A protestor holds a placard with a slogan reading “Stop Merger Horror” during a union demonstration outside the Commerzbank AG headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, on Tuesday, Sept. 24, 2024.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Italy’s UniCredit appears to have caught German authorities off guard with a potential multibillion-euro merger of Frankfurt-based Commerzbank, a move that has triggered a fiery response from Berlin.
Market observers told CNBC that the swoop may have provoked a sense of national embarrassment among Germany’s government, which firmly opposes the move, while it’s been argued that the outcome of the takeover attempt could even put the meaning of the European project at stake.
Milan-based UniCredit announced on Monday that it had increased its stake in Commerzbank to around 21% and submitted a request to boost that holding to up to 29.9%. It follows UniCredit’s move to take a 9% stake in Commerzbank earlier this month.
“If UniCredit can take Commerzbank and take it to their level of efficiency, there’s a tremendous upside in terms of increased profitability,” Octavio Marenzi, CEO of consulting firm Opimas, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Tuesday.
“But [German Chancellor] Olaf Scholz is not an investor. He’s a politician and he’s very concerned about the jobs side of things. And if you look at what UniCredit has done in terms of slimming down things in its Italian operations or particularly in its German operations, it’s been quite impressive,” Marenzi said.
Scholz on Monday criticized UniCredit’s decision to up the ante on Commerzbank, describing the move as an “unfriendly” and “hostile” attack, Reuters reported.
Commerzbank’s Deputy Chair Uwe Tschaege, meanwhile, reportedly voiced opposition to a potential takeover by UniCredit on Tuesday. Speaking outside of the lender’s headquarters in central Frankfurt, Tschaege said the message was simple and clear: “We don’t want this.”
“I feel like vomiting when I hear his promises of cost savings,” Tschaege reportedly added, referring to UniCredit ‘s CEO Andrea Orcel.
Separately, Stefan Wittman, a Commerzbank supervisory board member, told CNBC on Tuesday that as many as two-thirds of the jobs at the bank could disappear if UniCredit successfully carries out a hostile takeover.
The bank has yet to respond to a request for comment on Wittmann’s statement.
Hostile takeover bids are not common in the European banking sector, although Spanish bank BBVAshocked markets in May when it launched an all-share takeover offer for domestic rival Banco Sabadell. The latter Spanish lender rejected the bid.
Opimas’ Marenzi said the German government and trade unions “are basically looking at this and saying this means we could lose a bunch of jobs in the process — and it could be quite substantial job losses.”
“The other thing is there might be a bit of a national embarrassment that the Italians are coming in and showing them how to run their banks,” he added.
A spokesperson for Germany’s government was not immediately available when contacted by CNBC on Tuesday.
Germany’s Scholz has previously pushed for the completion of a European banking union. Designed in the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis, the European Union’s executive arm announced plans to create a banking union to improve the regulation and supervision of lenders across the region.
What’s at stake?
Craig Coben, former global head of equity capital markets at Bank of America, said the German government would need to find “very good” reasons to block UniCredit’s move on Commerzbank, warning that it would also have to be consistent with the principles around European integration.
“I think it is very difficult for UniCredit to take over or to reach an agreement on Commerzbank without the approval of the German government, just as a practical matter — but I think Germany needs to find a legitimate excuse if it wants to intervene [or] if it wants to block the approach from UniCredit,” Coben told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Tuesday.
The Commerzbank AG headquarters, in the financial district of Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, Sept. 12, 2024.
“Germany has signed up to the [EU’s] single market, it has signed up to the single currency, it has signed up to [the] banking union and so it would be inconsistent with those principles to block the merger on the grounds of national interest,” he continued.
“And I think that’s really what’s at stake here: what is the meaning of [the] banking union? And what is the meaning of the European project?”
Former European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi said in a report published earlier this month that the European Union needs hundreds of billions of euros in additional investment to meet its key competitiveness targets.
Draghi, who has previously served as Italian prime minister, also cited the “incomplete” banking union in the report as one factor that continues to hinder competitiveness for the region’s banks.
Tencent’s Honor of Kings mobile game drew a record 33,000 fans to watch a final competition in Beijing on Nov. 16, 2024.
