A protestor holds a placard with a slogan reading “Stop Merger Horror” during a union demonstration outside the Commerzbank AG headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, on Tuesday, Sept. 24, 2024.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Italy’s UniCredit appears to have caught German authorities off guard with a potential multibillion-euro merger of Frankfurt-based Commerzbank, a move that has triggered a fiery response from Berlin.
Market observers told CNBC that the swoop may have provoked a sense of national embarrassment among Germany’s government, which firmly opposes the move, while it’s been argued that the outcome of the takeover attempt could even put the meaning of the European project at stake.
Milan-based UniCredit announced on Monday that it had increased its stake in Commerzbank to around 21% and submitted a request to boost that holding to up to 29.9%. It follows UniCredit’s move to take a 9% stake in Commerzbank earlier this month.
“If UniCredit can take Commerzbank and take it to their level of efficiency, there’s a tremendous upside in terms of increased profitability,” Octavio Marenzi, CEO of consulting firm Opimas, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Tuesday.
“But [German Chancellor] Olaf Scholz is not an investor. He’s a politician and he’s very concerned about the jobs side of things. And if you look at what UniCredit has done in terms of slimming down things in its Italian operations or particularly in its German operations, it’s been quite impressive,” Marenzi said.
Scholz on Monday criticized UniCredit’s decision to up the ante on Commerzbank, describing the move as an “unfriendly” and “hostile” attack, Reuters reported.
Commerzbank’s Deputy Chair Uwe Tschaege, meanwhile, reportedly voiced opposition to a potential takeover by UniCredit on Tuesday. Speaking outside of the lender’s headquarters in central Frankfurt, Tschaege said the message was simple and clear: “We don’t want this.”
“I feel like vomiting when I hear his promises of cost savings,” Tschaege reportedly added, referring to UniCredit ‘s CEO Andrea Orcel.
Separately, Stefan Wittman, a Commerzbank supervisory board member, told CNBC on Tuesday that as many as two-thirds of the jobs at the bank could disappear if UniCredit successfully carries out a hostile takeover.
The bank has yet to respond to a request for comment on Wittmann’s statement.
Hostile takeover bids are not common in the European banking sector, although Spanish bank BBVAshocked markets in May when it launched an all-share takeover offer for domestic rival Banco Sabadell. The latter Spanish lender rejected the bid.
Opimas’ Marenzi said the German government and trade unions “are basically looking at this and saying this means we could lose a bunch of jobs in the process — and it could be quite substantial job losses.”
“The other thing is there might be a bit of a national embarrassment that the Italians are coming in and showing them how to run their banks,” he added.
A spokesperson for Germany’s government was not immediately available when contacted by CNBC on Tuesday.
Germany’s Scholz has previously pushed for the completion of a European banking union. Designed in the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis, the European Union’s executive arm announced plans to create a banking union to improve the regulation and supervision of lenders across the region.
What’s at stake?
Craig Coben, former global head of equity capital markets at Bank of America, said the German government would need to find “very good” reasons to block UniCredit’s move on Commerzbank, warning that it would also have to be consistent with the principles around European integration.
“I think it is very difficult for UniCredit to take over or to reach an agreement on Commerzbank without the approval of the German government, just as a practical matter — but I think Germany needs to find a legitimate excuse if it wants to intervene [or] if it wants to block the approach from UniCredit,” Coben told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Tuesday.
The Commerzbank AG headquarters, in the financial district of Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, Sept. 12, 2024.
“Germany has signed up to the [EU’s] single market, it has signed up to the single currency, it has signed up to [the] banking union and so it would be inconsistent with those principles to block the merger on the grounds of national interest,” he continued.
“And I think that’s really what’s at stake here: what is the meaning of [the] banking union? And what is the meaning of the European project?”
Former European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi said in a report published earlier this month that the European Union needs hundreds of billions of euros in additional investment to meet its key competitiveness targets.
Draghi, who has previously served as Italian prime minister, also cited the “incomplete” banking union in the report as one factor that continues to hinder competitiveness for the region’s banks.
