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Trump allies fret tax-cut plans at risk with GOP infighting in Congress

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A faction of President-elect Donald Trump’s allies is harboring doubts about Republicans’ chances of passing a sweeping tax bill in 2025 amid party infighting and strategy disputes.

Republicans broadly agree that there’s little room for error on what is a rare opportunity for the GOP to update the Tax Code without having to make any concessions to Democrats. There’s also time pressure: households and privately-held businesses will see their tax bills rise if Congress doesn’t act by the end of the year.

But Republicans openly disagree on how to meet that deadline. Little progress was made on Wednesday night when Trump met with GOP senators, with the president-elect telling reporters at the conclusion of the meeting that it “doesn’t matter” to him how his allies in Congress plan to get his top legislative achievements passed.

Stephen Miller, the incoming deputy White House chief-of-staff and a vocal advocate for an immigration crackdown, has pushed lawmakers to first pursue a border security bill, before pivoting to taxes, an idea Senate Republican Majority Leader John Thune endorsed during his address to open the new Congress.

That pits them against House Republicans, many of whom want to cram all the party’s legislative goals — immigration, energy production and taxes — into a singular bill. That’s an approach that yields to the reality that the tiny House GOP majority — a fractious group of lawmakers willing to torch members of their own party during heated disputes — will have a hard time passing even one bill, let alone two.

“The best chance for a reconciliation bill that includes tax cuts to pass the House is for the tax cuts to be included in the first one, and preferably in one big beautiful bill,” said House Ways and Means Chairman Jason Smith, referring to the legislative process, known as reconciliation, which allows the majority party to advance its priorities with the votes of the opposing party. 

Trump, who made taxes and an immigration crackdown the centerpiece of his 2024 presidential campaign, has waffled on his wishes, further muddying the debate. Over the weekend, he posted that he supported “one powerful Bill that will bring our Country back, and make it greater than ever before.” At a press conference on Tuesday, however, he indicated a willingness to separate immigration from taxes.

“Well, I like one big beautiful bill. I always have. I always will. But if two is more certain, it does go a little bit quicker, because you can do the immigration stuff early,” he told reporters.

Senator Rand Paul, a Kentucky Republican, said following Wednesday’s meeting with Trump that they discussed using tariff hikes as a way to offset the cost of the tax cuts, a politically risky move that could further divide Republicans.

Thune, after meeting with House Speaker Mike Johnson on Tuesday, joked with reporters that the plan for sequencing the legislation is “as clear as mud.”

After the Wednesday meeting with Trump, Thune told reporters they are all united on the goals but lawmakers still have different views on the legislative strategy to get there.

Strategy planning

Congress also must raise the debt ceiling this year — an issue that has routinely caused Republican infighting and soured relationships within the party. Johnson told reporters Tuesday he plans to add a debt ceiling increase to the bill, with the final product put together by “churning it out amongst our colleagues.” He also set an April goal to pass it out of his chamber.

Paul, however, said Wednesday there’s opposition from Republicans in both chambers to addressing the debt ceiling in the bill. 

“We need to do the tax bill in the first 150 days,” said Steve Moore, an informal economic advisor to Trump.

Moore said that he, along with Trump’s former National Economic Council Chair Larry Kudlow and economist Arthur Laffer, urged Trump to tackle taxes first.

“We shouted from the rooftops,” Moore said. “The argument made to Trump that carried the day was that delaying it would put the tax cut at risk.”

The business community has also warned that a delay — or failure — of the tax measure could stymie the economic growth promises Republicans ran on.

“I’m not going to second guess the speaker or the majority leader on the timing of the tax bill, but I will say that from a business perspective, from an investment perspective, a manufacturing perspective, sooner is going to be a whole lot better than later if they truly want to keep their promises that they’ve made,” said Jay Timmons, president and chief executive officer of the National Association of Manufacturers.

Many Republicans also publicly and privately worry that isolating immigration — an issue that has vexed Congress for decades — into an initial bill will take far more time than anticipated and eat up a great amount of political capital and good will, potentially jeopardizing the size, scope and ambition of a tax measure.