CNBC | Evelyn Cheng
BEIJING — Chinese gaming giant Tencent is betting on a rise in female players worldwide for its mobile game Honor of Kings, which rolled out to the U.S. and other countries in June.
Already a hit in China, the game drew a record 33,000 fans to a Beijing stadium on Saturday to watch two teams compete for a $3 million grand prize.
Surprisingly, many in the crowd were young women, reflecting how interest in mobile games has broadened out from the stereotypical male player in the days of console and PC gaming.
Launched in China in November 2015, the game’s appeal lies in its easy learning curve and relatively short sessions of around 15 minutes. Anyone with a smartphone can play for free in real time, on the go.
“Honor of Kings became an important way for me to socialize,” said Tianyun Gao, according to CNBC’s translation of her spoken Mandarin. She started playing the game in 2017 as a sophomore in college and became a professional commentator for the game’s competitions a year later.
Gao, an English major from Shanghai, has moderated Honor of Kings’ competitions in two languages, including an international event held in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, in August. She said her hope is to see esports become as mainstream as traditional sports, noting that one of her inspirations is a Chinese soccer commentator.
Tencent ramped up its global expansion plans for Honor of Kings this year, with its subsidiary, Level Infinite, in February announcing a $15 million investment in developing the game’s tournament worldwide.
An international version of the game has been available since 2016 under different names such as Arena of Valor, but the latest global push for Honor of Kings began in 2022. The game didn’t reach the Middle East until earlier this year and only launched in the key markets of North America, Europe and Japan in June.
Less than a month later, the game topped 50 million downloads outside China, according to the company.
Overwhelmingly mobile-focused
Growth in gaming among women stems largely from their preference in playing on their smartphones, without having to invest in consoles and other technology.
“Nearly half of female players play only on mobile platforms so we have a huge addressable audience,” said Jackie Huang, head of the Honor of Kings global esports division within Tencent Games’ TiMi L1 Studio. “Women make up a significant part of our player base but we want to see this continue growing.”
He said that 45% of gamers globally are women, and that the gender composition of Honor of Kings’ users is “relatively balanced. “We strive to provide users, no matter how they identify, with [a] high quality gaming experience,” Huang said.
The company also owns Riot Games, a developer whose PC-based League of Legends has become one of the most popular names in global esports with its own annual competition. Honor of Kings, which claims 100 million players a day, uses a similar format with two teams of five players each.
Such multiplayer games are the second-most popular category for female gamers, behind puzzles, said Xiaofeng Zeng, China-based vice president at gaming research firm Niko Partners. His analysis found that 95% of women prefer mobile games.
If Honor of Kings can hold first place in China, and achieve that position overseas, then Tencent can generate half its revenue from international markets, Zeng said. He said the game’s top overseas markets by revenue are the U.S., India, Malaysia, and Indonesia.
And in the key market of Southeast Asia, Zeng said that due to a low base, female players are growing two to three times more quickly than male gamers. A newly branded Honor of Kings global championship was held last month in Jakarta, Indonesia’s capital, with Malaysian team Black Shrew Esports winning the $300,000 first prize.
Early stages
For now, no matter how popular Honor of Kings may be among women, the competitions remain dominated by men. The two teams competing in Beijing on Saturday consisted only of male players.
Huang pointed out that the global championship this year featured a female player from France’s Team Vitality, which is also managed and coached by women.
He attributed the Honor of King’s popularity among women to the game’s playable characters that are also female. Many of the figures, each with different powers, are based on Chinese historical or mythological figures.
In 2021, organizers of the Honor of Kings competition in China also launched a tournament for female players. This year’s womens finals are set to take place in December, with a prize of around $41,000 for the winning team.
“The pandemic was a large accelerator of females into the games space and we have continued to see increased engagement from female gamers,” said Chirag Ambwani, SVP, gaming and entertainment, at SensorTower, which focuses on mobile games.
Reasons include specialized and easy to access content, he said, adding that gaming participation grew overall.
As for Honor of Kings’ global expansion, Ambwani said SensorTower research showed “healthy growth,” with average revenue of more than $5 per user in the U.S. and Canada.
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller built a sizable position in regional banks and made one health-care name his biggest position last quarter.
