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44% of workers are ‘cautiously optimistic’ about retirement: CNBC poll

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Many American workers are optimistic about their retirement goals, but most believe it will be challenging for them to retire comfortably

Almost half, 44%, of workers in a new CNBC poll are “cautiously optimistic” about their ability to meet their retirement goals, and 27% say they are “realistic” about that happening. 

Even so, 82% of workers in that survey say achieving a comfortable retirement is “much harder or somewhat harder” to achieve than it was for their parents. A majority, 69%, are concerned about being able to afford to stop working or retire fully and 80% worry that Social Security will not be enough to live on in retirement.  

The CNBC report, conducted by SurveyMonkey, polled 6,657 U.S. adults, including 2,603 who are retired and 4,054 who are working full time or part time, are self-employed or who own a business.

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The decline in traditional pensions, the rising cost of health care, and increasing life expectancy have contributed to workers’ need to rethink their retirement plans.

“Retirement itself is being retired,” said Joseph Coughlin, director of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology AgeLab. “Often, within a year, two years, they found out that, frankly, they’re either need more money or need something to do.” 

Here are smart moves you can make at every age to make it easier to meet your retirement goals: 

In your 20s & 30s: Maximize tax-advantaged savings

Personal Finance Tips 2024: Roth IRAs

Starting to invest for retirement early, especially in tax-advantaged accounts, helps you make the most of your time investing in the market and leverage the power of compound interest

Various work opportunities can offer flexibility in options to save for the future. Many people in their 20s may work a 9-to-5 job and have a “side gig” or part-time job in the evenings or weekends.

That means you could save in a 401(k) plan at work as well as a self-employed retirement plan, like a Simplified Employee Pension-Individual retirement account or Solo 401(k) on your own, said Nate Hoskin, a certified financial planner and founder of Hoskin Capital in Denver, Colorado. 

While you may have opened a 401(k) plan in your first job, aim to increase the percentage you contribute each year. Put in at least enough money to get the company’s full matching contribution.

Traditional IRAs and 401(k) plans give you an upfront tax break. Making contributions with pre-tax money lowers your taxable income now, but you’ll have to pay taxes when you withdraw the money in retirement at your future tax rate.

Roth accounts, which let you contribute after-tax dollars that then grow and can be withdrawn in retirement tax free, can also be a smart bet for young workers who qualify.

In your 40s: Monitor rising expenses 

While you’re in your peak earning years, expenses can also rise quickly. About half, 52%, of millennials and 47% of Gen Xers in the CNBC poll said “paying off debts or loans” is the main reason they feel behind in retirement planning or savings. 

In that case, “it’s probably time to reassess financial goals,” said Dorsainvil. Focus on paying down credit card and high-interest debt and boosting your emergency savings so that you won’t be forced to dip into retirement savings for unexpected expenses.

Also, be careful of “lifestyle creep.” You don’t necessarily need to spend more just because you are making more. Don’t let the cost of your lifestyle increase faster than your income. See what expenses you can reduce or cut out.

2024 Tax Tips: New 401(k) limits

In your 50s: Estimate your retirement income   

The CNBC poll finds that 48% of GenXers hope to have saved $500,000 or more for retirement, yet the same share have currently saved $50,000 or less. Nearly 20% of this age group are “not sure” how much money they will need to spend each year on living expenses and other purchases in retirement.

In your 50s, it’s time to turbocharge your savings and start crunching the numbers to determine how much income you will have in retirement.

“Not enough people actually do financial planning, so they’re not aware of the numbers that they’re faced with early enough,” said Catherine Valega, a CFP and founder of Green Bee Advisory in Winchester, Massachusetts.

Tips for mapping out your retirement plan

Starting at 50, you can boost your retirement savings with “catch-up” contributions. In 2024, the maximum you can contribute to a 401(k) is $23,000, but the IRS allows you to add an extra $7,500 if you’re 50 or older. For an individual retirement account (IRA), the maximum contribution for 2024 is $7,000, with an additional $1,000 if you’re 50 or older.

Online calculators can show you how much your retirement savings might grow between now and your anticipated retirement, and how much that balance it might provide in monthly income. Also, factor in how much money you may get from Social Security.

Even if you think you’re behind in saving, estimating your retirement income presents an opportunity to figure out how to make it work, said Valega.

“We’re not going to dwell on what you’ve done in the past. Let’s start today with what we have,” she said. “What are our assets? What are income-producing abilities, capabilities? And then we’re going to move forward.”

In your 60s: Test drive your retirement 

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While 38% of baby boomers in their 60s and 70s say they are “on schedule” with retirement planning and savings, according to the CNBC poll, 41% say they are “behind schedule.” 

As you enter your 60s, and are closer to retirement, take your retirement for a test drive. Think about what you will do, who you will do it with and where you will do it. 

For example, Coughlin said to ask yourself: “What will you do on any given Tuesday? There will be many Tuesdays with expenses, challenges and opportunities.”

