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Predictive analytics will transform accounting

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Predictive analytics is causing a fundamental shift in accounting, from historical record-keeping toward forward-looking financial information. 

By helping accountants to predict results and make informed, proactive decisions, this development improves traditional accounting tasks, including forecasting, auditing, risk management and strategic advice.

Predictive analytics in financial forecasting analyzes past and present data to improve the accuracy of planning and budgeting. Historically, accountants have depended on manual spreadsheet analysis and historical trends, and now, they increasingly use complex statistical models. According to Deloitte, predictive analytics increases accuracy and lowers inherent biases in more conventional approaches. Companies that have embraced predictive analytics were clearly more equipped to manage economic disruptions like those seen during recent global crises, quickly changing their financial plans confidently.

Likewise, auditing procedures have been transformed. Auditors have always mostly depended on transaction sampling, but predictive analytics allows a thorough examination of all financial data, highlighting irregularities and risks. KPMG notes growing client expectations for auditors to use predictive analytics to improve accuracy and risk management. This strategy improves audit quality and efficiency by moving auditors’ attention from routine verification to more thorough investigation.

Predictive analytics also helps with risk management. Rather than reacting to events, today’s proactive risk management by accountants uses algorithms to predict fraud or financial instability. To find possible fraud, for instance, anomaly detection models routinely examine transaction patterns, greatly lowering organizational risk exposure. Using this information, accountants can develop timely strategic interventions that significantly transform risk management practices.

The technology positions accountants as strategic partners in decision-making. By converting data into insightful analysis, accountants help executives negotiate challenging corporate environments. Predictive analytics is now widely used in companies to project operational needs, client behavior and market situations. These forecasts inform decisions on capital investment, resource allocation and market entry strategies. 

Using this forward-looking approach, accounting firms often find higher customer satisfaction and improved business results, emphasizing predictive analytics as fundamental to strategic planning. Practical implementations further highlight the clear impact of predictive analytics. For example, EY uses predictive analytics to look at unstructured data in audit activities, thereby greatly enhancing risk identification.

This change can transform accounting education as well. While predictive analytics is typically taught within business analytics courses, integrating this training helps future accountants graduate with valuable skills in statistical modeling, machine learning, data interpretation and analytics-driven decision-making. Those with these abilities who are able to apply them to accounting are more employable and ready to contribute strategically and quickly to their professional responsibilities.

Still, implementing predictive analytics comes with significant challenges. Data quality is of first importance; without reliable, consistent data, even the strongest analytical models are ineffective. Inaccurate predicted results from poor data management might mislead important judgments. Accountants have to create strict data governance policies guaranteeing relevance and integrity of data.

Predictive analytics also poses ethical considerations. Biases in historical data can unintentionally distort analytical results, creating a risk of erroneous or unfair conclusions. Maintaining transparency and accountability in their prediction methods is important. Organizations have to carefully assess models for accuracy and bias. Another ethical need is privacy; accountants have to handle private information carefully to guarantee adherence to changing data protection rules.

Another significant challenge is helping accountants to acquire the appropriate skill set. Beyond traditional accounting, one must make a significant commitment to ongoing professional development and training. Accountants who integrate technical analytics skills with their financial knowledge must adopt a continuous learning mindset. Accountants should therefore strike a balance between depending on predictive models and professional skepticism and informed judgment as analytical technologies enhance rather than replace human intuition.

Predictive analytics will become ever more important to accounting procedures going forward since it offers deeper, more timely insights unavailable from traditional methods. Professionals and accounting firms who embrace predictive analytics will lead the profession into a future marked by improved accuracy, strategic relevance and proactive financial management.

In summary, predictive analytics transforms traditional accounting roles and enhances the accountant’s influence on corporate success, reflecting not only current realities but also the future of accounting.

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Accounting

Acting IRS commissioner reportedly replaced

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Gary Shapley, who was named only days ago as the acting commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service, is reportedly being replaced by Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender amid a power struggle between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Elon Musk.

The New York Times reported that Bessent was outraged that Shapley was named to head the IRS without his knowledge or approval and complained to President Trump about it. Shapley was installed as acting commissioner on Tuesday, only to be ousted on Friday. He first gained prominence as an IRS Criminal Investigation special agent and whistleblower who testified in 2023 before the House Oversight Committee that then-President Joe Biden’s son Hunter received preferential treatment during a tax-evasion investigation, and he and another special agent had been removed from the investigation after complaining to their supervisors in 2022. He was promoted last month to senior advisor to Bessent and made deputy chief of IRS Criminal Investigation. Shapley is expected to remain now as a senior official at IRS Criminal Investigation, according to the Wall Street Journal. The IRS and the Treasury Department press offices did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Faulkender was confirmed last month as deputy secretary at the Treasury Department and formerly worked during the first Trump administration at the Treasury on the Paycheck Protection Program before leaving to teach finance at the University of Maryland.

Faulkender will be the fifth head of the IRS this year. Former IRS commissioner Danny Werfel departed in January, on Inauguration Day, after Trump announced in December he planned to name former Congressman Billy Long, R-Missouri, as the next IRS commissioner, even though Werfel’s term wasn’t scheduled to end until November 2027. The Senate has not yet scheduled a confirmation hearing for Long, amid questions from Senate Democrats about his work promoting the Employee Retention Credit and so-called “tribal tax credits.” The job of acting commissioner has since been filled by Douglas O’Donnell, who was deputy commissioner under Werfel. However, O’Donnell abruptly retired as the IRS came under pressure to lay off thousands of employees and share access to confidential taxpayer data. He was replaced by IRS chief operating officer Melanie Krause, who resigned last week after coming under similar pressure to provide taxpayer data to immigration authorities and employees of the Musk-led U.S. DOGE Service. 

Krause had planned to depart later this month under the deferred resignation program at the IRS, under which approximately 22,000 IRS employees have accepted the voluntary buyout offers. But Musk reportedly pushed to have Shapley installed on Tuesday, according to the Times, and he remained working in the commissioner’s office as recently as Friday morning. Meanwhile, plans are underway for further reductions in the IRS workforce of up to 40%, according to the Federal News Network, taking the IRS from approximately 102,000 employees at the beginning of the year to around 60,000 to 70,000 employees.

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Accounting

On the move: EY names San Antonio office MP

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Carr, Riggs & Ingram appoints CFO and chief legal officer; TSCPA hosts accounting bootcamp; and more news from across the profession.

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Accounting

Tech news: Certinia announces spring release

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Certinia announces spring release; Intuit acquires tech and experts from fintech Deserve; Paystand launches feature to navigate tariffs; and other accounting tech news and updates.

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