BEIJING — Alibaba, Tencent and JD.com reported earnings this week that not only reflected improving Chinese consumer spending, but also the growing benefits of artificial intelligence in advertising.
E-commerce giant Alibaba said late Thursday its Taobao and Tmall group sales rose by 9% year on year to 101.37 billion yuan ($13.97 billion) for the three months ended March 31. That’s above the 97.94 billion yuan predicted by a FactSet analyst poll, and the quarterly growth figure was well above the 3% segment increase for the 12-month period ending March 31.
“The e-commerce and ad revenues were positive surprises as there were expectations tariffs would affect consumer behavior,” Kai Wang, Asia equity market strategist at Morningstar, said in an email regarding the three companies’ earnings results.
It’s important to note the earnings releases cover only the period before U.S.-China tensions escalated in April with new tariffs of more than 100% on products from both countries — an effective trade embargo. The two countries issued a rare joint statement Monday announcing a 90-day reduction in most of the recently added tariffs.
The U.S.-China trade dispute since April has negatively affected consumption to some extent, given the increased uncertainty for small and medium-sized businesses, Charlie Chen, managing director and head of Asia research at China Renaissance Securities, said Friday. He expects that as trade tensions ease, consumption will rise.
But despite lackluster consumption overall, sales of certain electronics and home appliances have done well since last year thanks to China’s trade-in subsidies for supporting such consumer spending.
JD.com on Tuesday said its sales of for that category surged by 17% from a year ago. Overall, the e-commerce company reported a 16.3% increase in revenue from its retail business to 263.85 billion yuan in the three months ended March 31. That was better than the 226.84 billion yuan in retail segment sales predicted by a FactSet poll.
On Wednesday, Tencent said its “fintech and business services” segment, a proxy for consumer-related business transactions, reported a 5% year-on-year revenue increase to 54.9 billion yuan in the first quarter.
While Nomura analysts said that segment revenue growth was in line with estimates, they pointed out in a note that “Tencent ads was a big outperformer in the Chinese ads industry despite the challenging macro environment.”
Tencent’s marketing services revenue surged by 20% to 31.9 billion yuan, helped by “robust advertiser demand” for short videos and other content inside its WeChat social media app. Tencent noted “ongoing AI upgrades” to its advertising platform.
AI is boosting ads
AI is helping Tencent lift its click-through rates — a measure of success for online ads — to nearly 3%, company management said on an earnings call Wednesday, according to a FactSet transcript. That’s up sharply from a 0.1% click-through rate for banner ads historically, and around 1% for feed ads, the company said.
Combined monthly average users for WeChat, known as Weixin in China, topped 1.4 billion in the first quarter for the first time. The app offers one of two major mobile payment systems used in mainland China.
Many coffee shops and online retailers also use mini-apps in WeChat for customers to place orders. Tencent said Thursday that its e-commerce operations had grown so large it was now a new unit within WeChat.
“AI ads improve efficiency and algorithm, which should translate into better targeting towards consumers even if macro conditions are not optimal,” Morningstar’s Wang said. “It is still a bit early to quantify how much incremental benefit AI ads bring compared to non-AI ads, but we have seen some monetization from AI-driven ads.”
JD said its marketing revenues climbed by 15.7% to 22.32 billion yuan for the quarter, also partly attributing that rise to AI tools.
On an earnings call Tuesday, JD management said its advertising research and development team is using large language models to improve ad conversion rates and accelerate ad revenue growth. The company added it is implementing AI tools that enable merchants to “execute complex ad campaigns” with a simple command.
Weekly analysis and insights from Asia’s largest economy in your inbox Subscribe now
Advertisers have long sought ways to target ads at the consumers most likely to make a purchase.
Alibaba noted that marketing revenue, which it calls “customer management,” grew 12% year on year to nearly $10 billion thanks in part to increased use of the company’s AI tool for boosting merchants’ marketing efficiency, Quanzhantui.
China is set to release retail sales data for April on Monday. Analysts polled by Reuters predict a 5.5% year-on-year increase in retail sales for April, down slightly from 5.9% growth in March.
A Morgan Stanley survey from April 8 to 11, conducted immediately after the escalation in U.S.-China tensions, found that consumer confidence fell to a 2.5-year low, and 44% of respondents were concerned about job losses — the highest since 2020 when the survey began. Only 23% of consumers expect to spend more in the next quarter, the survey found, an 8 percentage point drop from the prior quarter.
