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What the VP picks could mean for your wallet

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Democratic vice presidential candidate and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz (L), and Republican Vice Presidential candidate Sen. JD Vance (R-OH).

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Housing

Affordable housing is an important topic for many Americans and both Walz and Vance have addressed the issue.

In May 2023, Walz signed housing legislation that included $200 million in down payment assistance. The bill also had $200 million for housing infrastructure and $40 million for workforce housing.

“We expect Walz to be an advocate for demand-side approaches to housing,” Jaret Seiberg, analyst at TD Cowen wrote in a July statement. “These are the type of housing ideas we would expect in a Harris administration,” she wrote.

Demand-side approaches to housing aim to help individual households by improving housing quality or reducing monthly housing costs.

Meanwhile, Vance, who is also a proponent of affordable housing, highlighted the issue in his Republican National Convention acceptance speech and along the campaign trail.

“Prior to running for Senate, Vance argued that one key to tackling poverty is to address affordable housing,” and he has opposed institutional ownership of rental homes and Chinese buyers for U.S. real estate, Seiberg wrote.

Child tax credit

Without action from Congress, trillions of tax breaks enacted by Trump are scheduled to expire after 2025, including the child tax credit, which will drop from $2,000 to $1,000 per child. 

Congress in 2021 approved a temporary expansion of the child tax credit, including upfront monthly payments, which reduced the child poverty rate to a historic low of 5.2% for 2021, according to a Columbia University analysis.

Following the federal policy, Minnesota enacted a refundable state-level child tax credit in 2023, which Walz described as “signature accomplishment.”    

Minnesota’s new child tax credit is unusual in its narrowness, but it is the most generous in the nation for low-income households.

Jared Walczak

Vice president of state projects at the Tax Foundation

“Minnesota’s new child tax credit is unusual in its narrowness,” said Jared Walczak, vice president of state projects at the Tax Foundation. “But it is the most generous in the nation for low-income households.” 

However, a permanent federal child tax credit expansion could be difficult, particularly amid a divided Congress and increasing concerns over the federal budget deficit.

Walz’s campaign did not respond to CNBC’s request for comment.

Senate Republicans blocked a federal child tax credit expansion last week, and Sen. Mike Crapo, R-Idaho, the ranking member of the Senate Finance Committee, described the vote as a “blatant attempt to score political points.”

Despite the failed procedural vote, Crapo voiced openness to negotiating a “child tax credit solution that a majority of Republicans can support.”

Democrats scheduled the vote partially in response to Vance, who has positioned himself as a pro-family candidate. Vance was not present for the Senate vote, but has expressed support for the child tax credit.

Vance’s campaign did not respond to CNBC’s request for comment. 

Student loans

Vance has spoken out against student loan forgiveness policies.

“Forgiving student debt is a massive windfall to the rich, to the college educated, and most of all to the corrupt university administrators of America,” Vance, a Yale Law School graduate wrote on X in April 2022. “Republicans must fight this with every ounce of our energy and power.”

Outstanding education debt in the U.S. stands at around $1.6 trillion. Nearly 43 million people — or 1 in 6 adult Americans — carry student loans. Women and people of color are most burdened by the debt.

Kamala Harris picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as running mate

Vance does seem to approve of loan forgiveness in extreme cases. In May, he helped introduce legislation that would excuse parents from student loans they took on for a child who became permanently disabled.

Jane Fox, chapter chair of the Legal Aid Society Attorneys union, UAW local 2325, said it was hypocritical and incorrect of Vance to frame debt relief as a benefit to those who are well off.

“Student debt forgiveness is a working-class issue,” Fox said. “Those in the 1% who went to elite institutions and then worked in private equity as Senator Vance did rarely need debt relief.”

Vance’s campaign did not respond to CNBC’s request for comment.   

Meanwhile, Walz, a former school teacher, has supported programs to alleviate the burden of student debt on people, said higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz.

He signed a student loan forgiveness program for nurses into law in Minnesota, Kantrowitz said, as well as a free tuition initiative for low-income students.

“As my daughter prepares to head off to college next year, affordability and student loan debt are at the front of our minds,” Walz wrote on Facebook in 2018. “Every Minnesotan deserves a shot at a great education without being held back by soaring costs and student loan debt.”

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Here are steps you can take to avoid overspending next holiday season

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Ezra Bailey | Stone | Getty Images

Opening presents during the holidays is of course a lot of fun. But for many, opening those credit card statements will be just the opposite.

Months before the holidays hit, consumers were already bracing for the anticipated costs.

More than half of 2024 holiday shoppers, or 55%, felt stress at the costs associated with the season, according to a survey conducted online in September by The Harris Poll on behalf of NerdWallet.

Still, 32% of consumers thought it was important to purchase holiday gifts and experiences to show their love for family and friends, despite the expenses, the survey found.

