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From the campaign trail to the Tax Code: Taxes under Trump

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With the election only just completed, tax preparers aren’t yet sure how much it will change the tax landscape, but they do know there’s a different set of leadership in place with a different approach to tax, the tax burden and tax administration.

“It will be curious to see how much the balance shifts,” observed Kelly Myers, an advisor with Myers Consulting Group LLC, and formerly a career IRS officer with 30-plus years of experience. “The Republicans won’t have a super-majority, so there will still be a give and take in their congressional negotiations. If you have some Republicans who break stride with a proposal, they won’t be able to force their way through. Republican legislators are less likely to operate in lock-step, as the Democrats do.”

“People will be watching as they move forward on the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act; the biggest thing is the SALT limitation with its $10,000 cap,” he continued. “There have been discussions on it, particularly as it creates a marriage penalty — a married couple filing jointly has the same $10,000 cap as a single filer. So there should be some palate for action, creating a $20,000 cap for a married couple.”

Donald Trump, left, and Melania Trump on Nov. 6.
Donald Trump, left, and Melania Trump on Nov. 6.

Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg

Also, there is wide support for a renewed R&D credit to operate on a dollar-for-dollar basis, instead of a five-year amortization procedure, according to Myers. There may be a stronger appetite to modify this with a Republican House in January. The bonus depreciation that was passed to act as a stimulant may not fare so smoothly, since, with inflation a continuing issue, it may not be desirable to stimulate the economy. 

Another TCJA issue is the qualified business income deduction, Myers remarked. “It will be hard to touch that since it was put in the legislation to create equality with the corporate tax rate,” he said. “If they had a super-majority, they could ram through their dream provisions, but it’s probably a good thing they don’t — one party can’t ram something through in one direction or the other. We’ll know more about the party priorities once the cabinet gets settled.”

Theory versus practice

“Trump said a lot of things during the campaign that may be difficult to implement,” according  to Bill Nemeth, president and education chair of the Georgia Association of Enrolled Agents. “Many things he will not have direct control over. He has said that any of the $80 billion in funds for the IRS that hasn’t been spent will be seized. He would also do that with the CHIPS Act, where they’re building a chips factory in Upstate New York. It’s questionable how much of this he can accomplish. At this point it’s all speculation. The net is that he made a lot of promises during the campaign that he may not be able to bring to pass.”

“As one who prepares a lot of individual returns, the suggestion by Trump of repealing the tax on Social Security would make things easier for a lot of people and make it easier to do returns for retirees, but it’s not clear how it would work in practice,” said Stephen Mankowski, tax chair at the National Conference of CPA Practitioners. “And making overtime pay nontaxable would likewise add to the complexity. Payroll systems would become very complicated. Companies that have hourly workers would be more apt to get workers willing to work overtime when they know they wouldn’t be taxed on the additional pay.”

One of the complications of the “no tax on tips” proposal, he added, is the situation where tips are below the minimum wage, with the employer obligated to make up the difference where a worker has a slow night and brings in little in tips. 

“Our hourly rate is $7.65,” he said. “It hasn’t moved in years. If a server or bartender gets paid $3.00 per hour, the business makes up the difference at the end of the shift. That would be difficult where they are only taxed up to $7.65. And issues would arise as to how it would affect the Social Security base, and how much income could be labeled tip income. Hopefully with the new Congress they will do what they can to  insure the IRS has proper funding. They’re looking at modernizing the IRS and they need sufficient funding to do that — additional funding to the IRS can pay for itself many times over.”

One casualty of the Republican victory is likely any immediate attempt to tax unrealized gain, according to Gil Baumgarten, chief executive of Segment Wealth Management in Houston. 

“You can only have an income tax on something that is income. Unrealized gain is not income,” he said. “Overall, the election was good for business — that’s the reason the market went up more than 1,500 points the day after the election. I can’t think of a better approach to government. Elon Musk is right — sooner or later we’ll run out of money. There is so much government waste. I would love to see 90% of government workers laid off. There’s nothing that government can do that the private sector cannot do better. Trump understands this.”

