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Bessent wins Senate confirmation to be US Treasury Secretary

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The U.S. Senate confirmed Scott Bessent as the next Secretary of the Treasury, becoming the chief economic spokesman for President Donald Trump and his sweeping agenda of tax cuts, deregulation and trade rebalancing.

The former hedge fund manager won confirmation by a vote of 68 to 29 Monday. Besides the support of all Republican senators, Bessent secured the backing of one independent and 15 Democrats, in a sign the minority party might be more willing to cooperate with the administration on certain economic matters than during Trump’s first term. Trump’s first Treasury chief, Steven Mnuchin, garnered a single Democratic vote in his 2017 confirmation.

Bessent becomes Trump’s fifth cabinet pick to get confirmed, highlighting the importance lawmakers place on quickly having someone at the Treasury’s helm — and reflecting Bessent’s relatively drama-free confirmation hearing. 

He will be the first openly gay Treasury secretary. He said during his confirmation hearing that this was his third attempt at public service, after his sexual orientation precluded him from attending the U.S. Naval Academy and from joining the Foreign Service. 

Once sworn in, the 62-year-old former colleague of billionaire George Soros will face an immediate challenge managing the U.S. debt load. The federal debt limit kicked back in at the start of January, forcing the Treasury to deploy special accounting maneuvers to avoid breaching it. And on Feb. 5, the department is due to update its plans for the issuance of Treasuries at a time of historically wide budget deficits.

It’s been three decades since bond vigilantes bullied a sitting administration into curbing the nation’s fiscal trajectory. Bill Clinton was forced to rejig his economic agenda to bring down Treasury yields that had climbed in the wake of his 1992 election — in turn threatening to boost borrowing costs for Americans on everything from home mortgages to credit cards. 

With benchmark 10-year Treasury yields threatening to test the 5% level — thanks in part to the fiscal outlook — Bessent’s expertise in financial markets is seen as a particular asset, amid potential disruption from everything from tariff surprises and tax plans to shifts in monetary policy. Even his Democratic predecessor, Janet Yellen, highlighted his market experience before leaving office this month.

Fiscal outlook

Bessent in his Jan. 16 confirmation hearing underscored his concern about the size of federal borrowing being of such a scale it could potentially constrain the federal government’s response to future crises. “We have never seen this before,” he said of the current deficit being in excess of 6% of GDP despite the U.S. not being in a recession or at war.

His fiscal warning was an echo of similar comments dating from Treasury chiefs in the George W. Bush administration until now. Still, it’s Congress that decides on taxes and spending, so Bessent will need to persuade not just the president to make painful spending cuts, but also lawmakers.

The incoming Treasury chief will have to reconcile his deficit-reduction plans — he has targeted shrinking it to 3% of GDP — with the Trump administration’s much-anticipated tax cuts, which some economists caution may only worsen the fiscal outlook. Bessent has argued that the problem is spending, not taxation levels, and that Trump’s pro-growth agenda will improve the fiscal situation, alongside revenue streams from measures including tariffs.

“A whole-of-government approach that couples deregulation with tax reform and other economic levers, such as implementing strong trade policy, will unleash an economic golden age,” Bessent said at his Senate Finance Committee hearing.

Taxation largely dominated that session, with some Democrats voicing their opposition.

“Now it may not come as any big surprise that a hedge fund manager would defend an unfair tax system that’s rigged to benefit hedge fund managers,” said Ron Wyden, the top Democrat on the finance panel, who joined the bulk of his party’s Senate caucus in voting against Bessent’s confirmation. “But he struggled with tax questions throughout the hearing.”

Sanctions, dollar

Away from the domestic front, Bessent will also need to quickly get up to speed with the Treasury’s raft of sanctions against adversaries across the world and prepare for his first international engagements as the nation’s top economic diplomat. A meeting of Group of Twenty finance ministers due in South Africa in late February could offer a first chance to meet with counterparts from the world’s largest economies. 

Bessent suggested he could go harder on Russia sanctions in his confirmation hearing, saying he would be “100% on board for taking sanctions up” on major Russian oil companies if Trump requests such a move. Trump said in a Jan. 22 Truth Social post he would levy taxes, tariffs and sanctions on Russia unless it ends the war in Ukraine.

