Connect with us

Finance

Fed cuts interest rates for first time in 4 years – here’s what that means for your wallet

Published

on

DO NOT USE ON FNC/FBN DIGITAL EDITORIAL. ONLY FOR CREDIBLE CONTENT

The Fed interest rate cut will mean better borrowing rates for borrowers. (iStock)

The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by half a percentage point Wednesday, a move that was largely anticipated by economists as inflation continues to inch sustainably toward a 2% target rate.   

The central bank announced it would lower the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%, as it turns its attention to rising unemployment. The August jobs report showed a net gain of 142,000 jobs and unemployment at 4.2%. The central bank predicted the unemployment rate will increase to 4.4% and stay there. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said at a press conference on Wednesday that the U.S. labor market is solid, and the rate cut is intended to maintain its strength.  

Inflation rose 2.5% in August, the smallest 12-month increase since February 2021. Core inflation, which excludes more volatile food and energy prices, rose 3.2% and increased 0.3% monthly in August. 

“The FOMC projections highlighted that inflation is returning to target more quickly than the Committee had expected in June and that the unemployment rate has moved higher and is likely to stay higher than expected,” said Mike Fratantoni, the Mortgage Bankers Association Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. “While not likely to be in a recession, the U.S. economy is likely in for a period of slower economic growth.”

The Fed is expected to continue cutting rates this year and indicated that if the economy evolves as expected, the federal funds rate could be dialed back to 4.4% at the end of this year and 3.4% by the end of 2025.

“We are now at the beginning of the Fed lowering rates,” Voxtur CEO Ryan Marshall said. “We know that the Fed will continue to cut rates throughout the year to keep the economy as strong as possible, but how far are they willing to go? We think they will keep cutting until rates are hovering at 5% unless there is a strong economic event, like a major uptick in unemployment. In which case, the Fed will get even more aggressive in cutting rates.”

If you’re worried about the state of the economy, you could consider paying down high-interest debt with a personal loan at a lower interest rate. Visit Credible to speak with a personal loan expert and get your questions answered.

BEST PERSONAL LOANS OF AUGUST 2024

Mortgage market already priced in cuts

For mortgages, that rate cut isn’t likely to create much change since this anticipated cut has already been baked into borrowing rates, which have dropped to close to 6% in recent weeks, according to Freddie Mac. However, with the Fed’s indication that more rate cuts could follow, mortgage rates could continue to trend downward. 

The lower mortgage rate environment has spurred increased refinances and some additional purchase activity in recent weeks. Roughly four million homes have a refinance opportunity, with rates falling closer to 6% and there are more in the pipeline as the Fed starts the easing cycle, according to CoreLogic Chief Economist Selma Hepp. 

“It’s important to note that lower rates have been a hot topic for a while, and potential homebuyers have been on the sidelines in anticipation of lower rates and improved affordability,” Hepp said. “With rates coming down over the last four weeks, CoreLogic data revealed that pending home sales have finally started to show consistent improvement over last year’s activity.”

But high borrowing rates aren’t the only challenge buyers face; the housing market is also plagued by low inventory, which has helped keep prices elevated even as demand for housing is down.   

“The Fed is looking to stimulate housing while the economy is still somewhat in a good spot in terms of inflation and consumer confidence,” Percy.AI Founder and CEO Charles Williams said. “They will need to lower rates more to create a mini-refinance boom, and builders are now constructing more starter homes. So, with additional rate cuts coming later this year, 2025 will see a housing market rebound in both existing and new home sales.”

If you want to become a homeowner, you could still find the best mortgage rates by shopping around. Visit Credible to compare your options from multiple lenders at once.

GROW YOUR MONEY FASTER: 5 ALTERNATIVES TO A SAVINGS ACCOUNT

Consumer wallets catch a break

The rate reduction brings much-needed relief to consumers who have increasingly relied on credit products. According to a recent TransUnion report, bank card balances increased 4.4% on an annual basis in the second quarter of 2024.

The reduction in interest rates would give borrowers options and could also spur banks to extend credit lending to a larger segment of the consumer population, according to Michele Raneri, TransUnion vice president and head of U.S. research and consulting.  

