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Harris economic proposals envision tax cuts, subsidies

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Kamala Harris campaigning in Maryland in August 2024
Kamala Harris during an event in Maryland on Aug. 15, 2024.

Aaron Schwartz/Photographer: Aaron Schwartz/Blo

Vice president Kamala Harris will propose sweeping new federal subsidies for parents, homebuyers, and Americans with low-incomes alongside new programs to curb increases in rent and grocery prices as she seeks to convince voters that she would act swiftly to address one of their top concerns — rising consumer costs.

The Democratic nominee, who will unveil the plan Friday afternoon in North Carolina as part of her three-month sprint to Election Day, plans to target some of the core expenses of daily life — the costs of food, housing and prescription drugs — while overhauling the federal tax code.

Harris’ plan would expand the Child Tax Credit to $3,600 from $2,000 per dependent, with a super-sized $6,000 credit for newborns. Harris also proposes expanding the Earned Income Tax Credit for low-wage workers who don’t have children, and increasing subsidies for those who purchase insurance on federal health exchanges.

The vice president also envisions new price controls on groceries, and expanding limits on out-of-pocket prescription drug prices to all Americans. Tens of billions of federal dollars would be spent to improve the supply of federal housing, while Harris is pledging to implement new rules to prevent corporate and landlord price gouging. 

The effort comes as the Democratic presidential nominee rapidly tries to define herself for the American public, with less than three months until the November election. Her message is an acknowledgment that many Americans are unhappy with the economic status quo, and a marked shift from President Joe Biden’s rigorous defense of their administration’s economic record, which contributed to Democratic leaders’ concerns that voters saw him as out of touch.

Economists are divided on the practicality and efficacy of some of Harris’ proposals — and particularly price cap efforts.

The World Bank in 2022 described temporary price controls as “the second best option,” given they can be inefficient and costly, though the bank acknowledges they have a role in keeping inflation expectations in check — provided they are designed well. Her $25,000 proposal to assist first-time home owners secure mortgages threatens to further push up housing prices.

Other elements of Harris’ proposals would carry a substantial price tag. 

The expanded Child Tax Credit alone would likely cost hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars over the next decade, though it could garner bipartisan support: Trump’s running mate, Senator JD Vance, also proposed increasing the credit to $5,000 per child. The politically popular tax break is set to decrease in value at the end of 2025, meaning that whoever wins the White House will face pressure to revive it.

Still, advisers believe that concentrating on pocketbook issues offers a favorable frame to voters who still rank the economy among their biggest concerns. It’s also an opportunity for Harris to highlight the years she spent as California attorney general advocating for consumers in price-fixing cases.

And even as economists point to supply-chain disruptions and the federal government’s pandemic-era stimulus spending as major factors in price increases, Democrats argue that inflation, which peaked at a 40-year high of 9.1% in mid-2022, has been driven by corporate profit-padding. Many Americans agree, Harris’ advisers have found in polling and focus groups.

Trump, looking to counter expected attention regarding the proposals, held a press conference Thursday at his New Jersey golf club where he labeled the Harris plan as “communist” and warned efforts to control grocery prices would lead to “food shortages, rationing, hunger, dramatically more inflation.”

Light on specifics

While Harris will offer some policy details in her speech, slated for Friday afternoon in Raleigh, she’s not expected to weigh down the address with too many specifics. Instead, allies say, it’s more important politically to deliver a message showing that she understands voters’ economic struggles and will fight to alleviate them.

“We’re more interested in the storytelling than the precise policy,” said Adam Green, co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, which has worked closely with the Harris campaign on economic messaging, drawing on weekly polling conducted with Data for Progress. Harris is right to start with grocery prices, he said, because they are “the number-one pain point in peoples’ lives by far.”

Harris heads into Friday’s speech with a narrow polling advantage on the economy, a rare position for a Democratic presidential candidate. 

Forty-two percent of registered voters surveyed for a Financial Times-University of Michigan Ross School of Business poll released Sunday said they trust her to handle the economy, while 41% said former President Donald Trump would do a better job. Biden trailed Trump by six points when the survey was last conducted, in July. 

Economic wariness

Recent U.S. economic data has generally been strong. Stocks climbed Thursday after reports showed that retail spending and the labor market continue to be healthy. Underlying U.S. inflation eased on an annual basis in July for the fourth consecutive month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday, keeping the Federal Reserve on track to cut interest rates in September. 

Still, there have been a few signs of concern that have analysts raising the odds of a recession. The unemployment rate rose in July to 4.3%, the highest level in three years.

Despite the generally positive economic news, voters have a bleak outlook. In the Financial Times-University of Michigan poll, 73% of those surveyed described American economic conditions as negative. 

While Harris is promising to fight drugmakers from the Oval Office, she can also point to what the Biden administration has already done to cut costs. For the first time since he dropped out of the presidential race, Biden joined Harris for a public appearance on Thursday to roll out the lower prices secured from pharmaceutical companies for participants in Medicare Part D.

Harris says she would push the government to negotiate additional savings faster, and cap the monthly cost of insulin at $35 for all Americans.

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AI for CAS powerful, but fragmentation blunts potential

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When it comes to AI in accounting, the future is already here but not everyone seems to have noticed.

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Accounting

Managing expectations key to AI implementation for CAS

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AI implementation at a CAS practice is hard enough, but it becomes even more so when people don’t fully understand what AI can and cannot do. 

Speaking during the Information Technology Alliance’s spring collaborative in Memphis, Tennessee, Jessica Barnas, the partner leading the finance and accounting solutions advisory group for top 25 firm Wipfli, lamented that public discourse around AI has given people the impression it’s some sort of magic wand that can fix anything, which then leads to unrealistic expectations around its capabilities. 

