President-elect Donald Trump offered up a long list of promises during his campaign, and next year will bring a major test with the upcoming expiration of many of the provisions from his first administration’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017.
“No one has a crystal ball on what’s going to happen here, but certainly it’s a little bit clearer based on a Trump victory than it would have been based on a Harris victory,” said Brian Newman, a tax partner at Top 25 Firm CohnReznick in Hartford, Connecticut. “Obviously the big point is going to be either to extend or to make permanent TCJA provisions.”
Trump has also called for lowering the corporate tax rate, which was supposed to be made permanent with the TCJA. He has proposed to lower it to 20%, or 15% for companies that manufacture their products in the U.S.
“Going from 21% down to 20% may be a much easier sell than layering on something that would get the corporate rate down to 15%,” said Newman.
Trump has also called for bringing back 100% bonus depreciation. “Right now the bonus rate is at 40% and scheduled to go down to 20% next year,” Newman continued. “There’s been a push to get that back up to 100%. If that occurs, we’ll be talking to our clients for year-end tax planning about deciding on whether to delay placing an asset in service a month or two if, in fact, we think that we’re going to go back to 100% bonus, versus buying something this year and placing it in service this year. There are always transition rules. That’s something that we have to be cautious about. That’s something that is going to be closely watched, because it could have a significant impact on clients.”
On the other hand, parts of the TCJA could be jettisoned. Trump has also called for eliminating the act’s $10,000 limit on state and local tax deductions, also known as the “SALT cap,” for individuals, or raising it.
Former President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally in Mason City, Iowa.
KC McGinnis/Bloomberg
“It’s an easy discussion to tell clients, if you have property taxes to pay, you’re probably better off paying the property taxes January 1 versus December 31 in the hopes that something does get passed,” said Newman. “You might get a benefit for it, versus now in 2024 you know you’re not going to get a benefit.”
The treatment of R&D expenses involves another provision of the TCJA that could be eliminated. “The last couple of years, taxpayers have had to capitalize their R&D costs and then amortize them over a five-year period,” said Newman. “That’s had a significant impact on compliance and the bottom line of taxable income. Trump has said that he would like to get those expenses currently deductible again, which would be helpful for businesses that have R&D expenses.
The Section 163(j) limitation on business interest could be another area where TCJA provision would be eliminated. “Currently, your adjusted taxable income does not include adding back depreciation and amortization like it did in the first few years of the TCJA. President-elect Trump has said that he would be in favor of going back to an EBITDA calculation so that you can add back your depreciation and amortization, which would make the limitation less painful for clients. That’s another area that I think you’re going to see some tax law changes.”
Some of these business tax changes were passed by the House earlier this year as part of the Wyden-Smith Tax Relief for American Workers and Families Act of 2024 but never got through the Senate because of disagreement over other provisions, such as expansion of the Child Tax Credit.
Trump has also called for not taxing income from tips, Social Security and overtime, as well as eliminating taxes on firefighters, police officers and members of the military.
However, that could encourage people to reclassify their income as the tax-exempt kind.
“It will always be interesting to see exactly how those things work and how they’re calculated, because everyone’s always looking to maximize what income is not subject to tax or may have lower tax rates,” said Newman. “But you have to make sure that you know, things are properly defined, and that ultimately, you know, we have a clear guidance on what the calculation should be.”
Trump has also called for eliminating the stock buyback excise tax for public companies that buy back their own shares of over $1 million in a taxable year. “Right now, there’s a 1% tax on that,” said Newman. “The Biden administration has proposed increasing that to 4%, but President-elect Trump has said that he would be in favor of eliminating that tax.”
He believes the qualified business income deduction under the TCJA will also be closely watched, “People would be looking for that to either get extended or made permanent,” said Newman. “That’s a 20% deduction on certain flow-through income, which has been very beneficial to people who it applies to. Unfortunately, it does not apply, for the most part, to accountants and other professional services organizations.”
Trump has also called for doubling the standard deduction as it was in the TCJA. That could cause even fewer people to itemize their deductions. “There’s a good amount of people who don’t itemize because the SALT cap is limited to $10,000 and then if you don’t have large home mortgage interest or other itemized deductions, you’re not getting over the standard deduction threshold as it currently stands,” said Newman. “If you double the standard deduction, there will be less and less itemizers, and those types of deductions don’t become as valuable.”
That may prompt donors to reduce their charitable contributions if they can’t itemize the deduction.
