Finance
PDD just gave markets the latest warning on China’s consumer
Published
2 years agoon
PDD ‘s tumble of nearly 30% last week on disappointing quarterly results is a reminder that China’s consumer has largely moved on from its years of double-digit growth. The slowdown shows few signs of turning around soon. That doesn’t mean it’s a sell across the board. PDD’s revenue grew by nearly 90% from a year ago, while profit more than doubled, pointed out Charlie Chen, managing director, head of Asia research, at China Renaissance Securities. “The reaction of its stock price is out of touch with its fundamentals,” he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC. “The entire Chinese consumer market is weak, yes, [but] PDD management’s very peculiar comments caused the share price decline,” he said. Chen Lei, chairman and co-CEO of PDD, warned multiple times on the earnings call about future declines in profit. But analysts point out that despite price target cuts, the stock remains attractively valued . Other earnings have painted a less-dire picture. Chinese food delivery company Meituan on Wednesday reported second-quarter revenue and earnings that significantly beat FactSet expectations. Revenue grew by 21%, while adjusted earnings nearly doubled from a year ago. Morgan Stanley upgraded the Hong Kong-listed stock to overweight from equal-weight, while JPMorgan raised its price target to 140 Hong Kong dollars ($17.95) with an overweight rating, according to FactSet. That’s 18% upside from where Meituan shares closed Friday, up by nearly 10% for the week. The delivery company, which also owns China’s version of Yelp, said its in-store, hotel and travel business maintained “strong growth.” Management did not comment much on consumer sentiment, beyond a clear preference on value-for-money. “Under the current macro environment, demand for low-star hotels has increased,” CEO Wang Xing said on an earnings call, according to a FactSet transcript. Chinese booking site Trip.com , listed in the U.S. and Hong Kong, on Aug. 26 reported a mild beat on the top and bottom line, according to FactSet. Trip.com said reservations for travel out of China recovered to 100% of the pre-Covid level in the second quarter of 2019. That’s despite international flight capacity that’s only 75% of pre-pandemic levels, the company said. Trip.com’s Hong Kong-traded shares rose by nearly 12% last week. “I think people also now are switching a little bit more into experience consumption than goods consumption, because goods, you can only have that much,” said Liqian Ren, leader of quantitative investment at WisdomTree. She pointed out that there’s more pent-up demand for travel, and expects it to persist for another year or so, since people could buy goods via e-commerce platforms during the pandemic. However, Ren pointed out the real estate slump and general uncertainty about income is constraining consumer spending. Retail sales grew by 2.7% in July from a year ago, after a 2% increase in June. Ren said an effective way for China to support the economy could be to take proactive, rather than reactive, measures: removing all restrictions on house purchases and allowing all people living in cities access to the same benefits. People who just move to a city to work can’t necessarily enroll their children in the local schools without obtaining what’s called a “hukou.” Many cities, including Beijing, still restrict the number of properties people can buy. “As long as the Chinese government realizes it has a number of tools to get ahead of the market, then it will stop this slow grinding of people not wanting to spend,” Ren said. Other companies, such as Yum China , are using new business strategies to grow profit despite slower consumer spending. In early August, the operator of KFC and Pizza Hut in China reported second-quarter earnings grew 19% to 55 cents a share, beating the FactSet estimate of 47 cents. About 80% of those Pizza Hut stores have automatic fried machines, and 50% have robotic servers, according to CEO Joey Wat, noting overall automation of tasks from labor scheduling to inventory management. U.S.-traded shares of Yum China were up more than 1% last week. In the meantime, the tepid environment has generally supported a more conservative tilt by investors. Banks are one of the few sectors in Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index that is up double-digits so far this year, according to Wind Information. Hong Kong-listed Postal Savings Bank of China is Morgan Stanley’s new top pick in the sector, analyst Richard Xu and a team said in a mid-August report. “We think the shifting monetary policy framework, moderating loan growth window guidance, and PBOC support for long-term bond yields will create a favorable environment for bank [net interest margin] to stabilize and rebound,” the report said. “Among all the banks, we think PSBC is one of the best positioned to leverage this trend.” Morgan Stanley is expects Chinese bank stocks could see their fourth-straight year of outperformance this year. “We think the inventory on the property market will go down to a more reasonable level by mid-2025. That means, the drag will be a lot less on a low economy from the property market correction or slowdown,” Xu said in an interview. He is also watching whether pressure to expand industrial capacity eases, helping business profit margins. “If those factors started to moderate over time, then some other sectors could perform better than the banks.”
