Connect with us

Personal Finance

What that means for you

Published

on

People shop at a grocery store on August 14, 2024 in New York City. 

Spencer Platt | Getty Images

The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday it will lower its benchmark rate by a half percentage point, or 50 basis points, paving the way for relief from the high borrowing costs that have hit consumers particularly hard. 

The federal funds rate, which is set by the U.S. central bank, is the interest rate at which banks borrow and lend to one another overnight. Although that’s not the rate consumers pay, the Fed’s moves still affect the borrowing and savings rates they see every day.

Wednesday’s cut sets the federal funds rate at a range of 4.75%-5%.

A series of interest rate hikes starting in March 2022 took the central bank’s benchmark to its highest in more than 22 years, which caused most consumer borrowing costs to skyrocket — and put many households under pressure.

Now, with inflation backing down, “there are reasons to be optimistic,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

However, “one rate cut isn’t a panacea for borrowers grappling with high financing costs and has a minimal impact on the overall household budget,” he said. “What will be more significant is the cumulative effect of a series of interest rate cuts over time.”

More from Personal Finance:
The ‘vibecession’ is ending as the economy nails a soft landing
‘Recession pop’ is in: How music hits on economic trends
More Americans are struggling even as inflation cools

“There are always winners and losers when there is a change in interest rates,” said Stephen Foerster, professor of finance at Ivey Business School in London, Ontario. “In general, lower rates favor borrowers and hurt lenders and savers.”

“It really depends on whether you are a borrower or saver or whether you currently have locked-in borrowing or savings rates,” he said.

From credit cards and mortgage rates to auto loans and savings accounts, here’s a look at how a Fed rate cut could affect your finances in the months ahead.

Credit cards

Since most credit cards have a variable rate, there’s a direct connection to the Fed’s benchmark. Because of the central bank’s rate hike cycle, the average credit card rate rose from 16.34% in March 2022 to more than 20% today — near an all-time high.

Going forward, annual percentage rates will start to come down, but even then, they will only ease off extremely high levels. With only a few cuts on deck for 2024, APRs would still be around 19% in the months ahead, according to McBride.

“Interest rates took the elevator going up, but they’ll be taking the stairs coming down,” he said.

That makes paying down high-cost credit card debt a top priority since “interest rates won’t fall fast enough to bail you out of a tight situation,” McBride said. “Zero percent balance transfer offers remain a great way to turbocharge your credit card debt repayment efforts.”

Mortgage rates

Although 15- and 30-year mortgage rates are fixed, and tied to Treasury yields and the economy, anyone shopping for a new home has lost considerable purchasing power in the last two years, partly because of inflation and the Fed’s policy moves.

But rates are already significantly lower than where they were just a few months ago. Now, the average rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is around 6.3%, according to Bankrate.

A Fed cut will help the housing market, but the effects will unfold gradually, says Bess Freedman

Jacob Channel, senior economist at LendingTree, expects mortgage rates will stay somewhere in the 6% to 6.5% range over the coming weeks, with a chance that they’ll even dip below 6%. But it’s unlikely they will return to their pandemic-era lows, he said.

“Though they are falling, mortgage rates nonetheless remain relatively high compared to where they stood through most of the last decade,” he said. “What’s more, home prices remain at or near record highs in many areas.” Despite the Fed’s move, “there are a lot of people who won’t be able to buy until the market becomes cheaper,” Channel said.

Auto loans

Even though auto loans are fixed, higher vehicle prices and high borrowing costs have stretched car buyers “to their financial limits,” according to Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds’ head of insights.

The average rate on a five-year new car loan is now more than 7%, up from 4% when the Fed started raising rates, according to Edmunds. However, rate cuts from the Fed will take some of the edge off the rising cost of financing a car — likely bringing rates below 7% — helped in part by competition between lenders and more incentives in the market.

“Many Americans have been holding off on making vehicle purchases in the hopes that prices and interest rates would come down, or that incentives would make a return,” Caldwell said. “A Fed rate cut wouldn’t necessarily drive all those consumers back into showrooms right away, but it would certainly help nudge holdout car buyers back into more of a spending mood.”

Student loans

Federal student loan rates are also fixed, so most borrowers won’t be immediately affected by a rate cut. However, if you have a private loan, those loans may be fixed or have a variable rate tied to the Treasury bill or other rates, which means once the Fed starts cutting interest rates, the rates on those private student loans will come down over a one- or three-month period, depending on the benchmark, according to higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz. 

