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The problems PE solves | Accounting Today

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Private equity can solve many of a firm’s problems — but not necessarily all, according to Phil Whitman of Whitman Transition Advisors, and there are alternatives.

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Transcripts are generated using a combination of speech recognition software and human transcribers, and may contain errors. Please check the corresponding audio for the authoritative record.

Dan Hood (00:04):
Welcome to On the Air With Accounting. Today, I’m editor-in-chief Dan Hood. Private equity is one of the hottest topics in accounting these days, and we’ve been exploring it over the past few episodes, and we wanted to complete our investigation of the topic by bringing in Phil Whitman, he’s the president and CEO of Whitman Transition Advisors. He’s been involved in lots of these deals and in introducing lots of accounting firms to the world of PE and vice versa. Phil, thanks for joining us.

Phil Whitman (00:26):
Thank you so much. Dan.

Dan Hood (00:27):
I should also mention you’re also the co-chair of our PE summit, which is happening November 20th and 21st in Chicago. And these episodes, and this is the last of these, are sort of meant to tee that event up because it’s pretty exciting stuff. We’re bringing a bunch of people together in Chicago to dive into all the topics we’re going to be talking to today, but in greater depth and in person. So we think that’s going to be pretty exciting. We’re looking forward to that. But for now, I want to dive right in. When you think about PE and accounting firms looking at pe, what sort of problems are they looking to solve when accounting firms look to partner up with private equity firms?

Phil Whitman (01:05):
So Dan, I think it’s a number of things. Obviously, probably the single largest challenge that most firms are facing is talent. And that’s certainly a big one. And I believe in our industry, if you were to ask a CPA firm that is struggling to hire people, they would say, we’ve tried everything. But you and I both know when someone says we’ve tried everything, that’s certainly usually isn’t the case. And we know this because some of these private equity groups, they’ve brought on a full-time recruiting team of staff. Obviously there’s private equity groups out there. I believe today many of them are aspirational. I think of the ones that I know of, there’s probably 25 PE groups that actually have a foundational firm. That number could be a little bit more, but at least the ones that I am aware of, and some of them are at the beginning of the beginning, they don’t have the back office, they don’t have the ability day one to solve the recruiting challenge, but there’s that promise that they are going to be building that back office.

(02:23)
And sometimes a CPA firm can get a first mover premium because I could go with P Group A, let’s say like an Ascend or a Crete who have built out that back office and have recruiters recruiting. And they can probably tell you that over the course of the year, they’ve hired a hundred plus CPAs for the firms that are under their umbrellas. And those are probably the same firms that said, oh, we’ve tried everything and we don’t have the ability to hire yet. You have a group that’s now focusing on this 24 7. It’s not a partner’s individual, partner’s obligation to spearhead HR for the firm and spearhead that recruiting. Or even a firm that has a full fledged recruiting department. I mean, even they have jounce. So I think talent is a big one. The second thing I think that they’re solving for is succession and look private equity.

(03:32):
We’ve done transactions with firms where sometimes I scratch my head when I see a 72-year-old managing partner, no future partners in the ranks, three or four partners all in their sixties. And prior to private equity coming into this space, this was what we and every CPA firm would’ve considered an end of life firm. It would’ve been a firm for which maybe it would’ve been an orphan. They would’ve closed the lights and turned the key and there would be no buyer. Or we’ll give ’em 60 cents on the dollar a collections based deal. And lo and behold, private equity comes in and because they have great clients, because they have stable staff, even though there’s no future partners in the rank, private equity acquires this firm or 60% of the firm and tucks it into one of their bigger firms, and somehow they’re able to go out and find the young partners or senior managers that are going to step in and into the partner’s shoes. And we all know there are partners in CPA firms out there that still put numbers in boxes. They’re still preparing returns. And I think private equity does have a better way.

Dan Hood (04:49):
There you go. Well, let’s talk a little bit more about that way, and particularly I’m curious because I think a lot of accounting firms know their own troubles. They know their own problems, they understand hope, they understand their issues and their business, but they often don’t understand private equity. So what don’t accounting firms know about private equity deals that they should?