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell. Big banks — Bank stocks took a hit over increasing fears of a U.S. economic pullback amid an escalating global trade war. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley each lost 6%, while JPMorgan Chase , Citigroup and Wells Fargo shed 5%. China-based ETFs — China-based exchange-traded funds slid after the nation’s finance ministry announced on Friday that it will impose a 34% tariff on all U.S. goods starting Thursday, April 10. This comes on the back of President Donald Trump’s decision to impose an additional 34% duty on China — bringing the country’s effective tariff rate to 54%. The KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) slipped 8%, the iShares MSCI China ETF (FXI) shed 7% and the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (MCHI) lost 5%. Semiconductor stocks — Semiconductor stocks with large exposure to China also slipped. Shares of Marvell Technology , Intel and Broadcom each lost 7%, while Nvidia and Qualcomm shed 6%. Apple — The tech stock tumbled another 5% in premarket trading after China announced retaliatory tariffs against the U.S. China accounts for around 80% of Apple’s production capacity with about 90% of iPhones assembled in the country, according to estimates from Evercore ISI. Deere , Caterpillar — Equipment manufacturers Deere and Caterpillar also took a hit after China’s new retaliatory measures. Shares of Deere shed 5%, while Caterpillar tumbled 7%. Casino stocks — Casino operators in Macao also declined on Friday. Shares of Las Vegas Sands slipped 5%. Wynn Resorts and MGM Resorts International followed with 4% losses. Boeing — The airplane maker tumbled 6% amid ongoing tariff news. On Friday, China said it would slap a 34% levy on goods imported from the U.S. Boeing exports to China and imports components from the country. Shell — Shares of the London-based energy company dropped 5% after Trump’s tariffs sent oil prices plunging to their lowest close since the depths of the coronavirus pandemic. — CNBC’s Michelle Fox, Yun Li and Sarah Min contributed reporting. Get Your Ticket to Pro LIVE Join us at the New York Stock Exchange! Uncertain markets? Gain an edge with CNBC Pro LIVE , an exclusive, inaugural event at the historic New York Stock Exchange. In today’s dynamic financial landscape, access to expert insights is paramount. As a CNBC Pro subscriber, we invite you to join us for our first exclusive, in-person CNBC Pro LIVE event at the iconic NYSE on Thursday, June 12. Join interactive Pro clinics led by our Pros Carter Worth, Dan Niles, and Dan Ives, with a special edition of Pro Talks with Tom Lee. You’ll also get the opportunity to network with CNBC experts, talent and other Pro subscribers during an exciting cocktail hour on the legendary trading floor. Tickets are limited!
It’s milestone month for the exchange-traded fund industry.
Actively managed ETFs now have more than $1 trillion in assets under management, according to independent research firm ETFGI.
That’s roughly the market cap of Berkshire Hathaway, Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product and the value of 121 New York Yankees franchises.
The ETF Store’s Nate Geraci thinks it will grow even bigger due to the appetite for new active investing strategies.
“It’s interesting for an industry where the roots are passively managed products. That’s what the industry was built on,” the firm’s president told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “It’s interesting to see active ETFs getting all of the attention right now.”
Geraci finds most of the flows are going into “much more systemic strategies,” including a combination of passive and aggressive.
“When you look at the growth in the number of actively managed ETFs out there … these aren’t what you necessarily think of as traditional active,” he added. “It is products like options-based income ETFs [and] buffer ETFs.”
Actively managed ETFs now comprise almost one-tenth of the ETF industry, according to VettaFi’s Kirsten Chang.
A flying taxi displayed at the China Telecom booth at SNIEC in Shanghai, on June 26, 2024, during the opening of Mobile World Congress 2024.
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Flying taxis will become a viable method of transportation in China in the next three to five years, according to a senior executive at Ehang, a company that makes autonomous aerial vehicles (AAVs).
The prediction by Ehang’s Vice President He Tianxing comes days after the company became the first company, along with its joint venture partner Hefei Heyi Aviation, to obtain a certificate to operate “civil human-carrying pilotless aerial vehicles” from the Civil Aviation Administration of China.
Ehang said the certification clears the way for commercial operations of its vehicles, allowing for paid human-carrying services and any other low-altitude use cases the company develops.
At first, Ehang’s AAVs will be used for tourism, with passengers able to ride along designated routes in Guangzhou and Hefei by the end of June, He told CNBC in an interview translated from Mandarin.
The company will gradually explore air taxi services as its tourist operations progress. He named Hefei and Shenzhen as examples of some of the first cities expected to get air taxi services.