“I talked to a lot of clients, I think they think that AI is like an elf that jumps out of the box and does things magically. They just say, ‘Can’t AI do that?’ I even had one of our partners [tell me this recently], we’re working on a five year revenue prediction—he said, ‘Well, can’t you just upload that to Copilot and have it spin up the business plan and everything?’ and I’m like, ‘Do you have any idea how generative AI works? It doesn’t do that.’ But I think that there’s just this misconception [that], oh, technology it is just this magic wand that’s going to make all of my accounting problems disappear,” Barnas said. 

Chris Gallo, director of outsourced business accounting services with Kansas-based firm Creative Planning and another one of the panelists, made a similar point, saying that it’s important to be realistic about what technology can do. While it can do a lot, he echoed Barnas in saying that some people seem to think it is magic. 

“If we believed everything that everybody told us you would be flying around in flying cars right now. I think we need to kind of take it with a grain of salt at some point. Because why wouldn’t we just say ‘ChatGPT build me a flying car,’ and then the bot people that you know Tesla’s building will just go do that. Right? It becomes a little bit ridiculous at some point too… There’s a lot of expectation, or unaligned expectations,” said Gallo. 

Misconceptions about AI capabilities also serve to drive fear on the part of accountants. Barnas said that a big part of the change management process when it comes to implementing AI is allaying fears from staff that they’re not going to fire everyone and replace them with bots. While there have been major improvements in AI over the years, she does not believe it is in the position to wholesale replace human accountants just yet. Instead, it has become a great way to augment those humans and make them more competitive against the humans who are not using AI. 

“They think ‘AI will eliminate my job!’ So we talk about our philosophy. We’re looking to adopt these tools to help you get bigger and better and embrace the advisory role, but the only way AI will replace you is if a person using AI will replace you. You need to give that level of comfort to your teams so that everyone knows we’re just trying to get better, we’re just picking up new tools, this is not a replacement for you,” Barnas said. 

There is a similar fear when it comes to billable hours, also explored in another panel (see other story), of what happens when a process that normally takes 8 hours now only takes 1. Barnas first described the billable hour as “the enemy of all of us here in the room” but also conceded it is a real anxiety for practices that have built their foundation on it. She suggested, in response to this concern, to take a page from Google and encourage people to develop pet projects using AI and rewarding them if it turns into something useful for the entire team; and if it really does lead to a reduction in billable hours, don’t punish people with less money when they’ve done what you wanted them do in the first place. Overall, a firm’s business model should not be one that punishes efficiency: a practice should value results, not burning hours. She conceded that, for certain firms set in their ways, this might need retraining. 

“Okay, I took this process down from seven hours to half hour every week. Now what? Teach me how to do advisory. Because being a CFO, doing modeling and projections, it is not something [you learn] from reading a book or sitting in on one webinar. We would all be doing that if that were the case. So how can we train our teams on what to do next? All of that is involved in change management: being a guide and providing the safety for each step,” she said. 

Gregg Landers, the last panelist and managing director of client accounting and advisory services and internal control services with Top 10 firm CBIZ, talked about how a lot of the misunderstandings and misconceptions regarding AI can be allayed from people just experimenting with it themselves, which not only lets them get a better impression of its current capabilities but will train them in using those capabilities to their fullest potential. 

“I’ve been encouraging some of my teams to use their personal generative AI a little Black Mirror-like, [where you] keep talking to it, and it talks back. You get accustomed to how to give a context, how to get better answers. Sometimes, if you’re nice to it, [you get] a tighter answer than if you’re not. So experiment around with it. 

He gave an example from his own life, where he needed to learn more about digital services taxes. Through an extended conversation with an LLM  he was able to understand what the DST is and how it works and how accountants manage it. He was able to get good outputs from the model, though, because previous experience taught him that he needs to provide more context and information for a decent answer, because these models can get tripped up by ambiguities. He compared it to a fortune cookie that could be interrupted in many ways, people should be clear and concise when prompting AIs. 

“We’ve become a society of fortune cookies. I may ask ‘how is that project going’ and you tell me ‘it’s going good’ but what I mean is ‘is it on time?’ and what you might mean is ‘I had this hiccup that put me two weeks behind but now it is resolved so it is good.’ We can’t have fortune cookies when interacting with generative AI. You need clear, concise, contextual communication,” he said.

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Accounting

Deloitte to move North American headquarters to Hudson Yards

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Deloitte is moving its North American headquarters to Hudson Yards in New York City.

The Big Four Firm committed to 800,000 square feet of the 1.1 million-square-foot tower known as 70 Hudson Yards, the Wall Street Journal reported Tuesday. Deloitte has been headquartered at 30 Rockefeller Plaza since January 2011.

A logo sits above the head office of Deloitte LLP in Warsaw, Poland, on Monday, Jan. 9, 2017. Investors in Poland are betting that the nation’s central bank will raise its benchmark rate faster than stated. Photographer: Piotr Malecki/Bloomberg

Related Companies, the real estate developer behind the more-than 60-floor tower, reportedly reached an agreement with Deloitte before construction even began, which is slated for June.

Related Companies and Oxford Properties Group, the codeveloper of Hudson Yards, declined to comment. Deloitte did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

KPMG is also planning to move its headquarters to Manhattan’s West Side. In August 2022, it announced it would move by the end of 2025 and downsize its office space by over 40%. 

KPMG currently leases approximately 800,000 square feet at 345 Park Avenue, where its worldwide headquarters are located, as well as 560 Lexington avenue and 1350 Sixth Avenue. In its relocated headquarters, it will occupy approximately 450,000 square feet across 12 floors in the new 58-story Two Manhattan West building, which finished construction in January 2024.

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