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Estate planning for the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act expiration

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The political calculus involved with the details of estate planning next year and beyond may be distracting financial advisors and clients from a larger, simpler conversation, one expert says.

On the off chance that the federal estate-tax exemption levels of $13.99 million for individuals (and double for couples) revert to half those amounts when Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions expire in 2026, only 0.2% of households would face potential duties upon transfer of assets, according to Ben Rizzuto, a wealth strategist with Janus Henderson Investors‘ Specialist Consulting Group. He predicted that most financial advisors and high net worth clients, such as those he works with and others across the industry, will see no changes. 

With few other revenue-raising provisions available to President Donald Trump and Republican lawmakers, they’re not likely to shield all estates from payments to Uncle Sam — as much as they might like to play undertaker to the “Death of the Death Tax,” Rizzuto said, using the label for estate taxes adopted by critics favoring bills like the “Death Tax Repeal Act.” Lawmakers’ decisions on future exemptions from the taxes (and when they make those decisions) remain out of advisors’ control. Meanwhile, they must remind clients that estate planning is much more than having a will and avoiding taxes, Rizzuto said.

“For financial advisors and clients, I would expect for many of them not to have to worry about federal estate taxes next year,” he said in an interview. “Even though they may not have to worry about it, there are still a lot of good conversations to be had.”

READ MORE: Tax Cuts and Jobs Act expiration: A guide for financial advisors

The 1%

Trust tools that reduce the value of the assets that will transfer to spouses or other beneficiaries upon a client’s death, combined with the available statistics about the shrinking share of estates subject to taxes, could bring some peace of mind to clients. The 2017 tax law itself pushed down estate tax liability as a percentage of gross domestic product to a quarter of its 2001 level, according to an analysis by the “Budget Model” of the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School. Just two years after the law’s passage, the number of taxable estates had plummeted to 1,275 — or 1% of the number at the beginning of the century.

At the same time, advisors could raise any number of questions with clients about their estates that involve varying degrees of expertise and collaboration with outside professionals. And many surveys have found that clients are expecting them to do so. For example, at least 70% out of a group of 10,000 adults contacted in January by WeAreTalker (formerly OnePoll) on behalf of online legal information service Trust & Will said advisors should offer estate planning. In addition, 40% of the group said they would switch to an advisor who provided that service.

“We’re seeing a fundamental shift in client expectations,” Trust & Will CEO Cody Barbo said in a statement. “The findings are clear. Advisors who fail to integrate estate planning into their practice aren’t just missing an opportunity; they are facing a threat to their client base as wealth transfers to younger generations over the next two decades.”

READ MORE: Ethical wills can be a crucial tool for estate planning

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Get back to the planning basics

In that context, advisors and their clients should steer clear of trying to make sense of a complicated, ever-changing flow of news from Capitol Hill as Trump and the GOP pursue major tax legislation with a year-end deadline, Rizzuto said. If clients truly could be on the hook for estate taxes, a grantor retained annuity trust, a spousal lifetime access trust or gifting strategies may eliminate the possibility. One method involved with the latter could set them up in the future to receive stock that is “highly appreciated with lower basis,” Rizzuto noted, citing the example of equities that have gained a lot of value that a client could give to their parents.

“Why not gift them upstream?” Rizzuto said. “My father holds it. I tell him, ‘Dad, you have to do these things: Live for another 12 months, make sure you don’t sell, make sure that you update your will or your instructions to gift it back to me when you die.’ That’s another idea that we’ve been talking about with advisors.”

From another perspective, these possible paths forward may beckon to clients this year, if they are tuning into Beltway news about the progress of the tax legislation, he said. To bypass the risk of client perceptions that their advisor isn’t doing any tax planning at all, Washington’s complex maneuvering around the future rules is, “if nothing else,” a “great opportunity for advisors to bring this up at a very high level,” Rizzuto said.

“Advisors will really need to go back to basics and have some foundational conversations with clients,” he said, suggesting their goals with taxes as one key point of discussion. “‘What is it that we actually control within your financial and tax plan?’ When it comes right down to it, it’s really just incomes and deductions.”

