Sarah Kapnick started her career in 2004 as an investment banking analyst for Goldman Sachs. She was struck almost immediately by the overlap of financial growth and climate change, and the lack of client advisory around that theme.
Integrating the two, she thought, would help investors understand both the risks and opportunities, and would help them use climate information in finance and business operations. With a degree in theoretical mathematics and geophysical fluid dynamics, Kapnick saw herself as uniquely positioned to take on that challenge.
But first, she had to get deeper into the science.
That led her to more study and then to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the nation’s scientific and regulatory agency within the U.S. Department of Commerce. Its defined mission is to understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans and coasts and to share that knowledge and information with others.
In 2022, Kapnick was appointed NOAA’s chief scientist. Two years later, JPMorgan Chase hired her away, but not as chief sustainability officer, a role common at most large investment banks around the world and a position already filled at JPMorgan.
Rather, Kapnick is JPMorgan’s global head of climate advisory, a unique job she envisioned back in 2004.
Just days before the official start of the North American hurricane season, CNBC spoke with Kapnick from her office at JPMorgan in New York about her current role at the bank and how she’s advising and warning clients.
Here’s the Q&A:
(This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.)
Diana Olick, CNBC: Why does JPMorgan need you?
Sarah Kapnick, JPMorgan global head of climate advisory: JPMorgan and banks need climate expertise because there is client demand for understanding climate change, understanding how it affects businesses, and understanding how to plan. Clients want to understand how to create frameworks for thinking about climate change, how to think about it strategically, how to think about it in terms of their operations, how to think about it in terms of their diversification and their long-term business plans.
Everybody’s got a chief sustainability officer. You are not that. What is the difference?
The difference is, I come with a deep background in climate science, but also how that climate science translates into business, into the economy. Working at NOAA for most of my career, NOAA is a science agency, but it’s science agency under the Department of Commerce. And so my job was to understand the future due to physics, but then be able to translate into what does that mean for the economy? What does that mean for economic development? What does that mean for economic output, and how do you use that science to be able to support the future of commerce? So I have this deep thinking that combines all that science, all of that commerce thinking, that economy, how it translates into national security. And so it wraps up all these different issues that people are facing right now and the systematic issues, so that they can understand, how do you navigate through that complexity, and then how do you move forward with all that information at hand?
Give us an example, on a ground level, of what some of that expertise does for investors.
There’s a client that’s concerned about the future of wildfire risk, and so they’re asking, How is wildfire risk unfolding? Why is it not in building codes? How might building codes change in the future? What happens for that? What type of modeling is used for that, what type of observations are used for that? So I can explain to them the whole flow of where is the data? How is the data used in decisions, where do regulations come from. How are they evolving? How might they evolve in the future? So we can look through the various uncertainties of different scenarios of what the world looks like, to make decisions about what to do right now, to be able to prepare for that, or to be able to shift in that preparation over time as uncertainty comes down and more information is known
So are they making investment decisions based on your information?
Yes, they’re making investment decisions. And they’re making decisions of when to invest because sometimes they have a knowledge of something as it’s starting to evolve. They want to act either early or they want to act as more information is known, but they want to know kind of the whole sphere of what the possibilities are and when information will be known or could be known, and what are the conditions that they will know more information, so they can figure out when they want to act, when that threshold of information is that they need to act.
How does that then inform their judgment on their investment, specifically on wildfire?
Because wildfire risk is growing, there’ve been a few events like the Los Angeles wildfires that were recently seen. The questions that I’m getting are could this happen in my location? When will it happen? Will I have advanced notice? How should I change and invest in my infrastructure? How should I think about differences in my infrastructure, my infrastructure construction? Should I be thinking about insurance, different types of insurance? How should I be accessing the capital markets to do this type of work? It’s questions across a range of trying to figure out how to reduce vulnerability, how to reduce financial exposure, but then also, if there are going to be risks in this one location, maybe there are more opportunities in these other locations that are safer, and I should be thinking of them as well. It’s holistically across risk management and thinking through risk and what to do about it, but then also thinking about what opportunities might be emerging as a result of this change in physical conditions in the world.