Eventually, borrowers with existing variable-rate private student loans may be able to refinance into a less expensive fixed-rate loan, he said. But refinancing a federal loan into a private student loan will forgo the safety nets that come with federal loans, such as deferments, forbearances, income-driven repayment and loan forgiveness and discharge options.

Additionally, extending the term of the loan means you ultimately will pay more interest on the balance.

Savings rates

While the central bank has no direct influence on deposit rates, the yields tend to be correlated to changes in the target federal funds rate.

As a result of Fed rate hikes, top-yielding online savings account rates have made significant moves and are now paying more than 5% — the most savers have been able to earn in nearly two decades — up from around 1% in 2022, according to Bankrate.

If you haven’t opened a high-yield savings account or locked in a certificate of deposit yet, you’ve likely already missed the rate peak, according to Matt Schulz, LendingTree’s credit analyst. However, “yields aren’t going to fall off a cliff immediately after the Fed cuts rates,” he said.

Although those rates have likely maxed out, it is still worth your time to make either of those moves now before rates fall even further, he advised.

One-year CDs are now averaging 1.78% but top-yielding CD rates pay more than 5%, according to Bankrate, as good as or better than a high-yield savings account.

Subscribe to CNBC on YouTube.

Continue Reading

Personal Finance

Cash may feel safe when stocks slide, but it has risks

Published

on

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on April 10, 2025.

Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Investors may feel an impulse to move to cash amid the recent tumult in the stock market. While cash might feel safer than stocks, it can also pose risks for long-term savers, financial advisors say.

Cash — like money held in a high-yield bank savings account or a money market fund — is substantially less volatile than stocks over the short term, experts said.

But cash has historically delivered lower returns than stocks over the long term. Holding on to more cash than you need — rather than investing it — raises the risk that you may not achieve your investing goals.

The upshot: Cash-heavy investors may find it challenging to achieve their long-term investment goals, and may have to save more of their discretionary income as a result, Vanguard wrote in a paper that analyzed stock and cash returns.

Investors fled stocks for perceived safe havens as U.S. stock benchmarks were whipsawed by tariff and trade proclamations from the Trump administration and retaliatory measures announced by major trade partners like China.

Following a White House announcement of country-specific tariffs earlier this month, the S&P 500 had its worst two-day stretch since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic, losing about 11%.

Meanwhile, April 7 saw the highest volume of 401(k) plan trading since March 12, 2020, according to Alight Solutions, a retirement plan administrator. About 94% of proceeds moved to conservative assets like money market, bond and stable-value funds, according to Alight.

The pros and cons of cash

Cash does have some benefits.

For instance, it’s there when investors need money for emergencies and major purchases, even if there’s an upheaval in the stock market, said Carolyn McClanahan, a certified financial planner and founder of Life Planning Partners in Jacksonville, Florida.

“Everyone should have some cash and some equities,” McClanahan, a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor Council, wrote in an e-mail.

But cash “has a long history” of offering negative “real” returns, meaning returns after accounting for inflation, according to Morningstar.

In other words, consumers who hold a portfolio that’s 100% in cash actually lose wealth over time after accounting for inflation, experts said. If interest rates on cash don’t keep pace with rising prices, consumers lose purchasing power.

Meanwhile, stocks have the potential for high growth, especially over the long term, but also come with risks, McClanahan said.

More from Personal Finance:
3 ways to keep money safe amid market volatility
What advisors are telling clients after bond sell-off
Is now a good time to buy gold?

“The ups and downs of the markets can be nauseating, and you might have to bank losses if you need your money and can’t ride out market downturns,” McClanahan said.

“Every portfolio should be diversified across safe and risky assets based on the client’s financial and psychological ability to take risk,” she wrote.

How to think of cash and stock mix

Investors who are still in the “accumulation” savings phase — i.e., people in their working years still saving a portion of their income — should hold enough cash for emergencies in a fund that’s easily accessible, McClanahan said.

They should also hold any cash they might need for purchases in the next five years, like a home down payment, car purchase or tuition expenses, she said.

Managing your money through volatility

Even retirees generally need to allocate some of their portfolio to stocks: They may lean on their portfolios to fund their lifestyle over three or more decades, meaning some investment growth is necessary to avoid running out of money, according to experts.

