Finance
Why Fed chief Powell’s rate cut signal lifted our non-tech stocks the most
Published
10 months agoon
It was a topsy-turvy week for Wall Street, saved by a big Friday rally. The market was looking at a weekly loss at Thursday’s close. But a day later, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell came through, hinting at possible interest rate cuts ahead. His speech on Friday at the central bank’s economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, was just what investors had hoped to hear, and the stocks that can benefit the most led the market. The cyclical, more economically sensitive names were strong with DuPont and Home Depot among the winners Friday and for the week. Defensive groups lagged, which put Bristol Myers Squibb and Costco in the red for the session and the week. While lower rates lift all boats, some of our big tech stocks finished up only slightly Friday but down for the week. Why? Well, the number of rate cuts this year won’t impact names like Meta Platforms or a Microsoft quite as much. Instead, their fortunes are more tied to the boom in artificial intelligence rather than lower borrowing costs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new all-time high Friday, closing at a record and exceeding its previous record close from early December. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rallied on Friday too, but it was not enough to eclipse last week’s milestones. While the Dow and S & P 500 both advanced overall this week, the tech-heavy Nasdaq posted a weekly loss. “In the end, Powell managed to thread the needle perfectly and, as a result, all three major averages are rallying,” Zev Fima, a portfolio analyst for the CNBC Investing Club, wrote in a Friday analysis. “When we look underneath the hood of the S & P 500, the leading sector is consumer discretionary — and that makes sense because lower rates mean more money discretionary money in consumers’ pockets.” It was a big week for Disney as well. The company finally launched its new ESPN flagship streaming app Thursday, allowing the sports channel to become a standalone streaming service. The product was designed to expand access for existing subscribers and sports fans outside of the traditional streaming bundle to all of ESPN’s content. “We think this will contribute nicely to ESPN’s bottom line over time as engagement grows,” Disney CEO Bob Iger told CNBC on Thursday. Some on Wall Street, however, were concerned when management said that Disney would not break out subscriber numbers for the new ESPN offering. After all, many people view them as a key metric to evaluating the success of streaming platforms. But Iger said that subscriber figures are “irrelevant,” and that Disney is taking more of an “agnostic” strategy instead. “We don’t feel like the way to measure this is immediate, nor do we feel like the way to measure this is in just subscribers,” the CEO added. Three Club names reported quarterly earnings this week. On Monday evening, Palo Alto Networks posted a better-than-expected quarter and issued upside guidance for fiscal year 2026. The cybersecurity company beat estimates across all key metrics, including revenue, adjusted earnings per share (EPS), adjusted free cash flow margin, next-generation security annual recurring revenue (ARR), and total remaining performance obligation (RPO). The upbeat fiscal outlook gave us reassurance about Palo Alto’s planned $25 billion acquisition of CyberArk, which recently sent the stock tanking on worries that the offer was made because the core business was not doing well. That turned out not to be the case. The stock was among our biggest weekly winners with a 5% gain. Club holdings CrowdStrike and Nvidia will both report earnings next Wednesday. Home Depot posted mixed results on Tuesday morning, missing analysts’ estimates on the top and bottom lines. That was a first for the home improvement retailer since 2014. Still, the stock surged after management made it clear during the post-earnings conference call that momentum seen in the quarter was set to continue, barring any unforeseen economic shocks. We’re still confident in key catalysts for Home Depot shares, such as lower rates and its push further into the pro market with big acquisitions. The stock was among our best performers of the week, with a gain of over 3%. It was also among the top of the Dow 30, too. TJX Companies released an impressive quarterly earnings report Wednesday. Management increased the discounted retailer’s full-year outlook, and the company saw strength in all of its operating segments, causing the stock to be one of the top performers in the S & P 500 that session. As a result, the Club raised our TJX price target to $150 apiece from $145, and reiterated a buy-equivalent 1 rating on shares. The stock pulled back modestly Friday but still gained nearly 3% this week. We executed only one trade. The Club purchased more shares of our newest holding, Cisco Systems , on Tuesday morning. The stock experienced a big decline following its earnings release last week — a reaction we saw as overblown. Although the quarter wasn’t clean, Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins did a solid job assuaging investor concerns and breaking down why the security business experienced a revenue miss. The stock finished the week 1.7% higher. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long DD, HD, BMY, COST, TJX, DIS, META, MSFT, PANW, CRWD, NVDA, CSCO. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
You may like
Finance
Gen X can’t retire on time as inflation outpaces wages, survey finds
Published
1 month agoon
May 8, 2026
Alliance Global Partners chief global strategist Mark Grant discusses his income tax strategy for retirees on ‘Varney & Co.’
For the generation that should be in its “peak savings years,” the prospect of retiring on time has shifted from a plan to a prayer.
