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Trump delays Mexico tariffs by a month after Sheinbaum talk

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President Donald Trump agreed to delay 25% tariffs against Mexico for one month after a conversation with his counterpart Claudia Sheinbaum on Monday, a dramatic turnabout with the neighboring nations on the brink of a trade war.

Markets rallied after Sheinbaum announced the delay and Trump confirmed it in a social media post, with the peso gaining as much as 1.3% against the dollar. The pair of leaders agreed that Mexico would send 10,000 National Guard officers to the border to help stem the flow of fentanyl and migration into the US, a key demand from Trump for it to avoid tariffs.

Trump told reporters on Monday he had a “great talk” with Sheinbaum and said he likes her “very much” but reaffirmed the tariff pause was temporary and would be contingent on Mexico taking steps to stop the flow of fentanyl and migrants to the U.S.  

“We’ve agreed to talk and consider various other things. We haven’t agreed on tariffs yet, and maybe we will, maybe we won’t, but we have a very good relationship,” the president said in the Oval Office. 

The delay with Mexico bolsters the view that Trump sees tariffs as a negotiating ploy but is still reluctant to inflict economic pain on Americans, while buying Sheinbaum time to show that she is a partner for the U.S. rather than an adversary. 

The two nations will continue negotiations over the tariffs over the next month, according to both leaders, with Sheinbaum saying at a Monday press conference that she and Trump agreed to speak frequently. As part of the deal, the U.S. also pledged to work to prevent the trafficking of high-powered weapons into Mexico, she said at the press conference.

The talks will be “headed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent, and Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, and high-level Representatives of Mexico,” Trump said in his social media post.

It remains unclear whether Canada, which is also facing the threat of 25% tariffs on most goods, will be able to reach a similar deal with Washington. Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau spoke by phone Monday morning and are scheduled to hold another call in the afternoon. The U.S. president said he pressed the Canadian leader about American banks’ ability to do business in its northern neighbor.

“We had a good talk,” Trump said. “Canada is very tough. They’re very, very tough to do business with, and we can’t let them take advantage of the U.S.”

He also repeated his assertion that Canada should become the 51st U.S. state but conceded, “some people say that would be a long shot.”

Sheinbaum said that she has also been in contact with Trudeau and would continue speaking with Canada. 

Trump also said he would “probably” be speaking to Chinese officials in the next 24 hours about his threat to impose a 10% tariff. 

“That was just an opening salvo. If we can’t make a deal with China, then the tariffs will be very, very substantial,” the U.S. president said. 

Sheinbaum took office in October facing questions about how she would fill the shoes of her popular predecessor, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, who boasted about his good relationship with Trump. But the early victory suggests she’s a skilled negotiator, with a “cool-headed” approach that focuses on specific details rather than Trump’s rhetoric.

“Mexico’s efforts in collaborating with the U.S. seems to have paid off for now,” said Dan Pan, an economist at Standard Chartered Bank. “The uncertainty still remains on which the direction of negotiation will take and if Mexico can avert the tariffs permanently, but for now the market has taken comfort of the delay as an indication that Trump is using the tariff threats as a negotiation strategy rather than jeopardizing the North American economy.”

After Trump ordered 25% tariffs on exports from Mexico on Saturday, Sheinbaum said she would ask her economy minister to respond with tariff and non-tariff measures, without elaborating. She said Monday that Mexico would put those measures on hold in an effort to provide certainty to financial markets, and reiterated her commitment to the USMCA free trade agreement between the U.S., Mexico and Canada.

“Most in the market were looking for this sort of ‘deal’ to occur in order to avoid tariff implementation, similar to what we saw in Trump 1.0 between the U.S. and Mexico,” said Brad Bechtel, head of FX at Jefferies. “Tariff risk for Mexico avoided for now, at least for one month. Most assume the same for Canada but we need to wait and hear officially. Canada already announced counter measures and their government is somewhat in chaos so it may not happen as quickly as it did for Mexico.”

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White House establishes Strategic Bitcoin Reserve

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The White House today issued an executive order formally creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve as well as a U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile. 

The reserve will treat bitcoin, the first and most popular blockchain-based cryptocurrency, as a reserve asset. It will be capitalized with tokens owned by the Department of Treasury that was forfeited as part of criminal or civil asset forfeiture proceedings. Other agencies, such as the FBI, will evaluate their legal authority to transfer any bitcoin owned by those agencies to the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. The administration said that the U.S. will not actually sell these bitcoins, as they would act as a store of reserve assets. The executive order authorizes the Secretaries of Treasury and Commerce to develop budget-neutral strategies for acquiring additional bitcoin, provided that those strategies impose no incremental costs on American taxpayers.