All investors should have an investment strategy that spells out “how much they will have allocated to equities, fixed income [bonds], and cash and they should stick with this investment policy through all markets, good and bad,” McClanahan wrote in an e-mail.

Continue Reading

Personal Finance

How a trade war could impact the price of clothing

Published

on

Women shop for clothing from a Gap outlet store in Los Angeles, California on April 10, 2025. 

Frederic J. Brown | Afp | Getty Images

Few consumer products are immune from the impact of new tariffs on goods imported into the United States, but apparel may be among the hardest hit.

A trade war could significantly raise the price of clothing for consumers. Since a large portion of U.S. clothing and shoes are imported, tariffs on those goods would increase the cost for both the importers and, ultimately, the consumer, experts say.

“The 2025 tariffs disproportionately affect clothing and textiles, with consumers facing 64% higher apparel prices in the short-run,” according to forecasts by the Yale University Budget Lab. “Apparel prices will stay 27% higher in the long-run.”

For now, the Trump Administration has opted for a universal tariff rate of 10%. Earlier this month, the White House imposed 145% tariffs on products from China. President Donald Trump recently granted exclusions from steep tariffs on smartphones, computers and some other electronics imported largely from China.

“We are concerned about the escalating trade war with China. Ultimately no one wins,” said Julia Hughes president of the United States Fashion Industry Association.

More from Personal Finance:
Is now a good time to buy gold? What you need to know
Majority of Americans financially stressed from tariff turmoil
Why the stock market hates tariffs and trade wars

“This policy continues to subject U.S. imports of our industry’s largest trading partner to an unsustainable tax,” Steve Lamar, the American Apparel & Footwear Association’s president and CEO, said in a prepared statement. 

Tariffs, particularly on clothing and materials, which are not made at scale in the U.S., will lead to higher prices for consumers and will only fuel inflation, according to the American Apparel & Footwear Association.

The U.S. receives 97% percent of clothing and shoes from other countries, but primarily China and Vietnam, a 2024 report by the American Apparel & Footwear Association found.

Tariffs ‘will be passed along to the consumer’

“Tariffs are a tax paid by the U.S. importer that will be passed along to the end consumer. Tariffs will not be paid by foreign countries or suppliers,” the National Retail Federation’s executive vice president of government relations David French said in a statement.

As part of the new high tariffs on China, Trump also revoked a popular tax loophole known as de minimis. The exemption allowed many e-commerce companies to send goods worth less than $800 into the U.S. duty-free. The loophole also allowed American shoppers to buy low-cost goods directly from retailers in China and Hong Kong.

Some popular clothing brands, like Shein and Temu imported from China, could face an immediate impact and will likely funnel those extra costs to customers in the way of higher prices, which would hit low- and middle-class Americans particularly hard.

How consumers plan to cushion the blow

Three-quarters of consumers said they’re already engaging in “trade-down” behavior when purchasing clothing and footwear, according to recent research by Empower.

In the years since high inflation made clothing more expensive, a shift was already starting.

Shoppers downgraded to more affordable second-hand merchandise and embraced buying “dupes” — short for duplicates.

“If you can’t afford Louis Vuitton, you are going to buy Coach. If you can’t afford Coach, you are going to buy the knock off,” said Shawn Grain Carter, an associate professor at the Fashion Institute of Technology, part of the State University of New York.

Historically, trade restrictions drive up the cost of authentic goods, creating the perfect conditions for counterfeiters to flood the market with cheaper, harder-to-detect fakes, according to Vidyuth Srinivasan, co-founder and CEO of Entrupy, an authentication service.

With Trump’s recent executive order eliminating duty-free de minimis treatment for low-value imports, the flow of counterfeit goods will also be more expensive and logistically challenging, Srinivasan explained.

However, “counterfeiters are incredibly agile,” he said. “When one route is blocked, they’ll adapt, seeking alternative distribution channels to continue flooding the market with fakes.”

Alternatively, “there might be a little more of a lean into the second-hand market because it just seems more affordable,” Srinivasan said. 

Value, quality and style and not obsolesce of clothing wins, says Mickey Drexler

Faced with higher costs, 67% of consumers plan to change their shopping habits, according to another recent report by Bid-on-Equipment. Among the top strategies, 46% say they will shop at thrift or second-hand stores. Other ways to save include comparison shopping or buying fewer imported goods. The survey polled more than 1,000 adults in January.