A newly released Employee Financial Wellness Survey by PwC found that nearly 50% of Gen X employees are pushing back their retirement dates, citing stagnant wages, rising everyday costs, and a lack of liquid savings.
Additionally, only 38% of Gen Xers believe they can retire when they originally planned, and more than half of this demographic expect to withdraw funds from their retirement accounts early to cover short-term costs.
“For employers, this isn’t a future problem. Financial anxiety during peak career years can affect focus and engagement,” PwC researchers write. “If the risks are clear, the question is why more employees aren’t taking action. It’s not a lack of desire. Most employees want stability, confidence and to feel in control. But many don’t feel equipped to get there.”
TEEN INVESTOR BOOM: WHY WALL STREET IS CHASING YOUNGEST GENERATIONS EARLIER THAN EVER
The primary driver of this retirement delay is the inability to save as inflation eats away at monthly expenses, the report notes. Twenty-five percent of the total workforce is living without a buffer, and nearly half cannot meet basic household expenses.

Nearly half of Gen X workers are delaying retirement, PwC reports. (Getty Images)
“[Forty-nine percent] say their compensation isn’t keeping up with costs. As expenses rise faster than income, day-to-day trade-offs are becoming routine. Employees aren’t just feeling squeezed. They’re making difficult financial decisions to stay afloat,” the PwC report continues..
As a result, when Gen Xers cannot afford to leave their current jobs, the entire corporate ladder stalls, creating business risks, with companies facing higher costs as older talent remains on payroll longer than expected.
BlackRock Global Head of Retirement Solutions Nick Nefouse joins ‘Varney & Co.’ to discuss a proposed rule expanding 401(k)s to crypto and real estate.
“When employees dip into retirement funds early or delay retirement altogether, it affects more than personal finances and retirement plan leakage,” the report says. “It may also influence workforce planning, healthcare costs, succession timing and overall organizational stability.”
The findings also show that a significant portion – 41% – of the workforce feel they were never given the tools to manage a crisis of this magnitude, leading to a sense of being “overwhelmed” by financial choices.
GET FOX BUSINESS ON THE GO BY CLICKING HERE
‘The Big Money Show’ breaks down new IRS limits for 401(k)s and IRAs, giving savers more room to invest for retirement.
PwC provided a call to action for employees and their employers, encouraging them to reduce the stigma around financial education, foster trust through human coaches, emphasize skill building and focus on day-to-day finances before long-term goals.
“Employees define financial wellness simply: less stress, fewer surprises and the freedom to make financial choices with confidence. For employers, that’s the opportunity.”
Finance
Why software stocks, 2026’s market dogs, have joined the rally
Published
2 months agoon
April 19, 2026

Cybersecurity and enterprise software stocks have been market dogs in 2026, with fears that AI will wipe out a wide range of companies in the enterprise space dominating the narrative. But they snapped a brutal losing streak this past week, joining in the broader market rally that saw all losses from the U.S.-Iran war regained by the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500.
Cybersecurity has been “a victim of some of the AI-related headlines,” Christian Magoon, Amplify ETFs CEO, said on this week’s “ETF Edge.”
It wasn’t just niche cybersecurity names. Take Microsoft, for example, which was recently down close to 20% for the year. Its shares surged last week by 13%.
A big driver of the pummeling in software stocks was a rotation within tech by investors to AI infrastructure and semiconductors and some other names in large-cap tech, Magoon said, and since cybersecurity stocks and ETFs are heavily weighted towards software companies, they were left behind even as those businesses continue to grow on a fundamental basis.
But Wall Street now has become more bullish with the stocks at lower levels. Brent Thill, Jefferies tech analyst, said last week that the worst may be over for software stocks. “I think that this concept that software is dead, and then Anthropic and OpenAI are going to kill the entire industry, is just over-exaggerated,” he said on CNBC’s “Money Movers” on Wednesday.
“Big Short” investor Michael Burry wrote in a Substack post on Wednesday that he is becoming bullish about software stocks after the recent selloff. “Software stocks remain interesting because of accelerated extreme declines last week arising from a reflexive positive feedback loop between falling software stocks and changes in the market for their bank debt,” he wrote.
The Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG), is down about 12% since the beginning of the year, with top holdings including Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, Akamai Technologies and CrowdStrike. But BUG was up 12% last week. The First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) is down 6% for the year, but up 9% in the past week.
Piper Sandler analyst Rob Owens reiterated an “overweight” rating on Palo Alto Networks which helped the stock pop 7% — it is now down roughly 6% on the year. Its peers saw similar moves, including CrowdStrike.
Performance of Global X cybersecurity ETF versus S&P 500 over past one-year period.
