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New Yorkers face likely tax hikes no matter who becomes mayor

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New York city street scene with Empire State Building

New York mayoral front-runner Zohran Mamdani’s pledge to fund free childcare and bus rides by taxing the rich faces steep odds in Albany. But tax hikes may be coming for New Yorkers anyway, regardless of who leads City Hall.

Several lawmakers say higher taxes are inevitable as the Empire State braces for billions in federal cuts to health and food aid under President Donald Trump’s new budget law. That could complicate Mamdani’s plan to get state lawmakers to fund his progressive agenda.

Mamdani, who won the Democratic nomination on a platform to make the city more affordable, wants to raise $9 billion from higher levies on millionaires and corporations, a plan rattling Wall Street and business leaders.

State Senator Liz Krueger, chair of the Finance Committee, said tax increases will probably be needed eventually but that any fresh revenue would have to go first to shore up Medicaid and food stamps, not the new city programs Mamdani is calling for. 

“Based on enormous cuts coming from the federal government, likely the first priority for the state would be to help reduce damaging cuts to the poorest New Yorkers statewide,” she said. “New asks for new programs for New York City will be tougher lifts.”

As of August, the state was projecting a cumulative three-year budget gap of about $34 billion. When some of the enacted federal cuts to health care and food stamps are added to the already-high projected deficits, it would swell to about $47 billion, according to state Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli.  

Any new taxes would need state approval, and Governor Kathy Hochul has made clear she won’t raise them — leaving Mamdani’s plans in the hands of the governor and the New York legislature.

Assembly Member Tony Simone, a supporter of taxing the wealthy, said Hochul, a fellow Democrat, is unlikely to acquiesce to new taxes before her reelection campaign next year. 

It’s “politically tough,” he said. “Morally, we’ll have to find some way of increasing revenues.”

The Assembly and state Senate have both supported increases to corporate and income taxes in recent years, though nowhere near the size of Mamdani’s proposal. Hochul invariably slammed the breaks on new broad-based duties. 

‘Very sensitive’

The last major increase occurred before her term in 2021 under former Governor Andrew Cuomo, who lost the Democratic mayoral primary to Mamdani but is running as an independent to lead the city. Hochul has, however, implemented a fee on cars entering Manhattan.

“I’m very sensitive to competitiveness with other states,” Hochul, who labeled herself a “staunch capitalist,” said in a Bloomberg Television interview last month. “I’ve said I don’t want to raise income taxes on high-net-worth people. I want them to know that New York is a place where we want to foster innovation.”

Nevertheless, she wants to roll out free childcare across the state, not just in New York City, and would need to do so over time to foot the bill of about $14 billion annually. 

“We’ve had conversations about specifics, but my view is, get to the election and then we’ll talk before the next session,” Hochul said in mid- September in response to questions about her support for Mamdani’s policies. 

Hochul, Senate Majority Leader Andrea Stewart-Cousins and Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie, all fellow Democrats, have endorsed Mamdani to succeed Mayor Eric Adams. 

Mamdani wants to raise New York City’s income tax on anyone making more than $1 million a year by 2 percentage points, four times what former Mayor Bill de Blasio proposed in 2013 on earnings above $500,000 to pay for universal pre-kindergarten. (He did not get the tax increase). Mamdani also wants to raise the state corporate tax to 11.5%, the same as in New Jersey, from 7.25%.  

That would put New York at a big disadvantage to neighboring Connecticut, whose base corporate tax rate is 7.5%.

E.J. McMahon, an adjunct fellow at the conservative Manhattan Institute, said it’s unlikely that Mamdani’s tax agenda, whose scale is unprecedented in modern history, will pass. 

But the governor is facing a primary challenge from the left from Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado. And while Delgado’s primary campaign is a long shot, Hochul may not want to contend with a third-party challenge in the general election, which would divide the Democratic vote against a Republican candidate like US Representative Elise Stefanik, who is likely to run.

Hochul’s “strategy will be to attempt to placate the left and a Mayor Mamdani, if there is one, by dipping into her own reserves to spend on things they want, some of which she claims to also want,” said McMahon. “The question is can she do enough of that this year to stifle any serious political opposition in her own party.” 