Phil Whitman (05:11):
I think there’s a perception of private equity that is not in all cases accurate. Pick your partner carefully. Okay. So what I would tell you is yes, every CPA knows that they’ve had a client that’s done a transaction with private equity and it was a disaster. And private equity is going to come in and they’re going to slash and they’re going to cut and they’re going to burn. And all they care about is ROI. And the reality is we are a people business. And there are RP groups out there that are looking at this as we’re a people business. This is different. We can’t come in and slash and burn. Yes, we do want to make a return. There are groups that have patient capital. They’re not in this for the three to five years, and we’re going to hit a grand slam and sell this to someone else.

(06:07):
And I think many PE groups are finding the attractiveness of public accounting is such that, Hey, we’re making so much money. We really, I mean in many cases they have to because there’s a life of a fund. But I’ve been hearing where some of these PE groups, they might just bring it in, a new investor group, have a continuation vehicle. And when you look at some of the models that are being built, I think after there is an initial turn, which means when PE sells all or a portion to another PE group, I believe we’re still going to see people that are going to stay in the game for the long term operators. I dunno, some people might call them the sponsors, but I think there’s a fallacy. I mean, I hear from managing partners all the time, well, what’s going to happen in five years when they sell?

(07:09):
And here’s my answer. They’re going to sell. And yes, there will be a new capital partner, but for your rank and file staff member and for your line partners the day after that sale, I mean, the partners might get an additional check, but the work is going to continue. The clients need to be served. It’s not like, okay, they’re selling us and okay, our business is done. I mean, this is just a change of now there’s a new partner sitting in a seat that someone else was, and I’m sure they’re going to include the CPA firm because they want it to be a successful transaction. So I think there’s a lot of fear around it. And you and I, years ago, we did that fearful mindset, and that still remains the same that everyone knows of the horror story of private equity. I would say we’re still very early stage, even though we’re three plus years into when Eisner Emper got in and Citron Cooperman.

(08:23):
But with some of these smaller platform groups that are rolling up firms, I’d say any firm that’s looking at private equity right now, I think we’re still at the tip of the iceberg. It’s the beginning of the beginning. And I think you need to be a believer. You need to, if you are a naysayer, and we get a lot of people that come to the table, they don’t believe that this is the right solution, but after they meet with some of the groups that we’ve introduced them to, they seem to have an aha moment that, wow, this really can work. And it’s firms that were vehemently opposed to doing anything but felt as managing partner, I need to know what’s going on. So I’m going to take these news to get educated. And then once they got educated, and by the way, there’s a big education that needs to be had. I mean, all of a sudden you’re getting a letter of intent with things like TEV and TTN and enterprise value and how do they calculate this and all their spreadsheets. But what I will tell you is from an educational perspective, firms owe it to themselves and their partners to at the very least, explore so that they have an awareness of the possibilities that are after.

Dan Hood (09:54):
Because as you say, it’s a PE in accounting thus far certainly has acted very differently than our traditional sort of stereotype of pe, right? It’s not asset stripping. It’s not coming in and getting rid of all the staff and loading it down with debt and then moving on. It’s not sort of the traditional, as you say, mustache twiddling stereotype of PE if they seem to understand the business. And also, I think more importantly, to understand the parts of accounting that they don’t. If I had a dollar for every PE firm I’ve spoken to that said, we don’t want to run an accounting firm. We don’t know how to run an accounting firm, we want you to run an accounting firm, I’d have a lot of dollars.