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Accounting

Instead adds AI-driven tax reports

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Tax management platform Instead launched artificial intelligence-driven tax reports, harnessing AI to analyze full tax returns to glean tax strategies and missed opportunities.

The San Francisco-based company’s reports, which are designed for clarity and compliance, include:

  • Tax Return Analysis Report, which reveals tax-saving opportunities in tax returns for individuals (1040) and businesses (Schedule C, E, F, 1120, 1120S, 1065).
  • Tax Plan Report, which provides a real-time summary and action list of all tax strategies across all entities in a tax year and includes potential and actual savings, summaries for each tax strategy, and IRS and court case references.
  • Tax Strategy Reports for every tax strategy, with detailed calculations of deductions and credits, supporting documentation, and an actionable plan.

Instead users can collaborate with their tax professionals on the platform or search the Instead directory of firms that support the platform and offer tax planning and advisory services. 

Andrew Argue

Andrew Argue

“We are excited to bring our users the future of smart, effective decisions when it comes to filing taxes,” said Andrew Argue, co-founder of Instead, in a statement. “With Instead, users can easily uncover and implement tax strategies and opportunities that will save them money and have the transparent calculations to support a tax return. And this is just the beginning…we have some exciting things on our roadmap and look forward to sharing them very soon!”

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Accounting

Half of accountants expect firms to shrink headcount by 20%

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Fifty-two percent of accountants expect their firms to shrink in headcount by 20% in the next five years, according to a new report.

The Indiana CPA Society, in collaboration with CPA Crossings, released today a 2025 Workforce Transformation report. Paradoxically, while it found that most respondents anticipate their firms to reduce headcount, 75% said that their firms will need the same amount or more staff to meet future client demand. 

Sixty percent of respondents said that entry-level professionals are the role they anticipate needing fewer employees in the future due to automation. Nearly half as many responded saying experienced professionals (approximately 33%) and manager-level roles (approximately 25%). 

The report highlights the weaknesses of the pyramid-shaped practice structure that is the basis for most firm’s current talent management and workforce development systems. One challenge is the pyramid’s low retention design. 

“The pyramid practice structure was not designed to retain staff. It actually does the opposite. Upward mobility is statistically difficult to attain,” the report reads. “Firms have a lot of requirements for entry-level staff, but there is a lot less need for experienced staff. Firms eventually have a lot of entry-level professionals qualified to become experienced staff but only a few openings. It only gets more difficult as staff try to move from experienced staff to managers. For those who want to move from managers to owners, the wait could be 15 years or more — or maybe never.”

The report discussed the dwindling pipeline of incoming talent, saying, “Currently, there are not enough qualified staff to maintain a bottom layer that is wide enough,” and generational preferences, saying, “Gen Zers are looking for meaning and emotional connection. If they cannot find these connections in their work, it won’t take much for them to decide to move on.”

The final weakness of the pyramid model the report highlighted was advances in technology, particularly automation and artificial intelligence. 

“Advances in technology, especially with automation and artificial intelligence, could obliterate the work being done by the bottom of the pyramid,” the report reads. “This impact is beginning to be seen in accounting firms across the country as manual and time-consuming data entry and reconciliation tasks, once assigned to entry-level staff, are being automated. Firms are already seeing great benefits from this transfer, such as faster and more accurate data processing.”

The report suggests that firms take on a new practice structure that focuses on precision hiring, proactive retention, practical technology implementation, pricing expertise, practice area expansion or focus, and people acceleration. 

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Senate Republicans plan major revisions to Trump tax bill

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The U.S. Capitol

Senate Republicans intend to propose revised tax and health-care provisions to President Donald Trump’s $3 trillion signature economic package this week, shrugging off condemnations of the legislation by Elon Musk as they rush to enact it before July 4. 

The Senate Finance Committee’s plan to extract savings from the Medicaid and — perhaps — Medicare health insurance programs could depart in key respects from the version of the giant bill that narrowly passed the US House in May. The release of the panel’s draft will likely touch off a new round of wrangling between fiscal conservatives and moderates. 

As the debate unfolds, businesses in the energy, health care, manufacturing and financial services industries will be watching closely.  

