Connect with us

Personal Finance

Why voters ages 50 and up may decide the 2024 presidential election

Published

on

A person arrives to vote at a polling station on Election Day, in The Villages, Florida. 

Miguel J. Rodriguez Carrillo | Afp | Getty Images

In a heated presidential race, there’s one age cohort — voters ages 50 and up — who may help decide the ultimate winner.

“We expect the 50-plus electorate to be the majority of the electorate, and we think at the end of the day they’re going to determine the outcome of the election, particularly in the swing states,” said John Hishta, senior vice president for campaigns at AARP, an interest group focusing on issues related to individuals 50 and up.

About 90% ages 50 and up say they are extremely motivated to vote, AARP has found, versus 75% of voters under age 50.

Follow: Election 2024 live updates: Trump and Harris await Presidential election results

Much of whether individuals in the 50-plus camp choose the Republican candidate, former President Donald Trump, or the Democratic candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris, comes down to who they perceive to be better for their wallets.

“It’s all related to day-to-day pocketbook issues, and who’s better able to handle those issues moving forward,” Hishta said.

Inflation ranks as a top concern, as well as Social Security due to the high cost of living, he said.

Prescription drug prices, which tend to take up a larger share of household budgets as people age, are also top of mind. Caregiving is another area this cohort is paying attention to, since a substantial portion of people ages 50 and over serve in those roles, he said.

Inflation is still top of mind

To be sure, voters ages 50 and up are not the same. Those ages 50 to 64 tend to lean Republican, while those ages 65 and up are now split about 50/50, Hishta said.

As with voters across the board, there is a gender split. Trump has a “fairly substantial lead” among 50-plus men, Hishta said, while women 50 and up lean toward Harris.

Older Republican women ages 50 and over cite immigration and inflation as their top issues, a KFF survey from earlier this year found. For older Democratic women, threats to Democracy tops their list.

More from Personal Finance:
How the ‘vibecession’ is influencing investors this election
Inflation is cooling, yet many Americans still live paycheck to paycheck
What top advisors are telling investors to expect this election

Kathy Shanks, 74, of Pinellas County, Florida, cites inflation, immigration and overseas spending of taxpayer dollars as the top issues she’s worried about. She cast her ballot early, voting for Trump for president for the third time.

In 2020, President Joe Biden won Pinellas County, while Trump won Florida overall. Consequently, that county on the western coast, which was recently hit by Hurricane Milton, is one to watch this election.

Though Shanks receives Social Security, she still works as a security guard, saying “there’s no way” she could make it on her monthly retirement benefit checks alone.

Even as the pace of inflation has come down from post pandemic highs, Shanks said her cost of living is still high and her car insurance rates recently increased significantly.

Social Security a ‘very important’ issue

Experts are also keeping a close eye on battleground states where support for the Republican and Democratic candidates is particularly close.

Results in eight states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nebraska, Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania — could decide who wins the White House.

Social Security is a key issue for voters, survey finds: Here’s how to maximize benefits

Bill Astle of Oro Valley, Arizona, who is 87, said he voted early for Harris.

Astle, who was previously a faculty member at the Colorado School of Mines, a state university, relies on a pension for income. Though he does not receive Social Security retirement benefits, he worries about the future of the program on behalf of everyone else who relies on it for income.

Most Americans say Social Security is “one of the top” or a “very important” issue in how they will vote this election, a CNBC poll found. The program faces looming trust fund depletion dates as soon as 2033, which may require benefit cuts, unless lawmakers act sooner.

Astle lives a little over 60 miles from the Mexican border, and said the talk of higher crime in the area due to immigration is exaggerated. “It’s one of the safest places in the country,” he said.

‘Very much a purple situation’

While both Shanks and Astle have cast their votes, they lament the lack of communication they have with voters who have opposing political views.

“Our social circle seems to have evolved, and some might say devolved, into largely people who think like we do,” Astle said of he and his wife’s social group.