Phil Whitman (10:31):
Absolutely. And running the CPA firm. And so that’s the other thing. There’s a fear of losing control. And I will tell you, even if a CPA firm sells 60% and they’re sitting in the minority seat holding 40%, they’re running the show, they’re running the firm on a day-to-day basis. You know what? You want to go out, you want to borrow money, you want to merge in a firm, you want to do something, promote someone to partner. You got a 60% partner there that you got to share a compelling reason why we should be doing that. But what we have seen, even in the allocation of the rollover equity, and for those of you that don’t know, the rollover equity is that equity that if a private equity group buy 60% and the CPA firm is holding 40%, that is the amount that they are invested in that thing that they’re going to get the second bite, that second bite. And some of the private equity groups, what they’re saying is, we want you the managing partner, the older managing partner of the CPA firm to ensure that some of that rollover equity, and in many cases they’ll say X percent of the rollover equity needs to be put in the hands of the up and comers in the firm, which is a wonderful incentive for them to continue along with the ride.

Dan Hood (12:09):
Unless we paint two rows of a picture that you say that 60% partner, they’re also, I think the general impression is that they’re a partner who may be a little bit more, strict isn’t the right word, but they may be more likely to hold their partners accountable for their goals and that sort of thing. Accounting firms in general sort of have had a little bit of an issue with that ability to hold a partner group accountable in the sense of we set a bunch of plans and then if we don’t make it, well, we’re all partners, we’re all equal. It can be hard to make us all hit those numbers. Private equity firms are a little more likely, or in some cases a lot more likely to be like, no, no, these are the plans we agreed to. Why aren’t we hitting them? Right. That’s my impression is that they’re certainly going to be a little bit more strict in accountability or like I said, some cases maybe a lot more strict.

Phil Whitman (12:55):
Yeah. So what I would say is what I’ve seen in the transactions that have taken place thus far that we’ve been involved with, the goals that have been set for increases in EBITDA over a five year period have seemingly, to me been very reasonable. I’m working on a transaction right now where they’re saying, we want you to increase EBITDA 2% the first year, 5% the second year, and then 10% in each of the following three years. Those are the goals. And when I look at those goals and I look at additional service offerings that will most likely be added on, as well as, Hey, I’m now a partner, whether I’m the managing partner or the partner that’s in charge of hr, I just found 200 hours of time of the four or 500 that I’m spending on administration that I no longer have to spend, which means I have time to go out and develop business and service clients, wine and dine clients, and sell additional services to existing clients who should be our raving fans.

(14:16):
Anyway, so I see the goals that they’re setting as very, very achievable. But yes, private equity. At the end of the month, there’s going to be a board meeting and the managing partner, I think it was Charlie Weinstein that told me one of the differences, now he has someone that he has to answer to and he puts together data for board meetings and presents to his board. And in the past, I think it was partners in his firm and c-suite leaders that were putting stuff together for him to review. But so yeah. Is it a boss? Nah, it’s a partner. It’s just another partner sitting at the table. But Dan, you’re absolutely right. Accountability has been a very, very significant challenge for I would say 75 to 80% of the firms. You always have the, oh, that’s just Phil. Phil never gets his time in. Phil never gets his billing out. And after a while, firms become accepting of those behaviors. And it’s just sort of like that partnership model. Again, much more tolerant of that sort of stuff. I will say that as large firms like Citrin, Cooperman and Eisner, I think we’ve already seen it where non-productive partners and unnecessary administrative line people have been relieved of their jobs

Dan Hood (16:09):
And been invited to define success elsewhere.

Phil Whitman (16:12):
Exactly. And that might be an effort to further increase EBIT a as firms are getting ready for a sale.

Dan Hood (16:23):
Well, I mean that’s worth bringing up. As a point, the firms that are most attractive to private equity are going to be the firms that have already started moving in this direction anyways, right? They’ve already started cleaning themselves up and operating in a more corporate manner, a less of a collegial, hey, he said, Hey, that’s just Phil. He just does what he does, and that’s okay. They’ve already started the work of being more, like I said, sort of corporate is a shorthand for it, but it’s a tighter model and involves a little bit more accountability and a little bit more focus on the goals and alignment, universal alignment around those goals. So I think you put a good number on it in terms of how many platform firms are out there. I haven’t heard many more than that. And that’s got to involve maybe when you think of all their transactions together, maybe 150 firms total in terms of Tuck-ins and stuff like that haven’t got involved. That still leaves 43,800 or some other firms to look at, many of which may not be as attractive as that first wave of acquisitions.

