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Series I bonds ‘still a good deal’ despite falling rate, experts say

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The annual rate for Series I bonds could fall below 5% in May based on the latest inflation data and other factors, experts predict.  

That would be lower than the current 5.27% interest on I bond purchases made before May 1, but higher than the 4.3% interest offered on new I bonds bought between May 1, 2023, and Oct. 31, 2023.    

Despite the expected rate decline, I bonds are “still a good deal” for long-term investors, according to Ken Tumin, founder and editor of DepositAccounts.com, which closely tracks these assets.  

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Meanwhile, short-term investors currently have higher-yield options, such as Treasury bills, money market funds or some certificates of deposit.

Backed by the U.S. government, demand has soared for I bonds amid higher inflation, particularly after the annual rate hit 9.62% in May 2022. Next month, the rate could drop to around 4.27%, some experts predict. 

How the I bond rate works

The U.S. Department of the Treasury adjusts I bond rates every May and November. That yield changes based on a variable and fixed portion.

The Treasury adjusts the variable part every six months based on the consumer price index, which is a key measure of inflation. The agency can change the fixed portion or keep it the same.

The fixed portion of the I bond rate stays the same for investors after purchase. The variable rate portion resets every six months starting on the investor’s I bond purchase date, not when the Treasury Department announces rate adjustments. You can find each rate by purchase date here.

Currently, the variable rate is 3.94% and the fixed rate is 1.3%, for a combined rounded yield of 5.27% for I bonds purchased between Nov. 1 and April 30.

The 1.3% fixed rate “makes it very attractive” for investors who want to preserve purchasing power long term, according to Tumin.

How the fixed rate could change

Since the variable rate for I bonds is based on six months of inflation data, experts agree it will fall from 3.94% to 2.96% in May. The fixed portion is harder to predict because the Treasury does not disclose its formula for changes.

David Enna, founder of Tipswatch.com, a website that tracks Treasury inflation-protected securities, or TIPS, and I bond rates, expects the fixed rate will be 1.2% or 1.3% in May.

But “1.4% is not out of the question,” he said.

Enna looks at a half-year average of real yields for 5- and 10-year TIPS to predict fixed rate changes. The real yield reflects how much TIPS investors earn yearly above inflation until maturity.

A possible fixed rate change from 1.3% to 1.4% “isn’t enough to make a huge difference,” but investors always prefer the higher rate, he added.

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Here’s how workers feel about return-to-office mandates

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Many workers hate the prospect of returning to the office five days a week — so much so that they’d quit their jobs if told to come in full-time.

To that point, 46% of workers who currently work from home at least sometimes would be somewhat or very unlikely to stay at their job if their employer scrapped remote work, according to a recent poll by Pew Research Center.

Yet, employers have reined in remote work.

About 75% of workers were required to be in the office a certain number of days per week or month as of October 2024, up from 63% in February 2023, Pew found.

“There’s a certain creeping up” of return-to-office policies, said Kim Parker, director of social trends research at the Pew Research Center.

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Companies like Amazon, AT&T, Boeing, Dell Technologies, JPMorgan Chase, UPS and The Washington Post have called at least some employees back to the office five days a week. President Donald Trump signed an executive action on Monday calling federal employees back to their desks “as soon as practicable.”

Similar to the Pew survey, a poll conducted by Bamboo HR found that 28% of workers would consider quitting due to a return-to-office mandate.

The data “underscores how comfortable people have become with this arrangement, and how it really fits in with their lifestyle,” Parker said.

Workers consistently cite a better work-life balance as a “huge benefit” of remote work, Parker said.

Indeed, they see the financial value of hybrid work as being equivalent to an 8% raise, according to research by Nick Bloom, an economics professor at Stanford University who studies workplace management.

Economists say remote work is here to stay

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Many economists think that the higher prevalence of remote work, relative to the pre-pandemic era, has become an entrenched feature of the U.S. labor market.  

“Remote work is not going away,” Bloom previously told CNBC.

That’s largely because it boost profits for companies: Workers quit less often, meaning employers save money on recruiting and other functions tied to attrition, Bloom said. Meanwhile, data shows that productivity doesn’t suffer in hybrid work arrangements, he said.