The U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile, meanwhile, will consist of digital assets other than bitcoin owned by the Department of Treasury that was forfeited in criminal or civil asset forfeiture proceedings. Versus the bitcoin reserve, the government will not acquire additional assets for the U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile beyond those obtained through forfeiture proceedings. Also unlike the bitcoin reserve, the Secretary of the Treasury may determine strategies for responsible stewardship, including potential sales from the U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile.

The executive order also says that agencies must provide a full accounting of their digital asset holdings to the Secretary of the Treasury and the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets.

The administration justified the decision by saying that, with a fixed supply of 21 million coins, there is a strategic advantage to being among the first nations to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, though it did not elaborate. It also said that the government currently holds a significant amount of bitcoin but has not maximized its strategic position as a unique store of value in the global financial system. It decried $17 billion worth of what it called “premature” sales of bitcoin. It also pointed out that there has not been a centralized policy for managing digital asset reserves held by the government, so right now holdings are scattered throughout different departments. 

“Taking affirmative steps to centralize ownership, control, and management of these assets within the Federal government will ensure proper oversight, accurate tracking, and a cohesive approach to managing the government’s cryptocurrency holdings. This move harnesses the power of digital assets for national prosperity, rather than letting them languish in limbo,” said the executive order. 

Dr. Sean Stein Smith, a Lehman College accounting professor who is also chair of the Accounting Working Group in the Wall Street Blockchain Alliance, said that while the executive order only sets up a framework for now, there will be significant implications further down the road. One possibility is an increased emphasis on crypto audits, as David Sack, AI and Crypto Czar, stated multiple times that one of the first pieces of business to move the E.O. forward would be to conduct on audit of current U.S. holdings. With buy-in from the Executive branch, and the emphasis on the importance of crypto audits, said Smith, the profession has an opportunity to expand efforts to standardize the currently disparate crypto audit practices.

Another impact will be client FOMO, as people may reason “after all if it is good enough for the U.S. government it should be good enough for me?” It will be especially important for accountants to educate clients about the risk and opportunities of crypto investments as well as to provide advisory services to those clients interested in integrating crypto into operations.

“In short the E.O. establishing an SBR and digital asset stockpile are set to further propel interest in crypto investments and utilization at clients of all sizes. The emphasis on high quality crypto audits, internal control and advisory opportunities as more investors (retail and institutional) potentially move into the sector, and the inevitable tax issues that will arise as a result all present opportunities for the profession,” said Smith in an email.

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As AI rises in importance, so too does governance

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AI governance was a major theme of 2024, and as the technology continues to evolve, oversight and control—as well as ways to demonstrate it to others—will become even more important this year. 

This was the assessment of Danny Manimbo, a principal with Top 50 firm Schellman, who is primarily responsible for leading the firm’s AI and ISO practices. Speaking during the firm’s Schellmancon event today, he said that last year saw the release of a number of AI governance frameworks, including the National Institute of Standards and Technology’s AI Risk Management Framework, the International Standards Organization’s ISO 42001, and Microsoft’s revisions to its Supplier Security and Privacy Assurance Program to account for AI. Meanwhile, actual regulation is also gaining momentum, with Manimbo pointing to the EU’s AI Act, South Korea’s AI Basic Act, and a number of state-level regulations such as California’s recent AI laws. 

“That kind of set the tone for a lot of the inquiries and the interest that we saw, and for the trends on where GRC was going in 2024, maybe not so much immediately in the beginning of the year, because the frameworks were so new, but I think they were boosted by a number of things in the regulatory standpoint,” said Manimbo. 

The other panelist, Lisa Hall, chief information security officer for the trust platform SafeBase, added that, given the pace of AI advances, it is likely that last year’s measures were not the end but just the beginning, especially considering how widely used even the current generation of solutions is. 

“I think it’s only going to increase, and everyone seems to have some type of AI offering,” said Hall. “Regulations and standards will likely become more demanding, and even with the shadow IT capabilities we have now, I worry that we may be underestimating how often AI technologies are actually used by our employees. And also, on the flip side, how can we best leverage these to make our lives easier?”

