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ETF giant State Street says 401(k) plan to face new low-cost challenge

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A recent decision by the Securities and Exchange Commission to begin allowing fund companies to create ETF shares classes of traditional mutual funds is expected to lead to a flood of new ETFs on the market, but State Street’s fund management arm, State Street Investment Management, has other ideas.

The ETF giant, which manages roughly to $1.7 trillion in its SPDRs ETF family — including the oldest and most-widely traded S&P 500 exchange-traded fund, SPY, and the biggest gold ETF, GLD — sees the SEC greenlight as an opportunity to bring a new ETF challenge to the retirement plan market.

It’s planning to adopt the SEC decision, in reverse, offering mutual fund share classes of its ETF strategies in the massive U.S. retirement plan market, which has typically been closed to ETFs.

Anna Paglia, State Street‘s chief business officer, said on CNBC’s “ETF Edge” on Monday that retirement plan markets where ETF have not to date been represented as core index fund options, including the 401(k) and 403(b) market, are an opportunity she estimated at a size of $4 trillion, and will be a focus.

Some of the benefits of ETFs, such as more efficient tax trading, may not be important to investors in tax-deferred retirement plans. ETFs’ intraday valuation — they trade in real time throughout the day like stocks, as opposed to traditional mutual funds’ once-a-day valuation — has also been an issue for some plan sponsors. But the low fees and massive scale of State Street’s assets under management give it an advantage in offering investors and retirement plan sponsors competitive portfolio offerings.

“We now have $1.7 trillion in ETF assets,” Paglia said, explaining that the company can use its existing scale to create a more competitive offering regardless of share class. “The enemy of efficiency is fragmentation,” Paglia said.

In a Barron’s op-ed recently penned by Paglia to explain the company’s thinking, she noted that while the tax efficiency that attracts many investors to ETFs can’t be replicated in the retirement plan market, what are called the “in-kind flows” used in ETF management can lead to lower costs and better performance over time for retirement investors.

“That is because when large institutions redeem ETF shares, ETFs aren’t forced to sell investments to raise cash like mutual funds. Instead, ETF issuers can transfer securities directly to these large institutions, typically market makers or broker-dealers, through ‘in-kind’ redemptions. By avoiding selling in the open market, this process helps lower turnover and associated trading costs in the underlying portfolio — efficiencies that benefit investors in all share classes,” Paglia wrote.

State Street’s largest ETFs

  1. SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
    Assets: $698 million
    Expense ratio: 0.0945%
  2. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
    Assets: $132 million
    Expense ratio: 0.40%
  3. State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM)
    Assets: $95 million
    Expense ratio: 0.02%
  4. Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK)
    Assets: $95 million
    Expense ratio: 0.08%
  5. Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF)
    Assets: $52 million
    Expense ratio: 0.08%

Source: State Street

The SEC recently began the greenlighting of ETF share classes of traditional mutual funds with an application from Dimensional Fund Advisors. The mutual fund industry is expected to move in droves to adopt this new ETF provision. More than 70 fund providers have applications pending and the ICI, the main fund industry trade group, recently told “ETF Edge” it has been working with hundreds of fund companies to be prepared to take advantage of the SEC exemptive relief.

However, the current government shutdown has put a hold on any further actions, including State Street’s plans for ETFs to be made available as mutual funds in the retirement market. When State Street Investment Management is able to move forward, there will be a question of which ETFs in particular can stand out in the 401(k) market. While greater trading and cost efficiencies can be gained by trading across more than one share class, many core strategies in the ETF lineup are already offered by State Street to retirement investors in traditional fund portfolio shares.

And in an asset management industry where ETFs and index funds from giants like Fidelity Investments and Vanguard Group have pushed fees literally down to zero, economies of scale across portfolios are already critical to competing for investor assets. Fidelity already offers four zero-fee core index mutual funds. The expense ratio on Vanguard’s record-breaking S&P 500 ETF (VOO), which has set an all-time high in annual flows for an ETF, is three basis points (0.03%). State Street’s SPYM, a new version of SPY, has an expense ratio of two basis points (0.02%).

But ETFs have become the go-to way for many investors to access any kind of market strategy, from core equity to thematic equity to ever-narrower slices of the bond market, as well as alternatives including precious metals and crypto.

“Mutual funds are the way for ETF-oriented companies to … meet investors where they are,” said Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi, on “ETF Edge.”

He noted that State Street isn’t the only asset manager planning to create mutual fund share classes of ETFs, with F/M Investments planning a similar approach to benefit from the SEC decision.

