Finance
The Trump-linked stocks set to make wild moves as election approaches
Published
2 years agoon
Three stocks are generating buzz among day traders banking on a Donald Trump victory next week. Retail investors have increasingly focused in on Trump Media & Technology , Rumble and Phunware as stocks that can benefit if the Republican presidential nominee for president prevails. That’s already sent the names on wild moves — and they could be in for more as Americans head to the ballot box. Some of these stocks have clearer connections to the former president than others. Trump Media & Technology, which owns the alternative social media platform TruthSocial, trades under a ticker — DJT — that’s also the initials for the business mogul-turned-politician. Phunware made Trump’s campaign app, while Rumble is a video platform focused on conservatives. To be sure, these trades are considered risky due to high volatility and poor financials. None of these companies turned a profit in 2023. Trump Media, which has the largest market cap of the three, was still less than 25% of median S & P 500 stock size of $37.6 billion. On top of that, few — if any — analysts on Wall Street cover these names. The latest NBC News poll also shows the race between him and Vice President Kamala Harris is in a dead heat. “Making financial bets based on which stocks you think will do best based on an election outcome is not new,” said Christopher Schwarz, a finance professor at the University of California Irvine whose research focuses in part on retail traders. But when it comes to names like DJT, “these stocks have no fundamental reason to be at any price close to the price they’re at.” Still, these names are bound to make headlines and appearances on forums like Reddit’s WallStreetBets in the runup to and directly following the election. CNBC compiled more information about these names and what’s driving interest from some traders: Trump Media & Technology The TruthSocial parent has gained the most attention given the nominee’s stake valued at more than $5 billion as of earlier this week. He holds around 114 million shares, which amounts to ownership of more than half of the company. The stock has seen volatile trading over recent days as voting day draws closer. Shares dove more than 20% on Wednesday, reversing course after jumping more than 8% the day prior. Before Wednesday, the stock had seen a pre-election rally. It pulled the shares out of a slump that at one point sent its price below the $12 mark. On Tuesday, it closed at $51.51. Shares are now more than 160% higher in October, which would mark its first positive month since March. Year to date, they are up more than 140%. Trump Media has seen the highest daily net inflows from retail investors of the year over recent days, according to data analyzed by Vanda Research. That underscores the pour into the name amid the pre-election rally. On Tuesday alone, retail traders were net buyers of Trump Media to the tune of $14.4 million. It’s also been the most discussed stock on WallStreetBets, the popular Reddit forum for meme stock traders, over the last seven days, according to data from Quiver Quantitative as of Wednesday afternoon. The stock has been named more than 17,000 times on the forum this year, the firm said. The U.S. president and vice president are largely exempt from government conflict of interest rules. Still, Trump would be the first to hold office while controlling a publicly traded company. His DJT holding equates to nearly 75% of his net worth. Trump has said that he has no plans to sell his position. “There’s never been, I don’t think, any particular case where the potential future President of the United States probably has such a direct economic impact on particular firms,” said UC Irvine’s Schwarz. Schwarz said there’s no reason for Trump Media to even be publicly traded given its business fundamentals and high price-to-sales ratio. Given that, he said trading is based solely on “speculation.” “Trump Media has no fundamental value — it’s worthless,” he said. “That’s why the outcome of the election probably has such a big impact on what the price of the stock is.” Trump Media reported a loss when looking at net income and EBITDA in 2023. The company had 36 employees as of the end of last year. Phunware and Rumble The other two stocks have a less direct connection to the Republican candidate. Phunware is billed as a mobile software and blockchain company. Beyond the Trump campaign app, Phunware lists Marriott, Atlantis and the Mayo Clinic among clients on its website . The stock has seen major swings over the past year, trading as high as above $24 and as low as below $3. The company employed just 25 people at the end of 2023 and saw losses when looking at net income and EBITDA that year, per FactSet. Phunware has also seen an uptick in net inflows from everyday investors in October, according to Vanda data. Shares have surged more than 140% in the month. It’s also up more than 80% in 2024, on track to snap a two-year losing streak. PHUN YTD mountain Phunware, year to date All four analysts polled by LSEG have buy ratings on the stock. The average price target implies shares can rise nearly 90% above the $15 mark. To be sure, price target estimates vary widely within this group — from as low as $8 to as high as $20. Rumble, on the other hand, hasn’t seen a similar spike as Nov. 5 gets closer. Still, the company is viewed as a Trump-connected play given its video platform that’s popular among conservatives. The company employed just under 160 people at the end of last year and also posted losses on net income and EBITDA in the year. It went public in September 2022 with the backing of PayPal cofounder Peter Thiel. Shares have risen 13% in October, bringing its year to date gain to 36%. Shares have traded within a tighter range over the last 52 weeks, sitting between $3.33 and $9.20. The two analysts surveyed by LSEG both have hold ratings on the stock. Both have an $8 price target, which suggests shares can climb more than 34% over the next year. — CNBC’s Robert Frank and Fred Imbert contributed to this report.