Trump has also called for other tax breaks, such as tax credits for family caregivers taking care of parents or loved ones, and allowing those who buy an automobile made in the U.S. to write off the interest on their car loans.
All those tax breaks may prove difficult for states that rely on income taxes from their residents and can’t afford to let their deficits run wild. “Year after year, the state tax liabilities on transactions and income are becoming more and more a larger component of the total tax burden of both companies and individuals,” said Newman. “One of the things that states like to do is decouple from federal provisions. We always want to keep in mind, even if you get new provisions at the federal level, if they’re not already decoupled, you may get decoupled on provisions for the state. For instance, if President-elect Trump is successful in exempting, say, overtime pay, you may get a lot of states decouple from that, and the states will still tax that.”
Trump’s tax policy will also depend on what Congress does and how much control Republicans will be able to exercise, especially in the House.
“Tax was not the focal point of the campaign, and when it did emerge as an issue, former (and future) President Trump presented tax policy ideas largely in broad strokes, though he also had no small number of new ideas for voters to consider,” said Jonathan Traub, managing principal and tax policy group leader at Deloitte Tax LLP, in a statement. “Of course, tax legislation generally originates in Congress, not the White House, so any new tax laws enacted will bear the imprint of the legislative branch with its many competing interests and priorities. And, just as importantly, the ability of the Republicans to use budget reconciliation to fast-track major tax and spending bills to the White House depends on the outcome of a handful of uncalled House races around the country.”
Even as accountants worry about a host of pressing issues, there are strong reasons to be optimistic about the future of the profession, according to Mark Koziel the president and CEO of the American Institute of CPAs.
“We’ve had issues coming at us for decades, and in each and every instance we’ve tended to thrive,” he added.
As an example, he cited the long list of technological developments that were all supposed to take accountants’ jobs, from the desktop calculator and the personal computer, to Excel and blockchain — all of which ended up only helping to make accountants more productive.
“Every time, there’s a new development in technology, they want to put us out of business,” he joked.
And even in times of economic uncertainty, accountants have an edge: “Typically, we are the last to fall into a recession, and the first to come out of them, because as companies come out of a recession, they turn first to their CGMAs and their CPAs for help.”
With all that in mind, he noted that he wanted to change the title of his keynote from “Professional Issues Update” to “Professional Opportunities Update,” before diving into a wide-ranging discussion of the most important major trends and developments affecting accountants.
Among the areas he discussed were:
1. Changes at the IRS. The tax agency was able to make it through the spring filing season with service levels that were relatively consistent with previous years — but that may not be true in the fall, Koziel warned, as retirements and layoffs that were delayed to help the service make it through April 15 have gone into effect.
“In the heat of busy season this spring, there were all kinds of rumors and hearsay about what was happening at the agency, and we put out a press release just to members to say, ‘Please, stop reading the headlines. We talk to the IRS regularly, and as far as we can tell, service levels will be consistent with the past few years,’ and we were right. Members coming out of busy season said the same thing,” Koziel explained. “I don’t know that we can say that going into the fall busy season — the IRS has even fewer people than they had before.”
2. The fate of the PCAOB. As passed by the House of Representatives, the Trump administration’s “Big Beautiful Bill” includes a provision that would scrap the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board and roll up its functions into the Securities and Exchange Commission.
“We are having a lot of discussion about what the SEC/PCAOB thing will look like,” Koziel said. “It is still being discussed as the bill goes into the Senate side. I’d say it’s pretty likely. I don’t care if the PCAOB stays or if what it does rolls up into the SEC — but what an incredible opportunity for us to have a say in how inspections are done, and so on. The SEC, too, would like to look at things differently.”
“The inspection rules were written 20 years ago, and when we talk about audit transformation, we need to make sure those inspections match up with what we’re doing,” he added. “This is an incredible opportunity to do that.”
3, Private equity. While many are concerned about how the influx of PE money into the profession will reshape accounting — and Koziel was adamant about making sure that it doesn’t compromise quality, particularly in audit — he said firms need to be able to find the model that works for them, and that PE can teach some valuable lessons.
“What can we learn from private equity?” he asked. “Partner accountability. As much as we’ve talked about it, our governance never really allowed for partner accountability to occur in firms. It’s very true in PE that there’s partner accountability.”
4, Tariffs: Almost all business leaders (90% in the second quarter of 2025, according to a recent AICPA survey) believe that tariffs are creating business plan uncertainty — which creates an opportunity for accountants to offer meaningful guidance to clients, as they have in many previous eras of uncertainty.
