Connect with us

Personal Finance

‘Shop around’ for best CD rates — but don’t panic buy as stocks plunge

Published

on

Alistair Berg | Digitalvision | Getty Images

Investors who park savings in a certificate of deposit may be short-changing themselves with their CD choice.

And that mistake can prove costly for investors who feel an impulse to flee the stock market amid a steep downturn being fueled by President Donald Trump’s tariff policy and fears of an escalating global trade war.

“When it comes to buying CDs, it pays to shop around,” said Winnie Sun, co-founder of Irvine, California-based Sun Group Wealth Partners and a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor Council.

Why consumers may be ‘shortchanged’

Wharton's Jeremy Siegel: Tariffs are the biggest policy mistake in 95 years

Specifically, consumers can often get a higher financial return by choosing a long-term CD and paying a penalty to pull money out early, relative to simply picking a short-term CD, the researchers found.

Investors who are unaware of the strategy may get “shortchanged” by banks, Fleckenstein told CNBC.

‘The rule rather than the exception’

Here’s an example: If an investor puts $1 in a five-year CD with a 5% interest rate and cashes it out after one year with a penalty equivalent to six months of interest, they would receive about $1.03, which is slightly more than the $1.01 they would get from a one-year CD with a 1% interest rate, despite the penalty incurred for early withdrawal. 

Banks frequently price CDs this way, Fleckenstein and Longstaff wrote in their paper, published in October in the National Bureau of Economic Research.

More from Personal Finance:
Avoid ‘dangerous’ investment instincts amid tariff sell-off
What to know before trying to ‘buy the dip’
20 items and goods most exposed to tariff price shocks

The researchers examined weekly CD rates offered by 16,891 banks and branches — ranging from small community banks to big nationwide institutions — from January 2001 to June 2023. Rates were for accounts up to $100,000.

About 52% of CDs offered during that period had such “inconsistencies” in pricing when comparing a given term against a longer-term CD cashed in early, they found.

“It’s the rule rather than the exception,” Fleckenstein said.

“There are banks that do this all the time,” he said, and “there are some that don’t do this at all.”

Link: When it feels worst, it's often the best time to buy

At banks where this happens, the difference in returns “is not tiny,” Fleckenstein said. In fact, the pricing inconsistency is about 23 basis points, on average, over the roughly two decades they assessed, he said.

Given that disparity, the average investor who invested $50,000 could have gotten an extra $115 of interest by picking a longer-term CD and cashing it in early, their research suggests.

The average size of that pricing difference rose as interest rates began to increase during the Covid-19 pandemic, Fleckenstein said.

CDs often for ‘safety and liquidity’

About 6.5% of households held assets in CDs as of 2022, with an average value of about $99,000, according to the most recent Survey of Consumer Finances.

Certificates of deposit may be a “great fit” for someone looking for a safe yield — whether someone near retirement, already retired, planning a home purchase in the near future or even a younger investor seeking peace of mind. However, consumers shouldn’t “panic-sell” their stocks and move proceeds into CDs, Sun said.

“Selling at dramatic lows and moving into CDs translates into locking in losses that your financial plan may not be able to absorb,” Sun said.

Like any investment, there are pros and cons to CDs.

For example, unlike other relative safe havens like high-yield savings accounts or money market funds, CDs offer a guaranteed return over a set period with no chance of market-based losses. In exchange, however, CDs offer less liquid access to your cash than a savings account and lower long-term returns than the stock market.

“Shop around for the best CD rate across banks, but also look within banks at whether it actually may pay off to accept a longer term but pay an early withdrawal penalty,” Fleckenstein recommended, based on his research findings.

Current market may offer few chances for strategy

The option may not be as prolific in the current market environment, though.

Long-term CDs typically pay a higher interest rate than shorter-term ones, Sun said. But average rates for one-year CDs are currently higher than those for five-year CDs: about 1.9% versus 1.6%, respectively, according to Bankrate data as of March 31.

Households can pursue other CD strategies, Sun said.

For example, instead of putting all savings into a long-term CD, consumers might put a chunk of their money into a long-term CD and with the remaining funds build a “ladder” of shorter-term CDs that mature more quickly. They can then buy more CDs if they’d like once the shorter-term ones come due.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Personal Finance

Selling out during the market’s worst days can hurt you: research

Published

on

Hobo_018 | E+ | Getty Images

U.S. stocks saw wild market swings on Monday as the tariff sell-off continued.

For some investors, it may be tempting to head for the exits rather than ride those ups and downs.

Yet investors who sell risk missing out on the upside.

“When there’s a bad sell-off, that bad sell-off is typically followed by a strong bounce back,” said Jack Manley, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management.

“Given the nature of this sell-off, that likelihood for that bounce back, whenever it occurs, to be pretty concentrated and pretty powerful is that much higher,” Manley said.