Bessent also said that the U.S. could “make Iran poor again” through the use of sanctions, later clarifying that he meant the Iranian government and not its people. But levying and enforcing harsh sanctions on two major oil-producing countries without a boost in production from other nations could constrain the supply of oil and drive prices up.

Currency policy and foreign-exchange markets are seen looming large on Bessent’s agenda. In Trump’s press statement announcing Bessent’s nomination, the president highlighted the importance of the US maintaining the dollar’s role as the world’s reserve asset.

During appearances as a Trump advocate before the November election, Bessent was vocal about the need for a new international currency accord. With the pendulum of tariff threats swinging almost hour-by-hour, exchange rates are moving on any snippet of news.

That volatility would have been a trading opportunity in Bessent’s former life as a hedge-fund trader. But he’ll have a new vantage point once sworn in as Treasury chief.

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Accounting firms seeing increased profits

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Accounting firms are reporting bigger profits and more clients, according to a new report.

The report, released Monday by Xero, found that nearly three-quarters (73%) of firms reported increased profits over the past year and 56% added new clients thanks to operational efficiency and expanded service offerings.

Some 85% of firms now offer client advisory services, a big spike from 41% in 2023, indicating a strategic shift toward delivering forward-looking financial guidance that clients increasingly expect.

AI adoption is also reshaping the profession, with 80% of firms confident it will positively affect their practice. Currently, the most common use cases for AI include: delivering faster and more responsive client services (33%), enhancing accuracy by reducing bookkeeping and accounting errors (33%), and streamlining workflows through the automation of routine tasks (32%).

“The widespread adoption of AI has been a turning point for the accounting profession, giving accountants an opportunity to scale their impact and take on a more strategic advisory role,” said Ben Richmond, managing director, North America, at Xero, in a statement. “The real value lies not just in working more efficiently, but working smarter, freeing up time to elevate the human element of the profession and in turn, strengthen client relationships.”

Some of the main challenges faced by firms include economic uncertainty (38%), mastering AI (36%) and rising client expectations for strategic advice (35%). 

While 85% of firms have embraced cloud platforms, a sizable number still lag behind, missing out on benefits such as easier data access from anywhere (40%) and enhanced security (36%).

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Private equity is investing in accounting: What does that mean for the future of the business?

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Private equity firms have bought five of the top 26 accounting firms in the past three years as they mount a concerted strategy to reshape the industry. 

The trend should not come as a surprise. It’s one we’ve seen play out in several industries from health care to insurance, where a combination of low-risk, recurring revenue, scalability and an aging population of owners create a target-rich environment. For small to midsized accounting firms, the trend is exacerbated by a technological revolution that’s truly transforming the way accounting work is done, and a growing talent crisis that is threatening tried-and-true business models.

How will this type of consolidation affect the accounting business, and what do firms and their clients need to be on the lookout for as the marketplace evolves?

Assessing the opportunity… and the risk

First and foremost, accounting firm owners need to be aware of just how desirable they are right now. While there has been some buzz in the industry about the growing presence of private equity firms, most of the activity to date has focused on larger, privately held firms. In fact, when we recently asked tax professionals about their exposure to private equity funding in our 2025 State of Tax Professionals Report, we found that just 5% of firms have actually inked a deal and only 11% said they are planning to look, or are currently looking, for a deal with a private equity firm. Another 8% said they are open to discussion. On the one hand, that’s almost a quarter of firms feeling open to private equity investments in some way. But the lion’s share of respondents —  87% — said they were not interested.

Recent private equity deal volume suggests that the holdouts might change their minds when they have a real offer on the table. According to S&P Global, private equity and venture capital-backed deal value in the accounting, auditing and taxation services sector reached more than $6.3 billion in 2024, the highest level since 2015, and the trend shows no signs of slowing. Firm owners would be wise to start watching this trend to see how it might affect their businesses — whether they are interested in selling or not.

Focus on tech and efficiencies of scale

The reason this trend is so important to everyone in the industry right now is that the private equity firms entering this space are not trying to become accountants. They are looking for profitable exits. And they will do that by seizing on a critical inflection point in the industry that’s making it possible to scale accounting firms more rapidly than ever before by leveraging technology to deliver a much wider range of services at a much lower cost. So, whether your firm is interested in partnering with private equity or dead set on going it alone, the hyperscaling that’s happening throughout the industry will affect you one way or another.

