buy the dip,” or purchase assets at temporarily lower prices. Financial advisors, however, urge clients to stick with long-term investing plans amid the latest volatility.

U.S. stocks plunged on Thursday after President Donald Trump issued sweeping tariffs on more than 180 countries and territories. The sell-off continued Friday after China unveiled plans to impose a 34% retaliatory tariff on all goods imported from the U.S.

As of Friday afternoon, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down more than 1,700 points following a 1,679.39 drop on Thursday. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 was off 4.8% after losing 4.84% the previous day. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid by 4.9% after plummeting 5.97% on Thursday.

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If you’re looking for buying opportunities while assets are down, here are some things to consider, according to financial advisors.

Timing the market is ‘impossible’

When asset values fall, there’s often chatter in online communities like Reddit about whether to “buy the dip.” Typically, investors aim to buy at a discount and expect an eventual recovery, which could lead to future gains.

While buying cheaper investments isn’t a bad idea, the strategy can be tricky to execute since, of course, no one can predict stock market moves, experts say. 

“We never recommend timing the market, mostly because it is impossible to do without simply getting lucky,” said certified financial planner Eric Roberge, CEO of Beyond Your Hammock in Boston.  

Instead, you should “stick to a thoughtful, rules-based investment strategy designed to get you through to your long-term goals,” he said. 

Keep a ‘disciplined approach’

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