“This is like the Paycheck Protection Program at the beginning of COVID — we take complex things and make them simple,” Koziel said. “Let’s stay on top of this and communicate with our clients on a regular basis.”
5. Staffing: AICPA chair Lexy Kessler, who joined Koziel in his keynote, reported that undergraduate enrollments in accounting are up for the third quarter in a row, a welcome development after years of serious concern about the profession’s pipeline shortage.
“We’re seeing results, but we’re not done yet,” she warned. “We need to keep our foot on the gas.”
Increased compensation for younger accountants and an uncertain economic environment have helped with the boost, but that isn’t all, Kessler said: “There’s some shifting in the marketplace — accounting has job stability, pay is looking better, students are seeing people from the profession out in classrooms, and they’re saying, ‘I had no ideas that’s what accountants do.'”
“I encourage everyone to change the story they’re telling,” she told the audience. Talk about the impact you have, not all the work it takes to make that impact.”
Koziel added some valuable advice for firm leaders from his time working at a Buffalo-based CPA firm in the 1990s: “When I was in charge of recruiting, I’d ask our partners, ‘Is this firm the right place for your kids?’ And if it’s not, fix it.”
Tax management platform Instead launched artificial intelligence-driven tax reports, harnessing AI to analyze full tax returns to glean tax strategies and missed opportunities.
The San Francisco-based company’s reports, which are designed for clarity and compliance, include:
Tax Return Analysis Report, which reveals tax-saving opportunities in tax returns for individuals (1040) and businesses (Schedule C, E, F, 1120, 1120S, 1065).
Tax Plan Report, which provides a real-time summary and action list of all tax strategies across all entities in a tax year and includes potential and actual savings, summaries for each tax strategy, and IRS and court case references.
Tax Strategy Reports for every tax strategy, with detailed calculations of deductions and credits, supporting documentation, and an actionable plan.
Instead users can collaborate with their tax professionals on the platform or search the Instead directory of firms that support the platform and offer tax planning and advisory services.
Andrew Argue
“We are excited to bring our users the future of smart, effective decisions when it comes to filing taxes,” said Andrew Argue, co-founder of Instead, in a statement. “With Instead, users can easily uncover and implement tax strategies and opportunities that will save them money and have the transparent calculations to support a tax return. And this is just the beginning…we have some exciting things on our roadmap and look forward to sharing them very soon!”
Fifty-two percent of accountants expect their firms to shrink in headcount by 20% in the next five years, according to a new report.
The Indiana CPA Society, in collaboration with CPA Crossings, released today a 2025 Workforce Transformation report. Paradoxically, while it found that most respondents anticipate their firms to reduce headcount, 75% said that their firms will need the same amount or more staff to meet future client demand.
Sixty percent of respondents said that entry-level professionals are the role they anticipate needing fewer employees in the future due to automation. Nearly half as many responded saying experienced professionals (approximately 33%) and manager-level roles (approximately 25%).
The report highlights the weaknesses of the pyramid-shaped practice structure that is the basis for most firm’s current talent management and workforce development systems. One challenge is the pyramid’s low retention design.
“The pyramid practice structure was not designed to retain staff. It actually does the opposite. Upward mobility is statistically difficult to attain,” the report reads. “Firms have a lot of requirements for entry-level staff, but there is a lot less need for experienced staff. Firms eventually have a lot of entry-level professionals qualified to become experienced staff but only a few openings. It only gets more difficult as staff try to move from experienced staff to managers. For those who want to move from managers to owners, the wait could be 15 years or more — or maybe never.”
The report discussed the dwindling pipeline of incoming talent, saying, “Currently, there are not enough qualified staff to maintain a bottom layer that is wide enough,” and generational preferences, saying, “Gen Zers are looking for meaning and emotional connection. If they cannot find these connections in their work, it won’t take much for them to decide to move on.”
The final weakness of the pyramid model the report highlighted was advances in technology, particularly automation and artificial intelligence.
“Advances in technology, especially with automation and artificial intelligence, could obliterate the work being done by the bottom of the pyramid,” the report reads. “This impact is beginning to be seen in accounting firms across the country as manual and time-consuming data entry and reconciliation tasks, once assigned to entry-level staff, are being automated. Firms are already seeing great benefits from this transfer, such as faster and more accurate data processing.”
The report suggests that firms take on a new practice structure that focuses on precision hiring, proactive retention, practical technology implementation, pricing expertise, practice area expansion or focus, and people acceleration.