Making the world’s biggest gold fund more widely available at a potentially lower cost in 401(k) plans comes at a time when many more investors are adding gold as a bigger allocation in a traditional portfolio, often at the expense of bond funds. But given the existing low-cost stock and bond options across the major fund companies and retirement plan providers, Rosenbluth said State Street’s biggest opportunities to stand out in the 401(k) market at an individual portfolio level beyond GLD may be with its Select Sector SPDRs like XLK and XLF, and newer alternative ETFs it has launched like SPDR Bridgewater ALL Weather ETF (ALLW) and SPDR SSGA IG Public & Private Credit ETF (PRIV) that provide retail investors access to portfolio strategies typically only available to institutional investors.

ALLW, a global multi-asset allocation fund, includes billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater Associates as a sub-advisor. PRIV was the first ETF with significant private credit exposure approved by the SEC, though not without some controversy. 

Paglia described the plans as being less about marketing any particular strategy and more in terms of creating a structure for State Street’s fund business that can bring the best of the ETF structure into more markets. “The ETF technology is the most efficient technology in this market but the ETF technology is not the appropriate wrapper for everybody,” Paglia said on CNBC’s “ETF Edge.”

“In my view, the retirement industry is not benefitting from the innovation that the ETF industry is bringing to the market and is benefitting from,” she added.

The fragmentation Paglia cited stems from the fact that there are many legal wrappers for portfolio strategies used across retirement plans, including collective investment trusts, target date funds, mutual funds, and ETFs.

“My IRA is invested in ETFs, but my 401(k) plan is not,” she said. “It’s not a conversation about ETFs vs. mutual funds,” Paglia said. But she added that with the SEC giving the ability, when the government reopens, to asset managers to have different share classes, State Street can take advantage of the size and scale of its ETF business. “We do have the power of scale,” she said. “We also have the power of content because we have hundreds of strategies. … and once you combine content and cost you have something investors may benefit from in the end.”

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Why software stocks, 2026’s market dogs, have joined the rally

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ETF shelters from the Middle East War

Cybersecurity and enterprise software stocks have been market dogs in 2026, with fears that AI will wipe out a wide range of companies in the enterprise space dominating the narrative. But they snapped a brutal losing streak this past week, joining in the broader market rally that saw all losses from the U.S.-Iran war regained by the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500.

Cybersecurity has been “a victim of some of the AI-related headlines,” Christian Magoon, Amplify ETFs CEO, said on this week’s “ETF Edge.”

It wasn’t just niche cybersecurity names. Take Microsoft, for example, which was recently down close to 20% for the year. Its shares surged last week by 13%.

A big driver of the pummeling in software stocks was a rotation within tech by investors to AI infrastructure and semiconductors and some other names in large-cap tech, Magoon said, and since cybersecurity stocks and ETFs are heavily weighted towards software companies, they were left behind even as those businesses continue to grow on a fundamental basis.

But Wall Street now has become more bullish with the stocks at lower levels. Brent Thill, Jefferies tech analyst, said last week that the worst may be over for software stocks. “I think that this concept that software is dead, and then Anthropic and OpenAI are going to kill the entire industry, is just over-exaggerated,” he said on CNBC’s “Money Movers” on Wednesday.

Big Short” investor Michael Burry wrote in a Substack post on Wednesday that he is becoming bullish about software stocks after the recent selloff. “Software stocks remain interesting because of accelerated extreme declines last week arising from a reflexive positive feedback loop between falling software stocks and changes in the market for their bank debt,” he wrote.

The Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG), is down about 12% since the beginning of the year, with top holdings including Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, Akamai Technologies and CrowdStrike. But BUG was up 12% last week. The First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) is down 6% for the year, but up 9% in the past week.

Piper Sandler analyst Rob Owens reiterated an “overweight” rating on Palo Alto Networks which helped the stock pop 7% — it is now down roughly 6% on the year. Its peers saw similar moves, including CrowdStrike.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

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Performance of Global X cybersecurity ETF versus S&P 500 over past one-year period.

Magoon said expectations may have become too high in cybersecurity, and with a crowding effect among investors, solid results were not enough to to push stocks higher. But the down-and-then-back-up 2026 for the sector is also a reminder that when stocks fall sharply in a short period of time, opportunity may knock.

“Once you’re down over 10% in some of these subsectors, you start to see the contrarians start to say, ‘well, maybe I’ll take a look at this,'” Magoon said.

He said AI does add both opportunity and uncertainty to the cybersecurity equation, increasing demand but also introducing new competition. But he added, “I think the dip is good to buy in an AI-driven world,” specifically because the risks to companies may lead to more M&A in cyber names that benefits the stocks.

For now, investors may look for opportunity on the margins rather than rush back into beaten-up tech names. “I think investors are still going to remain underweight software,” Thill said.

But Magoon advises investors to at least take the reminder to keep an eye on niches in the market during pronounced downturns. “The best-performing are often the least bought and do the best over the next 12 months versus late-in-the-game piling on,” he said.

While that may have been a mindset that worked against the last investors into cybersecurity and enterprise software in mid-2025 when the negative sentiment started building, at least for now, it’s started working for the stocks in the sector again.