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Finance
Why software stocks, 2026’s market dogs, have joined the rally
Published
2 weeks agoon
April 19, 2026

Cybersecurity and enterprise software stocks have been market dogs in 2026, with fears that AI will wipe out a wide range of companies in the enterprise space dominating the narrative. But they snapped a brutal losing streak this past week, joining in the broader market rally that saw all losses from the U.S.-Iran war regained by the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500.
Cybersecurity has been “a victim of some of the AI-related headlines,” Christian Magoon, Amplify ETFs CEO, said on this week’s “ETF Edge.”
It wasn’t just niche cybersecurity names. Take Microsoft, for example, which was recently down close to 20% for the year. Its shares surged last week by 13%.
A big driver of the pummeling in software stocks was a rotation within tech by investors to AI infrastructure and semiconductors and some other names in large-cap tech, Magoon said, and since cybersecurity stocks and ETFs are heavily weighted towards software companies, they were left behind even as those businesses continue to grow on a fundamental basis.
But Wall Street now has become more bullish with the stocks at lower levels. Brent Thill, Jefferies tech analyst, said last week that the worst may be over for software stocks. “I think that this concept that software is dead, and then Anthropic and OpenAI are going to kill the entire industry, is just over-exaggerated,” he said on CNBC’s “Money Movers” on Wednesday.
“Big Short” investor Michael Burry wrote in a Substack post on Wednesday that he is becoming bullish about software stocks after the recent selloff. “Software stocks remain interesting because of accelerated extreme declines last week arising from a reflexive positive feedback loop between falling software stocks and changes in the market for their bank debt,” he wrote.
The Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG), is down about 12% since the beginning of the year, with top holdings including Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, Akamai Technologies and CrowdStrike. But BUG was up 12% last week. The First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) is down 6% for the year, but up 9% in the past week.
Piper Sandler analyst Rob Owens reiterated an “overweight” rating on Palo Alto Networks which helped the stock pop 7% — it is now down roughly 6% on the year. Its peers saw similar moves, including CrowdStrike.
Performance of Global X cybersecurity ETF versus S&P 500 over past one-year period.
Magoon said expectations may have become too high in cybersecurity, and with a crowding effect among investors, solid results were not enough to to push stocks higher. But the down-and-then-back-up 2026 for the sector is also a reminder that when stocks fall sharply in a short period of time, opportunity may knock.
“Once you’re down over 10% in some of these subsectors, you start to see the contrarians start to say, ‘well, maybe I’ll take a look at this,'” Magoon said.
He said AI does add both opportunity and uncertainty to the cybersecurity equation, increasing demand but also introducing new competition. But he added, “I think the dip is good to buy in an AI-driven world,” specifically because the risks to companies may lead to more M&A in cyber names that benefits the stocks.
For now, investors may look for opportunity on the margins rather than rush back into beaten-up tech names. “I think investors are still going to remain underweight software,” Thill said.
But Magoon advises investors to at least take the reminder to keep an eye on niches in the market during pronounced downturns. “The best-performing are often the least bought and do the best over the next 12 months versus late-in-the-game piling on,” he said.
While that may have been a mindset that worked against the last investors into cybersecurity and enterprise software in mid-2025 when the negative sentiment started building, at least for now, it’s started working for the stocks in the sector again.
Meanwhile, this year’s biggest winner is also a good example of what can be an extended trade in either a bullish or bearish direction. Last year, institutional ownership of energy was at multi-year lows, Magoon said, referencing Bank of America data. “Reverse sentiment can be a great indicator,” he said.
But he cautioned that any selective buying of stocks that have dipped does have to contend with the risk that there is a potentially bigger drawdown in the market yet to come in 2026. That is because midterm election years historically have been marked by large drawdowns. “If you think it is bad right now, it could get a lot worse,” Magoon said. But he added that there’s a silver-lining in that data, too, for the patient investor. The market has posted very strong 12-month returns after midterm election drawdowns end. So, for investors with a longer-term time horizon and no need for short-term liquidity, Magoon said, “stick in there.”
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Finance
Violent downturns could test new ETF strategies, warns MFS Investment
Published
2 weeks agoon
April 17, 2026

New innovation in the exchange-traded fund industry could come at a cost to investors during extreme conditions.
According to MFS Investment Management’s Jamie Harrison, ETFs involved in increasingly complex derivatives and less transparent markets may be in uncharted territory when it comes to violent downturns.
