China has, in its own way, signaled it wants to support specific kinds of consumer purchases. Authorities on Thursday announced the equivalent of 300 billion yuan ($41.5 billion) in special bonds would go towards trade-ins and equipment upgrades — a significant expansion of an existing program. “Compared to previous policies on equipment upgrade and consumer goods trade-in, the new policy support is larger in amount (allowance level increased) and the sources of funds are clearly specified,” Ding Wenjie, investment strategist for global capital investment at China Asset Management Co., said in a note. “The portion of central government bearing is also higher (central:local =9:1), which would expedite policy execution,” Ding said. “The program also covers more areas, such as trucks, machinery, home decoration and smart home appliances, in addition to previously announced auto and home appliances.” She expects autos, industrials and home appliances to benefit. The policy at least doubles the subsidies for new energy and traditional fuel-powered vehicle purchases to 20,000 yuan and 15,000 yuan per car, respectively. The policy also laid out specific subsidies for home renovations and consumer purchases of refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, computers, air conditioners and other home appliances. The document said each consumer could get subsidies of up to 2,000 yuan for one purchase in each category. Major Chinese home appliance stocks rose on Friday. The three largest mainland China-traded names in the category — Midea, Gree and Haier — rose by between roughly 5.8% and 8.3%. That’s in contrast to mild gains in the broader mainland China indexes. The 300 billion yuan ultra-long bond issuance is not a new government allocation, but rather a more detailed designation of a 1 trillion yuan ultra-long bond program announced earlier this year. “The amount is beyond market expectations; we expect equipment stocks to react positively,” Morgan Stanley analysts said in a report Friday. “300 billion yuan is the largest equipment upgrade subsidy from the central government historically,” the analysts said. Among the stocks they cover, they expect Inovance is one of a few “to benefit most from higher trade-in subsidies for autos and/or home appliances.” Chinese authorities have resisted cash handouts to consumers despite sluggish retail sales growth. Instead, Beijing has made it clear its focus is on building domestic tech capabilities. Even the 300 billion yuan figure is split roughly between consumer-related trade-ins with business-side equipment upgrades. “We see a decent boost to China’s household consumption (RMB 150bn equivalent to 0.3% of 2023 annual retail sales) and corporate capex, but likely a limited overall impact on GDP growth, considering funding support for infrastructure may be smaller than otherwise,” Tao Wang, head of Asia economics and chief China economist, UBS Investment Bank, said in a note. The latest consumption measures follow China’s twice-a-decade Third Plenum, which typically sets the tone for longer-term economic policy. A more near-term-focused Politburo meeting is expected at the end of the month. “The plenum proposed that ensuring and improving people’s livelihood during development is a major task of China’s path to modernization,” said Darius Tang, associate director of Corporates, Fitch Bohua. “Amid the sustained high-speed growth in household savings and relatively sluggish consumption … we expect that the Chinese government would increase investment in the field of education, healthcare and pension that are directly linked to people’s livelihoods and well-being, which is conductive to eliminating residents’ worries, boost consumer confidence and convert the current excessive household savings to consumption.” — CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: American Airlines — Shares slipped less than 1%, recovering from earlier losses, after the airline temporarily grounded all of its flights due to a technical issue. Broadcom — The semi stock added 2%, extending its December rally. Shares have surged more than 46% this month, propelling its 2024 gain above 112%. Big banks — Shares of some big bank stocks rose more than 1% amid news that a group of banks and business groups are suing the Federal Reserve over the annual stress tests, saying it “produces vacillating and unexplained requirements and restrictions on bank capital.” Citigroup , JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs shares gained more than 1% each. Arcadium Lithium — Shares rose more than 4% after the company announced its shareholders have approved the $6.7 billion sale to Rio Tinto . The deal is expected to close in mid-2025. International Seaways — The energy transportation provider surged 8% after an announcement that the company would be added to the S & P SmallCap 600 index, effective Dec. 30. The company will replace Consolidated Communications , which is soon to be acquired. Crypto stocks — Shares of stocks tied to the price of bitcoin rose as the cryptocurrency gave back recent losses amid a climb in tech names broadly. Crypto services provider Coinbase gained almost 3% and bitcoin proxy MicroStrategy gained more than 5%. Miners Riot Platforms and IREN gained 6% and 4%, respectively. U.S. Steel — The steel producer’s stock hovered near the flatline amid news that President Joe Biden will decide on the fate of its proposed acquisition by Japan’s Nippon Steel after a government panel failed to reach a decision . Apple — Apple shares gained 0.9% to notch a new all-time high. The stock has rallied nearly 34% year to date. — CNBC’s Sean Conlon, Lisa Han, Tanaya Macheel and Alex Harring contributed reporting.
A general view of the Federal Reserve Building in Washington, United States.
Samuel Corum | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images
The biggest banks are planning to sue the Federal Reserve over the annual bank stress tests, according to a person familiar with the matter. A lawsuit is expected this week and could come as soon as Tuesday morning, the person said.
The Fed’s stress test is an annual ritual that forces banks to maintain adequate cushions for bad loans and dictates the size of share repurchases and dividends.
After the market close on Monday, the Federal Reserve announced in a statement that it is looking to make changes to the bank stress tests and will be seeking public comment on what it calls “significant changes to improve the transparency of its bank stress tests and to reduce the volatility of resulting capital buffer requirements.”
The Fed said it made the determination to change the tests because of “the evolving legal landscape,” pointing to changes in administrative laws in recent years. It didn’t outline any specific changes to the framework of the annual stress tests.
While the big banks will likely view the changes as a win, it may be too little too late.
Also, the changes may not go far enough to satisfy the banks’ concerns about onerous capital requirements. “These proposed changes are not designed to materially affect overall capital requirements, according to the Fed.
The CEO of BPI (Bank Policy Institute), Greg Baer, which represents big banks like JPMorgan, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs, welcomed the Fed announcement, saying in a statement “The Board’s announcement today is a first step towards transparency and accountability.”
However, Baer also hinted at further action: “We are reviewing it closely and considering additional options to ensure timely reforms that are both good law and good policy.”
Groups like the BPI and the American Bankers Association have raised concerns about the stress test process in the past, claiming that it is opaque, and has resulted in higher capital rules that hurt bank lending and economic growth.
In July, the groups accused the Fed of being in violation of the Administrative Procedure Act, because it didn’t seek public comment on its stress scenarios and kept supervisory models secret.