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Checks and Balance newsletter: Trump’s erstwhile allies

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This is the introduction to Checks and Balance, a weekly, subscriber-only newsletter bringing exclusive insight from our correspondents in America.

James Bennet, our Lexington columnist, considers the former allies of Donald Trump and their refusal to endorse him

Bill Clinton had his share of scandals, as I wrote in Lexington this week, but he was an effective and popular president, and he left office with an approval rating of 66%, according to Gallup. Barack Obama also left on a high note, at 59%. When the two former presidents appeared with President Joe Biden in New York on March 28th, they were plumping for money for his campaign, but they nevertheless presented a dignified tableau of mutual respect and affection, solidarity and continuity. 

What a contrast with Donald Trump. The only other living former Republican president, George W. Bush, has never even endorsed him, let alone embraced him in public. Mr Trump makes a virtue of that, of course. His politics are grounded in the idea he is breaking with everything that came before. 

What’s weird, though, is that the discontinuity increasingly applies to his own term in office. His own vice-president, Mike Pence, said in mid-March he will not endorse his former boss—not a huge surprise, since Mr Pence has accused Mr Trump of putting himself “over the constitution”, and yet it is still a shocking repudiation, one without obvious precedent at that level of American politics. It puts Mr Pence on a list of officials who served Mr Trump but have since broken with him that includes an attorney-general (Bill Barr), two defence secretaries (Jim Mattis and Mark Esper), two national security advisers (John Bolton and H.R. McMaster), two chiefs of staff (John Kelly and Mick Mulvaney), a chairman of the joint chiefs of staff (Mark Milley), a secretary of the Navy (Richard Spencer), a secretary of state (Rex Tillerson), a secretary of education (Betsy DeVos), and a secretary of transportation (Elaine Chao), among others. 

Maybe some of these people will have a change of heart, though that doesn’t seem probable. (Those Republicans, such as Senator Lindsey Graham, who repudiate their repudiations of Mr Trump tend to still have political ambitions. For that reason Nikki Haley, who was Mr Trump’s most formidable opponent for the Republican nomination, may come around, though she appears to be resisting so far.) Mr Kelly has called Mr Trump “a person with nothing but contempt for our democratic institutions, our constitution, and our rule of law”. Mr Esper has said “his actions are all about him and not about the country.” Mr Bolton has said he thought foreign leaders saw Mr Trump as “a laughing fool”. 

It seems to defy not just conventional politics but even common sense that such condemnation and contempt from formidable people who worked closely with Mr Trump does not matter much. At least not so far.

Economics

What would Robert F. Kennedy junior mean for American health?

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AS IN MOST marriages of convenience, Donald Trump and Robert F. Kennedy junior make unusual bedfellows. One enjoys junk food, hates exercise and loves oil. The other talks of clean food, getting America moving again and wants to eliminate oils of all sorts (from seed oil to Mr Trump’s beloved “liquid gold”). One has called the covid-19 vaccine a “miracle”, the other is a long-term vaccine sceptic. Yet on November 14th Mr Trump announced that Mr Kennedy was his pick for secretary of health and human services (HHS).

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Economics

What would Robert Kennedy junior mean for American health?

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on

AS IN MOST marriages of convenience, Donald Trump and Robert F. Kennedy junior make unusual bedfellows. One enjoys junk food, hates exercise and loves oil. The other talks of clean food, getting America moving again and wants to eliminate oils of all sorts (from seed oil to Mr Trump’s beloved “liquid gold”). One has called the covid-19 vaccine a “miracle”, the other is a long-term vaccine sceptic. Yet on November 14th Mr Trump announced that Mr Kennedy was his pick for secretary of health and human services (HHS).

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Economics

UK economy ekes out 0.1% growth, below expectations

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Bank of England in the City of London on 6th November 2024 in London, United Kingdom. The City of London is a city, ceremonial county and local government district that contains the primary central business district CBD of London. The City of London is widely referred to simply as the City is also colloquially known as the Square Mile. (photo by Mike Kemp/In Pictures via Getty Images)

Mike Kemp | In Pictures | Getty Images

The U.K. economy expanded by 0.1% in the third quarter of the year, the Office for National Statistics said Friday.

That was below the expectations of economists polled by Reuters who forecast 0.2% gross domestic product growth on the previous three months of the year.

It comes after inflation in the U.K. fell sharply to 1.7% in September, dipping below the Bank of England’s 2% target for the first time since April 2021. The fall in inflation helped pave the way for the central bank to cut rates by 25 basis points on Nov. 7, bringing its key rate to 4.75%.

The Bank of England said last week it expects the Labour Government’s tax-raising budget to boost GDP by 0.75 percentage points in a year’s time. Policymakers also noted that the government’s fiscal plan had led to an increase in their inflation forecasts.

The outcome of the recent U.S. election has fostered much uncertainty about the global economic impact of another term from President-elect Donald Trump. While Trump’s proposed tariffs are expected to be widely inflationary and hit the European economy hard, some analysts have said such measures could provide opportunities for the British economy.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey gave little away last week on the bank’s views of Trump’s tariff agenda, but he did reference risks around global fragmentation.

“Let’s wait and see where things get to. I’m not going to prejudge what might happen, what might not happen,” he told reporters during a press briefing.

This is a breaking news story. Please refresh for updates.

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