“Those would be something that you’d want to keep an eye on as volatility ramps up,” the firm’s head of ETF capital markets told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “As innovation continues to increase at a rapid pace within the ETF wrapper, [it’s] definitely something that we advise our clients to be really front-footed about… Lack of transparency could absolutely be an issue if we’re going to start seeing some deep sell-offs.”
His firm has been around since 1924 and is known for inventing the open-end mutual fund. Last year, ETF.com named MFS Investment Management as the best new ETF issuer.
“It’s important to do due diligence on the portfolio,” he said. “Having a firm that has deep partnerships, deep bench of subject matter experts that plays with the A-team in terms of the Street and liquidity providers available [are] super important.”
Liquidity as the real issue?
Harrison suggested the real issue is liquidity, particularly during a steep sell-off.
“We’ve all seen the news and the headlines around potential private credit ETFs. That picture becomes much more murky,” he added. “It’s up to advisors, to investors [and] to clients to really dig in and look under the hood and engage with their issuers.”
He noted investors will have to ask some tough questions.
“What does this look like in a 20% drawdown? How does this liquidity facility work? Am I going to be able to get in? Am I going to be able to get out? And if I’m able to get out, am I able to get out at a price that’s tight to NAV [net asset value], and what’s the infrastructure at your shop in terms of managing that consideration for me,” said Harrison.
Amplify ETFs’ Christian Magoon is also concerned about these newer ETF strategies could weather a monster drawdown. He listed private credit as a red flag.
“If your ETF owns private credit, I think it’s worth taking a look at, kind of what the standards are around liquidity and how that ETF is trading, because that should be a bit of a mismatch between the trading pace of ETFs and the underlying asset,” the firm’s CEO said in the same interview.
Magoon also highlighted potential issues surrounding equity-linked notes. The notes provide fixed income security while offering potentially higher returns linked to stocks or equity indexes.
“Those could potentially be in stress due to redemptions and the underlying credit risk. That’s another kind of unique derivative,” Magoon said. “I would very closely look at any ETF that has equity-linked notes should we get into a major drawdown or there be a contagion in private credit or something related to the banking system.”
Finance
Anthropic Mythos reveals ‘more vulnerabilities’ for cyberattacks
Published
3 weeks agoon
April 15, 2026
Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., right, departs the US Capitol in Washington, DC, US, on Wednesday, Feb. 25, 2026.
Graeme Sloan | Bloomberg | Getty Images
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Tuesday that while artificial intelligence tools could eventually help companies defend themselves from cyberattacks, they are first making them more vulnerable.
Dimon said that JPMorgan was testing Anthropic’s latest model — the Mythos preview announced by the AI firm last week — as part of its broader effort to reap the benefits of AI while protecting against bad actors wielding the same technology.
“AI’s made it worse, it’s made it harder,” Dimon told analysts on the bank’s earnings call Tuesday morning. “It does create additional vulnerabilities, and maybe down the road, better ways to strengthen yourself too.”
When asked by a reporter about Mythos, Dimon seemed to refer to Anthropic’s warning that the model had already found thousands of vulnerabilities in corporate software.
“I think you read exactly what is it,” Dimon said. “It shows a lot more vulnerabilities need to be fixed.”
The remarks reveal how artificial intelligence, a technology welcomed by corporations as a productivity boon, has also morphed into a serious threat by giving bad actors new ways to hack into technology systems. Last week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent summoned bank CEOs to a meeting to discuss the risks posed by Mythos.
JPMorgan, the world’s largest bank by market cap, has for years invested heavily to stay ahead of threats, with dedicated teams and constant coordination with government agencies, Dimon said.
“We spend a lot of money. We’ve got top experts. We’re in constant contact with the government,” he said. “It’s a full-time job, and we’re doing it all the time.”
‘Attack mode’
Still, the CEO warned that risks extend beyond any single institution, given the interconnected nature of the financial system.
“That doesn’t mean everything that banks rely on is that well protected,” Dimon said. “Banks… are attached to exchanges and all these other things that create other layers of risk.”
JPMorgan Chief Financial Officer Jeremy Barnum said the industry has long been aware that AI cuts both ways in cybersecurity.
“These tools can make it easier to find vulnerabilities, but then also potentially be deployed by bad actors in attack mode,” Barnum said on the earnings call. Recent advances from Anthropic and others have simply intensified an existing trend, he said.
Dimon also said that while advanced AI tools are important, old-school cybersecurity practices remain essential.
“A lot of it is hygiene… how do you protect your data? How do you protect your networks, your routers, your hardware, changing your passcode?” he said. “Doing all those things right dramatically reduces the risk.”
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said Monday during an earnings call that his bank was testing Mythos, though he declined to comment further.
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