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Mortgage rates hover near 7% with no sign of budging: Freddie Mac

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Mortgage rates have stalled near 7% with the Fed’s plan to dial back interest rates delayed. (iStock)

Mortgage rates hovered in the 6.8% range again this week and are likely to remain in that range despite improving inflation metrics, according to Freddie Mac. 

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 6.82% for the week ending April 4, according to Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey. That’s an increase from the previous week when it averaged 6.79%. A year ago, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.28%. 

The average rate for a 15-year mortgage was 6.06%, down from 6.11% last week and up from 5.64% last year.

The Federal Reserve has signaled that it is in no rush to lower interest rates and is committed to maintaining its restrictive monetary policy until it gets further indication that inflation is moving towards its 2% target rate. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said recently that the plan to lower interest rates is still on track but that the central bank will monitor inflation and other economic indicators to determine when that happens. Market expectations are that the first rate cut will come in the summer, if not later in the year.   

“Mortgage rates showed little movement again this week, hovering around 6.8 percent,” Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist Sam Khater said. “Since the start of 2024, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has not reached seven percent but has not dropped below 6.6 percent either. 

“While incoming economic signals indicate lower rates of inflation, we do not expect rates will decrease meaningfully in the near-term,” Khater continued. “On the plus side, inventory is improving somewhat, which should help temper home price growth.”

If you are ready to shop for the best rate on a new mortgage, consider visiting an online marketplace like Credible to compare rates and get preapproved with multiple lenders at once.

BIDEN WANTS TO GIVE HOMEBUYERS $400 PER MONTH: STATE OF THE UNION

Mortgage apps plunge as interest rates steady

Elevated mortgage rates continued to weigh down on home buying. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said Wednesday that purchase applications have fallen for three consecutive weeks and dropped 0.6% from one week earlier. Refinancings dropped 2% and were 5% lower year-over-year.

“Mortgage rates have hovered around 7 percent recently, leading to a three-week slide in mortgage applications,” MBA President and CEO Bob Broeksmit said. “Although the home purchase market remains subdued, the uptick in FHA purchase applications is an indication that first-time buyers are active this spring despite continuing supply and affordability headwinds.”

Additionally, elevated mortgage rates and high home prices have now made renting a better month-to-month deal than buying a starter home in all 50 markets, according to the Realtor.com February 2024 Rental Report

If you’re looking to become a homeowner, you could still find the best mortgage rates by shopping around. Visit Credible to compare your options without affecting your credit score.

HOMEBUYERS GAINED THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS AS MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES FALL: REDFIN

For sale housing inventory improving

Spring homebuying activity will likely be affected by the still-too-high borrowing costs, however, housing inventory is improving. According to Relator.com, an increasing number of homeowners are choosing to put their homes up for sale despite having to relinquish their lower mortgage rates to move in today’s housing market.

Homes listed for sale increased 23.5% in March compared with the same time in 2023, according to Realtor.com’s March 2024 Housing Trends Report. Moreover, in the first three months of 2024, the inventory of homes actively for sale was at its highest level since 2020. Much of the activity has been driven by homes priced in the $200,000 to $350,000 range.

“A higher mortgage rate has been a deal breaker for many over the last year, but an increasing number of homeowners are choosing to sell as we approach what is the ideal time–the week of April 14-20,” Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale said. “The number of homes actively for sale is at its highest level for this time of year since 2020.”

If you’re considering becoming a homeowner, it could help to shop around to find the best mortgage rate. Visit Credible to compare options from different lenders and choose the one with the best rate for you.

HIGH HOMEOWNERS INSURANCE RATES SCARING AWAY FLORIDA HOMEBUYERS, OTHER STATES FACE THE SAME ISSUE

Have a finance-related question, but don’t know who to ask? Email The Credible Money Expert at [email protected] and your question might be answered by Credible in our Money Expert column.

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Morgan Stanley (MS) earnings Q3 2024

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Ted Pick, CEO Morgan Stanley, speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 18th, 2024.

Adam Galici | CNBC

Morgan Stanley topped analysts’ estimates for third quarter profit as its wealth management, trading and investment banking operations generated more revenue than expected.

