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Trump dangles so many tax breaks even some advisers are confused

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Donald Trump at a Town Hall event

Emily Elconin/Photographer: Emily Elconin/Bloo

Donald Trump’s ever-growing litany of tax proposals includes something for almost every American family: tipped workers, hourly employees, senior citizens — and now even the higher-income residents of Democratic-led states whose tax breaks he took away while president.

And he’s not done yet: Trump will make a speech on Tuesday in Georgia to outline his vision to use tax breaks and other incentives to bolster U.S. manufacturing.

The former president has thrown out such a wide range of tax proposals that even his own advisers are unsure about which ones he intends to enact if elected. Some of the pronouncements have come as surprises and caused angst among allies. 

Within Trump’s orbit, the former president’s menu of tax ideas is seen as a way to appeal to voters in an extremely tight election — particularly, low-and-middle-income Americans frustrated by high prices looking for financial relief.

“I see it as a way of Trump trying to figure out how he can win over more working-class Americans,” said Stephen Moore, a senior fellow at the Heritage Foundation and an informal economic adviser who briefs Trump every few months on the state of the economy. “Some of the ideas are good. Some of the ideas are not so good. On balance, most of the ideas are good.”

Not since President George H. W. Bush asked voters to read his lips has a president made such big promises on taxes in an election campaign. For Trump, as with Bush, the question is whether he can keep them. (Bush, despite his “no new taxes” pledge, increased levies.)

“Principles of sound tax policy, economics — that’s no longer in the driver’s seat. Politics is in the driver’s seat. That’s why we’re seeing carve-outs and things that sound good on the campaign trail,” said Erica York of the Tax Foundation, a right-of-center think tank.

If elected, Trump would go into negotiations with Congress regarding a wish list totaling $11 trillion and counting, according to the Tax Foundation. That includes the extension of the 2017 tax cuts, which will expire unless Congress acts. He has also pledged as much as $2.8 trillion in additional revenue from tariffs to offset a portion of that cost. The former president and his allies have said his tax-cut proposals would bolster economic growth, helping to offset some of the cost, though his campaign hasn’t provided any details.

The Trump campaign said he isn’t making empty promises. 

“President Trump delivered on his promise to cut taxes in his first term and he will deliver again in his second term,” said spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt.

Vice President Kamala Harris has also made tax policy a central part of her campaign, pledging to increase the Child Tax Credit, create incentives to first-time home-buyers and expand deductions for startup businesses. She even co-opted one of Trump’s signature ideas — no taxes on tips, giving the proposal bipartisan momentum. Harris is planning her own economic-focused address this week. 

The Tax Foundation found that Harris’ tax plan would decrease the deficit because the reductions are more than offset by higher levies on corporations and wealthy households.

Pinch of SALT

Trump has targeted his proposals at key election constituencies. When in Nevada, a state with the highest percentage of service and hospitality workers, he made a surprise proposal to end taxes on tips. He’s offered to eliminate taxes on Social Security, a boon to retirees. To woo blue-collar workers, he proposed ending taxes on overtime. 

And in his latest proposal, he reversed himself on one of the more controversial provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, his signature tax rewrite of 2017. 

By capping the deduction of state and local taxes at $10,000, Trump helped to offset a higher standard deduction and lower overall rates in the 2017 bill. The SALT cap also had a political dimension: The taxpayers most affected are in districts with higher home values and higher tax rates — and are predominately run and represented by Democrats.

But the 2022 midterm elections helped sweep a number of Republicans into some of those districts, especially in New York State, where lawmakers have lobbied Trump to change course.  

“It disproportionately hurts states like New York,” said Rep. Michael Lawler, a Republican representing the Hudson Valley who said he raised the issue with Trump last month. “So, I’m heartened, obviously, to hear the former president say he will work with us to fix it.”

As for how the restored SALT deduction would be paid for, Lawler said: “Nobody knows.”

Moore said some of Trump’s economic advisers have discussed reviving SALT in a scaled-back fashion, allowing homeowners to deduct up to $15,000 or $20,000 annually, instead of the $10,000 permitted now.

