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City and local sales taxes spike

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Under economic pressure, local governments across the country are raising sales tax rates or introducing new taxes.

The latest findings from sales tax solution provider Vertex reveal increases in both local and new tax rates in cities across the country, highlighting an urgent need for revenue at the municipal level. 

During the first six months of 2024, the number of cities that increased their sales tax rate compared to the number that decreased it was 12 to 1, according to Michael Bernard, chief tax officer at Vertex. “And the number of districts is near a 10-year high,” he said. Police, fire and sewage districts are separate entities from cities. 

There are a number of reasons for this rise in rates, according to Bernard. 

“First, issuing debt continues to be subpar. Locals just don’t want to do it, because administratively it’s a hassle,” he said. “Inflation is eating at them, whether it’s paper or asphalt. The price of office supplies, asphalt and police cars, like everything else, has increased. They need more funding just to deal with inflation, which has run 15% to 30% across the board.”

state and local taxes cash register

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Not so visible is the projected drying up of funds available under the  American Rescue Plan, the largest amount of direct federal aid ever for local governments, he explained: “The funds were allocated to cities and counties, but will be paid out by the end of the year. A city getting millions under the plan could purchase police cars, fire trucks and fix potholes. But those funds will go away at the end of the year, so they will need to increase the sales tax to make up for it.”

And the ability to raise the sales tax is administratively efficient, according to Bernard: “There is normally no debate — they just pass it at a council meeting, and collections are normally done by the state auditor. ARPA funds will not be paid starting in 2025, and administratively it’s easy to pass and increase, so locals can rely on it.”

The sales tax is the most resilient source of funding compared to property and income taxes, Bernard observed. 

“Depending on whether the economy is reflecting good times or bad times, sales tax collections will go down faster but recover faster than income tax or property tax,” he said. “The difference is that sales tax is much more immediate: When bad times come, consumers shut their wallet, but when things ease, they open their wallets faster.”

Vertex’s 2024 Mid-Year Sales Tax Rates and Rules Report outlines the evolving landscape of local tax implementation, proliferation of fees, and increasing complexity of tax compliance for businesses across the U.S. This is reflected by a 67% year-over-year increase in city-level sales tax rate changes, according to Bernard. 

Key findings from the report include:

  • City-level spikes. The first half of 2024 witnessed an unprecedented spike in city-level sales tax rate adjustments. While city jurisdictions enacted 95 rate changes in the first six months of 2023, the same period in 2024 saw a dramatic increase to 159 authorized sales tax rate changes — a striking 67% year-over-year increase. “This significant acceleration in local tax rate modifications reflects cities’ proactive approach to revenue management in response to evolving economic conditions and budgetary pressures,” said Bernard.
  • Net new taxation. The adoption of new taxing cities (30) and district taxes (77) in the first half of 2024 remains high, as establishing new taxing cities and districts is a simpler and faster process than altering states sales tax rates. “This decades-long trend of net-new taxation (taxing cities and district taxes) is in stark contrast to state-level tax changes, which typically require a lengthy legislative process,” according to Bernard.
  • Looking local. Local governments raised sales tax rates with three times more county-level increases than decreases, and 12 times more city increases than decreases. “The move on local-level taxation is driven by several key factors, Bernard remarked: persistent inflation, the ongoing need to maintain and improve public services, and the rising costs of issuing bonds due to higher interest rates.
  • New and unique fees. States are increasingly implementing various fees, including airport, environmental, special district and retail delivery fees, according to Bernard: “Two years ago, Vertex solutions supported roughly 400 fee impositions; today, that number is approximately 1,400.”

“On the global front, while most nations are refraining from increasing VAT rates to avoid anti-competitive effects and inflationary pressures, VAT remains a crucial funding source for governments. Additionally, the EU is expected to see a rise in environmental taxes, particularly carbon-related fees. These trends underscore the evolving nature of indirect taxation globally with a focus on real and near-time reporting,” said Bernard.

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The tax outlook for president-elect Trump and the GOP

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President-elect Donald Trump and his Republican party clarified one aspect of the uncertainty surrounding taxes with a resounding victory in the election.

That means that the many expiring provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 — which Trump signed into law in his first term — are much more likely to remain in force after their potential sunset date at the end of next year. Financial advisors and tax professionals can act without worrying that the rules will shift underneath them to favor much higher income duties.  