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Finance
Gen X can’t retire on time as inflation outpaces wages, survey finds
Published
1 month agoon
May 8, 2026
Alliance Global Partners chief global strategist Mark Grant discusses his income tax strategy for retirees on ‘Varney & Co.’
For the generation that should be in its “peak savings years,” the prospect of retiring on time has shifted from a plan to a prayer.
A newly released Employee Financial Wellness Survey by PwC found that nearly 50% of Gen X employees are pushing back their retirement dates, citing stagnant wages, rising everyday costs, and a lack of liquid savings.
Additionally, only 38% of Gen Xers believe they can retire when they originally planned, and more than half of this demographic expect to withdraw funds from their retirement accounts early to cover short-term costs.
“For employers, this isn’t a future problem. Financial anxiety during peak career years can affect focus and engagement,” PwC researchers write. “If the risks are clear, the question is why more employees aren’t taking action. It’s not a lack of desire. Most employees want stability, confidence and to feel in control. But many don’t feel equipped to get there.”
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The primary driver of this retirement delay is the inability to save as inflation eats away at monthly expenses, the report notes. Twenty-five percent of the total workforce is living without a buffer, and nearly half cannot meet basic household expenses.

Nearly half of Gen X workers are delaying retirement, PwC reports. (Getty Images)
“[Forty-nine percent] say their compensation isn’t keeping up with costs. As expenses rise faster than income, day-to-day trade-offs are becoming routine. Employees aren’t just feeling squeezed. They’re making difficult financial decisions to stay afloat,” the PwC report continues..
As a result, when Gen Xers cannot afford to leave their current jobs, the entire corporate ladder stalls, creating business risks, with companies facing higher costs as older talent remains on payroll longer than expected.
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“When employees dip into retirement funds early or delay retirement altogether, it affects more than personal finances and retirement plan leakage,” the report says. “It may also influence workforce planning, healthcare costs, succession timing and overall organizational stability.”
The findings also show that a significant portion – 41% – of the workforce feel they were never given the tools to manage a crisis of this magnitude, leading to a sense of being “overwhelmed” by financial choices.
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PwC provided a call to action for employees and their employers, encouraging them to reduce the stigma around financial education, foster trust through human coaches, emphasize skill building and focus on day-to-day finances before long-term goals.
“Employees define financial wellness simply: less stress, fewer surprises and the freedom to make financial choices with confidence. For employers, that’s the opportunity.”
Finance
Why software stocks, 2026’s market dogs, have joined the rally
Published
2 months agoon
April 19, 2026

Cybersecurity and enterprise software stocks have been market dogs in 2026, with fears that AI will wipe out a wide range of companies in the enterprise space dominating the narrative. But they snapped a brutal losing streak this past week, joining in the broader market rally that saw all losses from the U.S.-Iran war regained by the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500.
Cybersecurity has been “a victim of some of the AI-related headlines,” Christian Magoon, Amplify ETFs CEO, said on this week’s “ETF Edge.”
It wasn’t just niche cybersecurity names. Take Microsoft, for example, which was recently down close to 20% for the year. Its shares surged last week by 13%.
A big driver of the pummeling in software stocks was a rotation within tech by investors to AI infrastructure and semiconductors and some other names in large-cap tech, Magoon said, and since cybersecurity stocks and ETFs are heavily weighted towards software companies, they were left behind even as those businesses continue to grow on a fundamental basis.
But Wall Street now has become more bullish with the stocks at lower levels. Brent Thill, Jefferies tech analyst, said last week that the worst may be over for software stocks. “I think that this concept that software is dead, and then Anthropic and OpenAI are going to kill the entire industry, is just over-exaggerated,” he said on CNBC’s “Money Movers” on Wednesday.
“Big Short” investor Michael Burry wrote in a Substack post on Wednesday that he is becoming bullish about software stocks after the recent selloff. “Software stocks remain interesting because of accelerated extreme declines last week arising from a reflexive positive feedback loop between falling software stocks and changes in the market for their bank debt,” he wrote.
The Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG), is down about 12% since the beginning of the year, with top holdings including Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, Akamai Technologies and CrowdStrike. But BUG was up 12% last week. The First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) is down 6% for the year, but up 9% in the past week.
Piper Sandler analyst Rob Owens reiterated an “overweight” rating on Palo Alto Networks which helped the stock pop 7% — it is now down roughly 6% on the year. Its peers saw similar moves, including CrowdStrike.