Phil Whitman (17:26):
Exactly. And Dan, shortly after Eisner transacted, we were fortunate to tuck a firm, a very nice firm into Eisner er. And that’s where I first cut my teeth on what private equity looks like for a firm tucking into a large firm. And as I sat back, I said, you know what? This cannot only be for the largest of firms. And started talking to a lot of PE groups and CPA firms. And lo and behold, I mean, we’re working on a transaction right now. We’re a large private equity group. One of the large ones is having a conversation with a CPA firm that has one partner that’s doing a million dollars a year. He has a specialty that’s very interesting. But the reason I bring this up is it seems that there’s a place for everybody. These private equity groups, you can’t just lump them all into one basket because they come to the table with very different thesis or thesises, I’m not sure of that word.

(18:46):
Someone one day will tell me the right way to say that word. But they all have someone, small firms, some are long holders, some of them won’t start with a firm unless they’ve got five or $10 million of leave behind ebitda. For those of you that don’t know, leave behind EBITDA is the EBITDA that you and your firm are going to leave behind after you compensate your partners. And some of you might scratch your head and say, well, after we compensate our partners, there’s no leave behind ebitda. But the reality is they’re going to look at, if you make a million dollars a year, they’re probably going to say, well, you know what? We probably, if the person’s out there, we could go out and we can bring someone in at 350 or 400,000 to be a line partner and do what you do. The other 600,000 is a distribution of profits.

(19:49):
How much of that do you want to give up? And you might say, well, I need to make 500,000 to pay all my bills. So in that case, the leave buying EBITDA would be 500,000. And that’s what you’re going to get paid a multiple upon. So I mean, there’s a lot of education. Usually after firms go through two, three, sometimes four meetings or more, they sort of like, okay, I’m now expert. I understand the lingo, I understand all these acronyms. I understand what leave behind E, but there isn’t how we’re going to come up with an appropriate calculation.

Dan Hood (20:26):
It doesn’t, like you say, it’s a lot of education right to be done and you’re sort getting it on the fly as you’re sitting down to meet with a potential PE firm partner because it’s a very complicated and a very different approach to things I think than accounting firms have traditionally done. They’re used to a merger, an upward merger or an internal succession to be dealing with an entirely different industry with an entirely different set of acronyms and lingo. And that sort of stuff requires a fair amount of education, as you say.

Phil Whitman (20:55):
Yeah, absolutely. And to just give you a gist of how pervasive this doing a transaction with a private equity group has become last year in 2023 at Whitman Transition Advisors, probably 20% of the m and a transactions we did were with a strategic investor, like private equity could have been like a wealth management group, a family office. And 80% were traditional CPA firm to CPA firm transactions most with no money upfront. This year it’s flipped completely to the reverse where 80% of the transactions we’re doing are with strategic investors, private equity groups, and only 20% are just typical CPA firm to CPA firm. But the difference is in those CPA firm to CPA firm, usually now there’s cash upfront because in order to compete, they got to put cash upfront. And I truly believe, Dan, that with some of these top 100 firms, here’s what we’re going to see.

(22:15):
Managing partner I work with told me last week, Phil, I feel like my deal flow is drying up even you are showing me less because everyone’s talking about private equity. And this particular managing partner had a transaction he was working on and he was willing to put 3 million of cash upfront and he lost out to private equity. Private equity, put 10 billion of cash upfront. And the managing partner said to me, I think I need to explore because he sees the opportunities drying up and he can only get so much of an acquisition line of credit from this bank. And I think whether you are, and this is a firm that’s a hundred plus million in revenue, but whether you’re a hundred plus million in revenue or a $5 million firm that’s looking to tuck in smaller firms, everyone is going to be facing increasing competition from private equity and they’re coming to the table with a better succession solution for the baby boomer CPA firms, a big boomer managed owned CPA firms than there has ever been before. I’ve been saying, Dan, there’s never been a better time ever, ever, ever to be a CPA firm and the options available, and let me not say it’s not all private equity. There are firms we work with that still desire to remain independent, and they’re seeing a lot of opportunities coming from fallout from some of these private equity groups, like those people that are getting laid off.

