Chinese new energy vehicle giant shows off the latest version of its Han electric sedan at the Beijing auto show on April 26, 2024.
CNBC | Evelyn Cheng
BEIJING — Chinese automakers, including state-owned auto giant GAC Group, can’t afford to take it easy in the country’s electric car boom if they want to survive.
Adoption of battery and hybrid-powered cars has surged in China, but an onslaught of new models has fueled a price war that’s forced Tesla to also cut its prices. While Chinese automakers also look overseas for growth, other countries are increasingly wary of the impact of the cars on domestic auto industries, requiring investment in local production. It’s now survival of the fittest in China’s already competitive EV market.
“The speed of elimination will only pick up,” Feng Xingya, general manager at GAC, told reporters on the sidelines of the Beijing auto show in late April. That’s according to a CNBC translation of his Mandarin-language remarks.
GAC slashed prices on its cars one week before the May 1 Labor Day holiday in China, Feng said, noting the price war contributed to its first-quarter sales slump. The automaker’s operating revenue fell year-on-year in the first quarter for the first time since 2020, according to Wind Information.
To stay competitive, Feng said GAC is partnering with tech companies such as Huawei, while working on in-house research and development. The automaker is the joint venture partner of Honda and Toyota in China, and has an electric car brand called Aion.
“In the short term, if your product isn’t good, then consumers won’t buy it,” Feng said. “You need to use the best tech and the best products to satisfy consumer needs. In the long term, you must have a core competitive edge.”
Expanding outside China
Like other automakers in China, GAC is also turning overseas. Domestic sales of new energy vehicles, which include battery-only and hybrid-powered cars, have slowed their pace of growth as of March, versus December, according to China Passenger Car Association data.
Last year, GAC revamped its overseas strategy with an ultimate goal of selling 1 million cars abroad — electric, hybrid and fuel-powered, Wei Haigang, general manager of GAC’s international automobile sales and services business, told CNBC in an interview last week.
The company still has a long way to go. It only exported about 50,000 cars last year, Wei said. But he said the goal is to double that to at least 100,000 vehicles this year, and reach 500,000 units by 2030 — with sales targets and strategies for different regions of the world, beginning with the Middle East and Mexico.
“We are now going all out to speed up our overseas expansion,” he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC.
China’s overseas car sales surged last year, putting the country on par with Japan as the world’s largest exporter of cars. The EU and the U.S. have in the last year announced probes into China-made electric vehicles, amid efforts to encourage consumers to shift away from fuel-powered cars.
Factories go global
Part of GAC’s international strategy is to localize production, Wei said, noting the company is using a variety of approaches such as joint ventures and technology partnerships. He said GAC opened a factory in Malaysia in April and plans to open another in Thailand in June, with Egypt, Brazil and Turkey also under consideration.
GAC plans to establish eight subsidiaries this year, including in Amsterdam, Wei said. But the U.S. isn’t part of the company’s near-term overseas expansion plans, he said.
The difference today is that the overcapacity now has come together with vehicles that are very competitive
Stephen Dyer
AlixPartners, co-leader of the Greater China Business
U.S. and European officials have in recent months emphasized the need to address China’s “overcapacity,” which can be loosely defined as state-supported production of goods that exceeds demand. China has pushed back on such concerns and its Ministry of Commerce claimed that, from a global perspective, new energy faces a capacity shortage.
“There’s always been overcapacity in the Chinese auto industry,” said Stephen Dyer, co-leader of the Greater China business at consulting firm AlixPartners, and Asia leader for its automotive and industrials practice.
“The difference today is that the overcapacity now has come together with vehicles that are very competitive,” he told CNBC on the sidelines of the auto show. “So in our EV survey I was surprised to find that about 73% of U.S. consumers could recognize at least one Chinese EV brand. And Europe was close behind.”
Dyer expects that to drive overseas demand for Chinese electric cars. AlixPartners’ survey found that BYD had the highest brand recognition across the U.S. and major European countries, followed by Nio and Leap Motor.
BYD exported 242,000 cars last year and is also building factories overseas. The company’s sales are roughly split between hybrid and battery-powered vehicles. BYD no longer sells traditional fuel-powered passenger cars.
Tech competition
In addition to price, this year’s auto show in Beijing reflected how companies — Chinese and foreign — are competing on tech such as driver-assist software.
Chinese consumers placed almost twice as much importance on tech features compared with U.S. consumers, Dyer said, citing AlixPartners’ survey.
He noted how Chinese startups are so aggressive that a car may be sold with new tech, even if the software still has problems. “They know they can use over-the-air updates to rapidly fix bugs or add features as needed,” Dyer said.
Interest in tech doesn’t mean consumers are sold on battery-only cars. Dyer said that in the short term, consumers are still worried about driving range — meaning that hybrids are not only in demand, but often used without charging the battery.
Even Volkswagen is getting in on the “smart tech” race. The German auto giant revealed at the auto show its joint venture with Shanghai’s state-owned SAIC Motor teamed up with Chinese drone company DJI’s automotive unit to create a driver-assist system for the newly launched Tiguan L Pro.
The initial version of the SUV is fuel-powered, for which the company’s tagline is: “oil or electric, both are smart,” according to a CNBC translation of the Chinese.
Battery manufacturer CATL had a more prominent exhibition booth this year, likely in the hope of encouraging consumers to buy cars with its batteries, as competitors’ market share grows, said Zhong Shi, an analyst with the China Automobile Dealers Association.
Automotive chip companies Black Sesame and Horizon Robotics also had booths inside the main exhibition hall.
What customers want
Lotus Technology, a high-end U.K. car brand acquired by Geely, found in a survey of its customers their top requests were for automatic parking and battery charging, which would allow drivers to stay in the car.