But you’re not an economist. Do you work with others at JPMorgan to augment that?
Yes, my work is very collaborative. I work across various teams with subject matter experts from different sectors, different industries, different parts of capital, and so I come with my expertise of science and technology and policy and security, and then work with them in whatever sphere that they’re in to be able to deliver the most to the bank that we can for our clients.
With the cuts by the Trump administration to NOAA, to FEMA, to all of the information gathering sources — we’re not seeing some of the things that we normally see in data. How is that affecting your work?
I am looking to what is available for what we need, for whatever issue. I will say that if data is no longer available, we will translate and move into other data sets, use other data sets, and I’m starting to see the development out in certain parts of the private sector to pull in those types of data that used to be available elsewhere. I think that we’re going to see this adjustment period where people search out whatever data it is they need to answer the questions that they have. And there will be opportunities. There’s a ton of startups that are starting to develop in that area, as well as more substantial companies that have some of those data sets. They’re starting to make them available, but there’s going to be this adjustment period as people figure out where they’re going to get the information that they need, because many market decisions or financial decisions are based on certain data sets that people thought would always be there.
But the government data was considered the top, irrefutable, best data there was. Now, how do we know, when going to the private sector, that this data is going to be as credible as government data?
There’s going to be an adjustment period as people figure out what data sets to trust and what not to trust, and what they want to be using. This is a point in time where there is going to be adjustment because something that everyone got used to working with, they now won’t have that. And that is a question that I’m getting from a lot of clients, of what data set should I be looking for? How should I be assessing this problem? Do I build in-house teams now to be able to assess this information that I didn’t have before? And I’m starting to see that occurring across different sectors, where people are increasingly having their own meteorologist, their own climatologist, to be able to help guide them through some of these decisions.
Final thoughts?
Climate change isn’t something that is going to happen in the future and impact finance in the future. It’s something that is a future risk that is now actually finding us in the bottom line today.
Deutsche Bank’s Binky Chadha is bullish again, confident that the Trump administration will continue to back down on tariffs. “Our base case was for a significant rally in equities on a credible relent on trade policies,” the chief U.S. equity and global strategist wrote on Tuesday. “In the event, the administration relented earlier than we had anticipated, driven primarily by market reaction, and before the emergence of any legal barriers or economic or political pain.” “This reinforces the view that if negative impacts of tariffs do materialize, we will get further relents,” Chadha added. Chadha raised his year-end S & P 500 forecast by 6.5%, to 6,550 from 6,150, implying roughly 10% upside from Monday’s close. The strategist was one of the biggest bulls on Wall Street coming into 2025, with an original price target of 7,000, but cut his target in April after the severity of President Donald Trump’s initial tariff announcement shocked Wall Street. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee is currently the biggest bull on the Street, with a 6,600 price target, according to the CNBC market strategist survey . Now the strategist expects that the fundamental corporate earnings strength underpinning his original thesis will hold, betting that the so-called “TACO trade” will curb any market or economic fallout. The “TACO trade,” or “Trump Always Chickens Out,” refers to an idea coined by a Financial Times columnist that investors can count on the president to back down from tariffs. The phrase has gained in popularity on Wall Street. CNBC’s Megan Cassella asked Trump directly about it in the Oval Office last week. .SPX 3M mountain S & P 500 over the past three months “We remind that prior to the outsized tariff escalation, the cycle showed plenty of legs with various aspects just beginning to kick in to the upside,” Chadha wrote. “We see plenty of room for equity positioning to rise with discretionary investors at neutral and systematic strategies still underweight and expect buybacks will remain solid with no signs of companies going into the bunker.” Stocks have staged an impressive comeback rally over the past two months. The S & P 500 since is coming off its best monthly performance since November 2023 as investors grow increasingly confident that the president was mainly threatening high tariffs as a negotiating tool. The broad market index gained more than 6% in May, in large part after Trump reached a preliminary trade agreement with China, though he has since claimed it’s not being honored. Later in May, a federal court struck down Trump’s tariffs , adding to confidence the worst of the tariffs are behind investors, though they were then reinstated temporarily by an appeals court.