Dan Hood (24:09):
Right. Well, I want to dive into that actually, it’s interesting because I want to dive into that. Next, I want to dive into the alternatives, maybe to private equity. The other options you may have, we do have to take a quick break real quick. Alright. And we’re back with Phil Whitman of Whitman Transition Advisors. We’re talking about PE and how it’s impacting the market, but you mentioned a couple of times you talked about family offices, you talked about wealth management firms, and then just before we went to the break, you were talking about the alternatives to private equity as a broad concept for firms that aren’t, for whatever reason, don’t end up going with a private equity firm. Maybe we can dive into that a little bit. What sort of alternatives are there other than taking on private equity?

Phil Whitman (24:53):
Sure. So obviously the first and most natural one is the do nothing, do nothing and just I’m going to continue to remain independent. I’m doing really well. I’m going to pick up the scraps that fall. I think doing nothing is for some firms, if they’re going to add advisory services, if they’re going to make themselves look more like a private equity backed firm, but it’s going to be very challenging to just sit there and do nothing because you can’t only grow organically. You need to be growing with some m and a, and that’s going to be very, very challenging. Alternatives to private equity though, we have clients that we’re working with in the wealth management arena, typically they’re looking for tax only practices, although we have some really, really large ones that have adopted an alternate practice structure. And we’ll bring on a firm that has 30% audit, 70% tax.

(25:56):
These are structured very differently. Some of them, they will pay a multiple of the eboc earnings. Before owner’s compensation, we did a transaction with a firm. They were a $10 million firm. They valued, they dropped 50% to the bottom line. They were valued at five times that 5 million. So that $10 million firm was valued at 25 million, and the wealth management firm bought 40%. So imagine this, they got 10 million of cash at closing, not paid out in the stream. Here’s $10 million. They still own 60% of their firm, and this wealth management group is now building a first class wealth management business for the firm. At the end of the day, depending on the exit, which might be an IPO, it’s a very, very large wealth management group. But in India, we’ve got wealth management, multiple wealth management groups. We’ve also seen family offices. We’re working with an organization that’s based out of India, and it’s backed by several Indian in family offices, billionaire family offices, everyone wants in this CPA for Marina, we’re working with a foreign pension fund.

(27:32):
We’re working with a family office that’s based out of Canada. That’s just been an absolutely, they’ve been in this professional service space, not the public accounting arena, but they’ve been very actively involved in rolling up wealth management firms. They’re in the wealth management business, but family office money is very significant. And there are multiple family offices. I don’t know if I mentioned it, but pension funds. Pension funds, there’s a couple of Canadian pension funds that we’ve had conversations with, and the newest one that we have, and I believe they’re going to be attending the wonderful event that Accounting Today is putting on in Chicago, that’s plug for all you out there to attend. It’s going to be a great conference, but it’s actually a bank holding company that said, we want to buy a CPA firm, and then from that platform continue to add onto it.

(28:47):
One of the things, Dan, I think there’s going to come a point in time, oh, before I come to that point in time also, we are going to see, my understanding is a very large tax only CPA firm is considering doing an IPO, and let’s not forget CBIZ. CBIZ is always an alternative. We saw Marcum transact with CBIZ, so I think we’ll see additional public companies coming into the space. But one of the points that I was going to make is there’s going to come a time when someone is going to be able to invest in an ETF that, in that ETF, it’s the CPA firm fund, and there’ll be 20 CPA firms that are publicly traded, and if someone wants a piece of the revenue, they’ll be able to invest in multiple CPA firms at the same time, years from now, maybe. Obviously we need to see a cascade of those going public, but I truly believe that’s going to happen. And there’s a reason. Think about it, even after paying partners, many firms, the scrape that’s available for private equity could be as high as 20% or more of the total revenues of the firm. CPA firms are very profitable businesses. I would venture to say that what the world does not know about is the many, many, many millionaires next door that the CPA firm profession has created.

