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Joe Biden’s best chance to shake up the race

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Economics

Trade deficit fell by a record amount in April as demand dropped for imports

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U.S. trade deficit tumbles to $61.6B vs. $66.3B estimated

The U.S. deficit with its global trading partners tumbled by the largest amount on record in April as companies and consumers no longer rushed to get imports ahead of President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

Following a record-breaking surge in the trade imbalance, the deficit slid to $61.6 billion, a decrease of $76.7 billion from the prior month and below the Dow Jones consensus forecast for $66.3 billion, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday.

The move reverses a massive surge in imports that came ahead of Trump’s April 2 “Liberation Day” announcement.

In a move that was even more aggressive than anticipated, Trump slapped 10% across-the-board duties on U.S. imports and released a menu of so-called reciprocal tariffs aimed at what he considered unfair trade practices from dozens of countries.

Since then, Trump has backed off the reciprocal charges in lieu of a 90-day negotiating period. Similarly, he ratcheted down the levies aimed specifically at China, which responded in kind as talks continued.

Imports slowed sharply in April, falling 16.3% to $351 billion. At the same time, exports accelerated, rising 3%.

“‘Deficit’ implies something bad, but in this case the story is more nuanced. International trade has been good for the U.S. economy — importing more than we export has benefited Americans, by and large,” said Elizabeth Renter, senior economist at consumer site NerdWallet. “So when the trade deficit shrinks we should be cautious of interpreting this as fully positive news.”

On a year-to-date basis, the deficit has risen 65.7% from the same period in 2024.

The largest goods imbalance came with China, at $19.7 billion, followed by the European Union ($17.9 billion) and Vietnam, ($14.5 billion).

In the latest developments on the trade front, Trump on Thursday said additional talks have taken place with China and more are likely soon. Trump said he spoke to Chinese President Xi Jinping for 90 minutes in what he deemed a “very good” call.

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Economics

What a New Jersey election says about MAGA America

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NEW JERSEY’s gubernatorial election, held in odd-numbered years following presidential contests, offers an early measure of how Donald Trump is faring and how upcoming mid-term elections for control of Congress are shaping up. The two major parties will choose their candidates in a primary election on June 10th. Mr Trump looms large; last November he came within six points of pulling off a shocking upset here. Amid MAGA triumphalism in Washington, Republicans and Democrats will define themselves by who their voters select for what looks likely to be a competitive November contest.

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Pete Hegseth once scared America’s allies. Now he reassures them

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TO SOME he embodies the “revenge of the field-grade officers”, the angry mid-ranking veterans who returned from Iraq and Afghanistan with loathing for the politicians and generals who sent them to fight losing wars. Pete Hegseth, a former army major and now America’s defence secretary, celebrates soldiers “with dust on their boots”. But though he may be a MAGA radical at home, there are signs that he is turning into a surprisingly conventional American globalist abroad.

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