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The explosion of online sports betting is taking a toll on how people invest

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Algerina Perna | Baltimore Sun | MCT | Getty Images

The explosion of online sports betting is taking a toll on personal finances, particularly among those who are financially distressed.

That’s the conclusion of a recent paper, “Gambling Away Stability: Sports Betting’s Impact on Vulnerable Households.” The authors found that sports betting has exploded since the Supreme Court overturned a federal law prohibiting it in 2018. Since then, 38 states have legalized it and it has become a growth industry, generating more than $120 billion in total bets and $11 billion in revenue in 2023 alone.

That has put considerable sums into state coffers, but it has come at a notable personal expense to gamblers and their families. Those who participate tend to invest less and have higher debt levels.

“Our results show that not only does sports betting lead to increased betting activity, but it also leads to higher credit card balances, less available credit, a reduction in net investments, and an increase in lottery play,” the authors concluded.

The authors noted these negative effects were particularly noticeable among “financially constrained households.” That term was not defined, but the implication is that this group typically has lower savings, lower cash levels to cover expenses, higher debt levels and lower net worth.

Investing takes a hit

The authors used a quarterly panel of 230,171 households in states that have legalized gambling. About 7.7% of the households made online sports bets, with a household average of $1,100 a year.

Not surprisingly, people who gamble on sports have less money to invest, particularly in the stock market. The authors found a large decrease in net deposits to traditional brokerage accounts. “Two to three years after betting becomes legal, there is a noticeable drop in net investment relative to states where betting is not yet legal,” the report said.

The authors estimate that legalization reduces net investments by bettors by nearly 14%, and that every dollar spent on sports betting reduces net investment by $2.13.

More debt, overdrawn bank accounts

But the implications are much broader.

“The increase in betting and consumption drives an increase in financial instability in terms of decreased credit availability, increased credit card debt, and a higher incidence rate of overdrawing bank accounts,” the authors said.

This is particularly true for financially constrained households. The higher credit card debt indicates that these households are not just shifting funds from one type of entertainment to another. (For example, shifting money from betting on lotteries to betting on sports.) Instead, they are “becoming more indebted to fund an addictive losing proposition.”

Again, lower-income households suffer disproportionately; the bottom one-third of households by income had the largest increase in spending on sports gambling relative to income.

Bettors vs. non-bettors

In a pickle

The authors note the quandary for policymakers. By continuing to legalize and expand activities like sports gambling — where the vast majority lose money — the government is sending conflicting signals.

On the one hand, the government attitude is: These are adults, they have a right to spend their money any way they want to. And we need the money.

But governments have other priorities they are promoting, including encouraging saving money for retirement, that are clearly in conflict with promoting gambling.

“As legalized sports betting gains traction, it potentially undermines government efforts aimed at promoting savings through tax incentives and financial literacy programs,” the authors concluded.

“Policymakers should consider how the allure of betting might divert funds from savings and investment accounts, particularly for constrained households, which can affect household financial stability and long-term wealth accumulation.”

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Exchange-traded funds have ‘tax magic’ that many mutual funds don’t offer

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Investors who hold exchange-traded funds can often escape a tax bill incurred by those with mutual funds, which are generally less tax efficient, according to investment experts.

ETFs and mutual funds are baskets of stocks, bonds and other financial assets overseen by professional money managers. But they have a different legal structure that bestows ETFs with a “tax magic that’s unrivaled by mutual funds,” Bryan Armour, the director of passive strategies research for North America and editor of the ETFInvestor newsletter at Morningstar, wrote this year.

That tax savings relates to annual capital gains distributions within the funds.

Capital gains taxes are owed on investment profits.

Fund managers can generate such taxes within a fund when they buy and sell securities. The taxes then get passed along to all the fund shareholders, who owe a tax bill even if they reinvest those distributions.

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The ETF tax advantage is by virtue of “in-kind creations and redemptions,” which essentially provides for tax-free trades for many ETFs, experts explain. (The ETF’s in-kind transaction mechanism is somewhat complex. At a high level, it involves large institutional investors called “authorized participants,” which create or redeem ETF shares directly with the ETF provider.)

The tax advantage is generally most apparent for stock funds, they said.

For example, more than 60% of stock mutual funds distributed capital gains in 2023, according to Morningstar. That was true for just 4% of ETFs.

Less than 4% of ETFs are expected to distribute capital gains in 2024, Morningstar estimates. Such data isn’t yet available for mutual funds.

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Importantly, this tax advantage is only relevant for investors holding funds in taxable accounts, experts said.

It’s a moot point for retirement account investors like those with a 401(k) plan or individual retirement account, which already come with tax benefits, experts said.

The tax advantage “really helps the non-IRA account more than anything,” said Charlie Fitzgerald III, a certified financial planner based in Orlando, Florida, and a founding member of Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo.

“You’ll have tax efficiency that a standard mutual fund is not going to be able to achieve, hands down,” he said.

However, ETFs don’t always have a tax advantage, experts said.

For example, certain ETF holdings may not be able to benefit from in-kind transactions, Armour said.

Examples include physical commodities, as well as derivatives like swaps, futures contracts, currency forwards and certain options contracts, he said.

Additionally, certain nations like Brazil, China, India, South Korea and Taiwan may treat in-kind redemptions of securities domiciled in those countries as taxable events, he said.

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