Finance

German authorities caught cold by UniCredit’s swoop on Commerzbank

Published

9 months ago

September 25, 2024

A protestor holds a placard with a slogan reading “Stop Merger Horror” during a union demonstration outside the Commerzbank AG headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, on Tuesday, Sept. 24, 2024.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Italy’s UniCredit appears to have caught German authorities off guard with a potential multibillion-euro merger of Frankfurt-based Commerzbank, a move that has triggered a fiery response from Berlin.

Market observers told CNBC that the swoop may have provoked a sense of national embarrassment among Germany’s government, which firmly opposes the move, while it’s been argued that the outcome of the takeover attempt could even put the meaning of the European project at stake.

Milan-based UniCredit announced on Monday that it had increased its stake in Commerzbank to around 21% and submitted a request to boost that holding to up to 29.9%. It follows UniCredit’s move to take a 9% stake in Commerzbank earlier this month.

“If UniCredit can take Commerzbank and take it to their level of efficiency, there’s a tremendous upside in terms of increased profitability,” Octavio Marenzi, CEO of consulting firm Opimas, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Tuesday.

“But [German Chancellor] Olaf Scholz is not an investor. He’s a politician and he’s very concerned about the jobs side of things. And if you look at what UniCredit has done in terms of slimming down things in its Italian operations or particularly in its German operations, it’s been quite impressive,” Marenzi said.

UniCredit's stake in Commerzbank puts Europe's vision of a banking union in focus: Analyst

Scholz on Monday criticized UniCredit’s decision to up the ante on Commerzbank, describing the move as an “unfriendly” and “hostile” attack, Reuters reported.

Commerzbank’s Deputy Chair Uwe Tschaege, meanwhile, reportedly voiced opposition to a potential takeover by UniCredit on Tuesday. Speaking outside of the lender’s headquarters in central Frankfurt, Tschaege said the message was simple and clear: “We don’t want this.”

“I feel like vomiting when I hear his promises of cost savings,” Tschaege reportedly added, referring to UniCredit ‘s CEO Andrea Orcel.

Separately, Stefan Wittman, a Commerzbank supervisory board member, told CNBC on Tuesday that as many as two-thirds of the jobs at the bank could disappear if UniCredit successfully carries out a hostile takeover.

The bank has yet to respond to a request for comment on Wittmann’s statement.

German firms facing softer environment, Goldman Sachs Bank Europe CEO says

Hostile takeover bids are not common in the European banking sector, although Spanish bank BBVA shocked markets in May when it launched an all-share takeover offer for domestic rival Banco Sabadell. The latter Spanish lender rejected the bid.

Opimas’ Marenzi said the German government and trade unions “are basically looking at this and saying this means we could lose a bunch of jobs in the process — and it could be quite substantial job losses.”

“The other thing is there might be a bit of a national embarrassment that the Italians are coming in and showing them how to run their banks,” he added.

A spokesperson for Germany’s government was not immediately available when contacted by CNBC on Tuesday.

Germany’s Scholz has previously pushed for the completion of a European banking union. Designed in the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis, the European Union’s executive arm announced plans to create a banking union to improve the regulation and supervision of lenders across the region.

What’s at stake?

Craig Coben, former global head of equity capital markets at Bank of America, said the German government would need to find “very good” reasons to block UniCredit’s move on Commerzbank, warning that it would also have to be consistent with the principles around European integration.

“I think it is very difficult for UniCredit to take over or to reach an agreement on Commerzbank without the approval of the German government, just as a practical matter — but I think Germany needs to find a legitimate excuse if it wants to intervene [or] if it wants to block the approach from UniCredit,” Coben told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Tuesday.

The Commerzbank AG headquarters, in the financial district of Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, Sept. 12, 2024.

Emanuele Cremaschi | Getty Images News | Getty Images

“Germany has signed up to the [EU’s] single market, it has signed up to the single currency, it has signed up to [the] banking union and so it would be inconsistent with those principles to block the merger on the grounds of national interest,” he continued.

“And I think that’s really what’s at stake here: what is the meaning of [the] banking union? And what is the meaning of the European project?”

Former European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi said in a report published earlier this month that the European Union needs hundreds of billions of euros in additional investment to meet its key competitiveness targets.

Draghi, who has previously served as Italian prime minister, also cited the “incomplete” banking union in the report as one factor that continues to hinder competitiveness for the region’s banks.

— CNBC’s April Roach contributed to this report.

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Published

1 day ago

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Business Finance News

Finance

Swiss government proposes tough new capital rules in major blow to UBS

Published

1 day ago

June 6, 2025

Business Finance News

A sign in German that reads “part of the UBS group” in Basel on May 5, 2025.

Fabrice Coffrini | AFP | Getty Images

The Swiss government on Friday proposed strict new capital rules that would require banking giant UBS to hold an additional $26 billion in core capital, following its 2023 takeover of stricken rival Credit Suisse.

The measures would also mean that UBS will need to fully capitalize its foreign units and carry out fewer share buybacks.

“The rise in the going-concern requirement needs to be met with up to USD 26 billion of CET1 capital, to allow the AT1 bond holdings to be reduced by around USD 8 billion,” the government said in a Friday statement, referring to UBS’ holding of Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds.

The Swiss National Bank said it supported the measures from the government as they will “significantly strengthen” UBS’ resilience.

“As well as reducing the likelihood of a large systemically important bank such as UBS getting into financial distress, this measure also increases a bank’s room for manoeuvre to stabilise itself in a crisis through its own efforts. This makes it less likely that UBS has to be bailed out by the government in the event of a crisis,” SNB said in a Friday statement.

‘Too big to fail’

UBS has been battling the specter of tighter capital rules since acquiring the country’s second-largest bank at a cut-price following years of strategic errors, mismanagement and scandals at Credit Suisse.

The shock demise of the banking giant also brought Swiss financial regulator FINMA under fire for its perceived scarce supervision of the bank and the ultimate timing of its intervention.

Swiss regulators argue that UBS must have stronger capital requirements to safeguard the national economy and financial system, given the bank’s balance topped $1.7 trillion in 2023, roughly double the projected Swiss economic output of last year. UBS insists it is not “too big to fail” and that the additional capital requirements — set to drain its cash liquidity — will impact the bank’s competitiveness.

At the heart of the standoff are pressing concerns over UBS’ ability to buffer any prospective losses at its foreign units, where it has, until now, had the duty to back 60% of capital with capital at the parent bank.

Higher capital requirements can whittle down a bank’s balance sheet and credit supply by bolstering a lender’s funding costs and choking off their willingness to lend — as well as waning their appetite for risk. For shareholders, of note will be the potential impact on discretionary funds available for distribution, including dividends, share buybacks and bonus payments.

“While winding down Credit Suisse’s legacy businesses should free up capital and reduce costs for UBS, much of these gains could be absorbed by stricter regulatory demands,” Johann Scholtz, senior equity analyst at Morningstar, said in a note preceding the FINMA announcement.

“Such measures may place UBS’s capital requirements well above those faced by rivals in the United States, putting pressure on returns and reducing prospects for narrowing its long-term valuation gap. Even its long-standing premium rating relative to the European banking sector has recently evaporated.”