Here’s what the company reported:

  • Earnings:$1.88 a share vs $1.58 LSEG estimate
  • Revenue: $15.38 billion vs. $14.41 billion estimate

Morgan Stanley had several tailwinds in its favor. The bank’s massive wealth management business was helped by high stock market values in the quarter, which inflates the management fees the bank collects.

Investment banking has rebounded after a dismal 2023, a trend that may continue as easing rates will encourage more financing and merger activity.

Finally, its Wall Street rivals have posted better-than-expected trading results, making it unlikely that the firm missed out on elevated activity.

JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup topped expectations, helped by better-than-expected revenue from trading or investment banking.

This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

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China’s Alibaba claims AI translation tool beats Google, ChatGPT

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Chinese e-commerce company Alibaba has invested heavily in its fast-growing international business as growth slows for its China-focused Taobao and Tmall business.

Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

BEIJING — Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba‘s international arm on Wednesday launched an updated version of its artificial intelligence-powered translation tool that, it says, is better than products offered by Google, DeepL and ChatGPT.

That’s based on an assessment of Alibaba International’s new model, Marco MT, by translation benchmark framework Flores, the Chinese company said.

Alibaba’s fast-growing international unit released the AI translation product as an update to one unveiled about a year ago, which it says already has 500,000 merchant users. Sellers based in one country can use the translation tool to create product pages in the language of the target market.

The new version is based only on large language models, allowing it to draw on contextual clues such as culture or industry-specific terms, Kaifu Zhang, vice president of Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group and head of the business’ artificial intelligence initiative, told CNBC in an interview Tuesday.

“The idea is that we want this AI tool to help the bottom line of the merchants, because if the merchants are doing well, the platform will be doing well,” he said.

Large language models power artificial intelligence applications such as OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which can also translate text. The models, trained on massive amounts of data, can generate humanlike responses to user prompts.

Alibaba’s translation tool is based on its own model called Qwen. The product supports 15 languages: Arabic, Chinese, Dutch, English, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Polish, Portuguese, Russian, Spanish, Turkish and Ukrainian.

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Zhang said he expects “substantial demand” for the tool from Europe and the Americas. He also expects emerging markets to be a significant area of use.

When users of Alibaba.com — a site for suppliers to sell to businesses — are categorized by country, developing countries account for about half of the top 20 active AI tool users, Zhang said.

Chinese companies have increasingly looked abroad for growth opportunities, especially e-commerce merchants. PDD Holdings‘ Temu, fast fashion seller Shein and ByteDance’s TikTok are among the recent global market entrants. Many China-based merchants also sell on Amazon.com.

Contextual clues

Since Alibaba launched the first version of its AI translation tool last fall, the company said merchants have used it for more than 100 million product listings. Similar to other AI-based services, the basic pricing charges merchants by the amount of translated text.

Zhang declined to share how much the updated version would cost. He said it was included in some service bundles for merchants wanting simple exposure to overseas users.

His thinking is that contextual translation makes it much more likely that consumers decide to buy. He shared an example in which a colloquial Chinese description for a slipper would have turned off English-speaking consumers if it was only translated literally, without getting at the implied meaning.

“The updated translation engine is going to make Double 11 a better experience for consumers because of more authentic expression,” Zhang said, in reference to the Alibaba-led shopping festival that centers on Nov. 11 each year.

Alibaba’s international business includes platforms such as AliExpress and Lazada, which primarily targets Southeast Asia. The international unit reported sales growth of 32% to $4.03 billion in the quarter ended June from a year ago.

That’s in contrast to a 1% year-on-year drop in sales to $15.6 billion for Alibaba’s main Taobao and Tmall e-commerce business, which has focused on China.

The Taobao app is also popular with consumers in Singapore. In September, the app launched an AI-powered English version for users in the country.

Nomura analysts expect that Alibaba’s international revenue slowed slightly to 29% year-on-year growth in the quarter ended September, while operating losses narrowed, according to an Oct. 10 report. Alibaba has yet to announce when it will release quarterly earnings.

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