However, the result also presents Trump and incoming Senate Majority Leader John Thune of South Dakota and House Speaker Mike Johnson of Louisiana with a series of thorny tax policy questions that have tricky, time-sensitive implications, according to Anna Taylor, the deputy leader, and Jonathan Traub, the leader, of Deloitte Tax’s Tax Policy Group. Once again, industry professionals and their clients will be learning the minutiae of House and Senate procedures. Taylor and Traub spoke on a panel last week, following Trump’s victory and their release of a report detailing the many tax policy questions facing the incoming administration.

READ MORE: Donald Trump will shape these 9 areas of wealth management 

Considering the fact that the objections of former Sen. Bob Corker of Tennessee “slowed down that process for a number of weeks in 2017” before Republicans “landed” on a deficit increase of $1.5 trillion in the legislation, Taylor pointed out how the looming debate on the precise numbers and Senate budget reconciliation rules will affect the writing of any extensions bill.

“They’re going to have to pick their budget number on the front end,” Taylor said. “They’re going to have to pick that number and put it in the budget resolution, and then they’ll kind of back into their policy so that their policies will fit within their budget constraints. And once you get into that process, you can do a lot in the tax base, but there are still limits. I mean, you can’t do anything that affects the Social Security program. So they won’t be able to do the president’s proposal on getting rid of taxes on Social Security benefits.”

Individual House GOP members will exercise their strength in the negotiations as well, and the current limit on the deduction for state and local taxes represents a key bellwether on how the talks are proceeding, Traub noted. 

The president-elect and his Congressional allies will have to find the balance amid the “real tension” between members from New York and California and those from low-tax states such as Florida or Texas who will view any increases to the limit as “too much of a giveaway for the wealthy New Yorkers and Californians,” he said.   

“You will need almost perfect unity — more so in the House than the Senate,” Traub said. “This really gives a lot of power, I think, to any small group of House members who decide that they will lie down on the train tracks to block a bill they don’t like or to enforce the inclusion of a provision that they really want. I think the place we’ll watch the most closely at the get-go is over the SALT cap.”

READ MORE: Republican election sweep emboldens Trump’s tax cut dreams

Estimates of a price tag for extending the expiring provisions begin at $4.6 trillion — without even taking into account the cost of President-elect Trump’s campaign proposals to prohibit taxes on tips and overtime pay and deductions and credits for caregiving and buying American-made cars, Taylor pointed out. In addition, the current debt limit will run out on Jan. 1. 

The Treasury Department could “use their extraordinary measures to get them through a few more months before they actually have to deal with the limit,” she said. 

“But they’re going to have to make a decision,” Taylor continued. “Are they going to try to do the debt limit first, maybe roll it into some sort of appropriations deal early in the year? Or are they going to try to do the debt limit with taxes, and then that’s going to really force them to move really quickly on taxes? So, I don’t know. I don’t know that they have an answer to that yet. I’ll be really interested to see what they say in terms of how they’re going to move that limit, because they’re going to have to do that at some point — rather soon, too.”

Looking further into the future at the end of next year with the deadline on the expiring provisions, Republicans’ trifecta control of the White House and both houses of Congress makes them much more likely to exercise that mandate through a big tax bill rather than a temporary patch to give them a few more months to resolve differences, Traub said.

READ MORE: 26 tips on expiring Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions to review before 2026 

Both parties have used reconciliation in the wake of the last two presidential elections. A continuing resolution-style patch on a temporary basis would have been more likely with divided government, he said.

“Had that been what the voters called for last Tuesday, I think that the odds of a short-term extension into 2025 would have been a lot higher,” Traub said. “I don’t think that anybody in the GOP majority right now is thinking about a short-term extension. They are thinking about, ‘We have an unusual ability now to use reconciliation to affect major policy changes.'”

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M&A roundup: Aprio and Opsahl Dawson expand

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Aprio, a Top 25 Firm based in Atlanta, is expanding to Southern California by acquiring Kirsch Kohn Bridge, a firm based in Woodland Hills, effective Nov. 1.