Dan Hood (30:46):
Right, right. Well, they’re starting to realize it. As you say, all those alternatives to private equity, those are all people who look at this field and say, as you say, hugely profitable and potential for even more profit in half a dozen different strategic ways. You can get moving to advisory. You can get more streamlined in terms of how you deliver your cash services. They’re looking at a lot of different opportunities. But I love the picture of 10 years of buying an ETF for accounting firms. As you look out over the next five to 10 years, are there other big changes you see? I mean, obviously it sounds like you’re assuming PE will still be around and still be a player or,

Phil Whitman (31:23):
Yes, PE will absolutely be around what we think. So to date, our organization, we’ve met with almost 130 private equity groups and other strategic investors, and we track them and we track those that have transacted in the space. There are many, many that are aspirational and some of them that have actually transacted, they’re at the beginning of the beginning, and some of them are long holders, 10, 12, 15 years, some of these family offices. So I truly believe that private equity is here to stay. I think there are going to be winners and there will be some losers. There will be more winners than losers because I believe that every one of these private equity players that we’ve met with, we are dealing with brilliant young people that haven’t spent a lifetime entrenched in the CPA firm profession, and they bring the other ideas, other ways of doing it as well.

(32:36):
We haven’t touched on technology, but technology is changing faster than it ever has. And with artificial intelligence, I mean, there are dollars that firms are going to need to invest to compete, and I think private equity brings that capital stack five to 10 years, five years from now, still extremely, extremely robust. I mean, I would say in the next year to three years, we’ll see our first turns where, okay, are they going to be able to get a 12, a 15, ultimately a 20 x multiple? I believe it’s going to happen. I believe there’s some very large private equity groups out there that haven’t even dipped their toe in here because the check size that they want to write, they don’t have the ability to write that check. But once some of these players build these organizations into half a billion or a billion plus in revenues, they’re going to see new, larger billionaire private equity backed firms coming into the space. And then we’ll see five years from then, is there another turn? Is there a public offering? Does a pension fund buy the assets? Because clearly, I believe any pension fund would be thrilled if yet a guaranteed seven to 10% return on a portfolio for their beneficiaries. And I think that’s why we’re seeing some pension funds come in and it surprises me at the ground floor now instead of buying it for a much larger multiple five or seven years from now.

Dan Hood (34:37):
It’s exciting stuff, and this is an exciting conversation. I wish we had more time for it. Unfortunately, we’re just about out, but we’ll continue it in Chicago. As I said, I’ll give the final shameless plug, November 20th, 21st. Phil will be there at our PE summit so we can continue this conversation with him. But there’s also going to be a lot of other folks there, a lot of accounting firms, a lot of accounting firms, a lot of PE firms, a lot of deal makers, a lot of technical advisors, all the sorts of people you would want in a room to learn everything you ever wanted to know about private equity. And we’re afraid to ask, or I should say everything you want to know about private equity that you didn’t learn from this podcast because you covered a lot of ground, Phil, so I appreciate it. Phil Whitman of Whitman Transition Advisors, thanks again for joining us.

Phil Whitman (35:19):
Thank you, Dan. It’s absolute pleasure, and I’m looking forward to being side by side with you in Chicago, November.

Dan Hood (35:27):
It’s going to be great having all of you. Thank you for listening. We hope to see you help see you in Chicago. This episode of On the Air was produced by Accounting Today with audio production by Wen-Wyst Jean-Marie ready to review us on your favorite podcast platform and see the rest of our content on accounting today.com. Thanks again to our guest, and thank you for listening.

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Accountants tackle tariff increases after ‘Liberation Day’

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President Trump’s imposition of steep tariffs on countries around the world is likely to drive demand for accounting experts and consultants to help companies adjust and forecast the ever-changing percentages and terms.