“Today’s reduction in interest rates could ultimately allow for consumers to see lower monthly payments,” Raneri said. “It also may allow for many consumers to consider refinancing higher interest debt into a lower interest credit product such as a personal loan or home equity loan.”

If you are struggling to pay off debt, you could consider using a personal loan to consolidate your payments at a lower interest rate, saving you money each month. You can visit Credible to find your personalized interest rate without affecting your credit score.

SHOULD YOU BUY A HOUSE IN 2024? HERE’S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

Have a finance-related question, but don’t know who to ask? Email The Credible Money Expert at [email protected] and your question might be answered by Credible in our Money Expert column.

Continue Reading

Finance

Treasury Bond Volatility Forces Bessent to Double Debt Buyback Size as Yields Swing

Published

on

Bessent

A turbulent week in the U.S. Treasury market prompted the Treasury Department to sharply increase the size of its long-term debt buyback program, as bond prices fell even while equity markets pushed toward record highs. The divergence has drawn attention from fixed-income strategists who see it as a signal of underlying investor unease about federal borrowing levels.

What Happened This Week

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC on Thursday, August 20, 2026, that the Treasury had doubled the size of its long-term debt buyback operations, moving from roughly $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. Bessent indicated the figure could climb further, saying “we’re going to increase the size of the buyback,” and noted the accelerated pace could exceed the announced $4 billion threshold per issue.

Buybacks allow the Treasury to repurchase outstanding government bonds directly from the market, which can help support prices and dampen yield volatility during periods of stress. The expanded program came as stocks staged a late-week recovery: the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 both advanced on Friday, August 21, even as Treasuries logged mild losses, according to Bloomberg market data.

Why Bond and Equity Markets Are Diverging

Capital.com senior market analyst Daniela Hathorn described the week’s dynamic as markets “ending the week on a softer tone after the relative calm of early August was disrupted by renewed pressure in global bond markets, another rise in oil prices, and growing uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s next move.” She noted that higher long-term borrowing costs are increasingly challenging elevated equity valuations, even as U.S. equities pull back modestly from record highs.

This divergence — equities near record levels while bonds sell off  is unusual and reflects two different sets of investor concerns. Equity investors have remained focused on corporate earnings strength, particularly from large technology companies ahead of Nvidia’s closely watched August 26 earnings report. Bond investors, by contrast, are more directly exposed to concerns about the scale of federal borrowing, highlighted this week by the national debt crossing the $40 trillion threshold for the first time.

The Fed and Treasury “Working in Opposite Directions”

Wilmington Trust senior bond portfolio manager Wil Stith told Yahoo Finance that current conditions reflect “the Fed and the Treasury basically working in sort of opposite directions,” adding that the imbalance will likely require the Federal Reserve  which he described as having “the larger sandbox”  to adjust the federal funds rate rather than relying on Treasury market interventions alone to manage yields.

Notably, the bond market’s reaction to the Treasury’s buyback expansion was relatively muted; strategists described the move as being largely absorbed without a major rally, suggesting the underlying pressure on yields stems from factors, such as inflation persistence and debt sustainability concerns, that a buyback program alone cannot resolve.

What Comes Next

Markets are now looking to two major events in the days ahead: Nvidia’s earnings report on Wednesday, August 26, and the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, running August 27-29. This will be the first Jackson Hole gathering under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, whose public communication style and policy signals remain less established than his predecessors’, according to market commentary from Regards of Wall Street.

For investors, the key metrics to watch are the size and frequency of future Treasury buyback operations, movements in the 10-year Treasury yield, and any policy signals from Warsh’s keynote address. Continued yield volatility alongside record equity valuations would suggest the market imbalance identified this week has not yet been resolved.

 

Continue Reading

Finance

Cross-Border Settlement Innovation and Real-Time Payment Architecture

Published

on

The global banking system is undergoing a comprehensive modernization of cross-border payment infrastructure. Driven by real-time settlement networks, open banking APIs, and interoperable messaging standards, financial institutions and multinational corporations are eliminating multi-day delays and reducing transaction costs associated with legacy international wire transfers.

Transition to Real-Time Gross Settlement Networks
Historically, international business-to-business (B2B) payments relied on complex correspondent banking relationships involving intermediary fees and processing delays. In 2026, the widespread adoption of ISO 20022 messaging protocols alongside interconnected Real-Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) systems allows direct, end-to-end processing of cross-border transfers.