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More than 60% of paid, full workdays were done remotely in early 2020, during the Covid-19 pandemic — up from less than 10% before the pandemic, according to WFH Research, a project run jointly by researchers from MIT, Stanford, the University of Chicago and Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México.

That share has fallen by more than half. However, it has leveled out between 25% and 30% for about two years, according to WFH Research data.

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About 31% of employers reduced remote work opportunities in 2024, down from 43% in 2023, according to according to a ZipRecruiter survey. Yet, another 33% expanded remote work, up from 32% the prior year.

Companies that imposed RTO mandates have annual rates of employee turnover that are 13% higher than those that have become “more supportive” of remote work, ZipRecruiter said.

“The ability to work from anywhere remains a top priority for many professionals,” according to a 2024 poll by consulting firm Korn Ferry of 10,000 workers in the U.S., U.K., Brazil, Middle East, Australia and India.

Companies may want workers to quit

About half of workers — 53% — who work from home at least part-time say it “hurts” their ability to feel connected with co-workers, Pew found in a 2023 poll.

“It’s the one big downside we’ve seen consistently,” Parker said.

“That seems to be a tradeoff: You get the work-life balance but lose some connectivity with coworkers,” Parker said.

Even if workers quit, they may not be able to find a job.

The labor market remains strong, with low unemployment and low levels of layoffs, meaning workers have good job security, according to economists. However, companies have also pulled back on hiring, making it a challenging environment for job seekers.

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Recruiters weigh in if LinkedIn’s ‘open to work’ feature helps or hurts

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By now, you’ve probably seen the green badges splashed all over LinkedIn, advertising that person is #opentowork.

Whether unemployed and actively seeking a new position, or quiet quitting in their current role, more people are choosing to make their job-seeking status known on the career site.

Globally, more than 220 million people currently have turned on the “open to work” feature, either privately or publicly, according to LinkedIn. That’s a 35% increase from around the same time last year, the company said, which showcases the challenging job market.

Linkedin Open To Work badge

Source: Linkedin

LinkedIn rolled out its “open to work” option in 2020. People can decide if they want to more discreetly signal their status to recruiters only, or to everyone with a public green badge on their profile.

But is it always a smart move? Some recruiters are torn.

“There’s been such a massive debate on LinkedIn about the ‘open to work’ badge, with a mix of employers and recruiters firmly entrenched on both sides,” said Tatiana Becker, founder of NIAH Recruiting.

‘Avoid the green banner’

Debra Boggs, founder and CEO of D&S Executive Career Management, has concerns about the green “open to work” badge or banner for those who make their job seeking status available to all.

“You are bringing the focus to your employment status and away from your unique value in the market and qualifications for the role,” Boggs said.

Meanwhile, Boggs said, “many recruiters and hiring managers feel that it makes a job seeker look desperate, which is not an attractive quality when looking for a stand-out leader to run a function or a business.”

For entry-level and mid-level job seekers, she suggest they use the “open to work” option that only recruiters can see.

“That way, when recruiters are looking for qualified candidates, you are still signaling to them that you are actively searching, but it’s not considered a red flag,” Boggs said.

But for everyone, she said: “Avoid the green banner” that all can see.

Old-fashioned to see the green badge ‘as a red flag’

Yet Becker sees no shame in signaling your job status to the world. “I say: Put the badge on,” she said.

In the past, being a job hopper was “looked down upon,” Becker said. But that changed when millions of people lost their employment during the Covid pandemic through no fault of their own, and later, with the waves of layoffs that followed the over-hiring boom, she said.

“It’s old fashioned and biased to see the ‘open to work’ badge as a red flag,” Becker said.

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Plus, Becker said, why turn down the help? The badge lets companies and recruiters more easily identify who is looking for a job, she said.

Indeed, using the “open to work feature” doubles someone’s chances of getting a recruiter to message them, according to LinkedIn. Those who flash the green badge under the public option can up that likelihood by 40%, the company said.

“I think there are far more desperate practices on LinkedIn,” said Tiffany Dyba, a recruitment consultant.

So where does all this leave you?