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell. Dollar General — Shares of the discount retailer popped more than 10% after the company lifted its annual sales outlook, saying its updated guidance assumes that current tariff rates will remain through mid-August. Dollar General also beat on top and bottom lines for the first quarter. The company reported earnings of $1.78 per share on revenue of $10.44 billion, exceeding estimates of $1.48 per share and $10.31 billion, per LSEG. Hims & Hers Health — The telehealth platform added more than 5% after the company said it will acquire European counterpart Zava. The deal will grow Hims & Hers Health’s active customer base by about 50%. Constellation Energy — Shares of the energy giant jumped 9% after Meta signed a 20-year agreement to buy nuclear power from Constellation Energy. Meta , which owns Facebook and Instagram, will buy roughly 1.1 gigawatts of energy from Constellation’s Clinton Clean Energy Center in Illinois beginning in June 2027. Shares of energy stocks Vistra Energy and NRG Energy rose 5% and 2%, respectively, in sympathy with the news. Bumble — The dating app’s stock tumbled 6% on the heels of JPMorgan’s downgrade to underweight from neutral. JPMorgan said the stock is losing market share to competitor Hinge. Paramount — The entertainment giant nominated three new directors to its board and scheduled its shareholder meeting for July 2, according to its annual proxy statement published Sunday. Shares of Paramount, which is also in talks to settle an election-interference lawsuit by President Donald Trump against CBS News, slipped more than 1%. Pinterest — Shares popped more than 4%. The move comes after JPMorgan upgraded the image sharing platform to overweight from neutral, saying Pinterest has made progress in its priorities including adding users and improving monetization. JPMorgan hiked the price target to $40 from $35, implying 25% upside from Monday’s close. Block — The fintech stock added more than 3% after Evercore ISI upgraded shares to outperform from in line, turning more positive after speaking to Block management about various funding sources across its lending portfolio. Parsons — The defense technology company slashed its fiscal year 2025 revenue outlook, saying the State Department’s reorganization has created added uncertainty surrounding a confidential contract. Shares fell 2%. — CNBC’s Alex Harring, Sarah Min and Michelle Fox contributed reporting.
Klarna is synonymous with the “buy now, pay later” trend of making a purchase and deferring payment until the end of the month or paying over interest-free monthly installments.
Nikolas Kokovlis | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Swedish fintech Klarna — primarily known for its popular “buy now, pay later” services — is launching its own Visa debit card, as it looks to diversify its business beyond short-term credit products.
The company on Tuesday announced that it’s piloting the product, dubbed Klarna Card, with some customers in the U.S. ahead of a planned countrywide rollout. Klarna Card will launch in Europe later this year, the firm added.
The move highlights an ongoing effort from Klarna ahead of a highly anticipated initial public offering to shift its image away from the poster child of the buy now, pay later (BNPL) trend and be viewed as more of an all-encompassing banking player. BNPL products are interest-free loans that allow people to pay off the full price of an item over a series of monthly installments.
“We want Americans to start to associate us with not only buy now, pay later, but [with] the PayPal wallet type of experience that we have, and also the neobank offering that we offer,” Klarna CEO Sebastian Siemiatkowski told CNBC’s “The Exchange” last month. “We are basically a neobank to a large degree, but people associate us still strongly with buy now, pay later.”
Klarna’s newly announced card comes with an account that can hold Federal Insurance Deposit Corporation (FDIC)-insured deposits and facilitate withdrawals — similar to checking accounts offered by mainstream banks.
Notably, Klarna Card is powered by Visa Flexible Credential, a service from the American card network that lets users access multiple funding sources — like debit, credit and BNPL — from a single payment card. It’s a debit card by default, but users can also toggle to one of Klarna’s “pay later” products, including “Pay in 4” and “Pay in 30 Days.”
Klarna is pushing deeper into a fiercely competitive consumer banking market. The U.S. banking industry is dominated by heavyweights such as JPMorgan Chase & Co and Bank of America, while fintech challengers like Chime have also attracted millions of customers.
While Klarna has a full banking license in the European Union, it does not have its own U.S. bank license. However, the firm says it’s able to offer FDIC-insured accounts through a partnership with WebBank, a small financial institution based in Salt Lake City, Utah.