Druckenmiller bought $115 million worth of shares in the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF in the third quarter, making it the firm’s seventh-biggest holding.
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller built a sizable position in regional banks and made one health-care name his biggest position last quarter — two bets that have been rallying since the election of President-elect Donald Trump two weeks ago. The former lead portfolio manager for George Soros’ Quantum Fund, who now runs his own Duquesne Family Office, bought $115 million worth of shares in the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) in the third quarter, making it the firm’s seventh-biggest holding, according to a new regulatory filing. Meanwhile, Druckenmiller dramatically hiked his bet on clinical genetic testing company Natera to $453 million, pushing it to the top of his portfolio at the end of September and more than double the $214 million Natera represented in the portfolio in the second quarter. Banks and health-care companies are seen as beneficiaries under a Trump presidency because of potential deregulation. The regional banking exchange-traded fund has climbed 12% this month alone, while Natera has jumped nearly 26% in November. In the lead-up to the presidential election, Druckenmiller said the market was convinced of a Trump victory and that if the Republican did take the White House, it would very likely prove a red sweep. The GOP eventually gained majority control of the Senate and kept control of the House of Representatives. KRE YTD mountain SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF The widely followed investor was recently applauded for his big win on key artificial intelligence player Nvidia . He first bought the chipmaker in 2022 as he grew bullish on the burgeoning industry, comparing the power of AI to the internet. However, he exited the winning bet this year, later admitting it was a “big mistake” as Jensen Huang’s company continued its rally. During the third quarter, Duquesne added a small bet on Broadcom, worth $41 million, as another AI play. Druckenmiller shot to fame after helping make a $10 billion bet against the British pound in 1992. He later oversaw $12 billion as president of Duquesne Capital Management before closing his firm in 2010.
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Spirit Airlines — Trading in shares of the discount airline was halted on Monday after Spirit filed for bankruptcy . Trump Media & Technology Group — Shares in President-elect Donald Trump’s media company pulled back roughly 5%. Although the stock has been increasingly volatile in the wake of Trump’s election, it has gained more than 52% in 2024. Liberty Energy , Oklo — Stock in Liberty Energy gained about 5% after President-elect Donald Trump selected CEO Chris Wright as his incoming energy secretary . Shares of nuclear company Oklo, where Wright is a board member, advanced more than 20%. Roku — Shares climbed about 4% on the back of Baird’s upgrade to outperform from neutral. After a sizable drop to the streaming stock’s share price this year, Baird said investors are now “overlooking” long-term potential and changes in the business backdrop. Redfin — The online real estate company’s stock slipped 3.4% following a downgrade at Goldman Sachs to sell from neutral. The bank cited rising competition for the call. CVS Health — Shares of the drugstore operator jumped nearly 6% following a decision to add four new board members in a deal with Glenview Capital. Separately, Wells Fargo upgraded the stock to overweight from equal weight. The firm believes downside to aggressive growth initiatives at Aetna, the company’s health insurance segment, have peaked. Robinhood — Shares of the financial services platform jumped more than 8%, hitting a new 52-week high, after Needham upgraded the stock to buy from hold . The firm believes changes at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission under Trump’s new administration will lead to more product launches from the company. On Monday, Piper Sandler also became more bullish on the name, with its updated price target reflecting more than 11% upside from Friday’s close. Super Micro Computer — Shares of the chipmaker surged more than 17% following a Barron’s report that Super Micro is expected to file a plan for its annual report by Monday as to avoid having its listing removed from the Nasdaq . Moderna — Shares of the biotech company jumped more than 5% after HSBC upgraded the stock to buy from hold and said it views the stock as being undervalued. The firm said Moderna’s “pipeline deserves more than the market is giving it credit for,” noting that an upcoming stock catalyst is an interim analysis expected by the end of this year for the company’s cytomegalovirus, or CMV, vaccine phase 3 study. Warner Bros. Discovery — Stock in the media conglomerate added nearly 3% after the company reached a settlement with the National Basketball Association over allegations of breach of contract, per a Wall Street Journal report. — CNBC’s Alex Harring, Sean Conlon, Hakyung Kim, Pia Singh and Michelle Fox contributed reporting.