History lesson

In 2017, Trump faced a similar legislative strategy quandary on the sequencing of policy when his team spent months trying to repeal the Affordable Care Act only to have then-Senator John McCain, an Arizona Republican, strike down the bill at the last minute. The Trump White House managed to barely pass tax reform that December — and that was with a much larger margin of Republicans in the House. 

That legislation was also hastily written and passed solely with the support of Republicans. At the time, there was a feeling in the Trump orbit that tackling infrastructure or taxes first would have provided the new president with far more political dividends than pursuing the failed health care legislation.

In the closing days of the 2024 election, Trump promised to extend the personal tax cuts from 2017 and expand the state and local tax deduction, while also creating new tax breaks like no taxes on tips, overtime pay or Social Security checks. 

Trump has vowed to Wall Street executives that he would reduce the corporate tax rate to as low as 15%. That laundry list of promises surprised even some of his closest economic advisors, who privately said Trump was unlikely to turn all of this rhetoric into reality. 

Trump, as recently as last weekend, has repeatedly singled out one specific pledge — no taxes on tips — which suggests it could be among the highest priority cuts for the incoming president.

Political calculus

For Republicans, a key calculation is delivering on Trump’s tax promises so the party can hold onto its control of the House of Representatives in 2026. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, a close Trump ally, said history shows that Trump needs to pass the tax bill by July 4, 2025, to satisfy voters.

When President Ronald Reagan “did not front-load the tax cuts in 1982-1981, we lost 26 seats in 1982. When Trump did not get the tax bill through fast enough, we lost 40 seats in 2018. We also know that Franklin Delano Roosevelt, by acting aggressively, picked up nine seats,” he said.  

Former Representative Kevin Brady, who led efforts on Trump’s 2017 tax overhaul, said Republicans ought to “educate” — or perhaps browbeat — their colleagues to make a priority of the cuts.

“Failure is not an option. You cannot wreck this economy. You cannot damage this presidency,” Brady said at an event in Washington. “You’re going to find a way to get this done.”

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Accounting

Berkshire Hathaway sets another record with massive tax bill

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Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Chairman Warren Buffett said the company has paid the U.S. government more than $101 billion in taxes since he took the helm 60 years ago, more than any other firm in history, according to his annual letter to investors on Saturday. 

Buffett’s comments come as President Donald Trump has vowed to cut corporate taxes further after slashing them to 21% during his first term in 2017. Trump wants to reduce the corporate tax rate to 15%.

Berkshire paid $26.8 billion in taxes in 2024 alone. Buffett said that “record-shattering” figure amounts to roughly 5% of the total taxes paid by U.S. companies last year, and excludes state taxes and taxes paid to foreign governments.

“If Berkshire had sent the Treasury a $1 million check every 20 minutes throughout all of 2024 — visualize 366 days and nights because 2024 was a leap year — we still would have owed the federal government a significant sum at yearend,” Buffett wrote. 

Berkshire’s 2024 tax bill exceeded that of the previous five years combined, owing in part to his significant sales last year of two of its biggest holdings, Apple Inc. and Bank of America Corp., according to Edward Jones analyst Jim Shanahan.

“He’s boasting about taxes, but it’s kind of an unusual year,” Shanahan said. “I don’t know if he was specifically trying to call out large tech companies that don’t pay much in terms of cash taxes, but certainly if I’m reading between the lines, that’s what I’m seeing.”

Cathy Seifert, an analyst at CFRA, interpreted the comments in a similar way.

“I think the underlying message is: ‘Don’t lump every multibillion-dollar corporation as even; some pay their fair share of taxes’,” Seifert said in an interview. 

Berkshire reported on Saturday that its operating profits for the fourth quarter surged 71%, driven by a nearly 50% jump in insurance investment income and improvement in its insurance underwriting business. Its annual operating earnings rose to $47.4 billion, up nearly 27% from the previous year. 

Vast conglomerate

In the annual letter, Buffett said that when he took control of the Berkshire Hathaway company in 1965, it was a struggling textile operation that paid zero in income taxes that year, and hadn’t for much of the previous decade.

“That sort of economic behavior may be understandable for glamorous startups, but it’s a blinking yellow light when it happens at a venerable pillar of American industry,” Buffett wrote. “Berkshire was headed for the ash can.”

