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Checks and Balance newsletter: Mitch McConnell’s legacy

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Mitch McConnell has been overrun, writes James Bennet, our Lexington columnist

Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky was right a few years back to call his radical move to block President Barack Obama from filling a vacancy on the Supreme Court his “most consequential decision”. It had not only profound consequences for the country but also unintended, bitter consequences for him, leading to a new version of the Republican Party in which some of his most cherished policy objectives and even his service are no longer much honoured. Mr McConnell announced on February 28th that he would step down as the Republican leader in the Senate, a post he has held, in the majority and minority, since 2007, making him the longest-serving Senate leader in history.

By holding the Supreme Court seat open, in defiance of Senate practice since at least the civil war, Mr McConnell heightened the stakes of the 2016 election, particularly for evangelicals. In case voters might not be getting the message, Donald Trump took to simply shouting “Supreme Court” at some rallies. Luck also had a role in producing the inside straight that got Mr Trump elected via the electoral college, but that open court seat was a crucial card. 

But Mr Trump proved to be a very different kind of Republican, one with little regard for institutions that Mr McConnell revered and no patience for the Reaganite vision of America’s role in the world that the senator believed in. Mr McConnell no longer speaks to his party’s pre-eminent leader—has not done so, in fact, since the attack on the Capitol on January 6th 2021. 

Mr McConnell reportedly believed Mr Trump’s role in stirring up the mob that day was an impeachable offence, but, with his caucus moving the other way, ultimately voted to acquit him on flimsy procedural grounds. He thought that Mr Trump had ruined himself politically. Instead, in his waning days as leader, Mr McConnell has been overrun by younger senators who embrace Mr Trump and reject the support to Ukraine that Mr McConnell considers vital to American interests. Mr McConnell acknowledged he was out of step with his party in the speech announcing his decision, but implicitly rebuked some of his colleagues by repeatedly invoking Reagan, affirming his conviction in the need for America’s “global leadership” and adding, “For as long as I draw breath on this Earth, I will defend America’s exceptionalism.” 

Maybe Mr McConnell hoped that blocking Mr Obama’s choice would ultimately result, as it did, in a court conservative enough to overturn Roe v Wade. But if so he seemed unprepared for the consequences of that, too. My colleague Sacha Nauta writes this week about how the logic of the pro-life movement, given free rein by the court, is leading to outcomes like the Alabama Supreme Court’s decision that embryos created by in vitro fertilisation are “extrauterine children”. As fertility clinics in Alabama suspend the treatment, parents desperate for children are panicking, and Republicans nationally are scrambling to protect themselves from the political backlash without alienating the most stalwart anti-abortion voters.

Mr McConnell’s brief speech was a moving reminder that politicians are also human beings, which is part of what I was going for in writing last week’s newsletter, in a far less melancholy key, about presidents and their animals. One of you wrote back to me that the subject was “asinine”, but others played along. Citing W.C. Fields’s rule that one should never work with children or pets, Mark Cohen wrote from Australia with a thought that hadn’t occurred to me to explain why Mr Trump may not keep pets: “He understands how easily he may be upstaged, performer that he is.” 

Linda Gartz described the experience of having a flying squirrel, Hermann, as a pet (“the little scamp would jump and soar from person to person”), along with a boa constrictor, a raccoon and other creatures. “They enriched my childhood,” she wrote, “and taught me a great deal about empathy, caring for another living being, and also about the reality of predator and prey in our world.” ■

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Economics

What would Robert F. Kennedy junior mean for American health?

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AS IN MOST marriages of convenience, Donald Trump and Robert F. Kennedy junior make unusual bedfellows. One enjoys junk food, hates exercise and loves oil. The other talks of clean food, getting America moving again and wants to eliminate oils of all sorts (from seed oil to Mr Trump’s beloved “liquid gold”). One has called the covid-19 vaccine a “miracle”, the other is a long-term vaccine sceptic. Yet on November 14th Mr Trump announced that Mr Kennedy was his pick for secretary of health and human services (HHS).

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Economics

What would Robert Kennedy junior mean for American health?

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AS IN MOST marriages of convenience, Donald Trump and Robert F. Kennedy junior make unusual bedfellows. One enjoys junk food, hates exercise and loves oil. The other talks of clean food, getting America moving again and wants to eliminate oils of all sorts (from seed oil to Mr Trump’s beloved “liquid gold”). One has called the covid-19 vaccine a “miracle”, the other is a long-term vaccine sceptic. Yet on November 14th Mr Trump announced that Mr Kennedy was his pick for secretary of health and human services (HHS).

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Economics

UK economy ekes out 0.1% growth, below expectations

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Bank of England in the City of London on 6th November 2024 in London, United Kingdom. The City of London is a city, ceremonial county and local government district that contains the primary central business district CBD of London. The City of London is widely referred to simply as the City is also colloquially known as the Square Mile. (photo by Mike Kemp/In Pictures via Getty Images)

Mike Kemp | In Pictures | Getty Images

The U.K. economy expanded by 0.1% in the third quarter of the year, the Office for National Statistics said Friday.

That was below the expectations of economists polled by Reuters who forecast 0.2% gross domestic product growth on the previous three months of the year.

It comes after inflation in the U.K. fell sharply to 1.7% in September, dipping below the Bank of England’s 2% target for the first time since April 2021. The fall in inflation helped pave the way for the central bank to cut rates by 25 basis points on Nov. 7, bringing its key rate to 4.75%.

The Bank of England said last week it expects the Labour Government’s tax-raising budget to boost GDP by 0.75 percentage points in a year’s time. Policymakers also noted that the government’s fiscal plan had led to an increase in their inflation forecasts.

The outcome of the recent U.S. election has fostered much uncertainty about the global economic impact of another term from President-elect Donald Trump. While Trump’s proposed tariffs are expected to be widely inflationary and hit the European economy hard, some analysts have said such measures could provide opportunities for the British economy.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey gave little away last week on the bank’s views of Trump’s tariff agenda, but he did reference risks around global fragmentation.

“Let’s wait and see where things get to. I’m not going to prejudge what might happen, what might not happen,” he told reporters during a press briefing.

This is a breaking news story. Please refresh for updates.

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