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Trump, Harris to turbocharge economic pitches at dueling events

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The battle between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump over the economy is set to intensify, with the rival presidential candidates planning dueling addresses this week on one of the campaign’s defining issues.

Harris told reporters Sunday she will deliver a speech “to outline my vision for the economy.” Trump, meanwhile, is set to offer remarks Tuesday in swing-state Georgia on a plan to lower taxes for U.S. business owners.

The events show how the economy has become an election focal point with Harris and Trump offering a slew of competing proposals to push tax breaks, credits and other programs to address voter anxiety over high prices, jobs and wages. With the candidates embarking on a six-week sprint to Election Day, each is angling for any advantage they can find.

Vice President Kamala Harris in profile speaking before a microphone
Vice President Kamala Harris during a campaign event at Bojangles Arena in Charlotte, North Carolina

Allison Joyce/Bloomberg

Americans’ angst over the economy has been a political liability for Harris — and President Joe Biden — that’s souring voter perceptions of their administration’s record. And it’s been a boost for Trump and his unprecedented campaign as the first former U.S. president convicted of a felony. 

The Republican presidential nominee has promised to slash regulations and renew expiring tax cuts — policies that have helped him rebuild support among many Wall Street executives and corporate leaders who shunned him after the 2020 election.

In recent days, Harris and Trump have both also sought momentum from the Federal Reserve’s decision to lower its benchmark interest rate by a half percentage point. 

Harris hailed it as a sign of progress in the fight against inflation and a vindication of the Biden administration’s policies, while saying more needs to be done. Trump lambasted the cut as a “political” decision to protect Harris and said the move suggests the U.S. economy is in poor shape.

Harris has also sought to bolster her standing with business, saying she would help grow emerging sectors. At a Manhattan fundraiser on Sunday she told donors she would support investments in digital assets and artificial intelligence. Trump, a one-time skeptic of cryptocurrencies, has courted the industry strongly this cycle.

A Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll from August showed voters less likely to hold Harris responsible for the economic anxiety that undercut Biden even as they said they were better off under Trump. 

A poll Sunday, though, showed Harris narrowing Trump’s advantage on whom voters trust more on the economy. The September CBS/Ipsos poll found Harris narrowed her deficit among voters who care most about the issue, with Trump leading 53% to 47% among that subset, compared with 56% to 43% in August.

Harris address

Harris said Sunday that her speech will explain how she intends to “do more to invest in the aspirations and ambitions of the American people while addressing the challenges they face, whether it be the high price of groceries or being able to acquire homeownership.”

Plans for Harris’ address this week aren’t finalized yet, a person familiar with the Democratic presidential nominee’s plans said Sunday.

The address will be more sweeping in tone rather than focused on any proposal or set of policy items, according to the person, who cast it as an opportunity to communicate with voters who say they still don’t know enough about Harris or her policies.

Reuters reported earlier that Harris plans to present economic policy proposals this week, including ways to promote wealth creation for Americans.

Harris has unveiled initiatives to help curb costs for households, offer assistance for first-time homebuyers, expand a tax break for small business startups as well as proposing to eliminate taxes on tips for service industry and hospitality industry workers — a campaign pledge embraced first by Trump. 

The vice president has said she will pay for those policies in part by seeking a 28% capital gains tax rate on people earning $1 million or more and by raising the corporate tax rate to 28% from 21%.

Trump says he will end taxes on overtime, tipped wages and Social Security benefits, renew expiring tax cuts from his signature 2017 law and push to reduce the corporate tax rate even further to 15%. 

He has also pledged to lift the cap on the state and local tax deductions he instituted as president and adopt a temporary 10% cap on credit card interest to help households burdened by consumer debt.

Regardless of who wins, those competing plans come with large price tags, opening the door to a contentious fight over tax policy in the next Congress.

Trump has assailed Harris as a communist — as well as a Marxist and fascist — over her economic agenda and mocked her efforts to assure Americans she will help lower costs if elected president, questioning why the administration hasn’t done more already.

Harris has sought to counter Trump’s criticisms in part by casting herself as pro-capitalist and pro-growth.

At her fundraiser on Sunday, she vowed to help bolster investments in “innovative technologies” such as digital assets and artificial intelligence, saying she’d “bring together labor, small business founders and innovators and major companies” to invest in “America’s competitiveness” and by focusing regulations on protecting investors and consumers.