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The basics of tax-aware long-short investment strategies

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Financial advisors and clients seeking to boost the tax savings available through loss harvesting may consider an increasingly popular leveraging strategy known as the “long-short” method.

The combination of “long” investments on a stock’s positive outlook with “short” ones based on equity declines, plus margin loans that add debt leverage to the vehicle, may turn off some advisors with risk-averse clients who don’t have a lot of capital gains that need offsetting. But tax-aware long-short investing is drawing clients seeking to maximize returns through active management on a lengthy timeline with lower payments to Uncle Sam.

At their root, tax-aware long-short vehicles present “an opportunity to go overweight certain factors and go underweight certain factors and find alpha between the two,” said Brent Sullivan, a consultant on taxable investing product distribution to sub-advisory and ETF firms who writes the Tax Alpha Insider blog. The accompanying tax savings stem from loss harvesting that “oftentimes will exceed a dollar contributed” or could even reach 200% to 400% of the principal, he noted. Continual rebalancing pushes up the losses past the level available from many direct indexing strategies in a process Sullivan compares to a “perpetual ball machine.”

“The loss harvesting paradigm here is just totally different than a direct indexing long-only,” Sullivan said. “As the market goes up, you can continue shorting. Those shorts generate harvestable losses.”

READ MORE: How the ticking clock affects tax-loss harvesting

A ‘rapidly growing but sometimes confusing area’

Much like his research documenting the continual rise in Section 351 conversions to ETFs, Sullivan is keeping close watch on tax-aware long-short vehicles, which have already surpassed his prediction of attracting $30 billion in assets under management by the end of the year. AQR Capital Management, a pioneer in tax-aware long-short strategies, is leading the way with $21.7 billion, but other managers such as Invesco, BlackRock and Quantinno have pushed the total above at least $35 billion, Sullivan noted in a newsletter last month.

“Today, advisers recognize that tax is a practice differentiator and a source of recurring client value,” Sullivan wrote. “They may be torn between low-cost, passive index ETFs and direct indexing, but that debate fades into the background once they learn of tax-aware long/short strategies.”

On the other hand, AQR itself is seeking to “help parse the jargon of this rapidly growing but sometimes confusing area” amid some “blurring of terminology, strategy design and investment objectives,” the asset management firm said in a blog post earlier this year. The company pushed back on the idea that the strategies are “only for billionaires” or simply trying to achieve benchmark returns, along with the notion that they are a form of “supercharged direct indexing.” While their tax benefits “are larger and last longer” than those of direct indexing, the two strategies come from “diametrically opposite starting points (active management for the former versus passive indexing for the latter),” the post said.

“Tax-aware long-short factor strategies realize higher tax benefits than direct indexing not because they try harder, but because they (1) trade quite a bit due to changes in pretax alpha, (2) hold large positions relative to invested capital due to leverage, and (3) can slow unnecessary gain recognition without significantly impacting pretax alpha, thanks to relatively long holding periods and highly diversified portfolios,” the company wrote. “The core strength of tax-aware long-short strategies lies in their ability to align pretax performance with the needs of tax-sensitive investors.”

READ MORE: A complex but tax-friendly approach to diversification

Estate implications

Those characteristics may eventually pose tax problems with a client’s estate plans, Sulllivan noted. Estates face an obligation to settle any debts.

“The strategy is effectively over,” he told FP. “You will realize a ton of capital gains if you suddenly, without planning, close the long and short positions.”

Advisors and their clients could take steps to wind down the leverage “years and years in advance” with as low tax exposure as possible, he said. Or they could set up an intentionally defective grantor trust or another entity instructing the trustee to manage the strategy based on a “prudent investor standard” and a long-term plan for the estate and its heirs, Sullivan said.

Since “you do not want to be auto-liquididated” upon the benefactor’s death, some of the “the brightest minds out there are thinking about trust structures” to hold the tax-aware long-short strategies, he said.

“That can be a real tax drag for any assets passing to beneficiaries,” Sullivan said. “What you do is, make sure that the trust is properly structured to continue holding margin and short positions. You’re essentially transferring the entire balance sheet of the strategy.”

