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Here’s why the Social Security COLA is smaller for 2025

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The Social Security Administration on Thursday announced that the cost-of-living adjustment will be 2.5% in 2025.

When that increase goes into effect, it will be the lowest adjustment to benefits that beneficiaries have seen since 2021, when the cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, was 1.3%.

The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment was put in place to help benefits keep pace with inflation.

The COLA is calculated based on a subset of the consumer price index known as the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W. The percentage increase in the CPI-W from the third quarter of last year to the third quarter of this year determines the cost-of-living adjustment.

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As government inflation data shows the pace of inflation has subsided, the size of the annual increase to benefits has come down.

“It’s better when the number is small, because it means that the inflation experienced by seniors is not as bad as it might have been,” said Charles Blahous, senior research strategist at George Mason University’s Mercatus Center.

The 2025 adjustment is not the lowest the Social Security COLA has been. In 2016, 2011 and 2010, it was zero, and beneficiaries saw no increase at all in those years.

Still, for retirees, people with disabilities and other beneficiaries, the lower adjustment for 2025 comes as they continue to grapple with high costs.

“Before the inflation got so high, we just took lower costs for granted,” said Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare policy analyst who is also a Social Security beneficiary. “It really has significantly changed how we have to manage since then.”

Having a lower cost-of-living adjustment when prices are still high — and when inflation was higher in the earlier part of this year — is going to be a “real sticker shock for some people,” said Shannon Benton, executive director at The Senior Citizens League.

Experts debate best COLA measurement

There is a debate among advocates and lawmakers as to whether a different measurement should be used for the cost-of-living adjustment. Such a change would have to be approved by Congress.

The current annual increase that’s automatic and compounds from year to year is very valuable, said Jenn Jones, vice president for government affairs at senior advocacy group AARP.

“That makes Social Security really unique and really special and important for older Americans,” Jones said.

Maximizing your Social Security benefits

AARP supports a COLA measurement that is accurate and reflective of what older Americans are spending, she said. Another experimental index — the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly, or CPI-E — may better reflect seniors’ spending patterns, the nonpartisan group argues.

“Whenever Congress chooses to act in a bipartisan way to finally shore up Social Security’s financial future, we do believe that CPI-E should be a part of that discussion,” Jones said.

After the announcement of the COLA for 2025 on Thursday, other senior advocacy groups also spoke out in favor of switching to the CPI-E, including the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare, and Social Security Works.

“The traditional formula (CPI-W) does not fully account for the impact of inflation on the goods and services seniors spend the most money on — especially health care and housing,” Max Richtman, president and CEO of the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare, said in a statement.

Not everyone agrees the CPI-E would be the best measure. Because one-third of Social Security beneficiaries are not elderly, it would not make sense to use an index focused on that population, Blahous said. Instead, he said, the chained CPI, which measures changes in consumer spending patterns, would be a better fit.

Washington lawmakers have proposed bills that would change the way Social Security’s annual cost-of-living adjustment is measured, prompting Social Security Works to declare “Social Security’s COLA is on the ballot” this November in a statement released Thursday.

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Buying a home? Here are key steps to consider from top-ranked advisors

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Buying a home is often the biggest financial decision you’ll ever make.

It’s not just about choosing a place to live; it’s about making a long-term investment that will impact your financial future for years to come.

Therefore, if you are looking to buy a home, there are certain steps you should take to prepare for the purchase, according to several advisors ranked in CNBC’s 2024 Financial Advisor 100 List.

“Number one is doing that initial homework and financial planning,” said Brian Brady, vice president at Obermeyer Wood Investment Counsel in Aspen, Colorado. The firm ranks No. 23 on the 2024 CNBC FA 100 list. 

Most important, it has to be a “smart financial decision” that makes the most sense for you, explained Stephen Cohn, co-founder and co-president of Sage Financial Group in West Conshohocken, Pennsylvania. The firm ranks No. 61 on the 2024 CNBC FA 100 list.

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“I run into a lot of first-time homebuyers, friends, kids, acquaintances. They fall in love with the house, and it may not make sense for them financially,” said Ron Brock, managing director and chief financial officer at Sheaff Brock Investment Advisors in Indianapolis, Indiana. The firm ranks No. 7 on the 2024 CNBC FA 100 list.

He tells them: “Just be smart. Don’t be house poor.”

Here are some key steps to consider if you plan to buy a home:

1. Have a strong credit score

Make sure you have strong credit, said Shaun Williams, private wealth advisor and partner at Paragon Capital Management in Denver, Colorado. The firm ranks No. 38 on the 2024 CNBC FA 100 list. 

