Three stocks are generating buzz among day traders banking on a Donald Trump victory next week. Retail investors have increasingly focused in on Trump Media & Technology , Rumble and Phunware as stocks that can benefit if the Republican presidential nominee for president prevails. That’s already sent the names on wild moves — and they could be in for more as Americans head to the ballot box. Some of these stocks have clearer connections to the former president than others. Trump Media & Technology, which owns the alternative social media platform TruthSocial, trades under a ticker — DJT — that’s also the initials for the business mogul-turned-politician. Phunware made Trump’s campaign app, while Rumble is a video platform focused on conservatives. To be sure, these trades are considered risky due to high volatility and poor financials. None of these companies turned a profit in 2023. Trump Media, which has the largest market cap of the three, was still less than 25% of median S & P 500 stock size of $37.6 billion. On top of that, few — if any — analysts on Wall Street cover these names. The latest NBC News poll also shows the race between him and Vice President Kamala Harris is in a dead heat. “Making financial bets based on which stocks you think will do best based on an election outcome is not new,” said Christopher Schwarz, a finance professor at the University of California Irvine whose research focuses in part on retail traders. But when it comes to names like DJT, “these stocks have no fundamental reason to be at any price close to the price they’re at.” Still, these names are bound to make headlines and appearances on forums like Reddit’s WallStreetBets in the runup to and directly following the election. CNBC compiled more information about these names and what’s driving interest from some traders: Trump Media & Technology The TruthSocial parent has gained the most attention given the nominee’s stake valued at more than $5 billion as of earlier this week. He holds around 114 million shares, which amounts to ownership of more than half of the company. The stock has seen volatile trading over recent days as voting day draws closer. Shares dove more than 20% on Wednesday, reversing course after jumping more than 8% the day prior. Before Wednesday, the stock had seen a pre-election rally. It pulled the shares out of a slump that at one point sent its price below the $12 mark. On Tuesday, it closed at $51.51. Shares are now more than 160% higher in October, which would mark its first positive month since March. Year to date, they are up more than 140%. Trump Media has seen the highest daily net inflows from retail investors of the year over recent days, according to data analyzed by Vanda Research. That underscores the pour into the name amid the pre-election rally. On Tuesday alone, retail traders were net buyers of Trump Media to the tune of $14.4 million. It’s also been the most discussed stock on WallStreetBets, the popular Reddit forum for meme stock traders, over the last seven days, according to data from Quiver Quantitative as of Wednesday afternoon. The stock has been named more than 17,000 times on the forum this year, the firm said. The U.S. president and vice president are largely exempt from government conflict of interest rules. Still, Trump would be the first to hold office while controlling a publicly traded company. His DJT holding equates to nearly 75% of his net worth. Trump has said that he has no plans to sell his position. “There’s never been, I don’t think, any particular case where the potential future President of the United States probably has such a direct economic impact on particular firms,” said UC Irvine’s Schwarz. Schwarz said there’s no reason for Trump Media to even be publicly traded given its business fundamentals and high price-to-sales ratio. Given that, he said trading is based solely on “speculation.” “Trump Media has no fundamental value — it’s worthless,” he said. “That’s why the outcome of the election probably has such a big impact on what the price of the stock is.” Trump Media reported a loss when looking at net income and EBITDA in 2023. The company had 36 employees as of the end of last year. Phunware and Rumble The other two stocks have a less direct connection to the Republican candidate. Phunware is billed as a mobile software and blockchain company. Beyond the Trump campaign app, Phunware lists Marriott, Atlantis and the Mayo Clinic among clients on its website . The stock has seen major swings over the past year, trading as high as above $24 and as low as below $3. The company employed just 25 people at the end of 2023 and saw losses when looking at net income and EBITDA that year, per FactSet. Phunware has also seen an uptick in net inflows from everyday investors in October, according to Vanda data. Shares have surged more than 140% in the month. It’s also up more than 80% in 2024, on track to snap a two-year losing streak. PHUN YTD mountain Phunware, year to date All four analysts polled by LSEG have buy ratings on the stock. The average price target implies shares can rise nearly 90% above the $15 mark. To be sure, price target estimates vary widely within this group — from as low as $8 to as high as $20. Rumble, on the other hand, hasn’t seen a similar spike as Nov. 5 gets closer. Still, the company is viewed as a Trump-connected play given its video platform that’s popular among conservatives. The company employed just under 160 people at the end of last year and also posted losses on net income and EBITDA in the year. It went public in September 2022 with the backing of PayPal cofounder Peter Thiel. Shares have risen 13% in October, bringing its year to date gain to 36%. Shares have traded within a tighter range over the last 52 weeks, sitting between $3.33 and $9.20. The two analysts surveyed by LSEG both have hold ratings on the stock. Both have an $8 price target, which suggests shares can climb more than 34% over the next year. — CNBC’s Robert Frank and Fred Imbert contributed to this report.
