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Canada, Mexico hit back at Trump tariffs, China vows action

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Canada and Mexico vowed to hit back at the U.S. after President Donald Trump followed through on threats to impose 25% tariffs on imports of their goods, instigating a trade war that’s set to reshape global supply chains.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said the country will impose 25% tariffs against C$155 billion ($106 billion) of U.S. goods, while Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum also pledged retaliation. China vowed “corresponding countermeasures” to Trump’s 10% levy on Chinese products, without immediately announcing any new tariffs.

A tit-for-tat tariff fight among the world’s major economies — Trump has warned Europe that it’s in his crosshairs, too — adds fresh headwinds to the outlook for global growth, for profits of companies suddenly facing higher import taxes and for financial markets adjusting to new trade flows. 

“It marks a new phase of the trade war, which targets multiple countries, including allies and China, to meet US economic and geopolitical policy goals,” said Gary Ng, senior economist at Natixis SA.

Bloomberg Economics estimated that Trump’s move will raise the average U.S. tariff rate to 10.7% from near 3% currently and “deal a significant supply shock” to the domestic economy. U.S. gross domestic product would suffer a 1.2% hit and a widely watched gauge of core inflation would increase by 0.7%.

Emergency declared

In an executive order posted on the White House website, Trump invoked the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, a 1970s-era law that grants the president broad tariff authority in national emergencies. He had threatened Mexico with this measure in 2019 but talks ultimately ended that dispute without Trump using it. 

The responses from three of America’s biggest trading partners came shortly after he signed orders for the U.S. tariffs on Saturday. The measures take effect at 12:01 a.m. on Tuesday, leaving only a small window for last-minute negotiations.

The risk of a trade war has helped fuel a rally in the dollar since Trump’s re-election on the assumption tariffs would fuel inflation and thus support U.S. interest rates, as well as the greenback’s safe-haven status. 

Trump’s threats last week drove the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index up nearly 1%, its steepest climb since mid-November. The Mexican peso and the Canadian dollar each slumped.

WTO case

China’s Commerce Ministry pledged to file legal proceedings to the World Trade Organization in a Sunday statement, but stopped short of explicitly threatening counter-tariffs. President Xi Jinping’s government has in recent months been treading carefully with Washington, avoiding any retaliation to trade curbs that could escalate tensions.

Trump’s tariffs deliver on a warning to the three countries for what he says is a failure to prevent the flow of undocumented migrants and illegal drugs, though he had also teased the possibility of a reprieve if Mexico and Canada took steps to address his concerns. 

The Republican’s orders also included retaliation clauses that would increase US tariffs if the countries respond in kind. The new measures will be on top of existing trade levies on those countries. 

Energy imports from Canada, including oil and electricity, will be spared from the full 25% levy and will face a 10% tariff. White House officials said that was intended to minimize upward pressure on gasoline and home-heating oil prices.

Trump’s move is explosive in scale and goes well beyond his first-term tariffs. Steep tariffs will raise the cost of key goods like food, housing and gasoline for Americans, while the overall fallout threatens to spill widely across the countries, which are the largest three sources of U.S. imports, accounting for almost half of total volume.

“We’d expect big tariffs to have big impacts — and what Trump has just announced is huge,” wrote Nicole Gorton-Caratelli, Maeva Cousin and Tom Orlik of Bloomberg Economics.

Trump campaigned on a platform of extensive tariffs and he followed through, though dialing back planned measures on China while increasing them on his neighbors. Most mainstream economists and many business groups warn that trade levies will disrupt supply chains, raise prices for consumers already wary of inflation and reduce global trade flows.

Sweeping measures

The move represents yet another instance where Trump is testing the bounds of his emergency authorities under federal law — already a hallmark of his second term in the White House. 

The tariff orders invoke the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and expand an earlier declaration to address what he calls a “threat to the safety and security of Americans.” 

Markets have been gripped by uncertainty as they awaited Trump’s decision on the tariffs, and there are now looming questions about how the levies will impact stocks, as well as companies and consumers.

Automakers such as General Motors Co., Ford Motor Co. and Stellantis NV, which have global supply chains and massive exposure to Mexico and Canada, could see significant swings. Industry groups warned that because of the tight integration of U.S. and Canadian manufacturing, the imminent tariffs could have a steep impact on the industry. 

“The imposition of tariffs will be detrimental to American jobs, investment and consumers,” Jennifer Safavian, the president of Autos Drive America, said in an emailed statement. “U.S. automakers would be better served by policies that reduce barriers for manufacturers, ease regulations that hinder production and create greater export opportunities.”