In another survey by shopping app Smarty, 50% of respondents said they’re more likely to consider secondhand goods or local alternatives because of tariff-induced price hikes.

“Tariffs are already prompting my customers to even more actively seek alternatives when it comes to luxury designer goods,” said Christos Garkinos, the CEO and founder of online reseller Covet By Christos.

“On the one hand, customers who are looking to make some extra money in this volatile economy are considering selling off parts of their designer collections,” Garkinos said.

“On the flip side, so many of my existing customers are doubling down on resale,” he said, “because they know that there is no tariff to pay and they can still get their hands on luxury goods without paying that extra premium right now.”

The U.S. resale market is experiencing significant growth, with projections indicating it will continue to expand rapidly over the next few years. This growth is being driven by factors like rising consumer preference for second-hand options, especially among younger generations, and the increasing adoption of online resale platforms, experts say.

Re-commerce — which encompasses the buying and selling of pre-owned, refurbished or secondhand goods  — is projected to increase 55%, reaching $291.6 billion by 2029. That would outpace the overall retail market, with resale potentially accounting for 8% of total retail by 2029, according to a 2024 report by OfferUp, an online marketplace for buying and selling new and used items.

Still, there aren’t enough second-hand products to satisfy consumer demand, Hughes said. “The quantities aren’t there.”

For now, the apparel industry must wait and see what will happen with potential trade agreements going forward, just as back-to-school inventory — one of the most important shopping seasons of the year — is set to start shipping, Hughes said.

“The chaos is still rippling through,” she added. “This is a real time of uncertainty.”

Subscribe to CNBC on YouTube.

Continue Reading

Personal Finance

The first quarter estimated tax deadline for 2025 is April 15

Published

on

Georgijevic | E+ | Getty Images

If you’re scrambling to file your taxes, you could miss another key due date on April 15: the first-quarter estimated tax deadline for 2025. 

Typically, quarterly payments apply to income without tax withholdings, such as self-employment earnings, rental income, interest, dividends or gig economy work. Similarly, retirees and investors “frequently need to make these payments,” the IRS said in a news release last week. 

The first quarter deadline for 2025 “could be a surprise” if you’re newly self-employed or recently started contract work, said Misty Erickson, tax content manager at the National Association of Tax Professionals. 

More from Personal Finance:
With time running out, here are some tax tips for last-minute filers
Can’t pay your taxes by April 15? You have options, IRS says
See if you qualify for the $1,400 IRS stimulus check before the deadline

Those individuals could experience “sticker shock” when it’s time to file 2025 taxes or be subject to future penalties, Erickson said.

Generally, you must make quarterly payments if you expect to owe at least $1,000 for the current tax year, according to the IRS.

The April 15 deadline applies to earnings from Jan. 1 through March 31. The other 2025 quarterly due dates are June 16, Sept. 15 and Jan. 15, 2026.

If you skip one of the payments, you could trigger an interest-based penalty calculated with the current interest rate. The fee compounds daily.

Follow the ‘safe harbor’ guidelines

Generally, you can avoid IRS penalties by following the “safe harbor” guidelines, certified public accountant Brian Long, senior tax advisor at Wealth Enhancement in Minneapolis, previously told CNBC

To satisfy the safe harbor rule, you must pay at least 90% of your 2025 tax liability or 100% of your 2024 taxes, whichever is smaller.

The threshold jumps to 110% if your 2024 adjusted gross income was $150,000 or more, which you can find on line 11 of Form 1040 from your 2024 tax return.

However, the safe harbor only protects an individual from an IRS underpayment penalty. If you don’t pay enough, you could still owe a balance for 2025, experts say.

Tax Tip: IRA Deadline

Where to pay your quarterly taxes 

There are “several options” for estimated tax payments, according to the IRS.

You can pay by mail, online via IRS Direct Pay or the Treasury Department’s Electronic Federal Tax Payment System. You can also use a debit card, credit card or digital wallet.  

Your IRS online account “streamlines the payment process” because you can monitor pending transactions, see history and other key tax filing information, according to the agency.

The online account makes it easier to correct mistakes “sooner rather than later,” Erickson said. “I have heard stories of payments being misapplied, so this is a way to double-check.” 

If you mail the payment, experts recommend sending it via certified mail with a return receipt for proof.

Continue Reading

Trending