That’s according to CFO Alexious Kuen Long Lee, who spoke with CNBC on the sidelines of the Beijing auto show. He noted the company now has robotic battery chargers in Shanghai.
“I think there is a handing over of the baton where the Chinese brands are becoming much bigger and much stronger, and the foreign brands are still trying to decide what’s the best energy route,” said Lee, who’s worked in China since 1998. “Are they still deciding on the PHEV, are they still thinking about BEVs, are they still thinking about the internal combustion cars? The entire decision-making process becomes so complex, with so much resistance internally, that I think they’re just not being productive.”
But he thinks Lotus has found the right strategy by expanding its product line, and going straight to battery-powered cars. “Lotus today,” he said, “is similar to what international brands’ position [was] in China, probably back in 2000.”
Wall Street is hoping April 2 will provide the clarity on the U.S. tariff front and a reprieve from the recent market volatility. However, many remain skeptical that any real clarity is coming any time soon. Stocks have been in turmoil this year, as investors struggle to price in the full breadth and depth of President Donald Trump’s policies that are shifting the lines of global trade. The S & P 500 was last more than 8% off its all-time high, after falling into correction territory earlier this year. The Nasdaq Composite is more than 13% off its recent peak. A clear enough blueprint from Trump when he takes to the Rose Garden on Wednesday afternoon to announce his plan for reciprocal tariffs could give investors some much-needed certainty. But few expect that will be the end of it. “Personally, I don’t believe that if you just get a framework announced, no matter what it is, that’s enough for a relief rally,” said Gabriela Santos, chief market strategist for the Americas at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. “I think you need a detailed framework, and you need there to be a certain amount of tariffs on a certain amount of countries for a certain amount of time for it to be able to be digested by the economy, — and ultimately by the markets, which I think have only started to price this in,” Santos said. There is hope of an April rebound for the stock market. The S & P 500 has done well in April when it’s started the month below its 200-day moving average, according to Oppenheimer technical strategist Ari Wald. Typically, it averages a 2.5% advance for the month, and is positive 73% of the time going back to 1950. The worst case scenario But investors will need some key questions answered around trade policy, in addition to some reassurance that the economic picture is not as bad as feared, for the market to truly rebound from here. Brett Ryan, senior U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank Securities, worries that a “maximalist” approach to tariff policy from the Trump administration — meaning a tariff on all 15 countries the U.S. has a persistent trade deficit with — would bring the average tariff rate to over 16%, from 10.5% where he said it’s currently projected to go to. In 2024, the tariff money collected as a share of total imports equated 2.5%, according to the Tax Foundation. For investors, that would further ding the outlook for economic growth and inflation, and raise fears of a stagflation scenario taking hold. In that maximalist scenario, Ryan expects real GDP growth will take a 1 to 1.5 percentage point hit. Fears of slower economic growth — sparked in part by tariffs — already have market observers cutting their year-end forecasts for the S & P 500. David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, lowered his 2025 target for a second time this year , to 5,700 from 6,200. What’s clear, at least, is that Wednesday could be the start, not the end, of a long road ahead. Christopher Harvey, head of equity strategy at Wells Fargo Securities, said he remains constructive on equities. However, worries the risks around the so-called liberation day are “not small” and could lead to a recession. “We have no inside beat on how long these new tariffs will last. We simply believe that the depth and the breadth of tariffs, and the number of stakeholders involved, creates a significant number of permutations and combinations,” Harvey wrote in a note. “Governments, which are generally not fast moving entities, may first determine whether they want to retaliate; even if they do not, we see a long road to the negotiation table.” “We believe the process (even under the most optimistic scenario) will require weeks/months of discussions before official changes can even be considered,” Harvey continued. “The bottom line is we think investors and investors’ portfolios need to get comfortable with uncertainty.” Get Your Ticket to Pro LIVE Join us at the New York Stock Exchange!| Uncertain markets? Gain an edge with CNBC Pro LIVE , an exclusive, inaugural event at the historic New York Stock Exchange. In today’s dynamic financial landscape, access to expert insights is paramount. As a CNBC Pro subscriber, we invite you to join us for our first exclusive, in-person CNBC Pro LIVE event at the iconic NYSE on Thursday, June 12. Join interactive Pro clinics led by our Pros Carter Worth, Dan Niles, and Dan Ives, with a special edition of Pro Talks with Tom Lee. You’ll also get the opportunity to network with CNBC experts, talent and other Pro subscribers during an exciting cocktail hour on the legendary trading floor. Tickets are limited!
AQR Capital Management’s multistrategy hedge fund beat the market with a 9% rally in the first quarter as Wall Street grappled with extreme volatility amid President Donald Trump’s uncertain tariff policy.
The Apex strategy from Cliff Asness’ firm, which combines stocks, macro and arbitrage trades and has $3 billion in assets under management, gained 3.4% in March, boosting its first-quarter performance, according to a person familiar with AQR’s returns who asked to be anonymous as the information is private.
AQR’s Delphi Long-Short Equity Strategy gained 9.7% in the first quarter, while its alternative trend-following offering Helix returned 3%, the person said.
AQR, whose assets under management reached $128 billion at the end of March, declined to comment.
The stock market just wrapped up a tumultuous quarter as Trump’s aggressive tariffs raised concerns about an severe economic slowdown and a re-acceleration of inflation. The S&P 500 dipped into correction territory in March after hitting a record in February.
For the quarter, the equity benchmark was down 4.6%, snapping a five-quarter win streak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost 10.4% in the quarter, which would mark its biggest quarterly pullback since a 22.4% plunge in the second quarter of 2022.