But local news reports show “it is very much a purple situation,” or a blend of blue Democrats and red Republicans, he said.

Likewise, Shanks said she’d like to hear more from Democratic voters on the reasons why they back Harris.

“People who are voting blue, they won’t tell me why,” Shanks said.

Continue Reading

Personal Finance

New Social Security increases may prompt higher tax bills, Medicare premiums

Published

on

Sdi Productions | E+ | Getty Images

Nearly 3 million individuals are poised to see their Social Security benefits increase, thanks to new changes signed into law by President Joe Biden this week. But with the higher checks could come additional tax burdens.

The Social Security Fairness Act — which passed by a bipartisan majority in both the House and Senate — ends reductions of Social Security benefits for certain individuals who also receive pension income from work in the public sector as firefighters, police officers, teachers and local, state and federal employees.

Those beneficiaries are set to see an increase to their monthly benefit checks. Because the legislation applies to benefits paid throughout 2024, they will also receive lump-sum payments to make up for that time.

The details of how those increases will be implemented are now being determined, according to the Social Security Administration.

In total, the benefit increases will cost $196 billion over a decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office. The additional outlay will move Social Security’s trust fund depletion dates six months closer. The program’s combined trust funds may pay full benefits until 2035, at which point just 83% of scheduled benefits may be payable, the program’s trustees projected last year.

How Social Security benefits may change

About 2.1 million beneficiaries — those who were affected by the Windfall Elimination Provision, or WEP — may see $360 more in monthly benefits on average, according to CBO estimates as of December 2025. The WEP, which has now been eliminated, reduced Social Security benefits for workers who also had pension or disability benefits from jobs where they did not pay Social Security payroll taxes.

More from Personal Finance:
Biden signs Social Security Fairness Act
Big changes to expect from Social Security and Medicare in 2025
73% of workers worry Social Security won’t be able to pay benefits

Additionally, about 380,000 spouses would see average benefit increases of $700 and 390,000 surviving spouses would see an average of $1,190 more, according to CBO’s estimates for December 2025.

Those beneficiaries were affected by the now-defunct Government Pension Offset, or GPO, which reduced Social Security benefits for spouses, widows and widowers who also receive their own pensions from public sector work.

The elimination of the provisions in many ways simplifies retirement income planning for affected beneficiaries, financial advisors say.

“For the people who are affected by this, you’re looking at a pretty significant increase, in many cases, of what their retirement income is going to be,” said Michael Daley, director of marketing at HealthView Services. “It’s good news for them.”

For financial planners and their clients, the challenge now is gauging how much of a benefit increase to expect and when to expect it, said Joe Elsasser, founder and president of Covisum, a Social Security claiming software company.

The extra income may also present some complications when it comes to affected beneficiaries’ taxes and Medicare premiums, experts say.

Beneficiaries could see higher taxes on benefits

Maximizing your Social Security benefits

Individuals pay taxes on up to 50% of their benefits if their combined income is between $25,000 and $34,000, or for married couples with between $32,000 and $44,000.

Individuals may pay taxes on up to 85% of their benefits if their combined income is more than $34,000; or for married couples with more than $44,000.

“Because Social Security benefits are taxed differently than everything else, people are going to really want to pay attention to their other sources of income,” Elsasser said of the anticipated benefit increases and lump sum payments.

For example, if a retiree has both a taxable account and traditional individual retirement account, they may want to prioritize withdrawals from the taxable account because only the gains would be taxed rather than the entire withdrawal, Elsasser explained. In the event the lump-sum payment of retroactive Social Security benefits is not distributed, they may take an IRA withdrawal later in the year.

Beneficiaries may see higher Medicare costs

Additional benefit income for individuals affected by the Social Security Fairness Act may also result in higher income-based surcharges for Medicare Parts B and D.

Medicare beneficiaries with higher incomes must pay what’s known as income-related monthly adjustment amounts, or IRMAAs, for their Part B and Part D premiums.

“If you get a lump sum but you’re not paying attention to your other incomes, you could unwittingly be pushed into higher Medicare premiums two years down the road,” Elsasser said.