Today, Berkshire Hathaway is a vast conglomerate spanning more than 189 operating companies, a public equity portfolio worth $272 billion and a cash pile worth $334 billion as of the end of 2024, according to the annual report. Buffett said the company’s success is due in large part to America’s capitalist economy, a system that he said has its faults — “in certain respects more egregious now than ever” — but also “can work wonders unmatched” by other models. 

Buffett also credited Berkshire’s investors for foregoing dividends to reinvest their income, noting that the company only paid investors one dividend, in 1967. He said he couldn’t recall why he suggested the move to Berkshire’s board, a decision he said “seems like a bad dream.”

Buffett addressed part of the letter to “Uncle Sam.”

“Someday your nieces and nephews at Berkshire hope to send you even larger payments than we did in 2024,” he wrote. “Spend it wisely. Take care of the many who, for no fault of their own, get the short straws in life. They deserve better.”

Seifert called the comments “a subtle yet important swipe” at the current political environment.

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Accounting

Art of Accounting: Increasing fees to eliminate a shortfall

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Complimentary Access Pill

Enjoy complimentary access to top ideas and insights — selected by our editors.

The pricing of accounting services is a big concern and it should be. My definition of pricing services properly is that if, at the end of the year, you’ve made your living, funded your retirement account, and had money left over to maintain and build your infrastructure, you’re pricing your services OK. If you have something left over after that, then good for you, you are doing it right and you should enjoy that profit. But the minimum is the first three things.

I get frequent calls about this. My advice is to increase fees at a uniform percentage to make up for the shortfall going forward. Here is how to go about this.

The first step is to calculate the shortfall. By way of illustration assume you are grossing $250,000 and have a $30,000 shortfall. $30.000 ÷ $250,000 = 12%. This means your fees need to be increased 12% in total. This assumes these are your numbers for the current year. If these are last year’s numbers, then project your shortfall for the current year and use that. 

The second step is to increase the fees for every client immediately by 12%. If you have contracts, you might not be able to do this, but if you have an arrangement that doesn’t lock you into a price no matter what, then increase those clients, which should be most of your clients. If the contractual fees are substantial, then factor that in and you might need a larger percentage increase than the across-the-board calculation.

The third step is to start contacting your larger or more important clients. Start with them but plan on contacting every client. I personally call everyone. They all pay your salary, so make the call. If they were a new client, you would do somersaults to get them. Here, all you need to do is call them. I suggest telling them something similar to this:

“I regret that I have to increase my fees with you. My overall fees are too low and I am not making what I need to provide my living, fund my retirement account and have sufficient funds to maintain my practice with needed maintenance, technology changes and technical update notifications. Accordingly, as much as I hate to do this, I am forced to increase the fees for all of my clients 12% effective the first of next month. This is not something I like to do, but I have to do it so I can continue the level of services my clients are accustomed to and deserve. This is the only way that makes sense. I know you will understand, and if you want to think about it and have another discussion, please call me. I appreciate you being a client and know we will continue our successful collaboration.”

I used an illustrative amount, but this method works for any size practice, from a solo to a large multioffice practice. The reality is that if there is a shortfall, this needs to be done. 

Alternatives like getting more business is a way to grow your practice, but at your present level with the shortfall from your established clients and existing workload, the issue isn’t growth but maintaining the status quo. Being immersed in tax season means now is not a good time, but neither is any other time. Delaying this inevitable action will just make the situation worse. You are a businessperson and need to act like one and your revenues need to reflect this.

Do not hesitate to contact me at [email protected] with your practice management questions or about engagements you might not be able to perform. 

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Accounting

Deloitte China appoints first local female as CEO

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Deloitte China has selected its first female chief executive officer from its local talent pool in mainland China, according to people familiar with the matter. 

Dora Liu will become Deloitte China’s new CEO on June 1 for a four-year term, according to an internal email in January seen by Bloomberg News. She will take over responsibilities from Patrick Tsang, who will complete his second term on May 31, Its unclear what Tsang will do next. 

Deloitte China didn’t respond to a request for comment. 

Mainland-born Liu joined Deloitte in April 1993 in Shanghai, the city where she is still currently based. She has worked with financial institutions including banks, securities, funds and insurance firms, according to Deloitte’s website. 

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