Private equity thrives in fragmented businesses where the ability to roll up companies with complementary skill sets and specialized services creates an outsized growth opportunity. Andrew Dodson, managing partner at Parthenon Capital, recently commented after his firm took a stake in the tax and advisory firm Cherry Bekaert, “We think that for firms to thrive, they need to make investments in people and technology, and, obviously, regulatory adherence, to really differentiate themselves in the market. And that’s going to require scale and capital to do it. That’s what gets us excited.”

Over time, this could reshape the industry’s market dynamics by creating the accounting firm equivalent of the Traveling Wilburys — supergroups capable of delivering a wide range of specialized services that smaller, more narrowly focused firms could never previously deliver. It could also put downward pressure on pricing as these larger, platform-style firms start finding economies of scale to deliver services more cost-effectively.

The technology factor

The great equalizer in all of this is technology. Consistently, when I speak to tax professionals actively working in the market today, their top priorities are increased efficiency, growth and talent. Firms recognize they need to streamline workflows and processes through more effective use of technology, and they are investing heavily in AI, automation and data analytics capabilities to do that. Private equity firms, of course, are also investing in tech as they assemble their tax and accounting dream teams, in many cases raising the bar for the industry.

The question is: Can independent firms leverage technology fast enough to keep up with their deep-pocketed competition?

Many firms believe they can, with some even going so far as to publicly declare their independence.  Regardless of the path small to midsized firms take to get there, technology-enabled growth is going to play a key role in the future of the industry. Market dynamics that have been unfolding for the last decade have been accelerated with the introduction of serious investors, and everyone in the industry — large and small — is going to need to up their games to stay competitive.

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Trump tax bill would help the richest, hurt the poorest, CBO says

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The House-passed version of President Donald Trump’s massive tax and spending bill would deliver a financial blow to the poorest Americans but be a boon for higher-income households, according to a new analysis from the Congressional Budget Office.

The bottom 10% of households would lose an average of about $1,600 in resources per year, amounting to a 3.9% cut in their income, according to the analysis released Thursday. Those decreases are largely attributable to cuts in the Medicaid health insurance program and food aid through the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program.

Households in the highest 10% of incomes would see an average $12,000 boost in resources, amounting to a 2.3% increase in their incomes. Those increases are mainly attributable to reductions in taxes owed, according to the report from the nonpartisan CBO.

Households in the middle of the income distribution would see an increase in resources of $500 to $1,000, or between 0.5% and 0.8% of their income. 

The projections are based on the version of the tax legislation that House Republicans passed last month, which includes much of Trump’s economic agenda. The bill would extend tax cuts passed under Trump in 2017 otherwise due to expire at the end of the year and create several new tax breaks. It also imposes new changes to the Medicaid and SNAP programs in an effort to cut spending.

Overall, the legislation would add $2.4 trillion to US deficits over the next 10 years, not accounting for dynamic effects, the CBO previously forecast.

The Senate is considering changes to the legislation including efforts by some Republican senators to scale back cuts to Medicaid.

The projected loss of safety-net resources for low-income families come against the backdrop of higher tariffs, which economists have warned would also disproportionately impact lower-income families. While recent inflation data has shown limited impact from the import duties so far, low-income families tend to spend a larger portion of their income on necessities, such as food, so price increases hit them harder.

The House-passed bill requires that able-bodied individuals without dependents document at least 80 hours of “community engagement” a month, including working a job or participating in an educational program to qualify for Medicaid. It also includes increased costs for health care for enrollees, among other provisions.

More older adults also would have to prove they are working to continue to receive SNAP benefits, also known as food stamps. The legislation helps pay for tax cuts by raising the age for which able bodied adults must work to receive benefits to 64, up from 54. Under the current law, some parents with dependent children under age 18 are exempt from work requirements, but the bill lowers the age for the exemption for dependent children to 7 years old. 

The legislation also shifts a portion of the cost for federal food aid onto state governments.

CBO previously estimated that the expanded work requirements on SNAP would reduce participation in the program by roughly 3.2 million people, and more could lose or face a reduction in benefits due to other changes to the program. A separate analysis from the organization found that 7.8 million people would lose health insurance because of the changes to Medicaid.

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