The deal will grow Aprio’s geographic footprint while enabling it to expand into new local markets and industries. Financial terms were not disclosed. Aprio ranked No. 25 on Accounting Today’s 2024 list of the Top 100 Firms, with $420.79 million in annual revenue, 210 partners and 1,851 professionals. The deal will add five partners and 31 professionals to Aprio. 

In July, Aprio received a private equity investment from Charlesbank Capital Partners. 

KKB has been operating for six decades offering accounting, tax, and business advisory services to industries including construction, real estate, professional services, retail, and manufacturing. “There is tremendous synergy between Aprio and KKB, which enables us to further elevate our tax, accounting and advisory capabilities and deepen our roots across California,” said Aprio CEO Richard Kopelman in a statement. “Continuing to build out our presence across the West Coast is an important part of our growth strategy and KKB  is the right partner to launch our first location in Southern California. Together, we will bring even more robust insights, perspectives and solutions to our clients to help them propel forward.”

The Woodland Hills office will become Aprio’s third in California, in addition to its locations further north in San Francisco and Walnut Creek. Joe Tarasco of Accountants Advisory served as the advisor to Aprio on the transaction. 

“We are thrilled to become part of Aprio’s vision for the future,” said KKB managing partner Carisa Ferrer in a statement. “Over the past 60 years, KKB has grown from the ground up to suit the unique and complex challenges of our clients. As we move forward with our combined knowledge, we will accelerate our ability to leverage innovative talent, business processes, cutting-edge technologies, and advanced solutions to help our clients with even greater precision and care.”

Aprio has completed over 20 mergers and acquisitions since 2017, adding Ridout Barrett & Co. CPAs & Advisors last December, and before that, Antares Group, Culotta, Scroggins, Hendricks & Gillespie, Aronson, Salver & Cook, Gomerdinger & Associates, Tobin & Collins, Squire + Lemkin, LBA Haynes Strand, Leaf Saltzman, RINA and Tarlow and Co.

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Johnson says Congress will ‘do the math’ on key Trump tax pledge

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House Speaker Mike Johnson said Donald Trump’s plan to end income tax on tips would have to be paid for, injecting a note of caution into one of the president-elect’s key campaign pledges.

“This is one of the promises that he wants to deliver on,” Johnson said Sunday on CNN’s State of the Union. “We’re going to try to make that happen in the Congress. You’ve got to do the math.”

Johnson paired his comment with pledges to swiftly advance Trump’s economic agenda once the newly elected Congress is in place with Republican majorities in the House and Senate. The former president rolled out a series of tax-cut proposals during his successful bid to return to the White House, including rescinding taxes on overtime, Social Security checks and tips.

House Speaker Mike Johnson
Mike Johnson

Tierney L. Cross/Bloomberg

“You have got to make sure that these new savings for the American people can be paid for and make sure the economy is a pro-growth economy,” said Johnson, who was among allies accompanying Trump to an Ultimate Fighting Championship event at New York’s Madison Square Garden on Saturday night.

Congress faces a tax marathon next year as many of the provisions from the Republicans’ 2017 tax bill expire at the end of 2025. Trump’s declared goal is to extend all of the personal income tax cuts and further reduce the corporate tax rate.

A more immediate challenge may be ahead as Trump seeks to install loyalists as cabinet members for his second term starting in January, including former Representative Matt Gaetz as Attorney General, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as secretary of health and human services and former Representative Tulsi Gabbard for Director of National Intelligence. 

Gaetz was under investigation by the House Ethics Committee for alleged sexual misconduct and illicit drug use, which he has denied. RFK Jr. is a vaccine skeptic and has endorsed misleading messages about vaccine safety.

Donald Trump Jr., the president-elect’s son who has been a key player in the cabinet picks, said he expects many of the choices will face pushback.    

“Some of them are going to be controversial,” Trump Jr. said on Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures. “They’re controversial because they’ll actually get things done.”

‘Because of my father’

Trump Jr. suggested the transition team has options if any candidate fails to pass Senate muster.

“We’re showing him lists of 10 or 12 people for every position,” he said. “So we do have backup plans, but I think we’re obviously going with the strongest candidates first.”

Trump Jr. said incoming Senate Majority leader John Thune owes his post to the president-elect.

“I think we have control of the Senate because of my father,” he said. “John Thune’s able to be the majority leader because of my father, because he got a bunch of other people over the line.”

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