Ehang’s EH216-S, which received the certification, is a fully electric, pilotless two-seater aerial vehicle that features 16 propellers, according to Ehang’s website. It has a maximum design speed of 130 kilometers per hour, with a maximum range of 30 kilometers.
He expects to get certifications to operate in additional cities this year and next, with the second set of locations for tourist operations expected to include Zhuhai, Shenzhen, Taiyuan, Wuxi, Wenzhou and Wuhan.
For the forthcoming Hefei and Guangzhou locations, he declined to share the price per ride but hoped it would be reasonable enough to encourage more people to try out the pilotless aerial vehicle.
The experience should be “just like riding in a car,” added He, noting that no helmet or parachute is required. He said the initial length of rides offered by the company would vary from around three minutes to 10 minutes.
When asked about global markets, He said overseas partners had actively reached out since news of the certification, and he expected Ehang could expand overseas in the next few years.
Early lead
According to technology analysts, China’s allowing commercial use of passenger AAVs signifies its innovation and leadership in transportation and mobility.
“This is a major development and shot across the bow from China showing technology innovation is accelerating,” said Dan Ives, global head of technology research at Wedbush Securities.
China has already established itself as a global leader in electric vehicles and autonomous driving. Flying taxis, meanwhile, represent “one of the next frontiers for the auto and tech industry,” said Ives, adding that China already has created a clear lead in that space.
Beijing first released rules for unmanned aircraft flight — vehicles without a pilot on board — in June 2023. The U.S., on the other hand, has yet to roll out comparable regulations.
Instead, Washington’s Federal Aviation Administration last year unveiled general rules for “powered-lift” vehicles, which includes some electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircrafts.
eVTOL encompasses electric-powered aircrafts designed to carry passengers and take off and land vertically without the need for runways. However, the FAA has focused on those that are manually piloted.
Tu Le, founder of auto industry consultancy Sino Auto Insights, told CNBC that the U.S. has been falling behind China and even the EU in eVTOLs due to this lack of favorable policies, chalking it up to overregulation, lobbying from competing industries or “just plain politics.”
Meanwhile, China has been backing eVTOL technology as part of its “low-altitude economy,” the development of which has become a major policy goal. The term refers to economic activity taking place in airspace below 1,000 meters, well under the around 9,000 meters most commercial planes cruise around.
In addition to flying taxis and other eVTOLs, examples of the low-altitude economy include unmanned drones for delivery and helicopter-operated air shuttle routes.
The term was recently included in China’s annual work report for 2025, with the government promising to promote its development. Beijing has also committed to boosting consumption in the low-altitude economy, notably in low-altitude tourism, air sports, and consumer drones, as part of a special action plan in March.
Already, China’s low-altitude economy is one of its fastest-growing industries, with it projected to be worth 1.5 trillion yuan ($205 billion) by 2025, and almost double that by 2035, according to a report by the research group Hurun.
Competition ramping up
Sino Auto Insights’ Le also credits China’s progress in the eVTOLs sector to a high degree of domestic competition.
China has seen a major ramp-up of prospective players in recent years, as companies prepare for a high-tech future that was once confined to science fiction.
Firms investing in the space have included electric vehicle makers like GAC, Geely and Xpeng.
Xpeng’s flying car division, Xpeng Aero HT, last week, completed a maiden flight of its “Land Carrier” product — a van paired with a 2-man quadcopter, the company told CNBC.
Xpeng Aero HT said it will hold a pre-sale launch event and complete the construction of its mass production factory in the second half of the year. It also aims to obtain certifications for airworthiness by the end of the year.
Last month, XPeng Motors CEO He Xiaopeng told state media the company plans to mass-produce flying cars by 2026, as China’s low-altitude economy is boosted by supportive policy.
However, despite China leading in eVTOL regulation, it is expected to face competition from international companies also investing in and building various types of air vehicle technologies.
Some of those companies include international companies like America’s Boeing, France’s Airbus, and the Brazilian firm Embraer, which have taken steps to take advantage of future flying car demand.
Numerous startups, including Joby Aviation, Archer, and Wisk, in the U.S. are also planning on launching various commercial air taxi services over the next few years.
According to Wedbush’s Ives, the global electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft business could grow into a $30 billion market opportunity over the next decade.