“The holidays are hyped 24/7 for weeks before the actual days,” said Carrie Rattle, a financial therapist in New York. “This builds a level of almost manic euphoria and gives us permission to ignore a spending plan, achieve instant gratification and worry about the aftershocks later.”

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Those aftershocks are likely being felt right around now.

To that point, 10% of holiday shoppers this year were considering tapping their emergency savings for gifts, according to NerdWallet. Meanwhile, 9% said they’d prioritize their gift purchases over debt payments or other bills. (Some 2,000 adults ages 18 and older were polled.)

To avoid overspending during the holidays, people need to plan ahead and create a spending budget, experts say. There are steps you can take now to avoid a repeat next year.

Plan ahead and ‘bookend your shopping time’

It’s best to start thinking about big purchases, such as for the holidays, “when you are calm and rational,” Rattle said. That will likely be far in advance of when those events take place.

“Before the tide of emotional shopping overtakes you, know what you want to spend,” Rattle said.

This way, you can also take your time deciding what gifts you want to get people and to research the costs.

It can be a good idea to save throughout the year for the holidays, said Kristen Euretig, a certified financial planner and founder of Brooklyn Plans.

“You can simply set aside a monthly amount to a dedicated savings account and reserve it for holiday expenses,” Euretig said.

Starting early will also allow you to take advantage of different sales that pop up throughout the year, Euretig added.

Rattle recommends people make a list of the gifts they want to buy far in advance, and then space out their purchases to avoid breaking your budget.

“Buy once a week,” she said. “Bookend your shopping time by having an obligation before shopping, and right after your targeted completion time.”

“When you control your purchasing time you also control browsing,” Rattle added.

You can also be on the lookout for which of the gifts you bought people were actually put to use, she said.

“Reflecting on this helps you realistically separate what is truly valued by the receiver,” Rattle added.

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5 advisors offer important tips for managing your money in 2025

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Personal finances are top of mind for many households as they get set to ring in the new year.

About 38% of Americans ranked financial stability as their No. 1 focus area for 2025, according to a recent Allianz Life survey.

CNBC reached out to certified financial planners on its Financial Advisor Council to list their top resolutions for households as they look ahead to the coming year.

Here’s the financial advice they offered.

Kamila Elliott, Co-founder and CEO of Collective Wealth Partners

Kamila Elliott, CFP, is co-founder and CEO of Collective Wealth Partners in Atlanta.

Kamila Elliott

Create and stick to your budget! Max out on retirement contributions and create one personal financial goal such as paying off credit cards or investing an additional $100 a month in an investment account.

Barry Glassman, Founder and president of Glassman Wealth Services

It starts and ends with knowing where the money is going. I encourage people to track their spending for a period of time, maybe going back to three months’ worth of credit card and Apple Pay payments. It’s incredible what behaviors will change once people just know the truth.

Marguerita Cheng, CEO of Blue Ocean Global Wealth

Courtesy Marguerita Cheng

I’m going to say estate planning. It’s important for everyone to address — even for an 18-year-old heading off to college in Fall 2025. I had my daughter complete a health care and financial power of attorney before I sent her off to college.

If people feel overwhelmed with the estate planning process, I remind people that it’s a process. Start with a financial and health care power of attorney.

You can then focus on beneficiary designations. Next, a will and trust, if the trust is appropriate for your situation. This process also helps individuals track down retirement plans from former employers. Estate planning is a wonderful opportunity to revisit life insurance as well.

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Lee Baker, founder, owner and president of Claris Financial Advisors

1. It’s not a popular subject but take the time review all your insurance coverages: 

Auto and home in particular have jumped significantly for many people. Don’t forget about disability and life insurance. As long as you can get up and earn a living, you can replace your car or rebuild your home. What happens if you can’t generate an income?

Why so many young adults are still living with their parents

2. Spend some time reviewing your tax strategies and retirement planning: 

  • Required minimum distributions: Do you ‘need’ them? Would making Qualified Charitable Distributions improve your overall picture?
  • Tax loss harvesting: Here’s an opportunity to improve your overall portfolio performance.
  • Employee benefits: Are you fully taking advantage of a health savings account (if available) and retirement plan contributions?

3. Review your cash flow:

If you spent more than you should have over the holidays, now is a good time to make a plan to get rid of that financial hangover as well as making a plan to avoid it next year. Take a look at your personal interest rate environment. We have gotten a few rate cuts from the Federal Reserve so far. There may be more but either way take stock of your situation.

Cathy Curtis, founder and CEO of Curtis Financial Planning

1. Automate savings:

One of the best features of company retirement plans such as 401(k) plans and 403(b) plans is that the contribution amounts are automatically taken out of a person’s paycheck each month, and then the funds are automatically invested in a pre-selected selection of funds.