More from Personal Finance:
Avoid ‘dangerous’ investment instincts amid tariff sell-off
What to know before trying to ‘buy the dip’
20 items and goods most exposed to tariff price shocks

The market’s best days tend to closely follow the worst days, according to JPMorgan Asset Management’s research.

In all, seven of the market’s 10 best days occurred within two weeks of the 10 worst days, according to JPMorgan’s data spanning the past 20 years. For example, in 2020, markets saw their second-worst day of the year on March 12 at the onset of the Covid pandemic. The next day, the markets saw their second-best day of the year.

The cost of missing the market’s best days

Investors who stay the course fare much better over time, according to the JPMorgan research.

Take a $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 index.

If an investor put that sum in on Jan. 3, 2005, and left that money untouched until Dec. 31, 2024, they would have amassed $71,750, for a 10.4% annualized return over that time.

Yet if that same investor had sold their holdings — and therefore missed the market’s best days — they would have accumulated much less.

For the investor who put $10,000 in the S&P 500 in 2005, missing the 10 best market days would bring their portfolio value down from $71,750 had they stayed invested through the end of 2024 to $32,871, for a 6.1% return.

The more that investor moved in and out of the market, the more potential upside they would have lost. If they missed the market’s best 60 days between 2005 and 2025, their return would be -3.7% and their balance would be just $4,712 — a sum well below the $10,000 originally invested.

How investors can adjust their perspective

Yet while investors who stay the course stand to reap the biggest rewards, we’re wired to do the opposite, according to behavioral finance.

Big market drops can put investors in fight or flight mode, and selling out of the market can feel like running toward safety.

It helps for investors to adjust their perspective, according to Manley.

It wasn’t long ago that the S&P 500 was climbing to new all-time highs, reaching a new 5,000 milestone in February 2024, and then climbing to 6,000 for the first time in November 2024.

At some point, the index will again reach new all-time records.

Managing your money through volatility

However, investors tend to expect tomorrow to be worse than today, Manley said.

It would help for them to adjust their perspective, he said.  

In 150 years of stock market history, there have been wars, natural disasters, acts of terror, financial crises, a global pandemic and more. Yet the market has always eventually recovered and climbed to new all-time highs.

“If that becomes what you’re looking at, kind of the light at the end of the tunnel, then it becomes a lot easier to stomach the day in, day out volatility,” Manley said.

Advisor: Ask yourself this one key question

When markets hit bottom at the onset of the Covid pandemic, Barry Glassman, a certified financial planner and the founder and president of Glassman Wealth Services, said he asked clients who wanted to cash out one question: “Two years from now, do you think the market is going to be higher than it is today?”

Universally, most said yes. Based on that answer, Glassman advised the clients to do nothing.

Today, the markets have not fallen as far as that Covid market drop. But the question on the two-year outlook — and the resulting response to generally stay put — is still relevant now, said Glassman, who is also a member of the CNBC FA Council.

It’s also important to consider the purpose for the money, he said. If a client in their 50s has money in retirement accounts, those are long-term dollars that over the next 10 to 15 years will likely outperform in stocks compared to other investment choices, he said.

For investors who want to reduce risk, it can make sense, he said. But that doesn’t mean cashing out completely.

“You don’t need to go to 0% stocks,” Glassman said. “That’s just not prudent.”

Continue Reading

Personal Finance

Don’t miss these tax strategies during the tariff sell-off

Published

on

Seif Ibrahim / 500px | 500px | Getty Images

Tax-loss harvesting can be a ‘silver lining’

Stock market volatility often presents the chance to leverage a popular tax strategy, experts say. 

“Tax-loss harvesting is the name of the game right now,” said certified financial planner Sean Lovison, founder of Philadelphia-area Purpose Built Financial Services. 

The move involves selling your losing brokerage account assets to claim a loss. When you file your taxes for 2025, you can use those losses to offset other portfolio gains. 

Once investment losses exceed profits, you can use the excess to reduce regular income by up to $3,000 per year. After that, you can carry additional losses forward into future years to offset capital gains or income.

“It’s looking for a silver lining on a pouring, rainy, cloudy day,” said Lovison, who is also a certified public accountant.

You can also use tax-loss harvesting to rebalance your portfolio, he added.

Weigh Roth conversions

You may consider so-called Roth individual retirement account conversions amid the stock market dip, according to certified financial planner Judy Brown at SC&H Group in the Washington, D.C., and Baltimore area.

Roth conversions transfer pretax or nondeductible IRA funds to a Roth IRA, which can start tax-free growth. The trade-off is that you’ll owe regular income taxes on the converted balance.  

After transferring funds to a Roth account, it’s possible to capture tax-free growth when the stock market eventually rebounds and the assets recover, she explained.