Leading polls

Mamdani, a democratic socialist, is ahead in the polls for the Nov. 4 election, but his lead narrowed after Adams left the race. He has 46% support compared with 33% for Cuomo, according to a Quinnipiac University poll. Republican Curtis Sliwa is polling at 15%. 

Cuomo argues New York would never raise taxes statewide just to pay for benefits to New York City residents.

Mamdani said in an interview last month that while he’s confident he could push through his tax hikes, he’s “absolutely flexible” in regard to other revenue-raising possibilities to fund his marquee proposals.

He argues that the extension of Trump’s 2017 tax cuts benefited the rich and corporations, so wealthy New York City residents and companies can afford to pay more. Trump slashed corporate taxes to 21% from 35% and the highest income tax bracket to 37% from 39.6%.

State Senator John Liu said that should open the door to higher duties on the wealthy to help pay for cuts to health care. Every New York City mayor has taken office under challenging circumstances in recent years and has managed to get at least some of their pledges funded, he said. 

Hochul said Tuesday at an event with Mamdani that he is “eminently rational” and understands that he needs the backing of the governor and the legislature to implement his policies.

“I already invited him to talk about his priorities and my priorities and see how they’re aligned and how we can get to yes on many of them,” Hochul said.

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Accounting

Global ESG Reporting Standards and Double Materiality Compliance

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Corporate accounting departments face expanding reporting expectations as international sustainability disclosure standards achieve regulatory enforcement across major global jurisdictions. Chief Accounting Officers (CAOs) and corporate controllers are establishing rigorous internal accounting controls to treat Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) metrics with the same data precision, auditability, and governance as traditional financial statements.

Regulatory Harmonization Under Global Sustainability Frameworks
The implementation of standardized sustainability reporting frameworks—notably rules established by international sustainability accounting boards—has created unified expectations for public and large private enterprises. Corporations must report standardized metrics covering greenhouse gas emissions (Scope 1, 2, and material Scope 3), energy utilization, workforce demographics, and supply chain governance.

In Europe and other participating international jurisdictions, double materiality principles are mandatory. Under double materiality, organizations must report both how external sustainability risks impact corporate financial performance, and how internal corporate operations affect surrounding environmental and social structures.

Integrating Sustainability Metrics into Core ERP Systems
To provide auditable non-financial data, enterprise organizations are integrating specialized carbon accounting and ESG management platforms directly into core ERP systems. Automated data collectors capture energy utility invoices, logistics fuel consumption metrics, and vendor compliance records in real time.

Establishing automated, traceable data pipelines ensures that non-financial reporting is supported by clear audit trails. This structured approach allows external financial auditors to provide reasonable assurance on sustainability disclosures during annual corporate reporting cycles.

Financial Impacts and Capital Market Disclosure
Accurate ESG reporting directly influences corporate cost of capital and institutional credit ratings. Commercial lenders and institutional asset managers systematically incorporate sustainability metrics into risk pricing models. Companies that demonstrate transparent, verifiable progress in operational energy efficiency and climate risk mitigation benefit from expanded access to green bond markets and lower debt pricing.

Action Steps for Accounting Leadership
1. Implement Double Materiality Frameworks: Conduct comprehensive assessments to identify material financial and operational sustainability metrics.
2. Build Auditable Non-Financial Data Pipelines: Automate ESG data collection within core accounting software to ensure data integrity.
3. Align Sustainability with Annual Financial Filings: Prepare non-financial disclosures concurrently with financial statements to satisfy regulatory audit expectations.

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Accounting

Modernizing Internal Controls: Machine Learning and Continuous Monitoring in Auditing

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Internal audit departments and corporate risk managers are modernizing internal control frameworks by shifting from periodic sampling techniques to continuous monitoring and machine learning analytics. As operational data volumes increase across enterprise organizations, automated control testing ensures financial integrity, prevents corporate fraud, and streamlines annual audit engagements.