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Berkshire Hathaway — Class A shares of Warren Buffett’s conglomerate jumped nearly 4% following a strong earnings report . The conglomerate said its operating profit skyrocketed 71% to $14.5 billion in the fourth quarter, led by a 302% jump in insurance underwriting. Auto insurer Geico had the most positive effect on Berkshire’s insurance results. Meta Platforms — The Facebook parent company slipped more than 1% and was on pace for a fifth straight down day. Meta has dipped roughly 10% over the past five sessions, which marks its longest losing streak since August. Palantir — Shares tumbled 8.7% on Monday, on track for its fourth straight down day. The retail investor favorite has recently shown signs of fizzling , with shares down more than 24% compared with where they traded five sessions ago. Domino’s Pizza — The pizza chain pulled back 2% after fourth-quarter results missed analysts’ expectations. Domino’s reported earnings of $4.89 per share on revenue of $1.44 billion, while analysts polled by FactSet were looking for $4.90 per share on revenue of $1.48 billion. Same-store sales, a key metric for restaurants, also grew less than anticipated. Alibaba — The Chinese e-commerce giant plummeted 9%, reversing some of the 15.3% gain it saw last week following a better-than-expected earnings report . The move lower comes despite Morgan Stanley upgrading the stock to overweight from equal weight this week, with the firm citing accelerating cloud revenue growth as a catalyst. Robinhood — The brokerage stock fell more than 2% on Monday, putting it on track for its fifth straight losing session. Last week, Robinhood was downgraded by Wolfe Research to peer perform from outperform, and two corporate insiders disclosed recent stock sales. Nike — The clothing and footwear stock gained more than 4% after Jefferies upgraded Nike to buy from hold, and said the company is turning “back on its innovation engine.” Freshpet — The pet food stock advanced more than 8% after an upgrade to buy from hold from Jefferies, with the firm asserting that shares are “worth 50% above” where they are trading currently. The firm added that it expects Freshpet can grow sales 23% by 2027. Rivian — Shares tumbled nearly 8% after Bank of America downgraded the electric vehicle maker to underperform from neutral. Analyst John Murphy pointed to mounting competitive pressures, a softer-than-expected 2025 outlook and slowing EV demand alongside a potential pullback in U.S. EV incentives as reasons for the downgrade. Energy stocks — Power company stocks were lower on the heels of the a TD Cowen report last week concerning data centers and Microsoft. Analyst Michael Elias said Microsoft had “cancelled leases in the U.S. totaling ‘a couple of hundred MWs’ with at least two private data center operators.” Talen Energy and GE Vernova pulled back 2% each, while Vistra dropped nearly 4%. Constellation Energy shed about 7%. — CNBC’s Yun Li, Alex Harring, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound and Sean Conlon contributed reporting.
Warren Buffett walks the floor ahead of the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on May 3, 2024.
David A. Grogen | CNBC
Berkshire Hathaway shares got a boost after Warren Buffett’s conglomerate reported a surge in operating earnings, but shareholders who were waiting for news of what will happen to its enormous pile of cash might be disappointed.
Class A shares of the Omaha-based parent of Geico and BNSF Railway rose 1.2% premarket Monday following Berkshire’s earnings report over the weekend. Berkshire’s operating profit — earnings from the company’s wholly owned businesses — skyrocketed 71% to $14.5 billion in the fourth quarter, aided by insurance underwriting, where profits jumped 302% from the year-earlier period, to $3.4 billion.