On April 2, which Trump dubbed “Liberation Day,” he announced a raft of reciprocal tariffs of varying percentages on trading partners across the globe and signed an executive order to put the import taxes into effect. Finance executives have been gaming out how to respond to the potential tariffs that Trump has been threatening to impose since before he was re-elected, far exceeding those he actually levied during his first term.

“A lot of CFOs are thinking they are going to pass along the tariffs to their customer base, and about another half are thinking we’re going to absorb it and be more creative in other ways we can save money inside our company,” said Tom Hood, executive vice president for business engagement and growth at the AICPA & CIMA. 

The AICPA & CIMA’s most recent quarterly economic outlook survey in early March polled a group of business executives who are also CPAs and found that 85% said tariffs were creating uncertainty in their business plans, while 14% of the business execs saw potential positive impacts for their business from the prospect of tariffs as increased cost of competing products would benefit them, and 59% saw potential negative impacts to their businesses from the prospect of tariffs. This in turn has led to a dimming outlook on the economy among the executives polled.

“CFOs in our community are telling us that, effectively, they’re looking at this a lot like what happened over COVID with a big disruption out of nowhere,” said Hood. “This one, they could see it coming. But the point is they had to immediately pivot into forecasting and projection with basically forward-looking financial analysis to help their companies, CEOs, etc., plan for what could be coming next. This is true for firms who are advising clients. They might be hired to do the planning in an outsourced way, if the company doesn’t have the finance talent inside to do that.”

The tariffs are not set in stone, and other countries are likely to continue to negotiate them with the U.S., as Canada and Mexico have been doing in recent months.

“The one thing that I think we can all count on is a certain amount of uncertainty in this process, at least for the next several months,” said Charles Clevenger, a principal at UHY Consulting who specializes in supply chain and procurement strategy. “It’s hard to tell if it’s going to go beyond that or not, but it certainly feels that way.”

Accountants will need to make sure their companies and clients stay compliant with whatever conditions are imposed by the U.S. and its trading partners. “This is a more complex tariff environment than most companies have experienced in the past, or that seems to be where we’re headed, and so ensuring compliance is really important,” said Clevenger.

Big Four firms are advising caution among their clients.

“Our point of view is we’re advising all of our clients to do a few things right out of the gate,” said Martin Fiore, EY Americas deputy vice chair of tax, during a webinar Thursday. “Model and analyze the trade flows. Look at your supply chain structures. Understand those and execute scenario planning on supply chain structures that could evolve in new environments. That is really important: the ability for companies to address the questions they’re getting from their C-suite, from their stakeholders, is critical. Every company is in a different spot according to the discussions we’ve had. We just are really emphasizing, with all the uncertainty, know your structure, know your position, have modeling put in place, so as we go through the next rounds of discussions over many months, you have an understanding of your structure.”

Scenario planning will be especially important amid all the unpredictability for companies large and small. “They’re going to be looking at all the different countries they might have supply chains in,” said Hood. “And then even the smaller midsized companies that might not be big, giant global companies, they might be supplying things to a big global company, and if they’re in part of that supply chain, they’ll be impacted through this whole cycle as well.”

Accountants will have to factor the extra tariffs and import taxes into their costs and help their clients decide whether to pass on the costs to customers, while also keeping an eye out for pricing among their competitors and suppliers.

“It’s just like accounting for any goods that you’re purchasing,” said Hood. “They often have tariffs and taxes built into them at different levels. I think the difference is these could be bigger and they could be more uncertain, because we’re not even sure they’re going to stick until you see the response by the other countries and the way this is absorbed through the market. I think we’re going through this period of deeper uncertainty. Even though they’re announced, we know that the administration has a tendency to negotiate, so I’m sure we’re going to see this thing evolve, probably in the next 30 days or whatever. The other thing our CFOs are reminding us of is that the stock market is not the economy.”

Amid the market fluctuations, companies and their accountants will need to watch closely as the rules and tariff rates fluctuate and ensure they are complying with the trading rules. “Do we have country of origin specified properly?” said Clevenger. “Are we completing the right paperwork? When there are questions, are we being responsive? Are we close to our broker? Are we monitoring our customs entries and all the basic things that we need to do? That’s more important now than it has been in the past because of this increase in complexity.”