Commercial banks are providing corporate clients with continuous, 24/7 payment clearing capabilities. Real-time transaction confirmation and automated FX rate locking allow international businesses to settle cross-border trade obligations within minutes, significantly reducing counterparty risk.

Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) Interoperability
Wholesale Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) pilot initiatives are reaching operational maturity across several key financial centers. Collaborative multi-CBDC platforms enable participating central banks and commercial institutions to settle foreign exchange and international trade transactions directly on shared distributed ledgers.

These wholesale digital currency networks eliminate traditional clearinghouse delays and minimize foreign exchange slippage. Enterprise treasury departments benefit from enhanced liquidity management, as cross-border cash balances can be deployed and repatriated instantaneously.

Corporate Treasury Transformation
For enterprise treasurers, instant cross-border settlement transforms cash management strategies:
– Working Capital Optimization: Reduced transaction float allows companies to lower precautionary cash reserves and optimize short-term liquidity investments.
– Automated Reconciliation: Enriched data formats embedded in ISO 20022 payment messages streamline automated general ledger posting and invoice matching.
– Reduced Processing Overhead: Account-to-account (A2A) real-time clearing bypasses costly intermediary correspondent banking fees.

Strategic Financial Priorities
1. Upgrade Treasury Systems: Ensure internal core enterprise software supports real-time ISO 20022 payment messaging standards.
2. Leverage Instant Clearing Rails: Utilize direct payment networks to lower cross-border transaction fees and eliminate settlement delays.
3. Evaluate Multi-Currency Liquidity: Modernize liquidity management frameworks to capitalize on 24/7 real-time settlement capabilities.

Continue Reading

Finance

Private Credit Expansion and Regulatory Oversight in 2026 Capital Markets

Published

on

The global private credit market has solidified its role as a fundamental pillar of enterprise finance, expanding rapidly across middle-market lending, asset-backed finance, and infrastructure financing. As non-bank financial institutions capture a larger share of corporate debt origination, global regulatory bodies are increasing oversight to evaluate market transparency and systemic risk interconnections.

Growth Drivers in Direct Lending
Direct lending platforms have continued to attract substantial institutional allocations from pension funds, sovereign wealth entities, and insurance companies seeking attractive risk-adjusted yields. Private debt funds offer corporate borrowers customized financing structures, faster execution timelines, and confidentiality compared to syndicated loan markets.

In 2026, private credit managers are increasingly financing larger corporate transactions, providing multi-billion-dollar credit facilities for buyout deals and corporate restructurings. The flexibility of private debt contracts—featuring unitranche pricing and tailored covenant packages—has made direct lending the preferred capital source for middle-market enterprise sponsors.

Regulatory Scrutiny and Systemic Risk Assessment
The rapid growth of non-bank intermediation has drawn heightened scrutiny from financial regulators in North America and Europe. Because private debt agreements are negotiated privately without public exchange disclosures, central banks are evaluating potential vulnerabilities related to asset valuation consistency and fund liquidity profiles.

Regulatory agencies are introducing guidelines aimed at improving reporting standards for private investment vehicles managing institutional assets. Key focus areas include monitoring leverage ratios within private credit funds and evaluating indirect credit exposures between commercial banking institutions and private debt funds.

Navigating Elevated Refinancing Costs
With benchmark interest rates remaining elevated, private debt borrowers face higher debt service obligations on floating-rate credit facilities. Financial advisory firms report an increase in proactive liability management strategies, including payment-in-kind (PIK) interest options, equity infusions from sponsors, and covenant modifications.

Private credit managers with deep operational capabilities are actively working alongside portfolio companies to optimize working capital and maintain cash flow coverage ratios during periods of higher borrowing costs.

Key Financial Takeaways
1. Mainstream Asset Class: Private credit has expanded beyond niche alternative asset status into a core corporate finance solution.
2. Enhanced Transparency Standards: Regulatory frameworks are evolving toward greater disclosure requirements for private debt managers.
3. Proactive Risk Management: Lenders and sponsors must prioritize debt sustainability and active portfolio monitoring amid high benchmark rates.

Continue Reading

Trending