Many people today live well into their 90s and beyond. While travel, pursuing hobbies and interests and spending time with family are what most people of all ages say they will “ideally” do in retirement, the CNBC poll finds those who think they will “realistically” be able to do so are much lower.

Once you identify your aspirations, do a test run of the lifestyle and the location. Use your time off from work to engage in activities you think you’d like to do and vacation in the places where you think you’d like to live. Also, test drive your retirement budget by comparing housing, transportation, food, entertainment and health care costs in that area to what you’re paying now. See if you can stick to that new budget for a few months while still working.

No matter your age, Hoskin said, stick to some basic rules to achieve financial security: “You still need to spend less than you make, save a significant portion of your income, locate that money in the correct accounts, and invest it for the future,” he said. “That is the cycle that creates generational wealth.”

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Personal Finance

Prices of top 25 Medicare Part D drugs have nearly doubled: AARP

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List prices for the top 25 prescription drugs covered by Medicare Part D have nearly doubled, on average, since they were first brought to market, according to a new AARP report.

Moreover, that price growth has often exceeded the rate of inflation, according to the interest group representing Americans ages 50 and over.

The analysis comes as Medicare now has the ability to negotiate prescription drug costs after the Inflation Reduction Act was signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022.

Notably, only certain drugs are eligible for those price negotiations.

The Biden administration in August released a list of the first 10 drugs to be included, which may prompt an estimated $6 billion in net savings for Medicare in 2026.

Another list of 15 Part D drugs selected for negotiation for 2027 is set to be announced by Feb. 1 by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

Biden administration releases prices of 10 drugs in Medicare negotiations

AARP studied the top 25 Part D drugs as of 2022 that are not currently subject to Medicare price negotiation. However, there is a “pretty strong likelihood” at least some of the drugs on that list may be selected in the second line of negotiation, according to Leigh Purvis, prescription drug policy principal at AARP.

Those 25 drugs have increased by an average of 98%, or nearly doubled, since they entered the market, the research found, with lifetime price increases ranging from 0% to 293%.

Price increases that took place after the drugs began selling on the market were responsible for a “substantial portion” of the current list prices, AARP found.

The top 25 treatments have been on the market for an average of 11 years, with timelines ranging from five to 28 years.

The findings highlight the importance of allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices, as well as having a mechanism to discourage annual price increases, Purvis said. Under the Inflation Reduction Act, drug companies will also be penalized for price increases that exceed inflation.

Notably, a new $2,000 annual cap on out-of-pocket Part D prescription drug costs goes into effect this year. Beneficiaries will also have the option of spreading out those costs over the course of the year, rather than paying all at once. Insulin has also been capped at $35 per month for Medicare beneficiaries.

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Those caps help people who were previously spending upwards of $10,000 per year on their cost sharing of Part D prescription drugs, according to Purvis.

“The fact that there’s now a limit is incredibly important for them, but then also really important for everyone,” Purvis said. “Because everyone is just one very expensive prescription away from needing that out-of-pocket cap.”

The new law also expands an extra help program for Part D beneficiaries with low incomes.

“We do hear about people having to choose between splitting their pills to make them last longer, or between groceries and filling a prescription,” said Natalie Kean, director of federal health advocacy at Justice in Aging.

“The pressure of costs and prescription drugs is real, and especially for people with low incomes, who are trying to just meet their day-to-day needs,” Kean said.

As the new changes go into effect, retirees should notice tangible differences when they’re filling their prescriptions, she said.

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Personal Finance

How much money you should save for a comfortable retirement

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Many Americans are anxious and confused when it comes to saving for retirement.

One of those pain points: How much should households be setting aside to give themselves a good chance at financial security in older age?

More than half of Americans lack confidence in their ability to retire when they want and to sustain a comfortable life, according to a 2024 poll by the Bipartisan Policy Center.

It’s easy to see why people are unsure of themselves: Retirement savings is an inexact science.

“It’s really a hard question to answer,” said Philip Chao, a certified financial planner and founder of Experiential Wealth, based in Cabin John, Maryland.

“Everyone’s answer is different,” Chao said. “There is no magic number.”

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Why?

Savings rates change from person to person based on factors such as income and when they started saving. It’s also inherently impossible for anyone to know when they’ll stop working, how long they’ll live, or how financial conditions may evolve — all of which impact the value of one’s nest egg and how long it must last.

That said, there are guideposts and truisms that will give many savers a good shot at getting it right, experts said.

15% is ‘probably the right place to start’

“I think a total savings rate of 15% is probably the right place to start,” said CFP David Blanchett, head of retirement research at PGIM, the asset management arm of Prudential Financial.

The percentage is a share of savers’ annual income before taxes. It includes any money workers might get from a company 401(k) match.

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Those with lower earnings — say, less than $50,000 a year — can probably save less, perhaps around 10%, Blanchett said, as a rough approximation.

Conversely, higher earners — perhaps those who make more than $200,000 a year — may need to save closer to 20%, he said.