That will mostly be a concern for people who are on the cusp of the income thresholds, he said.

In 2025, Medicare Part B beneficiaries who file individual tax returns with $106,000 or less in modified adjusted gross income — or married couples who file jointly with $212,000 or less — pay a standard monthly premium of $185 per month.

Beneficiaries above those income thresholds pay higher Part B premium payments, based on an IRMAA. This year’s rates are based on income on tax returns filed in 2023.

In 2025, Part D beneficiaries over the $106,000 threshold for individuals and $212,000 for married couples are also subject to income-related monthly adjustment amounts in addition to their plan premiums. Those monthly premiums are also based on yearly income reported on tax filings for 2023. In 2025, the national base Part D premium is $36.78.

Steps to take now

Beneficiaries who are affected by the Social Security Fairness Act should consider consulting with a financial advisor to assess the implications of the change on their personal financial circumstances, said Ron Mastrogiovanni, chairman and CEO of HealthView Services.

Additionally, it would help to sit down with a certified public accountant when filing their taxes to plan for 2025, he said.

The Social Security Administration also plans to provide more guidance on the new law as more details become available.

For now, the agency recommends verifying that direct deposit and mailing address it has on file is still accurate. To update that information, the Social Security recommends changing it online or calling or visiting a Social Security office in person.

Some individuals may now become eligible for Social Security benefits for the first time, now that the WEP and GPO provisions have been eliminated.

To file for benefits, the Social Security Administration recommends either filing online or scheduling an appointment with the agency.

Continue Reading

Personal Finance

Taxpayer Advocate urges Congress to preserve IRS funding for service

Published

on

Erin Collins, national taxpayer advocate at the Taxpayer Advocate Service, speaks at a Senate Appropriations subcommittee hearing in Washington, D.C., on May 19, 2021.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

As the IRS faces scrutiny from a Republican-controlled Congress, the agency’s internal watchdog has urged lawmakers to preserve taxpayer service and technology funding.

The National Taxpayer Advocate on Wednesday released its annual report to Congress, which criticized the “extreme imbalance in funding priorities” when comparing the billions of dollars allocated via the Inflation Reduction Act.

While the tens of billions earmarked for enforcement has “generated controversy,” there’s been “strong bipartisan support” for taxpayer services and technology modernization, wrote Erin Collins, national taxpayer advocate.

More from Personal Finance:
Your paycheck could be slightly bigger in 2025 due to tax bracket changes
Cryptocurrency options in 401(k) plans: Here’s what you need to know
Student loan payments could lead to tax break again for many borrowers

Of the original $78.9 billion Inflation Reduction Act funding, the legislation earmarked 58% for enforcement and 32% for operations support, according to the report. By comparison, the budget allocated 4% for taxpayer service and 6% for technology modernization.  

With sufficient funding for services and technology, “taxpayer experiences will become fairer and more efficient, which likely will improve compliance and reduce the need for costly backend enforcement,” Collins wrote.

During fiscal year 2024, the IRS collected $98.7 billion through enforcement, which was less than 2% of all revenue, according to the agency’s 2024 financial report. The remaining 98% of federal taxes were “self-assessed” via annual tax returns and timely payments. 

If Congress reduces enforcement funding, it shouldn’t include commensurate cuts to taxpayer services and technology, which could “inadvertently throw the baby out with the bathwater,” Collins wrote. 

With added costs to “pull itself out of the pandemic” and yearly appropriations held steady amid rising costs over the past few years, the IRS has needed to spend part of its multi-year funding to maintain current operations, she added.  

Tax Tip: Free filing

Congress rescinded $20 billion in IRS funding as part of a 2023 budget deal, and Republicans have vowed to make further cuts. Another $20 billion was automatically clawed back when lawmakers in December extended the 2023 deal to avoid a government shutdown.  

Further IRS funding cuts could be possible in 2025 with Republican control of Congress and the White House.