Lackluster domestic demand persisted in April, with a 0.1% year-on-year drop in the consumer price index for the month — the third-straight month of decline. However, when excluding food and energy prices, the so-called core CPI rose by 0.5%, the same pace as in March.
Since the real estate market has yet to recover, and exports are restricted by geopolitics, Chen expects Chinese policymakers to focus on boosting consumption in order to achieve the year’s growth target of around 5%.
He expects related stimulus policies to include boosting spending on food and beverage, caregiving, travel, sports, and durable goods not yet included in the trade-in subsidies program.
June 18 marks the next major promotional season for shopping in China.
“I think we’re going to get a pretty good 618. Now obviously, we’re not dealing with 30% year-on-year growth anymore like we were in the first 10 years” of the shopping festival, Jacob Cooke, co-founder and CEO of WPIC Marketing + Technologies, told CNBCearlier this week. The company helps foreign brands — such as Vitamix and IS Clinical — sell online in China and other parts of Asia.
He predicts 618 sales growth will rise by “very low double-digits.”
Walmart‘s business is strong enough to withstand tariff headwinds without increasing its prices, according to the discount retailer’s former U.S. CEO.
Bill Simon, who ran Walmart U.S. from 2010 to 2014, suggests the company may be overstating challenges tied to tariffs.
“If you look down deep and dig into the details of their earnings release today, you know this quarter they grew their gross profit margin in the U.S. business 25 basis points. So, they’re expanding their margin. They also reported their general merchandise categories were flattish because they had mid-single digit price deflation,” he told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Thursday, the day Walmart reported fiscal first-quarter results. “That sort of gives them room in my view to manage any tariff impact that they would have.”
Simon is optimistic consumers can largely handle price increases — citing a steady jobs market and cheaper fuel prices this year. But he notes worrisome commentary from corporate executives could be chipping away at consumer confidence.
“All the doom and gloom we hear about price increases and tariffs like we heard from my friends at Walmart today, I think it scares them some,” said Simon, who’s now on the Darden Restaurants board and is the chairman at Hanesbrands.
Walmart shares fell 0.5% on Thursday, but the stock closed above session lows. Shares are off almost 9% from the all-time high of $105.30 hit on Feb. 14.
On Feb. 20, Simon joined “Fast Money” as Walmart shares were wrapping up their worst week since May 2022 on tariff jitters. He suggested the stock was a steal for investors even though Walmart warned profits were slowing.
As of Thursday’s close, Walmart shares are positive for the year, up more than 6% in 2025. The stock has climbed more than 7% since President Donald Trump’s tariff announcement on April 2.
Check out the companies making headlines in after-hours trading: Applied Materials — Shares fell nearly 5% in extended trading. The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment reported $7.10 billion in revenue in its fiscal second quarter, which was slightly lower than analysts’ expectations of $7.13 billion, according to LSEG. Semiconductor revenue of $5.26 billion for the quarter fell short of estimates of $5.31 billion. Take-Two Interactive Software — The video game company saw a 2% decline in shares after issuing weaker-than-expected guidance for full-year bookings. The company said it expects between $5.9 billion and $6 billion, while StreetAccount consensus estimates sought $7.82 billion. For the fiscal first quarter, Take-Two projected bookings between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion, versus estimates of $1.28 billion. Cava Group — Shares of the Mediterranean restaurant chain fell 4%. Cava’s full-year guidance for adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA, came in at $152 million to $159 million, short of the FactSet consensus call for $159.7 million. Revenue in the first quarter surpassed estimates, coming in at $332 million, versus the $327 million consensus estimate, per LSEG. Doximity — The networking platform for health-care professionals saw its stock tank 25% on weak guidance. Doximity expects adjusted EBITDA to range between $71 million and $72 million, while StreetAccount consensus estimates sought $74 million. The company’s full-year outlook also missed expectations.
The Applied Materials logo on Dec. 17, 2024.
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Check out the companies making headlines in after-hours trading:
Applied Materials — Shares fell nearly 5% in extended trading. The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment reported $7.10 billion in revenue in its fiscal second quarter, which was slightly lower than analysts’ expectations of $7.13 billion, according to LSEG. Semiconductor revenue of $5.26 billion for the quarter fell short of estimates of $5.31 billion.