Since it’s important to save outside of retirement as well for other goals, setting up an automatic withdrawal from a checking account to a savings or investment account is a smart move. First step is to determine how much to save each money based on cash flow and then set up a monthly or quarterly transfer. Once it is set up, it is out of sight and out of mind and the savings will grow.

It starts and ends with knowing where the money is going … It’s incredible what behaviors will change once people just know the truth.

Barry Glassman

Founder and president of Glassman Wealth Services

2. Manage overspending:

In order to get a handle on overspending, the first step is to identify the spending weaknesses. It could be household furnishings, electronic equipment, clothing, travel, or jewelry, etc. Then, write down how much was spent in the problem category. A good way to find the numbers is to look at the year-end credit card statements. Then, write down a number that is 20-30% below the amount spent in 2024 and make that a new budget and target for 2025. Track spending each month on a spreadsheet or app to keep the spending goal top of mind.

3. Stay invested no matter the headline news:

If the end of 2024 is any indication, 2025 is likely to be a turbulent year in the stock market. With a new presidential administration coming in, global wars, inflation and uncertainty around the projection of interest rates, that is much to worry about. But decades of history show us that the market will go up over longer periods and the smartest move a long-term investor can make is to keep investing and stay invested.

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As ETF assets top $10 trillion for first time, here are trends to watch

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Pedestrians walk in front of the New York Stock Exchange, decorated with a giant U.S. flag, in New York City, Nov. 6, 2024.

China News Service | China News Service | Getty Images

Assets in U.S. exchange-traded funds in November topped $10 trillion for the first time, according to the latest data from Cerulli Associates.

ETFs — funds that invest in stocks, bonds or other assets and trade on national stock exchanges — reached $156 billion in flows for November, surpassing previous monthly flow records.

The activity is “on par with elevated activity typically seen toward the end of the year,” Cerulli reported.

Research from Morningstar pointed to a “Trump bump” that helped U.S. funds — including both ETFs and mutual funds — take in $115 billion in November, the highest total since April 2021.

As 2024 comes to a close, these are a few of the ETF trends that dominated the year, based on the latest data.

S&P 500 among 2024 fund winners

Year to date, the S&P 500 index is up almost 24%, as of Monday.

The S&P 500 rally, buoyed by the Magnificent Seven stocks — Apple, Microsoft, Google parent Alphabet, Amazon.com, Nvidia, Meta Platforms and Tesla — helped account for about half of the index’s gains for the year, according to data and analytics company VettaFi.

Four of the top 10 ETFs for 2024 by flows track the S&P 500 index, according to Cerulli.

The Vanguard 500 Index Fund ranks No. 1 for 2024 year-to-date inflows, according to Cerulli, followed by iShares Core S&P 500 ETF, iShares Bitcoin Trust, Invesco QQQ Trust, Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund, iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF, SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF, Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund, Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF and Vanguard Growth Index Fund.

Malcolm Ethridge, a certified financial planner and founder and managing partner at Capital Area Planning Group, said he often uses S&P 500 ETFs in client portfolios because they allow for access to company names that would be in any large-cap growth strategy for significantly reduced costs.

While an actively managed fund may charge 50 or 75 basis points, a passive S&P 500 ETF may only charge 10 basis points, he said.

The S&P 500 index, which has had a record run, may be poised to continue to do well as the index rebalances to reflect current market leaders.

“I think this is a case where SPY [SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust] probably outperforms the majority of fund managers in 2025,” Ethridge said.

S&P 500 could get close to 7,000 in the first half of next year, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee

Alternative ETFs see record growth

Meanwhile, alternative ETFs in November crossed $400 billion in net assets for the first time, according to Cerulli.

Moreover, the year-over-year asset growth rate for alternative ETFs — at 93% — was highest among all asset classes.

Most of the total alternative ETF market share — 80%, or around $325 billion — comprises digital assets, trading-leveraged equity and derivative income ETFs, according to Cerulli.

Financial advisors reported having just a 3.6% allocation to alternatives in 2024, though that is expected to increase, according to Cerulli. Within existing alternatives allocations, 14.4% is done through the use of ETFs, the firm found.

Crypto ETFs are ‘here to stay’

In January, bitcoin ETFs began trading on U.S. exchanges.

Now, spot bitcoin ETFs hold more digital currency than bitcoin founder Satoshi Nakamoto, VettaFi noted. Despite a “more lackluster” rollout for spot ethereum ETFs this year, crypto ETFs are “here to stay,” according to VettaFi.

The top five new ETFs by assets in 2024 are all bitcoin ETFs, according to Cerulli, based on data through November.

They include iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF at No. 1, followed by Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin ETF, ARK 21 Shares Bitcoin ETF, Bitwise Bitcoin ETF, and Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF.

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