Trump’s actions also closed a loophole that exempted packages worth less than $800 from tariffs. Extinguishing the so-called de minimis exemption for small parcels sent to the U.S. from the three countries could significantly impact online retail — though the scope of the measure wasn’t immediately clear. While such changes would most directly affect Chinese retailers, American consumers who benefit from those platforms’ cheap goods would likely suffer, too.

The U.S. loses a tremendous amount of tariff revenue by using the exemption, a U.S. official told reporters on a briefing call.

Parts of the U.S., including the Pacific Northwest and Northeast U.S., are deeply reliant on electricity or gas flows from Canada. Under an energy emergency Trump declared on his first day in office, refined gasoline and diesel, uranium, coal, biofuels and critical minerals were all given the lower 10% tariff. 

Oil industry advocates, however, have warned against even a 10% increase in the cost of crude inputs into Midwestern refineries that have few near-term options to substitute with U.S. supplies. 

Democrats wasted no time in pouncing on messaging around how the trade moves could impact families’ budgets. “These tariffs will be devastating for American consumers,” Congressman Greg Stanton, an Arizona Democrat, and some 40 colleagues wrote in a Saturday letter.

“Trump’s tariffs on Mexico and Canada will make your life more expensive,” Stanton said more bluntly in a separate post on X. 

Retaliatory steps

Mexico was strident in rejecting the Trump administration’s allegation that it had alliances with drug traffickers, and suggested the U.S. government curb demand and use of narcotics internally. 

“Drug use and distribution is in your country and that is a public health problem that you have not addressed,” Mexican President Sheinbaum said in a post on X. “It is not by imposing tariffs that problems are resolved, but by talking.”

Mexico will also implement non-tariff measures, while calling for cooperation with the U.S. on topics including security and addressing the fentanyl public health crisis, she said.

The Mexican economy could enter a “severe recession” if Trump’s tariffs remain in place for more than a quarter, according to Gabriela Siller, director of economic analysis at Grupo Financiero Base. “If the tariffs last several months, the Mexican peso depreciation could reach record highs.”

Canada’s Trudeau said American beer, wine, food and appliances will be among the many items subject to Canadian tariffs, and his country is also considering measures related to critical minerals. He encouraged Canadians to buy locally made products and skip U.S. vacations.

The orders enacting the tariffs do create a process to remove them. Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem can inform Trump if the countries have taken adequate steps to alleviate concerns over migration and drugs, and the tariffs are removed if he agrees.

It’s not clear how realistic a prospect that is. Canada, for instance, already took steps to tighten its border to appease Trump, and it didn’t deter him.

In a speech Saturday night, Trudeau invoked Canada’s long history of partnership with the U.S. “We have fought and died alongside you,” he said, citing World War II, the Korean War and the recent war in Afghanistan.

Beginning of talks

“Together, we’ve built the most successful economic, military and security partnership the world has ever seen,” Trudeau said, urging Trump to partner with Canada on their shared challenges.

Although the European Union wasn’t among the targets of Trump’s executive actions on trade over the weekend, he’s often complained about what he sees as unfair treatment of American exports such as cars sold in Europe.

On Sunday, German Finance Minister Joerg Kukies cautioned against over-reacting.

“One should not react in panic to the first decision, but rather see it as the beginning of negotiations, not the end,” Kukies told German business representatives in Riyadh at the start of a trip aimed at improving trade ties in the Middle East.

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IRS Independent Office of Appeals created by new rules

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Financial advisors and tax professionals whose clients dispute an IRS calculation of their liability could get an outside ruling through the newly renamed Independent Office of Appeals.

In the last week of President Joe Biden’s administration, the IRS issued the final rules under a 2019 law adopted during President Donald Trump’s first term that added “independent” to the name of the administrative review body and codified that the process is available to most taxpayers. Because the law “originated in his first term,” it’s not clear whether President Trump’s team intends to change anything about this aspect of taxpayer services at the IRS amid their larger plans for budget cuts at the agency, said Brett Cotler, a partner in the Taxation Group of law firm Seward & Kissel.

“Sometimes you are dealing with a tax examiner that sees a case one way, and no matter how hard you try, you can’t convince them that they’re wrong and you’re right,” he said. “The ability to move the case up a level can just provide options and benefits to your clients when dealing with controversial matters.”