Manimbo noted that, with this rise in control frameworks and regulation, this year will also see a rise in demand for ways to demonstrate that one is aligned and compliant with them. The ISO 42001 certification, for which Schellman recently became the first ANSI-accredited body allowed to audit and grant certification for compliance with the standard, is one example, but he anticipated other avenues will open this year. “For example, I sit on the [Cloud Security Alliance] AI Control Framework [board], and they are launching a program scheduled for the second half of this year which is going to be very similar to their [Security Trust Assurance and Risk] program for cloud security but specific to AI risk. That’ll be another avenue,” he said. He added that other standard setters, like the AICPA, might also decide to update their frameworks to account for AI risk. 

Such demonstrations are vital for establishing customer trust in a world that is increasingly connected. Hall noted that supply chains have grown much more complex, which has allowed attackers new opportunities to target vendors or third party software providers and compromise multiple downstream organizations at once. In such an environment, establishing trust with a customer is vital, but it can often involve lengthy and tedious audits filled with manual processes. While she has had success with some automation, such as using AI to reduce time on customer questionnaires and automate access controls, there remain many things that still need human intervention. 

“I’ve definitely struggled with that, like where an auditor is asking for data sets, you’re coming back with a sample set, you’re bouncing back and forth from a tool to gather evidence, and it becomes even more complex when you’re dealing with customer audits and you’re talking to more than one auditor, and you can only reuse evidence for so long that evidence goes stale,” she said. “And then a lot of times, auditors have competing platforms and tools that may not integrate with yours. So it’s still a manual process. There’s a ton of back and forth communication there. I’m still copying and pasting, I’m still downloading from here and uploading to here. So I’d love to see this process improve,”  

Manimbo noted AI has also been helping processes like this, noting that AI can itself help bolster an organization’s controls through automating routine processes and reducing dependence on manual processes. 

“On this front, some of the things that have plagued us in the past is the amount of context that we need as professionals to know if something is something that needs to be addressed immediately as part of a control failure that may be detected. And I think AI will help provide that context there… It may not necessarily be [about] what the controls may be, but how efficient are the models in augmenting existing automation to find those failures in a way that we can effectively address those findings in a way that we can again improve on those and so hopefully reducing additional burden on a team members,” he said. 

However, with all these different frameworks coming out, and with current ones being revised to account for AI, professionals may be challenged in keeping up with all the changes. Professionals need to not only know how to apply these frameworks but also how to scale them as time goes on. Hall said that, by maintaining a security-focused mindset and being proactive, so that the organization is more able to respond to change. 

“If we build and buy with security in mind and find ways to leverage automation and AI to enable us to quickly adjust, … we’re just going to be way better off,” said Hall.  “Instead of looking at ‘here’s the strict regulation, here’s what I have to do,’ [it is] kind of this afterthought, by being more proactive and just having these things in mind. .. I think it’s about us having that mindset of: How is the security built in? How can I be accountable and prove that I’m doing what I’m doing? And think about that before the auditors show up and before the regulations show up.”

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AICPA in discussions with IRS over tax season jitters

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The American Institute of CPAs is monitoring the situation at the Internal Revenue Service amid reports of layoffs of up to half the staff, keeping in touch with IRS officials about maintaining services during the critical tax season.

“In recent weeks, there has been a flood of information regarding the current state of the IRS, some of which has resulted in conflicting reports, creating confusion,” said AICPA president and CEO Mark Koziel in a statement Friday. “The AICPA is having active discussions with IRS officials to clarify this information and we are actively monitoring developments as the IRS continues to assess the immediate and long-term implications. With the volatility of the present environment and rapidly changing events, it is important to reconcile fact from fiction for taxpayers and their advisors. Despite inconsistent reports, we know that the IRS is making every effort to maintain this tax season’s service levels comparable with that of recent years.”

He stressed the importance of the IRS maintaining service during tax season.

“The ability of the IRS to maintain service levels for taxpayers and their preparers is critically important to the AICPA,” Koziel added. “IRS services in combination with modernization efforts, which include technology advancements, have been the bedrock of AICPA’s recommendations for many years. A modern, functioning IRS is essential for Americans to meet their tax obligations and to our country’s financial health.”

The AICPA is also offering recommendations to the embattled agency. “The AICPA continues to provide recommendations to the IRS that will offer some level of relief as we work diligently to understand the impacts to services offered to taxpayers and their practitioners,” said Koziel. “We offer our voice and support to minimize public confusion about current IRS operations.”

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