Berkshire’s investment gains from its portfolio holdings slowed sharply, however, in the fourth quarter, to $5.2 billion from $29.1 billion in the year-earlier period. Berkshire sold more equities than it bought for a ninth consecutive quarter in the three months of last year, bringing total sale of equities to more than $134 billion in 2024. Notably, the 94-year-old investor has been aggressively shrinking Berkshire’s two largest equity holdings — Apple and Bank of America.
As a result of the selling spree, Berkshire’s gigantic cash pile grew to another record of $334.2 billion, up from $325.2 billion at the end of the third quarter.
In Buffett’s annual letter, the “Oracle of Omaha” said that raising a record amount of cash didn’t reflect a dimming of his love for buying stocks and businesses.
“Despite what some commentators currently view as an extraordinary cash position at Berkshire, the great majority of your money remains in equities,” Buffett wrote. “That preference won’t change.”
He hinted that high valuations were the reason for sitting on his hands amid a raging bull market, saying “often, nothing looks compelling.” Buffett also endorsed the ability of Greg Abek, his chosen successor, to pick equity opportunities, even comparing him to the late Charlie Munger.
Meanwhile, Berkshire’s buyback halt is still in place as the conglomerate repurchased zero shares in the fourth quarter and in the first quarter of this year, through Feb. 10.
Some investors and analysts expressed impatience with the lack of action and continued to wait for an explanation, while others have faith that Buffett’s conservative stance will pave the way for big opportunities in the next downturn.
“Shareholders should take comfort in knowing that the firm continues to be managed to survive and emerge stronger from any economic or market downturn by being in a financial position to take advantage of opportunities during a crisis,” said Bill Stone, chief investment officer at Glenview Trust Company and a Berkshire shareholder.
Berkshire is coming off a strong year, when it rallied 25.5% in 2024, outperforming the S&P 500 — its best since 2021. The stock is up more than 5% so far in 2025.
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell. Domino’s Pizza — Shares fell more than 3% after the pizza chain reported fourth-quarter numbers that missed expectations. The company earned $4.89 per share on revenue of $1.44 billion. Analysts polled by FactSet expected a profit of $4.90 per share on revenue of $1.48 billion. U.S. same-store, a key metric for the company, increased by 0.4%. That was also below a consensus forecast calling for a 1.1% advance. Nike — Shares popped 2% on the back of Jefferies’ upgrade to buy from hold. Jefferies said the athletic apparel maker is turning “back on its innovation engine.” Palantir Technologies — The stock dropped more than 3%, adding to its steep declines from last week amid concern that retail investors may be dumping the AI play. Palantir dropped 14.9% last week, its biggest weekly drop since January. Alibaba — The Chinese e-commerce giant slipped 3%, reversing some of its 15% rally last week on the back of its latest strong earnings report. Monday’s premarket slide came despite an upgrade to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley. Analyst Gary Yu said that Alibaba was poised for continued leadership in the artificial intelligence cloud market. Berkshire Hathaway — Class B shares of Warren Buffett’s conglomerate rose more than 1% in premarket after the firm said its operating profit skyrocketed 71% to $14.5 billion during the final three months of 2024. That was led by a 302% jump in insurance underwriting. Robinhood — The retail trading platform added around 2% after Robinhood said the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission dismissed its investigation of the company’s cryptocurrency segment. Energy companies — Select power company stocks slipped on Monday morning, extending their Friday declines, following the release of a TD Cowen report last week on data centers and Microsoft. In the note, analyst Michael Elias said that MSFT had “cancelled leases in the U.S. totaling ‘a couple of hundred MWs’ with at least two private data center operators.” Shares of Vistra , Talen Energy and GE Vernova all shed less than 1%. Rivian — The electric vehicle stock shed 3% following a downgrade to underperform from neutral at Bank of America. Analyst John Murphy said that the company remains “one of the most viable” EV startups, but a softer-than-expected 2025 outlook, mounting competition, and slowing EV demand combined with a potential pullback in U.S. EV incentives pose headwinds for shares. Freshpet — Shares popped 4% after Jefferies upgraded the pet food retailer to buy from hold, saying the stock is “worth 50% above” where it’s currently trading. The firm expects that Freshpet can compound sales 23% by 2027. The stock is down 32% this year. — CNBC’s Sean Conlon, Brian Evans, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Sarah Min and Yun Li contributed reporting.