READ MORE: Gig workers unaware of lower 1099-K threshold

With only 14 public comments on the proposed version of the regulation from September 2022, the rule will likely fall below many other bigger-ticket items on newly confirmed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s agenda, such as the extension of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and efforts by the new administration to roll back the previous one’s enforcement efforts

The new appeals process, and exceptions to the rule

The Taxpayer First Act put the appeals process under the responsibilities of a “chief of appeals” whose office exists “to resolve federal tax controversies without litigation on a basis that is fair and impartial, promote consistent application of federal tax laws, and enhance public confidence in the IRS,” the law’s text said. The law required that any taxpayer whose request for an administrative appeal is denied get a detailed written explanation, and it dictated that any individuals with gross income of $400,000 or less be able to obtain every nonprivileged part of their case files, according to a guide to the law from “The Tax Adviser” journal. Those with wealth above that level could receive case files through a Freedom of Information Act request.

“The Office of Appeals is the settlement arm of the IRS, with a mission to review administrative determinations from the IRS’s collection and examination activities and, when possible, to resolve them without litigation,” Timothy McCormally, a former chair of the IRS Advisory Council, wrote in the guide to the legislation. “Before the TFA’s enactment, there was no statutory right to contest administrative decisions in Appeals, even though a review of administrative actions before payment of any tax underlying a controversy was generally available. (There are exceptions to the taxpayer’s access to Appeals — for example, when inadequate time remains on the limitation period for assessment or collection, the taxpayer’s arguments are frivolous, or a case has reached the point at which litigation is initiated.)”

Other exceptions include whistleblower awards, agency determinations from outside the IRS, cases with criminal prosecutions involved in the underlying taxes, disputes that are already docketed for the U.S. Tax Court or filings questioning the constitutionality of provisions of the Tax Code or other laws.

READ MORE: Surging long-term rates stoke GOP tensions on paying for tax cut 

In general, clients who believe an IRS agent, auditor or a “foreign bank and financial accounts” (FBAR) examiner added up their tax bill erroneously can go to Appeals for “a fresh look at the merits of the case, and it will determine whether it thinks the IRS got it right or wrong,” Cotler said.

“Even though there are 24 broad exceptions, they’re actually kind of narrow,” he added. “The vast majority of income-tax controversies, as well as FBAR examinations, which the IRS will do, those all have basically the option to go to appeals.”

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Illinois lawmakers propose alternative paths to CPA license

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A pair of Illinois representatives have introduced legislation supported by the Illinois CPA Society to create two additional pathways to CPA licensure and practice mobility in the state to alleviate the accountant shortage.

The Illinois Public Accounting Act and Uniform Accountancy Act currently require Illinois CPA candidates to pass all portions of the CPA exam, complete 150 credit hours of qualifying education, and gain one year of relevant work experience to become licensed in the state. The structure has remained in place since 2001, and the Illinois CPA Society believes it no longer supports the profession’s current and future workforce.

For over a year, ICPAS has been reviewing licensure pathway proposals and exploring options to eliminate barriers to entry into the CPA profession, working closely with the Illinois Board of Examiners and the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation to draft legislation to evolve the state’s CPA licensure model.

Two Illinois lawmakers who are also CPAs, Rep. Natalie Manley, D-Joliet, and Amy Elik, R-Edwardsville, now plan to introduce House Bill 2459, which amends the Illinois Public Accounting Act to create two additional pathways to CPA licensure in Illinois and enhance CPA practice privilege mobility. The new pathways include:

  1. Obtaining a bachelor’s degree with 120 credit hours of qualifying education (including a concentration in accounting), completing at least two years of relevant work experience, and passing the CPA exam; and,
  2. Obtaining a master’s degree, obtaining a bachelor’s degree with 30 hours of concentration in accounting, completing at least one year of relevant work experience, and passing the CPA exam.

“To be clear, HB 2459 will not alter the state’s existing route to licensure. Instead, this legislation establishes two additional pathways to obtain a CPA license in Illinois,” said ICPAS president and CEO Geoffrey Brown in a statement. “Similar new pathways to licensure are also being explored or pursued legislatively in many of our neighboring states, including Michigan, Missouri and Wisconsin.”

Illinois CPA Society president and CEO Geoffrey Brown

Illinois CPA Society president and CEO Geoffrey Brown

HB 2459 also would set new requirements for out-of-state CPAs when it comes to practice privilege mobility. The bill would ensure out-of-state CPAs could continue to serve clients in Illinois without needing to get an Illinois license if their issuing state’s licensure requirements are equivalent to Illinois’ requirements. The bill also would ensure Illinois CPAs would have the same practice privileges outside the state. While the existing mobility structure appears to be changing nationwide, ICPAS believes Illinois’ alignment with a significant number of states would largely reduce any threats to Illinois-licensed CPAs’ practice privileges and keep Illinois CPAs in the national business landscape.

Scholarship applications

Separately on Monday, ICPAS also opened its scholarship application window in conjunction with its charitable partner, the CPA Endowment Fund of Illinois, for the 2025-2026 academic year. More than 40 tuition scholarships, ranging from $1,000 to $4,000 each, will be awarded to eligible upperclassmen accounting students.