These disparities are due to the progressive nature of Social Security. Benefits generally account for a bigger chunk of lower earners’ retirement income relative to higher earners. Those with higher salaries must save more to compensate.

“If I make $5 million, I don’t really care about Social Security, because it won’t really make a dent,” Chao said.

How to think about retirement savings

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Households should have a basic idea of why they’re saving, Chao said.

Savings will help cover, at a minimum, essential expenses such as food and housing throughout retirement, which may last decades, Chao said. Hopefully there will be additional funds for spending on nonessential items such as travel.

This income generally comes from a combination of personal savings and Social Security. Between those sources, households generally need enough money each year to replace about 70% to 75% of the salaries they earned just before retirement, Chao said.

There is no magic number.

Philip Chao

CFP, founder of Experiential Wealth

Fidelity, the largest administrator of 401(k) plans, pegs that replacement rate at 55% to 80% for workers to be able to maintain their lifestyle in retirement.

Of that, about 45 percentage points would come from savings, Fidelity wrote in an October analysis.

To get there, people should save 15% a year from age 25 to 67, the firm estimates. The rate may be lower for those with a pension, it said.

The savings rate also rises for those who start later: Someone who starts saving at 35 years old would need to save 23% a year, for example, Fidelity estimates.

An example of how much to save

Retirement Planning: How to Maximize Your Financial Future

Here’s a basic example from Fidelity of how the financial calculus might work: Let’s say a 25-year-old woman earns $54,000 a year. Assuming a 1.5% raise each year, after inflation, her salary would be $100,000 by age 67.

Her savings would likely need to generate about $45,000 a year, adjusted for inflation, to maintain her lifestyle after age 67. This figure is 45% of her $100,000 income before retirement, which is Fidelity’s estimate for an adequate personal savings rate.

Since the worker currently gets a 5% dollar-for-dollar match on her 401(k) plan contributions, she’d need to save 10% of her income each year, starting with $5,400 this year — for a total of 15% toward retirement.

However, 15% won’t necessarily be an accurate guide for everyone, experts said.

“The more you make, the more you have to save,” Blanchett said. “I think that’s a really important piece, given the way Social Security benefits adjust based upon your historical earnings history.”

Keys to success: ‘Start early and save often’

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There are some keys to general success for retirement, experts said.

  1. “Start early and save often,” Chao said. “That’s the main thing.” This helps build a savings habit and gives more time for investments to grow, experts said.
  2. “If you can’t save 15%, then save 5%, save whatever you can — even 1% — so you get in the habit of knowing you need to put money away,” Blanchett said. “Start when you can, where you can.”
  3. Every time you get a raise, save at least a portion instead of spending it all. Blanchett recommends setting aside at least a quarter of each raise. Otherwise, your savings rate will lag your more expensive lifestyle.
  4. Many people invest too conservatively, Chao said. Investors need an adequate mix of assets such as stocks and bonds to ensure investments grow adequately over decades. Target-date funds aren’t optimal for everyone, but provide a “pretty good” asset allocation for most savers, Blanchett said.
  5. Save for retirement in a tax-advantaged account like a 401(k) plan or an individual retirement account, rather than a taxable brokerage account, if possible. The latter will generally erode more savings due to taxes, Blanchett said.
  6. Delaying retirement is “the silver bullet” to make your retirement savings last longer, Blanchett said. One caution: Workers can’t always count on this option being available.
  7. Don’t forget about “vesting” rules for your 401(k) match. You may not be entitled to that money until after a few years of service.

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Personal Finance

Missing quarterly tax payment could trigger ‘unexpected penalties’

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The fourth-quarter estimated tax deadline for 2024 is Jan. 15, and missing a payment could trigger “unexpected penalties and fees” when filing your return, according to the IRS.

Typically, estimated taxes apply to income without withholdings, such as earnings from freelance work, a small business or investments. But you could still owe taxes for full-time or retirement income if you didn’t withhold enough.

You could also owe fourth-quarter taxes for year-end bonuses, stock dividends, capital gains from mutual fund payouts or profits from crypto sales and more, the IRS said.    

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Federal income taxes are “pay as you go,” meaning the IRS expects payments throughout the year as you make income, said certified public accountant Brian Long, senior tax advisor at Wealth Enhancement in Minneapolis. 

If you miss the Jan. 15 deadline, you may incur an interest-based penalty based on the current interest rate and how much you should have paid. That penalty compounds daily.

Tax withholdings, estimated payments or a combination of the two, can “help avoid a surprise tax bill at tax time,” according to the IRS.

What to know about the ‘safe harbor’ rules

However, you could still owe taxes for 2024 if you make more than expected and don’t adjust your tax payments.

“The good thing about this last quarterly payment is that most individuals should have their year-end numbers finalized,” said Sheneya Wilson, a CPA and founder of Fola Financial in New York.

How to make quarterly estimated tax payments

Tax Tip: Child Credit

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