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Philadelphia Fed President Harker advocates for interest rate cut in September

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Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker: Job market revisions weren't a surprise

Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker on Thursday provided a strong endorsement to an interest rate cut on the way September.

Speaking to CNBC from the Fed’s annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Harker gave the most direct statement yet from a central bank official that monetary policy easing is almost a certainty when officials meeting again in less than a month.

The position comes a day after minutes from the last Fed policy meeting gave a solid indication of a cut ahead, as officials gain more confidence in where inflation is headed and look to head off any potential weakness in the labor market.

“I think it means this September we need to start a process of moving rates down,” Harker told CNBC’s Steve Liesman during a “Squawk on the Street” interview. Harker said the Fed should ease “methodically and signal well in advance.”

With markets pricing in a 100% certainty of a quarter percentage point, or 25 basis point, cut, and about a 1-in-4 chance of a 50 basis point reduction, Harker said it’s still a toss-up in his mind.

“Right now, I’m not in the camp of 25 or 50. I need to see a couple more weeks of data,” he said.

The Fed has held its benchmark overnight borrowing rate in a range between 5.25%-5.5% since July 2023 as it tackles a lingering inflation problem. Markets briefly rebelled after the July Fed meeting when officials signaled they still had not seen enough evidence to start bringing down rates.

However, since then policymakers have acknowledged that it soon will be appropriate to ease. Harker said policy will be made independently of political concerns as the presidential election looms in the background.

“I am very proud of being at the Fed, where we are proud technocrats,” he said. “That’s our job. Our job is to look at the data and respond appropriately. When I look at the data as a proud technocrat, it’s time to start bringing rates down.”

Harker does not get a vote this year on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee but still has input at meetings. Another nonvoter, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid, also spoke to CNBC on Thursday, offering a less direct take on the future of policy. Still, he leaned toward a cut ahead.

Watch CNBC's full interview with Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid

Schmid noted the rising unemployment rate as a factor in where things are going. A severe supply-demand mismatch in the labor market had helped fuel the run in inflation, pushing wages up and driving inflation expectations. In recent months, though, jobs indicators have cooled and the unemployment rate has climbed slowly but steadily.

“Having the labor market cool some is helping, but there’s work to do,” Schmid said. “I really do believe you’ve got to start looking at it a little bit harder relative to where this 3.5% [unemployment] number was and where it is today in the low 4s.”

However, Schmid said he believes banks have held up well under the high-rate environment and said he does not believe monetary policy is “over-restrictive.”

Harker next votes in 2026, while Schmid will get a vote next year.

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Biden administration forgives $4.5 million in student debt for 60,000 borrowers

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Borrowers who serve in the public service sector and government are eligible for this forgiveness.  (iStock )

Another 60,000 student loan borrowers will receive student loan relief in the coming weeks. The Biden Administration announced $4.5 billion in relief for public service workers such as nurses, teachers and social workers.

The relief comes as a fix to the original Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) program. The program was initially signed into law by George W. Bush in 2007 to give non-profit and government employees loan forgiveness after 10 years in the workforce.

“Before President Biden and Vice President Harris entered the White House, the Public Service Loan Forgiveness program was so riddled by dysfunction that just 7,000 Americans ever qualified,” U.S. Secretary of Education Miguel Cardona said in the Education Department’s press release.

The new relief intends to pay down the loans of borrowers who were originally denied acceptance or who have still not received relief after making the 120 required monthly payments.

“Today’s announcement comes on top of the significant progress we’ve made for students and borrowers over the past three years,” President Joe Biden said in a statement.

“That includes approving debt cancelation for nearly 5 million Americans across all our various debt relief actions; providing the largest increases to the maximum Pell Grant award in over a decade; fixing Income-Driven Repayment so borrowers get the relief they earned; and holding colleges accountable for taking advantage of students and families,” Biden said.

If you have private student loans, federal relief doesn’t apply to you, unfortunately. If you’re looking to lower monthly payments and ease the burden of student loan debt, consider refinancing. See what your interest rate could be via the online marketplace Credible.

IS COLLEGE DEBT WORTH IT?

Resources available for students affected by the recent hurricanes

Hurricanes Helene and Milton have wreaked havoc on many communities in the south, causing serious physical damage and severely disrupting educational services. In response, the U.S. Department of Education released resources to help students and institutions of higher education recover.

“I have directed our team at the Department of Education to leverage every possible resource available to meet the needs of impacted students, families and school communities,” Cardona said.

The new resources include support for recovery needs like mental health care for students and educators, technical assistance and flexible financial aid policies at affected universities. Many students are also automatically being enrolled in natural disaster forbearance, so they don’t have to worry about their loans while recovering from the hurricanes.

Most of these resources will be concentrated on Georgia, which has seen a substantial amount of damage. The Readiness and Emergency Management for Schools Technical Assistance Center is a specific program Georgians have access to. It helps education agencies manage their safety, security and emergency management programs.

The Early Childhood Technical Assistance Center is another option that offers resources and links from organizations that help families and children, including those with disabilities, cope with disasters. 

If you don’t have federal student loans that qualify for assistance, refinancing could cut your monthly payment. You can use Credible to compare student loan refinancing rates from multiple private lenders all at once without affecting your credit score.

STUDENT LOAN DEBT HAS INCREASED BY 430% SINCE 2003 – HERE’S HOW TO LOWER YOUR DEBT

$70 million in federal funding going to schools for additional mental health services

Along with aid to student loan borrowers and students affected by natural disasters, the Biden administration is also directing federal funding towards mental health services in K-12 schools. The administration announced a $70 million investment that will expand students’ access to mental health support.

“We know that students are more likely to access mental health support if it’s offered in schools, and our educators and school communities are on the front lines when a student is struggling,” Cardona said in the announcement.

“The need for mental health support in our schools remains high,” Cardona said. “Today’s announcement of an additional $70 million will allow more institutions and schools to train and hire mental health professionals – especially in underserved communities – ensuring that every student has access to the care they need to thrive.”

The new funding, combined with the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act (BSCA) investments, will go to 333 grantees across 48 states. It will help communities train and hire 4,000 more mental health professionals across the country.

To see what you’d pay on a private student loan, you can visit Credible today to view a rates table that allows you to compare fixed and variable rates from multiple lenders.

LESS THAN A THIRD OF AMERICANS APPROVE OF HOW BIDEN HAS HANDLED STUDENT LOAN DEBT

Have a finance-related question, but don’t know who to ask? Email The Credible Money Expert at [email protected] and your question might be answered by Credible in our Money Expert column.

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