One idea which Trump genuinely is wedded to, advisers say, is his proposal of no longer taxing tips. That idea has been under consideration since the primaries, his advisers say, but they held off on announcing it until the more competitive general election.

Tax base

How far Trump can go will depend on which party controls Congress next year, but his tax plan could face obstacles in both parties over concerns about costs and fairness.

Many of his proposed carve-outs go against the grain of four decades of tax policy, prompted by President Ronald Reagan who vowed to “broaden the base” by eliminating targeted tax breaks and lower rates for everyone.

Any move to exclude a certain type or source of income from taxes will undoubtedly change how people work. A no-tax-on-tips policy, for example, could prompt more workers to agree to lower wage in exchange for the promise of more tips. An hourly worker could rearrange his or her schedule to maximize overtime — and might even agree to a lower hourly rate to do so.

“Could some employers get creative? I suppose so. At the end of the day, to be honest, I’m more concerned about the incentives the other way,” said Rep. Russ Fulcher, an Idaho Republican who has a bill to eliminate taxes on overtime pay. “As exacerbated by Covid, we have these programs in place that encourage not working, and that’s a problem in itself.”

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Accounting

AI-Driven Automation and Continuous Accounting Frameworks

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The accounting profession is undergoing a fundamental structural transition as enterprise finance departments shift from periodic month-end closes toward automated continuous accounting models. By integrating specialized machine learning algorithms directly into enterprise resource planning (ERP) platforms, chief accounting officers are transforming financial reporting from a retrospective exercise into a real-time operational asset.

The Shift from Periodic Close to Continuous Financial Reporting
Traditional accounting workflows heavily relied on manual data reconciliation, spreadsheet calculations, and multi-week closing cycles at the end of each fiscal period. In contrast, continuous accounting frameworks utilize automated software agents to process, validate, and post transactional data in real time as business activities occur.

Automated bank reconciliation tools cross-reference incoming bank feeds, invoice records, and purchase orders automatically. By resolving transactional variances instantly throughout the month, corporate accounting teams eliminate the traditional workload spikes associated with quarterly and annual closes.

Machine Learning in Audit Trails and Anomaly Detection
Advanced natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning tools are redefining internal audit and financial control environments. Automated systems analyze 100% of general ledger entries, identifying anomalous transactions, duplicate payments, and unauthorized journal entries in real time.

Rather than relying on random statistical sampling, corporate internal auditors can focus their attention on high-risk flags automatically surfaced by algorithmic monitoring platforms. This continuous risk assessment strengthens internal controls over financial reporting (ICFR) and significantly reduces fraud risk.

Evolving Roles for Accounting Professionals
As routine data entry and manual reconciliation tasks become fully automated, the skill set required for accounting professionals is shifting toward data analysis, system design, and strategic business advisory.
– Systems Governance: Accountants are increasingly responsible for monitoring algorithmic accuracy and managing data integration pipelines.
– Business Partnership: Finance professionals leverage real-time financial dashboards to advise operational leaders on margin management and working capital allocation.
– Regulatory Compliance Management: Accounting teams utilize automated platforms to ensure compliance with dynamic tax codes and international accounting standards.

Core Implementation Recommendations
1. Deploy Automated Reconciliation Tools: Integrate continuous transaction processing modules into existing enterprise ERP architectures.
2. Establish Algorithmic Governance Controls: Implement strict internal testing protocols to ensure automated accounting rules comply with GAAP/IFRS standards.
3. Reskill Accounting Teams: Invest in training finance staff on data analytics, workflow automation, and predictive financial modeling.

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Accounting

Global ESG Reporting Standards and Double Materiality Compliance

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Corporate accounting departments face expanding reporting expectations as international sustainability disclosure standards achieve regulatory enforcement across major global jurisdictions. Chief Accounting Officers (CAOs) and corporate controllers are establishing rigorous internal accounting controls to treat Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) metrics with the same data precision, auditability, and governance as traditional financial statements.