Meanwhile, this year’s biggest winner is also a good example of what can be an extended trade in either a bullish or bearish direction. Last year, institutional ownership of energy was at multi-year lows, Magoon said, referencing Bank of America data. “Reverse sentiment can be a great indicator,” he said. 

But he cautioned that any selective buying of stocks that have dipped does have to contend with the risk that there is a potentially bigger drawdown in the market yet to come in 2026. That is because midterm election years historically have been marked by large drawdowns. “If you think it is bad right now, it could get a lot worse,” Magoon said. But he added that there’s a silver-lining in that data, too, for the patient investor. The market has posted very strong 12-month returns after midterm election drawdowns end. So, for investors with a longer-term time horizon and no need for short-term liquidity, Magoon said, “stick in there.” 

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Violent downturns could test new ETF strategies, warns MFS Investment

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ETF Stress Tests: How funds are showing resilience in the face of uncertainty

New innovation in the exchange-traded fund industry could come at a cost to investors during extreme conditions.

According to MFS Investment Management’s Jamie Harrison, ETFs involved in increasingly complex derivatives and less transparent markets may be in uncharted territory when it comes to violent downturns.

“Those would be something that you’d want to keep an eye on as volatility ramps up,” the firm’s head of ETF capital markets told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “As innovation continues to increase at a rapid pace within the ETF wrapper, [it’s] definitely something that we advise our clients to be really front-footed about… Lack of transparency could absolutely be an issue if we’re going to start seeing some deep sell-offs.”

His firm has been around since 1924 and is known for inventing the open-end mutual fund. Last year, ETF.com named MFS Investment Management as the best new ETF issuer.

“It’s important to do due diligence on the portfolio,” he said. “Having a firm that has deep partnerships, deep bench of subject matter experts that plays with the A-team in terms of the Street and liquidity providers available [are] super important.”

Liquidity as the real issue?

Harrison suggested the real issue is liquidity, particularly during a steep sell-off.

“We’ve all seen the news and the headlines around potential private credit ETFs. That picture becomes much more murky,” he added. “It’s up to advisors, to investors [and] to clients to really dig in and look under the hood and engage with their issuers.”

He noted investors will have to ask some tough questions.

“What does this look like in a 20% drawdown? How does this liquidity facility work? Am I going to be able to get in? Am I going to be able to get out? And if I’m able to get out, am I able to get out at a price that’s tight to NAV [net asset value], and what’s the infrastructure at your shop in terms of managing that consideration for me,” said Harrison.

Amplify ETFs’ Christian Magoon is also concerned about these newer ETF strategies could weather a monster drawdown. He listed private credit as a red flag.

“If your ETF owns private credit, I think it’s worth taking a look at, kind of what the standards are around liquidity and how that ETF is trading, because that should be a bit of a mismatch between the trading pace of ETFs and the underlying asset,” the firm’s CEO said in the same interview.

Magoon also highlighted potential issues surrounding equity-linked notes. The notes provide fixed income security while offering potentially higher returns linked to stocks or equity indexes.

“Those could potentially be in stress due to redemptions and the underlying credit risk. That’s another kind of unique derivative,” Magoon said. “I would very closely look at any ETF that has equity-linked notes should we get into a major drawdown or there be a contagion in private credit or something related to the banking system.”

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Anthropic Mythos reveals ‘more vulnerabilities’ for cyberattacks

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Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., right, departs the US Capitol in Washington, DC, US, on Wednesday, Feb. 25, 2026.

Graeme Sloan | Bloomberg | Getty Images

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Tuesday that while artificial intelligence tools could eventually help companies defend themselves from cyberattacks, they are first making them more vulnerable.

Dimon said that JPMorgan was testing Anthropic’s latest model — the Mythos preview announced by the AI firm last week — as part of its broader effort to reap the benefits of AI while protecting against bad actors wielding the same technology.

“AI’s made it worse, it’s made it harder,” Dimon told analysts on the bank’s earnings call Tuesday morning. “It does create additional vulnerabilities, and maybe down the road, better ways to strengthen yourself too.”

When asked by a reporter about Mythos, Dimon seemed to refer to Anthropic’s warning that the model had already found thousands of vulnerabilities in corporate software.

“I think you read exactly what is it,” Dimon said. “It shows a lot more vulnerabilities need to be fixed.”

The remarks reveal how artificial intelligence, a technology welcomed by corporations as a productivity boon, has also morphed into a serious threat by giving bad actors new ways to hack into technology systems. Last week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent summoned bank CEOs to a meeting to discuss the risks posed by Mythos.

JPMorgan, the world’s largest bank by market cap, has for years invested heavily to stay ahead of threats, with dedicated teams and constant coordination with government agencies, Dimon said.

“We spend a lot of money. We’ve got top experts. We’re in constant contact with the government,” he said. “It’s a full-time job, and we’re doing it all the time.”

‘Attack mode’

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