Eligible applicants include accounting students attending Illinois colleges or universities who demonstrate financial need, academic excellence and leadership qualities.

With just one application, students will automatically be considered for all scholarships they qualify for. The application deadline for the following scholarships is April 1, 2025:

  • Illinois CPA Society Accounting Scholarships for seniors and graduate students;
  • Herman J. Neal Accounting Scholarships for Black or African American juniors, seniors and graduate students;
  • James A. Sikich Visionary Scholarships for seniors and graduate students; and,
  • Women’s Executive Committee Advancing Women in Accounting Scholarships for female seniors and graduate students.

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Trump delays Mexico tariffs by a month after Sheinbaum talk

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President Donald Trump agreed to delay 25% tariffs against Mexico for one month after a conversation with his counterpart Claudia Sheinbaum on Monday, a dramatic turnabout with the neighboring nations on the brink of a trade war.

Markets rallied after Sheinbaum announced the delay and Trump confirmed it in a social media post, with the peso gaining as much as 1.3% against the dollar. The pair of leaders agreed that Mexico would send 10,000 National Guard officers to the border to help stem the flow of fentanyl and migration into the US, a key demand from Trump for it to avoid tariffs.

Trump told reporters on Monday he had a “great talk” with Sheinbaum and said he likes her “very much” but reaffirmed the tariff pause was temporary and would be contingent on Mexico taking steps to stop the flow of fentanyl and migrants to the U.S.  

“We’ve agreed to talk and consider various other things. We haven’t agreed on tariffs yet, and maybe we will, maybe we won’t, but we have a very good relationship,” the president said in the Oval Office. 

The delay with Mexico bolsters the view that Trump sees tariffs as a negotiating ploy but is still reluctant to inflict economic pain on Americans, while buying Sheinbaum time to show that she is a partner for the U.S. rather than an adversary. 

The two nations will continue negotiations over the tariffs over the next month, according to both leaders, with Sheinbaum saying at a Monday press conference that she and Trump agreed to speak frequently. As part of the deal, the U.S. also pledged to work to prevent the trafficking of high-powered weapons into Mexico, she said at the press conference.

The talks will be “headed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent, and Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, and high-level Representatives of Mexico,” Trump said in his social media post.

It remains unclear whether Canada, which is also facing the threat of 25% tariffs on most goods, will be able to reach a similar deal with Washington. Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau spoke by phone Monday morning and are scheduled to hold another call in the afternoon. The U.S. president said he pressed the Canadian leader about American banks’ ability to do business in its northern neighbor.

“We had a good talk,” Trump said. “Canada is very tough. They’re very, very tough to do business with, and we can’t let them take advantage of the U.S.”

He also repeated his assertion that Canada should become the 51st U.S. state but conceded, “some people say that would be a long shot.”

Sheinbaum said that she has also been in contact with Trudeau and would continue speaking with Canada. 

Trump also said he would “probably” be speaking to Chinese officials in the next 24 hours about his threat to impose a 10% tariff. 

“That was just an opening salvo. If we can’t make a deal with China, then the tariffs will be very, very substantial,” the U.S. president said. 

Sheinbaum took office in October facing questions about how she would fill the shoes of her popular predecessor, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, who boasted about his good relationship with Trump. But the early victory suggests she’s a skilled negotiator, with a “cool-headed” approach that focuses on specific details rather than Trump’s rhetoric.

“Mexico’s efforts in collaborating with the U.S. seems to have paid off for now,” said Dan Pan, an economist at Standard Chartered Bank. “The uncertainty still remains on which the direction of negotiation will take and if Mexico can avert the tariffs permanently, but for now the market has taken comfort of the delay as an indication that Trump is using the tariff threats as a negotiation strategy rather than jeopardizing the North American economy.”

After Trump ordered 25% tariffs on exports from Mexico on Saturday, Sheinbaum said she would ask her economy minister to respond with tariff and non-tariff measures, without elaborating. She said Monday that Mexico would put those measures on hold in an effort to provide certainty to financial markets, and reiterated her commitment to the USMCA free trade agreement between the U.S., Mexico and Canada.

“Most in the market were looking for this sort of ‘deal’ to occur in order to avoid tariff implementation, similar to what we saw in Trump 1.0 between the U.S. and Mexico,” said Brad Bechtel, head of FX at Jefferies. “Tariff risk for Mexico avoided for now, at least for one month. Most assume the same for Canada but we need to wait and hear officially. Canada already announced counter measures and their government is somewhat in chaos so it may not happen as quickly as it did for Mexico.”

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