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The tax outlook for president-elect Trump and the GOP

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President-elect Donald Trump and his Republican party clarified one aspect of the uncertainty surrounding taxes with a resounding victory in the election.

That means that the many expiring provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 — which Trump signed into law in his first term — are much more likely to remain in force after their potential sunset date at the end of next year. Financial advisors and tax professionals can act without worrying that the rules will shift underneath them to favor much higher income duties.  

However, the result also presents Trump and incoming Senate Majority Leader John Thune of South Dakota and House Speaker Mike Johnson of Louisiana with a series of thorny tax policy questions that have tricky, time-sensitive implications, according to Anna Taylor, the deputy leader, and Jonathan Traub, the leader, of Deloitte Tax’s Tax Policy Group. Once again, industry professionals and their clients will be learning the minutiae of House and Senate procedures. Taylor and Traub spoke on a panel last week, following Trump’s victory and their release of a report detailing the many tax policy questions facing the incoming administration.

READ MORE: Donald Trump will shape these 9 areas of wealth management 

Considering the fact that the objections of former Sen. Bob Corker of Tennessee “slowed down that process for a number of weeks in 2017” before Republicans “landed” on a deficit increase of $1.5 trillion in the legislation, Taylor pointed out how the looming debate on the precise numbers and Senate budget reconciliation rules will affect the writing of any extensions bill.

“They’re going to have to pick their budget number on the front end,” Taylor said. “They’re going to have to pick that number and put it in the budget resolution, and then they’ll kind of back into their policy so that their policies will fit within their budget constraints. And once you get into that process, you can do a lot in the tax base, but there are still limits. I mean, you can’t do anything that affects the Social Security program. So they won’t be able to do the president’s proposal on getting rid of taxes on Social Security benefits.”

Individual House GOP members will exercise their strength in the negotiations as well, and the current limit on the deduction for state and local taxes represents a key bellwether on how the talks are proceeding, Traub noted. 

The president-elect and his Congressional allies will have to find the balance amid the “real tension” between members from New York and California and those from low-tax states such as Florida or Texas who will view any increases to the limit as “too much of a giveaway for the wealthy New Yorkers and Californians,” he said.   

“You will need almost perfect unity — more so in the House than the Senate,” Traub said. “This really gives a lot of power, I think, to any small group of House members who decide that they will lie down on the train tracks to block a bill they don’t like or to enforce the inclusion of a provision that they really want. I think the place we’ll watch the most closely at the get-go is over the SALT cap.”

READ MORE: Republican election sweep emboldens Trump’s tax cut dreams

Estimates of a price tag for extending the expiring provisions begin at $4.6 trillion — without even taking into account the cost of President-elect Trump’s campaign proposals to prohibit taxes on tips and overtime pay and deductions and credits for caregiving and buying American-made cars, Taylor pointed out. In addition, the current debt limit will run out on Jan. 1. 

The Treasury Department could “use their extraordinary measures to get them through a few more months before they actually have to deal with the limit,” she said. 

“But they’re going to have to make a decision,” Taylor continued. “Are they going to try to do the debt limit first, maybe roll it into some sort of appropriations deal early in the year? Or are they going to try to do the debt limit with taxes, and then that’s going to really force them to move really quickly on taxes? So, I don’t know. I don’t know that they have an answer to that yet. I’ll be really interested to see what they say in terms of how they’re going to move that limit, because they’re going to have to do that at some point — rather soon, too.”

Looking further into the future at the end of next year with the deadline on the expiring provisions, Republicans’ trifecta control of the White House and both houses of Congress makes them much more likely to exercise that mandate through a big tax bill rather than a temporary patch to give them a few more months to resolve differences, Traub said.

READ MORE: 26 tips on expiring Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions to review before 2026 

Both parties have used reconciliation in the wake of the last two presidential elections. A continuing resolution-style patch on a temporary basis would have been more likely with divided government, he said.

“Had that been what the voters called for last Tuesday, I think that the odds of a short-term extension into 2025 would have been a lot higher,” Traub said. “I don’t think that anybody in the GOP majority right now is thinking about a short-term extension. They are thinking about, ‘We have an unusual ability now to use reconciliation to affect major policy changes.'”

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M&A roundup: Aprio and Opsahl Dawson expand

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Aprio, a Top 25 Firm based in Atlanta, is expanding to Southern California by acquiring Kirsch Kohn Bridge, a firm based in Woodland Hills, effective Nov. 1.