“Do what you feel is best for you,” Dyba said. “It sounds trite, but I really don’t think there is a right or wrong to the ‘open to work.'”

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How to know if a rental listing is a scam, fraud experts say

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It’s exciting to find a new place to rent in your neighborhood or in a new city. That is, of course, unless you get duped.

In so-called rental listing scams, scammers will make up listings that aren’t available for rent or simply do not exist in order to fraudulently take your money, according to the Federal Trade Commission. Scammers will often ask for payments like an application fee, a security deposit, the first month’s rent or a mix of such charges.

“Once the payment is sent, the [so-called] landlord or listing person … disappears,” said John Breyault, vice president of public policy, telecommunications and fraud at the National Consumers League, a consumer advocacy group.

Potential tenants lose cash to rental scams

It’s not uncommon for individuals to fall victim to fraudulent rental listings, experts say.

About 9,521 real estate fraud complaints were filed in 2023, resulting in more than $145 million in losses, according to the latest Internet Crime Report by the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Those figures are down from 11,727 victims and more than $396 million in losses in 2022. 

The agency defined real estate fraud as a loss of funds from a real estate investment or fraud involving a rental or timeshare property.

While it’s convenient to look for a new rental online, experts urge future renters to be cautious, as you may lose hundreds to thousands of dollars if not careful.

For example: Let’s say you fall for a scam that asked for a security deposit — which is often the equivalent to a month’s rent — the first month’s rent upfront, or both. Nationwide, the median monthly rent was $1,373 in December, according to Apartment List.

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A separate report by Rently, a leasing automation platform, found that 62% of respondents who experienced a rental scam lost more than $500, with 48% losing more than $1,000. A smaller share, 8%, were duped out of more than $5,000, according to the report.

The survey polled 500 U.S. adults in November who have rented an apartment, condo or house over the past five years and have either experienced or are aware of rental scams and fraud.

If you need a new place to rent this year, here are some things to watch for to determine if a rental listing is a scam and what to do, according to experts.

4 red flags to watch out for

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Experts say if you’re contacted via text message or a phone call for a rental listing, look at the phone number’s area code. If it’s outside your area, be careful.

If you get an email, take a look at the sender’s address. Does the address contain multiple characters like a mix of letters, numbers and varied punctuation marks or symbols? Or is it coming from a personal account like a Gmail or Yahoo, but poses as a company email? If the answer to either is “yes,” delete it right away, Kitten Goldberg said.

2. Unusual forms of payment required

If the so-called landlord or listing agent requests you to pay an application fee or the first month’s rent through a wire transfer, a gift card or through cryptocurrency, that is “a huge red flag,” Breyault said.

Also be wary if they request a payment through payment apps like Apple Pay, CashApp, PayPal and Zelle, per the Federal Trade Commission.

“What all of those payment methods have in common is that the money goes from you to the recipient nearly instantaneously,” Breyault said. The transactions are often irreversible, even if you determine that it was a fraudulent payment.

Federal laws regarding compensation under fraudulent losses often don’t apply to such transactions, he said. Therefore, if you’re met with these payment options from the so-called listing agent or landlord, stop the application process in its tracks.

3. Refusing to meet or show the property in person

“You should always meet these people face-to-face before you fill out any kind of paperwork,” Kitten Goldberg said, as well as tour the property.

If a landlord or listing agent makes up excuses about why they can’t meet you in person or why you can’t see the rental property in person, that alone should be a red flag, Breyault said.

If you’re out of town or moving to a new city and do not have the ability to vet the apartment yourself, request a virtual tour of the space, experts say. If possible, ask a friend or relative to visit the property for you. 

“That’s really the litmus test to find out if an apartment is for real or not,” Breyault said.

4. Unusually low asking price

If a rental listing is “priced unusually low” compared to similar properties in an area, be careful, Breyault said.

“The reason scammers put listings like that up is because they know that it will attract a lot of eyeballs and potential victims,” he said.

Make sure to compare the listing price to others in your city or area of interest, and be wary of offer that may be too good to be true, Breyault said.

“Do bargains exist? Absolutely, but so do a lot of scams,” Breyault said.

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