“The higher the credit score, the better the terms you’re going to get on the loan, and the lower the interest rate will be,” said Ryan D. Dennehy, a financial advisor at California Financial Advisors in San Ramon, California. The firm ranks No. 13 on the 2024 CNBC FA 100 list. 

For example, a FICO score ranging 760 to 850 might qualify for a 6.226% annual percentage rate, according to Bankate.com. That can translate to a $1,842 monthly payment, Bankrate found.

On the other hand, a FICO score of 620-639 might get a 7.815% APR, roughly amounting to a $2,163 monthly mortgage payment, per Bankrate examples. They are based on national averages for a 30-year fixed mortgage loan of $300,000.

You can start the process by paying down any existing debts that you have on time and in full, and avoid new loans as you get closer to buying a home, experts say.

2. Start saving for the down payment

While a 20% down payment is not required to buy a house, buyers try to put more money upfront to avoid mortgage insurance costs and potentially lower monthly payments.

In the third quarter of the year, the average down payment was 14.5%, and a median of $30,300, Realtor.com told CNBC.

In order to start saving for a down payment, you need to figure out your cash flow, or how much money is coming in versus going out every month, said Steven LaRosa, director and senior portfolio manager at Edgemoor Investment Advisors based in Bethesda, Maryland. The firm ranks No. 14 on the 2024 CNBC FA 100 list.

Also, try to maximize how much money you can save or put away towards the down payment, said LaRosa.

3. Boost your emergency savings

How a 24-year-old bought a $750,000 house with her brother

3. Think about the lifestyle you want

Ask yourself what kind of lifestyle you look forward to, said Brady.

“Are you looking for a condo? Do you want a single-family home?” he said. 

Then you can focus on factors like location and price, said Brady. 

Meanwhile, some of the additional costs that come with owning a house are driven by where you live, like property taxes, utility and insurance costs, he said. 

In some areas, “it’s next to impossible” to get home insurance, said Brady. “And if you can [get home insurance] you’re paying quite a bit.

Nearly three-quarters, or 70.3%, of Florida homeowners and 51% of California homeowners say they or the area they live in has been affected by rising home insurance costs or changes in coverage in the past year, according to Redfin, an online real estate brokerage firm.

5. Factor in other homeownership costs

Owning a home goes far beyond the monthly mortgage payment.

You need to factor in additional costs, experts say. 

To that point, the costs of homeownership adds up to an average $18,118 annually, or $1,510 a month, according to a report by Bankrate.com. The national figure includes the average costs of property taxes, homeowner’s insurance, and electricity, internet and cable bills. Maintenance was estimated at 2% a year of the home value.

“Those are very significant additions that sometimes people glance over and don’t put enough weight on,” said Cohn.

As such costs are unlikely to decline as time goes on, it’s important to have an emergency fund for homeownership costs, experts say.

6. How long you plan to stay in the house

“We like to use a five to seven year minimum,” said Cohn. The longer you’re in a house, the more likely the fixed costs will amortize, or pay off, over time, he said. 

Additionally, in the early years of the loan, you’re mostly paying the interest rate, and not the loan itself, experts say. 

“You’re not accumulating any equity from putting money into the mortgage in the first 5 to 7 years,” said Cohn.

“If you start looking at how much goes to principal and how much goes to interest in the first several years, it’s probably all interest,” said Brock.

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What to do if you can’t pay taxes on Oct. 15 tax extension deadline

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The tax extension deadline has arrived and there are options if you still can’t pay your balance, tax experts say.

About 19 million U.S. taxpayers filed for an extension by the April 15 tax deadline, which bumped the filing due date to Oct. 15. But taxpayers affected by natural disasters may have even more time, with new deadlines ranging between Nov. 1 and as late as May 1, 2025, depending on location.

However, for federally declared disasters after April 15, filers were not granted more time to pay their tax bill. Penalties and interest on unpaid balances started accruing after the April 15 deadline.

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Many taxpayers wrongly assume that a tax extension provides more time to pay, experts say.

“That’s a surprise to a lot of people,” said Josh Youngblood, an enrolled agent and owner of The Youngblood Group, a Dallas-based tax firm. 

If you missed the tax deadline, the late payment penalty is 0.5% of your unpaid balance per month or partial month, capped at 25%. You will also incur interest on unpaid taxes.

By comparison, the failure-to-file penalty is 5% of unpaid taxes per month or partial month, up to 25%.

You have ‘various payment options’

The IRS has options if you can’t pay your taxes, “but you have to be current on your filing requirement,” said Tom O’Saben, an enrolled agent and director of tax content and government relations at the National Association of Tax Professionals.

