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Economic confidence dropped among U.S. finance pros, but up globally

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The Association of Chartered Certified Accountants and the Institute of Management Accountants reported a sharp decline Wednesday in economic confidence in the second quarter of the year among accountants and finance professionals in the U.S. and North America, according to a quarterly survey released Wednesday, although globally confidence seemed to be increasing.

The ACCA and IMA’s quarterly Global Economics Condition Survey indicated that confidence is now well below its historical average in North America, but the decline was even more pronounced in the U.S. in the second quarter of the year. 

On the other hand, confidence among global accountants and financial professionals improved again in Q2 2024, despite the big drop in North America. Globally confidence among accountants and finance professionals edged up slightly higher in Q2 2024 to just above its historical average. For CFOs, all of the main global indicators rose, with significant gains evident in the New Orders and Capital Expenditure indices. 

Institute of Management Accountants headquarters in Montvale, N.J.

Confidence among accountants was significantly higher than its historical average in the Asia Pacific region, slightly above in the Middle East and Western Europe, at its average in South Asia, and slightly below average in Africa. The proportion of global respondents reporting “increased costs” eased in Q2 but remains elevated by historical standards. Cost pressures remain high in all regions except the Middle East. 

“The American economy has slowed from the heady pace of expansion in the second half of 2023, and the latest results raise the risk of some further moderation over coming quarters,” said Alain Mulder, senior director of Europe operations and global special projects at IMA, in a statement. “The probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve begins easing monetary policy after the summer has increased, although inflation developments over coming months will be crucial.”

That was borne out by a statement at the Federal Reserve meeting Wednesday by Fed chair Jerome Powell saying that “a rate cut could be on the table” at the next meeting in September, although rates were left unchanged for now.

“The GECS points to some further improvement in the global economy in Q2,” said ACCA chief economist Jonathan Ashworth in a statement. “Further signs of a pickup in the important Western European and Asia Pacific regions are encouraging, although the decline in the North American and U.S. indices bear watching closely.’ 

There were other notable regional differences. Western Europe-based accountants reported another decent increase in confidence as the euro area and U.K. economies continue to stage recoveries. Even the Asia Pacific region experienced a small rise off the back of a huge gain previously, and the New Orders Index increased strongly. The region is benefitting from improvements in the global economy, including in the manufacturing sector and the upward moving technology cycle. 

The quarterly survey also asks accountants to rank their top three risk priorities and, for the first time in a year, the economy is not the top concern for respondents working in financial services, although it is close to the highest it has ever been for those in the corporate sector. The Q2 survey responses also reveal how organizations are increasingly struggling to get a grip on cybersecurity, which was ranked as the third-highest risk priority for all sectors combined.     

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Accounting

On the move: EY names San Antonio office MP

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Carr, Riggs & Ingram appoints CFO and chief legal officer; TSCPA hosts accounting bootcamp; and more news from across the profession.

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Accounting

Tech news: Certinia announces spring release

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Certinia announces spring release; Intuit acquires tech and experts from fintech Deserve; Paystand launches feature to navigate tariffs; and other accounting tech news and updates.

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Accounting

Tax Fraud Blotter: Reaping and sowing

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Share and share alike; fleecing the flock; United they fall; and other highlights of recent tax cases.

Shreveport, Louisiana: Tax preparer Sharhonda Law, 39, of Haughton, Louisiana, has been sentenced to 20 months in prison, to be followed by a year of supervised release, for tax fraud.

She owned and operated Law’s Tax Service, where she was the sole preparer. Law prepared and filed a client’s 2019 federal return that included a fraudulent Schedule F that claimed the client had farming income and had incurred farming expenses and was due a refund. In fact, the client owed taxes for that year. Investigation also showed that Law’s client did not have a farm, nor did they tell Law they owned or operated a farm and had never provided Law with any of the farming-related income or expenses on the Schedule F.

Law pleaded guilty in November to one count of aiding and assisting in making and subscribing a false return.

She made similar misrepresentations on six other returns for clients and falsified her own income on two of her personal returns; she also failed to file returns for other years. The total criminal tax loss was $123,455, which Law was ordered to pay in restitution.

Evansville, Indiana: Marcie Jean Doty, operations manager for a property management business, has been sentenced to five years in prison, to be followed by three years of supervised release, after pleading guilty to wire fraud, failure to file returns and filing false returns.

Between May 2017 and June 2022, Doty stole some $1,803,466.38 from her employer via unauthorized checks and ACH transfers. She executed 99 unauthorized transfers, totaling $503,151.59, and wrote 279 unauthorized checks to herself, totaling $1,300,314.79. The funds were transferred from her employer’s bank accounts to her personal ones. Doty entered false information in the business accounting software, representing that the checks were written to her employer instead of herself. 