“But it has to be done fast,” said Brown, who is also a certified public accountant.

Of course, you need to project how the additional income could impact your taxes for the year, experts say.

Seeking safety amid market volatility: Strategies to keep your money safe

Roth IRA contributions ‘could be missed’

If you’re eager to build tax-free retirement savings, you can still make Roth IRA contributions for 2024 until the federal tax deadline on April 15. Investing now could also be a chance to “buy the dip” while asset prices are lower, experts say.  

For 2024, you can contribute up to $7,000 if you’re under 50, or $8,000 if you’re 50 or older, assuming you have at least that much “earned income” from a job or self-employment. You also must meet the income requirements.  

“That’s definitely an opportunity that could be missed,” said Lovison. “It’s one more task in the middle of everything that’s going on.” 

Continue Reading

Personal Finance

Strategies to keep your money safe amid market volatility

Published

on

Seeking safety amid market volatility: Strategies to keep your money safe

Stock markets in the U.S. and around the globe have dropped since last week when President Donald Trump introduced tariffs on most imports. The sell-off is causing some Americans to rethink their financial investments, despite financial advisor recommendations to stay the course.

Money flowed in and out just 0.10% of 401(k) balances overall last week, according to data from Alight Solutions, which administers company 401(k) plans.

While small, the share is significant, Alight’s research director Rob Austin said in an email: “This is roughly four times average, because we typically see this level in a month.”

More than half, 53%, of the outflows in the week ending April 4 — $140 million — came from large-cap U.S. equities, he said. Nearly the same amount — 52%, or $138 million — went into stable value funds.

Alight data shows total 401(k) balances fell from $262 billion at the beginning of the week to $245 billion by the end of the day on Friday, a 7% decline on average.

More from Your Money:

Here’s a look at more stories on how to manage, grow and protect your money for the years ahead.

About 70 million Americans participate in 401(k) plans, according to the Investment Company Institute.

The average 401(k) balance was $131,700 at the end of 2024 at Fidelity Investments, one of the nation’s largest retirement plan providers. A 7% decline in that account balance would amount to $9,219 in paper losses in just one week. 

To weather a retirement savings squeeze, financial advisors say it’s best to stick to a strategy that reflects your ability to take risks both financially and emotionally. Here are three strategies that can help.

Settle on an investment strategy — and stick to it

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on April 3, 2025.

Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

An investment policy statement provides a framework for managing your portfolio, and helps you avoid making impulse decisions based on the news.

“I strongly believe in sticking to an investment policy statement that reflects my needs, and I tune out the rest of the noise,” said Carolyn McClanahan, a certified financial planner, physician and founder of Life Planning Partners in Jacksonville, Florida. “We are helping our clients do the same.”

Having a strategy can help you feel confident that when you do make changes, they suit your investment goals.

“It is perfectly fine to make some changes if needed. It also means having a discussion about the potential reduced upside [of doing so],” said CFP Lee Baker, the founder of Claris Financial Advisors in Atlanta.

Financial advisors say sticking your head in the sand can be a mistake.

“There are likely to be some tremendous buying opportunities in the wreckage,” Baker said, “but it requires both diligence and patience.”

McClanahan and Baker are both members of the CNBC Financial Advisor Council.

Consider your cash position

For many investors, building a cash cushion is top of mind. For example, when it comes to retirees or those planning to stop working soon, Baker said they might want to take “some risk off the table” and have enough cash “to sustain withdrawals for a year.”

Money market funds can be helpful in retirement and investment portfolios if you plan to retire in the next five years or are already retired, financial advisors and investment strategists say.  

These so-called “cash equivalents” are highly liquid investments, and unlike money market accounts at banks and credit unions, these funds can be held in 401(k) plans and other qualified retirement plans. Top money market funds currently yield 4% or more, according to Bankrate.

Focus on the fundamentals

Even policy makers are uncertain what the economic impact will be from the tariff policy changes. 

The Federal Reserve could move to drive interest rates lower if the economy slows, or adjust rates higher to address inflation concerns. But it’s not clear what will be needed.

“We’re going to need to wait and see how this plays out before we can start to make those adjustments,” Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, said on Friday during remarks at the Society for the Advancement of Business Editing and Writing conference in Arlington, Virginia.

To help cope with the uncertainty, financial advisors recommend focusing on the fundamentals.

“If a trade war will reduce economic growth, what asset classes should you overweight in that environment? That’s different than changing your allocation because of a policy decision,” said CFP Ivory Johnson, founder of Delancey Wealth Management in Washington, D.C. Johnson is also a member of the CNBC FA Council. “Pay more attention to the data than the narrative.”

SIGN UP: Money 101 is an 8-week learning course on financial freedom, delivered weekly to your inbox. Sign up here. It is also available in Spanish.

Continue Reading

Trending