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House tax bill calls for $30K SALT, omits millionaire tax

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The House tax committee is seeking to increase the state and local deduction and make official several of President Donald Trump’s campaign tax pledges in a multitrillion-dollar package that will serve as Republicans’ signature legislative effort.

The House Ways and Means Committee release of the tax measures, ahead of planned debate on the panel Tuesday, is a sign the Republican-controlled chamber is moving toward a floor vote this month on the legislation. The bill aims to cut taxes by more than $4 trillion and reduce spending by at least $1.5 trillion over a decade.

The proposal doesn’t include a tax hike on the wealthiest Americans, after weeks of debate among Republicans about whether to raise levies on millionaires. The bill would permanently extend the 37% top rate for individuals that was set in Trump’s 2017 tax law. That’s despite Trump telling Speaker Mike Johnson as recently as last week that he wanted a 39.6% rate for individuals making more than $2.5 million.

The package — which Trump has dubbed his “one big, beautiful bill” is the centerpiece of his legislative agenda. It renews many of his first-term tax cuts, set to expire at the end of the year. But narrow Republican margins in the House mean that the president needs near-unanimous support from his party to pass the bill.

The bill would raise the nation’s borrowing limit by $4 trillion. This is smaller than the Senate’s preferred $5 trillion level. Lawmakers are hoping to push any additional votes on raising the debt ceiling until after the 2026 midterms.

The draft language eliminates income taxes on tips and overtime pay through 2028. House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Jason Smith had vowed to follow through on Trump’s campaign pledges to end those levies.

Trump had also campaigned on ending taxes on Social Security benefits, but that cannot be done in the special budget process that Congress is using to advance the tax package. Instead, the bill provides a $4,000 bonus for seniors on top of the regular standard deduction.

One of the thorniest issues — including a contentious standoff over increasing the state and local tax deduction — is still not resolved. The draft calls for increasing the state and local tax deduction to $30,000 for both individuals and couples, up from $10,000, with income limits for single taxpayers earning $200,000 or joint filers making twice that. But some lawmakers representing high-tax areas want an even bigger tax break — as much as $124,000 for joint filers.

On the hook for tax increases: wealthy private universities, which could see an increase in the levy on endowments from 1.4% to as high as 21% on investment income. 

Johnson told reporters Monday that the House is on track to pass the legislation by Memorial Day. It would then go to the Senate, where it could be subject to major revisions.

The new details come after the tax-writing committee released some initial provisions late Friday. Those included raising the maximum child tax credit to $2,500 from $2,000 and increasing the standard deduction, both retroactive to 2025 to put more money in voters’ pockets before the 2026 election. 

The bill also raises the estate tax exemption to $15 million and increases the 20% deduction for closely-held businesses to 23%.

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Jon Voight joins studios, unions to press Trump for film aid

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President Donald Trump’s Hollywood ambassadors joined studios, labor unions and producers in asking the White House to expand and extend tax incentives as part of an upcoming budget reconciliation bill.

A letter dated Monday asked the president to include three film and TV incentives in the budget bill being drafted by Congress. The coalition includes the Motion Picture Association, which represents Hollywood studios, as well as unions of writers, actors and other trades.

Actor Jon Voight, who was named one of three special ambassadors to Hollywood in January, is leading the effort to obtain assistance from Washington to boost US film and TV jobs. The groups signing the letter represent nearly 400,000 industry professionals. Sylvester Stallone, another Trump ambassador, also signed the letter.

The U.S. film and TV industry has struggled in recent years as entertainment companies reduced their spending and moved production overseas, where cheaper labor and more generous government subsidies make their business more profitable. 

The letter doesn’t mention tariffs on foreign film production, which Trump said he would pursue in a social media post on May 4. His 100% tariff proposal, made after a visit with Voight, sent the shares of studios such as Netflix Inc. and Walt Disney Co. tumbling as investors considered the possibility of rising costs and a trade war in the entertainment business. 

The specific proposals in the new letter involve reviving Section 199 of the tax code, which provided deductions for manufacturing to film and TV production, extending Section 181, which allows for accelerated deductions, and restoring Section 461, which lets businesses use past losses to reduce future taxes.

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