Continue Reading

Personal Finance

How natural disaster forbearance for student loan borrowers works

Published

on

Fire engulfs a home as the Eaton Fire moves through the area on January 08, 2025 in Altadena, California. 

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

Federal student loan borrowers affected by the wildfires ripping across Southern California have relief options if they’re worried about keeping up with their payments as they recover.

The same holds true for other people with education debt who find themselves grappling with extreme weather and climate disasters.

“Borrowers impacted by natural disasters may qualify for temporary relief from student loan payments,” said Carolina Rodriguez, director of the Education Debt Consumer Assistance Program, based in New York.

More from Personal Finance:
After the holidays comes ‘Returnuary’ 
Economists have ‘really had it wrong’ about recession
Trump tariffs would likely have a cost for consumers

It’s a good idea for borrowers to familiarize themselves with the relief available to them in case they should need it, experts said.

There was a record number — 28 — of billion-dollar disasters in the U.S. during 2023, including wildfires, droughts and tornados, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. By November of 2024, there were 24 confirmed weather and climate disaster events with losses also exceeding $1 billion each.

Here’s what federal student loan holders should know about their options during a natural disaster.

How a natural disaster forbearance works

The Heroes Act of 2003 provides “several forms of relief” to certain student loan borrowers who live in or are employed in an area that is affected by a natural disaster, said higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz. Likely one of the most helpful options will be a natural disaster forbearance.

“Climate change has affected the frequency and severity of natural disasters, making these waivers and forbearances increasingly important,” Kantrowitz said.

At Studentaid.gov, the Education Department says its federal student loan servicers check the Federal Emergency Management Agency website at least once each business day to identify all impacted areas connected to a disaster declaration.

In many cases, the U.S. Department of Education will automatically put qualifying borrowers into a natural disaster forbearance, Kantrowitz said.

Fire engulfs a home as the Eaton Fire moves through the area on January 08, 2025 in Altadena, California. 

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

“Borrowers generally do not need to apply for this,” he added. Still, borrowers who want to make sure their payments are paused might want to contact their loan servicer.

The natural disaster forbearance lasts for up to 90 days, according to the Education Department. In some cases, borrowers will be granted 30-day extensions. However, the forbearance can’t exceed 12 monthly billing cycles from the date of the disaster. (Loan interest continues to accrue during the payment pause.)

Meanwhile, those who want to decline the automatic natural disaster forbearance because they’re able to make their payments should contact the Education Department to do so.

Relief for current students, delinquent borrowers

Borrowers who are students at the time of a natural disaster may continue to qualify for an in-school deferment, Kantrowitz said, even if they’re not able to complete the school year.

If you’re in default on your student loans and impacted, you or a family member can contact the Education Department and request a three-month suspension of collection activity.

‘Documentation may not be necessary’

Your loan servicer may request certain documents to verify your eligibility for the forbearance, but you should be granted deadline extensions if the disaster makes accessing such paperwork difficult or impossible.

“Documentation may not be necessary, given that documentation is often lost during a natural disaster,” Kantrowitz said. “You just need to show that you are an affected individual. The request can be made orally and does not need to be in writing.” (Showing that you’re impacted may be as easy as providing the address of your home or workplace.)

Climate change has affected the frequency and severity of natural disasters, making these waivers and forbearances increasingly important.

Mark Kantrowitz

higher education expert

Ineligible borrowers may have other relief options

If the natural disaster is not federally-declared or borrowers aren’t deemed eligible for the forbearance for some reason, they can still request a temporary payment pause by applying for a general forbearance with their servicer, EDCAP’s Rodriguez said.

Borrowers should keep in mind that interest can continue to accrue on their debt during a forbearance, and that they might not get credit toward a debt forgiveness program while they’re not making payments, she added.

You’ll likely have fewer disaster relief options with your private student loans, Rodriguez said.

Still, she said, “it is essential to reach out to private lenders as soon as possible to explore available relief and prevent delinquency or default.”

Continue Reading

Trending