The deal will grow Aprio’s geographic footprint while enabling it to expand into new local markets and industries. Financial terms were not disclosed. Aprio ranked No. 25 on Accounting Today’s 2024 list of the Top 100 Firms, with $420.79 million in annual revenue, 210 partners and 1,851 professionals. The deal will add five partners and 31 professionals to Aprio. 

In July, Aprio received a private equity investment from Charlesbank Capital Partners. 

KKB has been operating for six decades offering accounting, tax, and business advisory services to industries including construction, real estate, professional services, retail, and manufacturing. “There is tremendous synergy between Aprio and KKB, which enables us to further elevate our tax, accounting and advisory capabilities and deepen our roots across California,” said Aprio CEO Richard Kopelman in a statement. “Continuing to build out our presence across the West Coast is an important part of our growth strategy and KKB  is the right partner to launch our first location in Southern California. Together, we will bring even more robust insights, perspectives and solutions to our clients to help them propel forward.”

The Woodland Hills office will become Aprio’s third in California, in addition to its locations further north in San Francisco and Walnut Creek. Joe Tarasco of Accountants Advisory served as the advisor to Aprio on the transaction. 

“We are thrilled to become part of Aprio’s vision for the future,” said KKB managing partner Carisa Ferrer in a statement. “Over the past 60 years, KKB has grown from the ground up to suit the unique and complex challenges of our clients. As we move forward with our combined knowledge, we will accelerate our ability to leverage innovative talent, business processes, cutting-edge technologies, and advanced solutions to help our clients with even greater precision and care.”

Aprio has completed over 20 mergers and acquisitions since 2017, adding Ridout Barrett & Co. CPAs & Advisors last December, and before that, Antares Group, Culotta, Scroggins, Hendricks & Gillespie, Aronson, Salver & Cook, Gomerdinger & Associates, Tobin & Collins, Squire + Lemkin, LBA Haynes Strand, Leaf Saltzman, RINA and Tarlow and Co.

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Johnson says Congress will ‘do the math’ on key Trump tax pledge

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House Speaker Mike Johnson said Donald Trump’s plan to end income tax on tips would have to be paid for, injecting a note of caution into one of the president-elect’s key campaign pledges.

“This is one of the promises that he wants to deliver on,” Johnson said Sunday on CNN’s State of the Union. “We’re going to try to make that happen in the Congress. You’ve got to do the math.”

Johnson paired his comment with pledges to swiftly advance Trump’s economic agenda once the newly elected Congress is in place with Republican majorities in the House and Senate. The former president rolled out a series of tax-cut proposals during his successful bid to return to the White House, including rescinding taxes on overtime, Social Security checks and tips.

House Speaker Mike Johnson
Mike Johnson

Tierney L. Cross/Bloomberg

“You have got to make sure that these new savings for the American people can be paid for and make sure the economy is a pro-growth economy,” said Johnson, who was among allies accompanying Trump to an Ultimate Fighting Championship event at New York’s Madison Square Garden on Saturday night.

Congress faces a tax marathon next year as many of the provisions from the Republicans’ 2017 tax bill expire at the end of 2025. Trump’s declared goal is to extend all of the personal income tax cuts and further reduce the corporate tax rate.

A more immediate challenge may be ahead as Trump seeks to install loyalists as cabinet members for his second term starting in January, including former Representative Matt Gaetz as Attorney General, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as secretary of health and human services and former Representative Tulsi Gabbard for Director of National Intelligence. 

Gaetz was under investigation by the House Ethics Committee for alleged sexual misconduct and illicit drug use, which he has denied. RFK Jr. is a vaccine skeptic and has endorsed misleading messages about vaccine safety.

Donald Trump Jr., the president-elect’s son who has been a key player in the cabinet picks, said he expects many of the choices will face pushback.    

“Some of them are going to be controversial,” Trump Jr. said on Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures. “They’re controversial because they’ll actually get things done.”

‘Because of my father’

Trump Jr. suggested the transition team has options if any candidate fails to pass Senate muster.

“We’re showing him lists of 10 or 12 people for every position,” he said. “So we do have backup plans, but I think we’re obviously going with the strongest candidates first.”

Trump Jr. said incoming Senate Majority leader John Thune owes his post to the president-elect.

“I think we have control of the Senate because of my father,” he said. “John Thune’s able to be the majority leader because of my father, because he got a bunch of other people over the line.”

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