Regulatory Harmonization Under Global Sustainability Frameworks
The implementation of standardized sustainability reporting frameworks—notably rules established by international sustainability accounting boards—has created unified expectations for public and large private enterprises. Corporations must report standardized metrics covering greenhouse gas emissions (Scope 1, 2, and material Scope 3), energy utilization, workforce demographics, and supply chain governance.

In Europe and other participating international jurisdictions, double materiality principles are mandatory. Under double materiality, organizations must report both how external sustainability risks impact corporate financial performance, and how internal corporate operations affect surrounding environmental and social structures.

Integrating Sustainability Metrics into Core ERP Systems
To provide auditable non-financial data, enterprise organizations are integrating specialized carbon accounting and ESG management platforms directly into core ERP systems. Automated data collectors capture energy utility invoices, logistics fuel consumption metrics, and vendor compliance records in real time.

Establishing automated, traceable data pipelines ensures that non-financial reporting is supported by clear audit trails. This structured approach allows external financial auditors to provide reasonable assurance on sustainability disclosures during annual corporate reporting cycles.

Financial Impacts and Capital Market Disclosure
Accurate ESG reporting directly influences corporate cost of capital and institutional credit ratings. Commercial lenders and institutional asset managers systematically incorporate sustainability metrics into risk pricing models. Companies that demonstrate transparent, verifiable progress in operational energy efficiency and climate risk mitigation benefit from expanded access to green bond markets and lower debt pricing.

Action Steps for Accounting Leadership
1. Implement Double Materiality Frameworks: Conduct comprehensive assessments to identify material financial and operational sustainability metrics.
2. Build Auditable Non-Financial Data Pipelines: Automate ESG data collection within core accounting software to ensure data integrity.
3. Align Sustainability with Annual Financial Filings: Prepare non-financial disclosures concurrently with financial statements to satisfy regulatory audit expectations.

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Accounting

Modernizing Internal Controls: Machine Learning and Continuous Monitoring in Auditing

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Internal audit departments and corporate risk managers are modernizing internal control frameworks by shifting from periodic sampling techniques to continuous monitoring and machine learning analytics. As operational data volumes increase across enterprise organizations, automated control testing ensures financial integrity, prevents corporate fraud, and streamlines annual audit engagements.

The Limitation of Periodic Audit Sampling
Historically, internal and external auditors evaluated internal controls by reviewing random samples of financial transactions—often analyzing less than five percent of total ledger entries. In complex enterprise environments, periodic sampling methods carry inherent risks of overlooking localized financial misstatements, unauthorized disbursements, or operational control breakdowns.

In 2026, progressive internal audit functions are utilizing automated continuous monitoring platforms that evaluate one hundred percent of financial transactions in real time. Continuous control auditing systems continuously monitor general ledger entries, procurement approvals, and expense reimbursements across all operating subsidiaries.

AI-Powered Fraud Detection and Anomaly Identification
Machine learning models trained on historical corporate financial data excel at identifying subtle transactional anomalies that indicate potential fraud or operational error. Automated systems instantly flag duplicate invoice payments, unapproved vendor creation, unusual journal entry timing, and unauthorized override of authority thresholds.

When an anomaly is detected, the automated auditing platform generates an instant risk alert, allowing internal audit teams to investigate root causes immediately. Early detection prevents minor operational errors from escalating into material weaknesses in financial reporting.

Streamlining External Audit Preparation
Continuous internal control monitoring delivers significant benefits during annual external financial audits. External audit firms can review continuous audit logs and automated control testing documentation, reducing the time required for manual field testing.

This integrated approach lowers overall audit compliance fees, reduces administrative burdens on corporate accounting staff, and provides senior management and audit committees with real-time visibility into the organization’s overall risk profile.

Core Implementation Guidelines
1. Transition to 100% Data Testing: Replace legacy sampling methods with automated continuous audit monitoring systems.
2. Deploy Anomaly Detection Algorithms: Implement machine learning models to identify unauthorized transactions and operational control overrides.
3. Align Internal and External Audit Workflows: Coordinate continuous control testing protocols with external auditors to optimize annual compliance cycles.

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