The Limitation of Periodic Audit Sampling
Historically, internal and external auditors evaluated internal controls by reviewing random samples of financial transactions—often analyzing less than five percent of total ledger entries. In complex enterprise environments, periodic sampling methods carry inherent risks of overlooking localized financial misstatements, unauthorized disbursements, or operational control breakdowns.

In 2026, progressive internal audit functions are utilizing automated continuous monitoring platforms that evaluate one hundred percent of financial transactions in real time. Continuous control auditing systems continuously monitor general ledger entries, procurement approvals, and expense reimbursements across all operating subsidiaries.

AI-Powered Fraud Detection and Anomaly Identification
Machine learning models trained on historical corporate financial data excel at identifying subtle transactional anomalies that indicate potential fraud or operational error. Automated systems instantly flag duplicate invoice payments, unapproved vendor creation, unusual journal entry timing, and unauthorized override of authority thresholds.

When an anomaly is detected, the automated auditing platform generates an instant risk alert, allowing internal audit teams to investigate root causes immediately. Early detection prevents minor operational errors from escalating into material weaknesses in financial reporting.

Streamlining External Audit Preparation
Continuous internal control monitoring delivers significant benefits during annual external financial audits. External audit firms can review continuous audit logs and automated control testing documentation, reducing the time required for manual field testing.

This integrated approach lowers overall audit compliance fees, reduces administrative burdens on corporate accounting staff, and provides senior management and audit committees with real-time visibility into the organization’s overall risk profile.

Core Implementation Guidelines
1. Transition to 100% Data Testing: Replace legacy sampling methods with automated continuous audit monitoring systems.
2. Deploy Anomaly Detection Algorithms: Implement machine learning models to identify unauthorized transactions and operational control overrides.
3. Align Internal and External Audit Workflows: Coordinate continuous control testing protocols with external auditors to optimize annual compliance cycles.

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Accounting

Automated Tax Compliance and Global Regulatory Harmonization in 2026

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Corporate tax accounting departments are navigating an era of unprecedented regulatory complexity as global tax harmonization frameworks take full effect alongside real-time digital tax reporting mandates. Tax directors and accounting teams are adopting cloud-based tax compliance automation tools to manage multi-jurisdictional tax liabilities and satisfy stringent reporting rules across international jurisdictions.

Implementation of Global Minimum Tax Provisions
The implementation of international tax reform agreements—notably the Pillar Two global minimum tax framework—has reshaped multinational corporate tax planning. Multinational enterprises with consolidated revenues exceeding established thresholds must ensure an effective tax rate of at least 15% across every jurisdiction in which they operate.

Accounting teams are implementing specialized tax calculation modules integrated directly into enterprise resource planning (ERP) platforms. These automated tools calculate effective tax rates per country, identify top-up tax liabilities, and generate standardized compliance documentation required by national tax authorities.

Real-Time Digital Invoicing and E-Reporting Mandates
Tax authorities across Europe, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific have enacted mandatory electronic invoicing (e-invoicing) and continuous transaction controls (CTC). Under these systems, corporate transaction data must be submitted electronically to government portals in real time at the point of sale or invoice issuance.

This shift toward continuous digital tax reporting eliminates traditional annual tax audits in favor of ongoing automated compliance monitoring. Accounting departments are upgrading invoicing software to ensure seamless XML data formatting, digital signature authentication, and real-time validation against tax authority databases.

Automation and Data Analytics in Corporate Tax Strategy
To keep pace with dynamic tax legislation, tax departments are transitioning from reactive compliance teams to proactive strategic advisors. Machine learning algorithms analyze corporate transactional data to identify tax credits, research and development (R&D) incentives, and cross-border transfer pricing adjustments.

By automating routine tax return filings and calculations, corporate tax directors can focus on long-term capital structuring, evaluating the tax implications of corporate mergers, and optimizing international supply chain networks.

Strategic Priorities for Tax Executives
1. ERP System Upgrades: Ensure enterprise software is capable of generating real-time, granular tax data required for global minimum tax compliance.
2. E-Invoicing Integration: Implement scalable e-invoicing platforms to satisfy regional continuous transaction control regulations.
3. Strategic Tax Analytics: Utilize predictive tax modeling tools to evaluate structural changes in corporate operations and cross-border trade.

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