Take-Two Interactive Software — The video game company saw a 2% decline in shares after issuing weaker-than-expected guidance for full-year bookings. The company said it expects between $5.9 billion and $6 billion, while StreetAccount consensus estimates sought $7.82 billion. For the fiscal first quarter, Take-Two projected bookings between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion, versus estimates of $1.28 billion.
Cava Group — Shares of the Mediterranean restaurant chain fell 4%. Cava’s full-year guidance for adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA, came in at $152 million to $159 million, short of the FactSet consensus call for $159.7 million. Revenue in the first quarter surpassed estimates, coming in at $332 million, versus the $327 million consensus estimate, per LSEG.
Doximity — The networking platform for health-care professionals saw its stock tank 25% on weak guidance. Doximity expects adjusted EBITDA to range between $71 million and $72 million, while StreetAccount consensus estimates sought $74 million. The company’s full-year outlook also missed expectations.
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading. Walmart — Shares of the big-box retailer dropped 1% after Walmart fell slightly short of first-quarter sales expectations and management warned that consumers could see higher prices caused by tariffs. Walmart reported revenue of $165.61 billion, while the consensus forecast was $165.84 billion, per LSEG. The retailer earned 61 cents per share, after adjustments, beating an LSEG estimate of 58 per share. Dick’s Sporting Goods — The sporting goods retailer tumbled 14% on the announcement that it would buy rival Foot Locker for $2.4 billion , in a deal expected to close in the second half of this year. Shares of Foot Locker rallied 85% on the news. UnitedHealth — The health insurer plunged 15%, hitting an intraday low not seen in more than five years. The Wall Street Journal, citing people familiar with the matter, reported on Wednesday that the company is under Justice Department investigation for potential Medicare fraud. Fiserv — The financial technology stock fell 13% after management revealed its Clover business’ second-quarter growth would be similar to the pace in the first quarter. The comments were made during JPMorgan’s technology conference. Cisco — Shares popped nearly 6% following a better-than-expected earnings report for the network technology company’s fiscal third quarter. Cisco earned 96 cents per share, excluding items, on revenue of $14.15 billion, while analysts polled by LSEG penciled in 92 cents per share and $14.08 billion in revenue, respectively. Cisco also gave strong guidance and announced finance chief Scott Herren would retire in July. Coinbase — Shares fell more than 4% after the digital currency platform said hackers bribed staff to steal customer data for use in social engineering attacks. The hackers are now demanding $20 million in ransom. Alibaba — Shares of the Chinese e-commerce giant tumbled 7% after the firm missed fiscal fourth-quarter expectations . Alibaba’s net income rose 279% from a year ago, off a low base. Alibaba has been grappling with macroeconomic volatility that has dented consumer sentiment in China. Boot Barn — The Western retailer surged almost 17%, despite missing fiscal fourth-quarter estimates. The company said current-quarter same-store sales should rise more than predicted. Boot Barn plans to buy back as much as $200 million of its shares. CoreWeave — Shares of the artificial intelligence infrastructure company climbed 5% following its first earnings report as a public company. CoreWeave recorded $981.6 million in revenue, exceeding the $853 million figure anticipated by analysts surveyed by LSEG. DXC Technology — Shares of the IT services company declined almost 5% after the company issued weak guidance for the fiscal first quarter. DXC Technology expects adjusted earnings of 55 cents to 65 cents per share, while analysts polled by FactSet were expecting 79 cents per share. The company also provided a disappointing outlook for the full year. JetBlue — The airline’s stock slid about 4% on the back of Raymond James’ downgrade to market perform from outperform. Raymond James said JetBlue now has a more balanced risk-to-reward ratio. Aloca — The metal producer slipped 3% on the heels of UBS’ downgrade to neutral from buy. UBS said the company’s valuation isn’t attractive. Webtoon Entertainment — Shares of the storytelling technology platform jumped nearly 12% following Citi’s initiation at a buy rating. Citi said Webtoon, which beat analyst expectations when reporting first-quarter earnings earlier this week, is undervalued. — CNBC’s Sean Conlon, Pia Singh, Yun Li and Lisa Kailai Han contributed reporting