In January 2017, Doty agreed to purchase a 25% equity share in her employer’s business. Doty used some of the money she stole via the scheme to make payments towards her purchase of the share.

For tax years 2018 through 2020, Doty didn’t report the income derived from her scheme, failing to report some $786,280.70. She also didn’t file returns for tax years 2021 and 2022, failing to report some $1,006,983.84 in income.

She has been ordered to pay $2,517,343.05 in restitution.

Crofton, Kentucky: Marvin Upton has been sentenced to two years and three months in prison, to be followed by three years of supervised release, for fraud and tax offenses.

Upton, until recently the pastor at local Crofton Pentecostal Church, was sentenced for three counts of bank fraud and three counts of filing false returns. From 2013 to 2016, Upton defrauded one of his elderly parishioners, who suffered from dementia. During that same time, Upton submitted multiple false returns that omitted income from the fraud.

Jacksonville, Florida: Exec Daniel Tharp has pleaded guilty to failure to pay taxes. 

Tharp was managing director for Hangar X Holdings LLC, where he had the responsibility to collect and account for the company’s trust fund taxes from employees’ pay. From October 2014 through December 2019, the company paid wages to employees and withheld these, but Tharp didn’t pay the money to the IRS. In total, he caused the company to fail to pay over $1.2 million in such taxes.

He faces a maximum of five years in prison.

Hands-in-jail-Blotter

Detroit: A federal court in Michigan has issued an injunction against tax preparers Alicia Bishop and Tenisha Green, barring them from preparing federal returns for others.

The court previously barred Alicia Qualls, Michael Turner and Constance Stewart from preparing federal returns for others and previously barred the business for which all of the preparers worked, United Tax Team Inc., and United Tax Team’s incorporator, Glen Hurst, from preparing federal returns for others.

Hurst, United Tax Team, Qualls, Turner and Stewart consented to the judgments.

According to the complaint, Hurst incorporated United Tax Team in 2016, and was its sole shareholder and corporate officer. Hurst hired the return preparers — including Qualls, Bishop, Green, Turner and Stewart — who worked at United locations in the Detroit area and prepared returns for clients that included false information not provided by clients.

The complaint alleges that Qualls, Bishop, Green, Turner and Stewart each repeatedly placed false or incorrect items, deductions, exemptions or statuses on returns without clients’ knowledge, including, in various cases, fabricated Schedule C businesses; fabricated education expenses; improperly claimed pandemic relief tax credits; improperly claimed head of household status; and fictitious child and dependent care expenses.

Akron, Ohio: Tax preparer Mustafa Ayoub Diab, 41, of Ravenna, Ohio, has been convicted of orchestrating a financial conspiracy that defrauded the U.S. government of pandemic benefits.

Diab was found guilty on 12 counts of theft of government funds, 12 counts of bank fraud, 11 of wire fraud, six of aggravated ID theft and one count each of conspiracy to commit wire and bank fraud and to launder monetary instruments.

Diab owned and operated a tax prep business where he and his co-conspirator, Elizabeth Lorraine Robinson, 33, also of Ravenna, developed a scheme to take advantage of the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance Program and the Paycheck Protection Program. From around June 2020 to August 2021, Diab submitted fraudulent applications for pandemic unemployment benefits and small-business assistance for many of his tax prep business clients.

Without their knowledge, he lied about their employment or about their being small-business owners. Investigators also discovered that Diab opened bank accounts in his clients’ names to receive the benefit funds via direct deposit, which the clients did not have access to, along with accounts in the names of Robinson and Diab’s sister. When the relief money was deposited into these accounts, he withdrew the funds in cash for his personal use, buying real estate and cars and taking international trips.

Diab submitted fraudulent applications in the names of nearly 80 victims, causing the federal government to pay out more than $1.2 million in pandemic benefits that were deposited into the various bank accounts that Diab controlled.

Sentencing is July 28. He faces up to 30 years in prison.

Robinson previously pleaded guilty to conspiracy, wire fraud, bank fraud and theft of government funds; she awaits sentencing and also faces up to 30 years in prison.

Columbus, Ohio: A federal court has permanently enjoined tax preparer Michael Craig from preparing returns for others and from owning or operating any prep business.

Craig, both individually and d.b.a. Craig’s Tax Service, consented to entry of the injunction. 

According to the complaint, many tax returns that Craig prepared made false and fraudulent claims, including losses for fictitious Schedule C businesses; claiming costs of goods sold for types of businesses that cannot claim these costs and without supporting documentation; inventing or inflating expenses for otherwise legitimate Schedule C businesses; and taking deductions for both cash and non-cash charitable deductions that are either exaggerated or fabricated.

According to the complaint, the IRS estimated a tax loss of more than $3.1 million in 2022 alone.

Craig must send notice of the injunction to each person for whom he prepared federal returns or refund claims after Jan. 1, 2022.

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