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Economic confidence dropped among U.S. finance pros, but up globally

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The Association of Chartered Certified Accountants and the Institute of Management Accountants reported a sharp decline Wednesday in economic confidence in the second quarter of the year among accountants and finance professionals in the U.S. and North America, according to a quarterly survey released Wednesday, although globally confidence seemed to be increasing.

The ACCA and IMA’s quarterly Global Economics Condition Survey indicated that confidence is now well below its historical average in North America, but the decline was even more pronounced in the U.S. in the second quarter of the year. 

On the other hand, confidence among global accountants and financial professionals improved again in Q2 2024, despite the big drop in North America. Globally confidence among accountants and finance professionals edged up slightly higher in Q2 2024 to just above its historical average. For CFOs, all of the main global indicators rose, with significant gains evident in the New Orders and Capital Expenditure indices. 

Institute of Management Accountants headquarters in Montvale, N.J.

Confidence among accountants was significantly higher than its historical average in the Asia Pacific region, slightly above in the Middle East and Western Europe, at its average in South Asia, and slightly below average in Africa. The proportion of global respondents reporting “increased costs” eased in Q2 but remains elevated by historical standards. Cost pressures remain high in all regions except the Middle East. 

“The American economy has slowed from the heady pace of expansion in the second half of 2023, and the latest results raise the risk of some further moderation over coming quarters,” said Alain Mulder, senior director of Europe operations and global special projects at IMA, in a statement. “The probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve begins easing monetary policy after the summer has increased, although inflation developments over coming months will be crucial.”

That was borne out by a statement at the Federal Reserve meeting Wednesday by Fed chair Jerome Powell saying that “a rate cut could be on the table” at the next meeting in September, although rates were left unchanged for now.

“The GECS points to some further improvement in the global economy in Q2,” said ACCA chief economist Jonathan Ashworth in a statement. “Further signs of a pickup in the important Western European and Asia Pacific regions are encouraging, although the decline in the North American and U.S. indices bear watching closely.’ 

There were other notable regional differences. Western Europe-based accountants reported another decent increase in confidence as the euro area and U.K. economies continue to stage recoveries. Even the Asia Pacific region experienced a small rise off the back of a huge gain previously, and the New Orders Index increased strongly. The region is benefitting from improvements in the global economy, including in the manufacturing sector and the upward moving technology cycle. 

The quarterly survey also asks accountants to rank their top three risk priorities and, for the first time in a year, the economy is not the top concern for respondents working in financial services, although it is close to the highest it has ever been for those in the corporate sector. The Q2 survey responses also reveal how organizations are increasingly struggling to get a grip on cybersecurity, which was ranked as the third-highest risk priority for all sectors combined.     

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Acting IRS commissioner reportedly replaced

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Gary Shapley, who was named only days ago as the acting commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service, is reportedly being replaced by Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender amid a power struggle between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Elon Musk.

The New York Times reported that Bessent was outraged that Shapley was named to head the IRS without his knowledge or approval and complained to President Trump about it. Shapley was installed as acting commissioner on Tuesday, only to be ousted on Friday. He first gained prominence as an IRS Criminal Investigation special agent and whistleblower who testified in 2023 before the House Oversight Committee that then-President Joe Biden’s son Hunter received preferential treatment during a tax-evasion investigation, and he and another special agent had been removed from the investigation after complaining to their supervisors in 2022. He was promoted last month to senior advisor to Bessent and made deputy chief of IRS Criminal Investigation. Shapley is expected to remain now as a senior official at IRS Criminal Investigation, according to the Wall Street Journal. The IRS and the Treasury Department press offices did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Faulkender was confirmed last month as deputy secretary at the Treasury Department and formerly worked during the first Trump administration at the Treasury on the Paycheck Protection Program before leaving to teach finance at the University of Maryland.

Faulkender will be the fifth head of the IRS this year. Former IRS commissioner Danny Werfel departed in January, on Inauguration Day, after Trump announced in December he planned to name former Congressman Billy Long, R-Missouri, as the next IRS commissioner, even though Werfel’s term wasn’t scheduled to end until November 2027. The Senate has not yet scheduled a confirmation hearing for Long, amid questions from Senate Democrats about his work promoting the Employee Retention Credit and so-called “tribal tax credits.” The job of acting commissioner has since been filled by Douglas O’Donnell, who was deputy commissioner under Werfel. However, O’Donnell abruptly retired as the IRS came under pressure to lay off thousands of employees and share access to confidential taxpayer data. He was replaced by IRS chief operating officer Melanie Krause, who resigned last week after coming under similar pressure to provide taxpayer data to immigration authorities and employees of the Musk-led U.S. DOGE Service. 

Krause had planned to depart later this month under the deferred resignation program at the IRS, under which approximately 22,000 IRS employees have accepted the voluntary buyout offers. But Musk reportedly pushed to have Shapley installed on Tuesday, according to the Times, and he remained working in the commissioner’s office as recently as Friday morning. Meanwhile, plans are underway for further reductions in the IRS workforce of up to 40%, according to the Federal News Network, taking the IRS from approximately 102,000 employees at the beginning of the year to around 60,000 to 70,000 employees.

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On the move: EY names San Antonio office MP

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Carr, Riggs & Ingram appoints CFO and chief legal officer; TSCPA hosts accounting bootcamp; and more news from across the profession.

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Tech news: Certinia announces spring release

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Certinia announces spring release; Intuit acquires tech and experts from fintech Deserve; Paystand launches feature to navigate tariffs; and other accounting tech news and updates.

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