Magoon said expectations may have become too high in cybersecurity, and with a crowding effect among investors, solid results were not enough to to push stocks higher. But the down-and-then-back-up 2026 for the sector is also a reminder that when stocks fall sharply in a short period of time, opportunity may knock.
“Once you’re down over 10% in some of these subsectors, you start to see the contrarians start to say, ‘well, maybe I’ll take a look at this,'” Magoon said.
He said AI does add both opportunity and uncertainty to the cybersecurity equation, increasing demand but also introducing new competition. But he added, “I think the dip is good to buy in an AI-driven world,” specifically because the risks to companies may lead to more M&A in cyber names that benefits the stocks.
For now, investors may look for opportunity on the margins rather than rush back into beaten-up tech names. “I think investors are still going to remain underweight software,” Thill said.
But Magoon advises investors to at least take the reminder to keep an eye on niches in the market during pronounced downturns. “The best-performing are often the least bought and do the best over the next 12 months versus late-in-the-game piling on,” he said.
While that may have been a mindset that worked against the last investors into cybersecurity and enterprise software in mid-2025 when the negative sentiment started building, at least for now, it’s started working for the stocks in the sector again.
Meanwhile, this year’s biggest winner is also a good example of what can be an extended trade in either a bullish or bearish direction. Last year, institutional ownership of energy was at multi-year lows, Magoon said, referencing Bank of America data. “Reverse sentiment can be a great indicator,” he said.
But he cautioned that any selective buying of stocks that have dipped does have to contend with the risk that there is a potentially bigger drawdown in the market yet to come in 2026. That is because midterm election years historically have been marked by large drawdowns. “If you think it is bad right now, it could get a lot worse,” Magoon said. But he added that there’s a silver-lining in that data, too, for the patient investor. The market has posted very strong 12-month returns after midterm election drawdowns end. So, for investors with a longer-term time horizon and no need for short-term liquidity, Magoon said, “stick in there.”
Sign up for our weekly newsletter that goes beyond the livestream, offering a closer look at the trends and figures shaping the ETF market.
Finance
Violent downturns could test new ETF strategies, warns MFS Investment
Published
2 months agoon
April 17, 2026

New innovation in the exchange-traded fund industry could come at a cost to investors during extreme conditions.
According to MFS Investment Management’s Jamie Harrison, ETFs involved in increasingly complex derivatives and less transparent markets may be in uncharted territory when it comes to violent downturns.
“Those would be something that you’d want to keep an eye on as volatility ramps up,” the firm’s head of ETF capital markets told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “As innovation continues to increase at a rapid pace within the ETF wrapper, [it’s] definitely something that we advise our clients to be really front-footed about… Lack of transparency could absolutely be an issue if we’re going to start seeing some deep sell-offs.”
His firm has been around since 1924 and is known for inventing the open-end mutual fund. Last year, ETF.com named MFS Investment Management as the best new ETF issuer.
“It’s important to do due diligence on the portfolio,” he said. “Having a firm that has deep partnerships, deep bench of subject matter experts that plays with the A-team in terms of the Street and liquidity providers available [are] super important.”
Liquidity as the real issue?
Harrison suggested the real issue is liquidity, particularly during a steep sell-off.
“We’ve all seen the news and the headlines around potential private credit ETFs. That picture becomes much more murky,” he added. “It’s up to advisors, to investors [and] to clients to really dig in and look under the hood and engage with their issuers.”
He noted investors will have to ask some tough questions.
“What does this look like in a 20% drawdown? How does this liquidity facility work? Am I going to be able to get in? Am I going to be able to get out? And if I’m able to get out, am I able to get out at a price that’s tight to NAV [net asset value], and what’s the infrastructure at your shop in terms of managing that consideration for me,” said Harrison.
Amplify ETFs’ Christian Magoon is also concerned about these newer ETF strategies could weather a monster drawdown. He listed private credit as a red flag.
“If your ETF owns private credit, I think it’s worth taking a look at, kind of what the standards are around liquidity and how that ETF is trading, because that should be a bit of a mismatch between the trading pace of ETFs and the underlying asset,” the firm’s CEO said in the same interview.
Magoon also highlighted potential issues surrounding equity-linked notes. The notes provide fixed income security while offering potentially higher returns linked to stocks or equity indexes.
“Those could potentially be in stress due to redemptions and the underlying credit risk. That’s another kind of unique derivative,” Magoon said. “I would very closely look at any ETF that has equity-linked notes should we get into a major drawdown or there be a contagion in private credit or something related to the banking system.”
Gen X can’t retire on time as inflation outpaces wages, survey finds
Are you ready for it? 4 steps to successfully integrate AI into your operations
What that means for consumer loans
Armanino adds Strategic Accounting Outsourced Solutions
New 2023 K-1 instructions stir the CAMT pot for partnerships and corporations