After filing, there are “various payment options” online, and many filers will receive an immediate acceptance or rejection of payment plan requests without calling the IRS, according to the agency.

“If you owe less than $50,000, establishing a payment plan with the IRS is almost going to be automatic,” O’Saben said.

IRS online payment plans, or “installment agreements,” include:

  • Short-term payment plan: This may be an option if you owe less than $100,000, including tax, penalties and interest. You have up to 180 days to pay in full.
  • Long-term payment plan: This may be available if your balance is less than $50,000, including tax, penalties and interest. You must pay monthly, and you have up to 72 months to pay off the balance.

Although the late-payment penalty and interest will continue to accrue, an IRS payment plan could cut your late-payment fee in half while the agreement is in effect, according to the IRS.

One downside of IRS payment plans is future tax refunds could be used to offset your unpaid balance, O’Saben said.

‘Don’t ignore it because it won’t go away’

If you have unpaid taxes, you can expect notices from the IRS, and communication with the agency is key, experts say.

“Don’t ignore it because it won’t go away,” Youngblood said. “I’ve had clients come in, and they have a whole pile of unopened IRS letters.” 

“The IRS is not as bad as they think,” he added. “They actually want to work with people.”

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More colleges set to close in 2025, while ‘Ivy Plus’ schools thrive

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Is it best to go to college or dive straight into the working world?

Many colleges are under financial pressure, and the cracks are starting to show.

At least 20 colleges closed in 2024, and more are set to shut down after the current academic year, according to the latest tally by Implan, an economic software and analysis company.

Altogether, more than 40 colleges have closed since 2020, according to a separate report by Best Colleges.

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As the sticker price at some private colleges nears six figures a year, students have increasingly opted for less expensive public schools or alternatives to a four-year degree altogether, such as trade programs or apprenticeships.

At the same time, the population of college-age students is also shrinking, a trend referred to as the “enrollment cliff.”

Experts have continuously warned that ongoing problems with the new Free Application for Federal Student Aid form have resulted in fewer students applying for financial aid, which could also contribute to declining enrollment.

That has left some colleges and universities in a bind, especially “small private — often liberal arts — schools,” said Candi Clouse, a vice president at Implan.

Meanwhile, the country’s most elite institutions are thriving.

College applications jump

Coming out of the pandemic, a small group of universities, including many in the Ivy League, experienced a record-breaking increase in applications, reports show.

Last year, Yale University, for example, accepted 3.73% of the record-high 57,465 students who applied to the Class of 2028.

Overall, the number of college applicants jumped 11% in the 2023-24 school year, even as enrollment flatlined, the latest data from the Common Application found, suggesting more students are applying to the same schools.

If you are not a big brand, you have a real problem on your hands.

Hafeez Lakhani

founder and president of Lakhani Coaching

“There’s been a paradox in higher education for five-plus years,” said Hafeez Lakhani, founder and president of Lakhani Coaching in New York.

“At the very same time you have an enrollment crisis building, you have record application volume at the most selective schools,” he said. “The consensus is, it’s only worth going to college if it’s a life-changing college.”

Meanwhile, private colleges that are less prestigious but equally expensive are struggling to attract applicants, he added.

For a majority of students, “the costs are nowhere near reasonable,” Lakhani said.

“If you are not a big brand, you have a real problem on your hands,” he said.

College is becoming a path for only those with the means to pay for it, other reports show. 

Children from families in the top 1% are more than twice as likely to attend a so-called Ivy Plus school as those from middle-class families with comparable SAT or ACT scores, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research

Though opinions on which schools should be considered Ivy Plus vary, the group generally includes the eight private colleges that comprise the Ivy League — Brown, Columbia, Cornell, Dartmouth, Harvard, University of Pennsylvania, Princeton and Yale — plus the University of Chicago, Duke, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and Stanford.

Most Americans still agree a college education is worthwhile when it comes to career goals and advancement. However, only half believe the economic benefits outweigh the costs, according to a separate report by Public Agenda, USA Today and Hidden Common Ground.

The rising cost of college and ballooning student loan balances have played a big role in changing views about the higher education system, which many think is rigged to benefit the wealthy, the report found. 

And costs are still rising.

Tuition and fees plus room and board for a four-year private college averaged $56,190 in the 2023-24 school year. At four-year, in-state public colleges, it was $24,030, according to the College Board, which tracks trends in college pricing and student aid.

Already, the majority of applicants hail from the wealthiest zip codes, the Common Application found.

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