SALT dilemma

A crucial decision for Majority Leader John Thune, Committee Chairman Mike Crapo and other panel members will be how to handle the $40,000 limit on state and local tax deductions that was crucial to passage of the bill in the House. 

Senate Republicans want to scale back the $350 billion cost of increasing the cap from $10,000 to $40,000 for those making less than $500,000.   

House Speaker Mike Johnson and a group of Republican members from high-tax states have warned that any diminishing of the SALT cap would doom the measure when it comes back to the House for a final vote. At the same time, so-called pass-through businesses in the service sector are pushing to remove a provision in the House bill that limits their ability to claim SALT deductions. 

(Read more:What the House gave the Senate: Inside the ‘Big Beautiful’ bill.“)

The Senate Finance Committee is widely expected to propose extending three business tax breaks that expire after 2029 in the House version to order to make them permanent. They are the research and development deduction, the ability to use depreciation and amortization as the basis for interest expensing and 100% bonus depreciation of certain property, including most machinery and factories.  

Manufacturers and banks are particularly eager to see all of them extended. 

To pay for the items, which most economists rank as the most pro-growth in the overall tax bill, senators may restrict temporary breaks on tips and overtime, which Trump campaigned on during last year’s election in appeals to restaurant and hospitality workers. The White House wants to keep those provisions as is.

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said Trump “supports changing” the SALT deduction and it’s up to lawmakers to reach a consensus.

“It’s a horse trading issue with the Senate and the House,” Hassett said Sunday on CBS’s Face the Nation. “The one thing we need and the president wants is a bill that passes, and passes on the Fourth of July.”

The committee will also face tough decisions on green energy tax credits. Scaling those back generates nearly $600 billion in savings in the House bill. 

On Friday, rival House factions released dueling statements. 

The conservative House Freedom Caucus warned that any move to restore some of the credits would prompt its members to vote against the bill. “We want to be crystal clear: If the Senate attempts to water down, strip out, or walk back the hard-fought spending reductions and IRA Green New Scam rollbacks achieved in this legislation, we will not accept it,” the group said. 

In contrast, a group of 13 Republican moderates, led by Pennsylvania’s Brian Fitzpatrick and Virginia’s Jen Kiggans, urged senators to make changes that would benefit renewable energy projects, many in Republican districts, that came about through President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act. 

(Listen:The state of the ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ and more.“)

“We remain deeply concerned by several provisions, including those which would abruptly terminate several credits just 60 days after enactment for projects that have not yet begun construction,” the lawmakers said in a letter to the Senate. 

Banks are especially interested to ensure that tax credits on their balance sheets as part of renewable energy financing aren’t rendered worthless by the bill. 

Health-care perils

Medicaid and Medicare cuts present the most daunting challenge in the committee’s draft. While Republicans are generally in favor of new work requirements for able-bodied adults to be insured by Medicaid, some moderates like Senator Lisa Murkowski of Alaska have expressed concern over giving states just a year and a half to implement the requirement.  

Senator Lisa Murkowski House provisions instituting new co-pays for Medicaid recipients and limits on the ability of states to tax Medicaid providers in order to increase federal reimbursement payments are more disputed. 

Senators Josh Hawley of Missouri and Jim Justice of West Virginia have said they oppose these changes.  

To find savings to make up for removing these provisions, Republicans said last week that they are examining whether to put new restrictions on billing practices in Medicare Advantage. Large health insurers that provide those plans would be most affected by such changes. 

Yet overall, GOP leaders say the tax bill remains on schedule and they expect much of the House bill to remain intact. 

The Senate’s rules-keeper is in the process of deciding whether some provisions are not primarily fiscal in nature. Provisions that restrict state regulations on artificial intelligence, ending some gun regulations and putting new limits on federal courts are seen as most vulnerable to being stripped under Senate budget rules. 

Lawmakers are largely taking their cues from Trump and sticking by the $3 trillion bill at the center of the White House’s economic agenda. 

Musk, the biggest political donor of the 2024 campaign, has threatened to help defeat anyone who votes for the legislation, but lawmakers seem to agree that staying in the president’s good graces is the safer path to political survival.

“We are already pretty far down the trail,” Thune told reporters on Thursday afternoon as his colleagues left for the weekend.

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