Performance of Global X cybersecurity ETF versus S&P 500 over past one-year period.
Magoon said expectations may have become too high in cybersecurity, and with a crowding effect among investors, solid results were not enough to to push stocks higher. But the down-and-then-back-up 2026 for the sector is also a reminder that when stocks fall sharply in a short period of time, opportunity may knock.
“Once you’re down over 10% in some of these subsectors, you start to see the contrarians start to say, ‘well, maybe I’ll take a look at this,'” Magoon said.
He said AI does add both opportunity and uncertainty to the cybersecurity equation, increasing demand but also introducing new competition. But he added, “I think the dip is good to buy in an AI-driven world,” specifically because the risks to companies may lead to more M&A in cyber names that benefits the stocks.
For now, investors may look for opportunity on the margins rather than rush back into beaten-up tech names. “I think investors are still going to remain underweight software,” Thill said.
But Magoon advises investors to at least take the reminder to keep an eye on niches in the market during pronounced downturns. “The best-performing are often the least bought and do the best over the next 12 months versus late-in-the-game piling on,” he said.
While that may have been a mindset that worked against the last investors into cybersecurity and enterprise software in mid-2025 when the negative sentiment started building, at least for now, it’s started working for the stocks in the sector again.
Meanwhile, this year’s biggest winner is also a good example of what can be an extended trade in either a bullish or bearish direction. Last year, institutional ownership of energy was at multi-year lows, Magoon said, referencing Bank of America data. “Reverse sentiment can be a great indicator,” he said.
But he cautioned that any selective buying of stocks that have dipped does have to contend with the risk that there is a potentially bigger drawdown in the market yet to come in 2026. That is because midterm election years historically have been marked by large drawdowns. “If you think it is bad right now, it could get a lot worse,” Magoon said. But he added that there’s a silver-lining in that data, too, for the patient investor. The market has posted very strong 12-month returns after midterm election drawdowns end. So, for investors with a longer-term time horizon and no need for short-term liquidity, Magoon said, “stick in there.”
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Finance
Violent downturns could test new ETF strategies, warns MFS Investment
Published
2 months agoon
April 17, 2026

New innovation in the exchange-traded fund industry could come at a cost to investors during extreme conditions.
According to MFS Investment Management’s Jamie Harrison, ETFs involved in increasingly complex derivatives and less transparent markets may be in uncharted territory when it comes to violent downturns.
“Those would be something that you’d want to keep an eye on as volatility ramps up,” the firm’s head of ETF capital markets told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “As innovation continues to increase at a rapid pace within the ETF wrapper, [it’s] definitely something that we advise our clients to be really front-footed about… Lack of transparency could absolutely be an issue if we’re going to start seeing some deep sell-offs.”
His firm has been around since 1924 and is known for inventing the open-end mutual fund. Last year, ETF.com named MFS Investment Management as the best new ETF issuer.
“It’s important to do due diligence on the portfolio,” he said. “Having a firm that has deep partnerships, deep bench of subject matter experts that plays with the A-team in terms of the Street and liquidity providers available [are] super important.”
Liquidity as the real issue?
Harrison suggested the real issue is liquidity, particularly during a steep sell-off.
“We’ve all seen the news and the headlines around potential private credit ETFs. That picture becomes much more murky,” he added. “It’s up to advisors, to investors [and] to clients to really dig in and look under the hood and engage with their issuers.”
He noted investors will have to ask some tough questions.
“What does this look like in a 20% drawdown? How does this liquidity facility work? Am I going to be able to get in? Am I going to be able to get out? And if I’m able to get out, am I able to get out at a price that’s tight to NAV [net asset value], and what’s the infrastructure at your shop in terms of managing that consideration for me,” said Harrison.
Amplify ETFs’ Christian Magoon is also concerned about these newer ETF strategies could weather a monster drawdown. He listed private credit as a red flag.
“If your ETF owns private credit, I think it’s worth taking a look at, kind of what the standards are around liquidity and how that ETF is trading, because that should be a bit of a mismatch between the trading pace of ETFs and the underlying asset,” the firm’s CEO said in the same interview.
Magoon also highlighted potential issues surrounding equity-linked notes. The notes provide fixed income security while offering potentially higher returns linked to stocks or equity indexes.
“Those could potentially be in stress due to redemptions and the underlying credit risk. That’s another kind of unique derivative,” Magoon said. “I would very closely look at any ETF that has equity-linked notes should we get into a major drawdown or there be a contagion in private credit or something related to the banking system.”
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