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How to use opportunity zone tax credits in the ‘Heartland’

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A tax credit for investments in low-income areas could spur long-term job creation in overlooked parts of the country — with the right changes to its rules, according to a new book.

The capital gains deferral and exclusions available through the “opportunity zones” credit represent one of the few areas of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 that drew support from both Republicans and Democrats. The impact of the credit, though, has proven murky in terms of boosting jobs and economic growth in the roughly 7,800 Census tracts qualifying based on their rates of poverty or median family incomes. 

Altering the criteria to focus the investments on “less traditional real estate and more innovation infrastructure” and ensuring they reach more places outside of New York and California could “refine the where and the what” of the credit, said Nicholas Lalla, the author of “Reinventing the Heartland: How One City’s Inclusive Approach to Innovation and Growth Can Revive the American Dream” (Harper Horizon). A senior fellow at an economic think tank called Heartland Forward and the founder of Tulsa Innovation Labs, Lalla launched the book last month. For financial advisors and their clients, the key takeaway from the book stems from “taking a civic minded view of investment” in untapped markets across the country, he said in an interview.

“I don’t want to sound naive. I know that investors leveraging opportunity zones want to make money and reduce their tax liability, but I would encourage them to do a few additional things,” Lalla said. “There are communities that need investment, that need regional and national partners to support them, and their participation can pay dividends.”

READ MORE: Unlock opportunities for tax incentives in opportunity zones

A call to action

In the book, Lalla writes about how the Innovation Labs received $200 million in fundraising through public and private investments for projects like a startup unmanned aerial vehicle testing site in the Osage Nation called the Skyway36 Droneport and Technology Innovation Center. Such collaborations carry special relevance in an area like Tulsa, Oklahoma, which has a history marked by the wealth ramifications of the Tulsa Race Massacre of 1921 and the government’s forced relocation of Native American tribes in the Trail of Tears, Lalla notes.

“This book is a call to action for the United States to address one of society’s defining challenges: expanding opportunity by harnessing the tech industry and ensuring gains spread across demographics and geographies,” he writes. “The middle matters, the center must hold, and Heartland cities need to reinvent themselves to thrive in the innovation age. That enormous project starts at the local level, through place-based economic development, which can make an impact far faster than changing the patterns of financial markets or corporate behavior. And inclusive growth in tech must start with the reinvention of Heartland cities. That requires cities — civic ecosystems, not merely municipal governments — to undertake two changes in parallel. The first is transitioning their legacy economies to tech-based ones, and the second is shifting from a growth mindset to an inclusive-growth mindset. To accomplish both admittedly ambitious endeavors, cities must challenge local economic development orthodoxy and readjust their entire civic ecosystems for this generational project.”

READ MORE: Relief granted to opportunity zone investors

Researching the shortcomings

And that’s where an “opportunity zones 2.0” program could play an important role in supporting local tech startups, turning midsized cities into innovation engines and collaborating with philanthropic organizations or the federal, state and local governments, according to Lalla. 

In the first three years of the credit alone, investors poured $48 billion in assets into the “qualified opportunity funds” that get the deferral and exclusions for certain capital gains, according to a 2023 study by the Treasury Department. However, those assets flowed disproportionately to large metropolitan areas: Almost 86% of the designated Census tracts were in cities, and 95% of the ones receiving investments were in a sizable metropolis. 

Other research suggested that opportunity-zone investments in metropolitan areas generated a 3% to 4.5% jump in employment, compared to a flat rate in rural places, according to an analysis by the nonpartisan, nonprofit Tax Foundation.

“It creates a strong incentive for taxpayers to make investments that will appreciate greatly in market value,” Tax Foundation President Emeritus Scott Hodge wrote in the analysis, “Opportunity Zones ‘Make a Good Return Greater,’ but Not for Poor Residents” shortly after the Treasury study. 

“This may be the fatal flaw in opportunity zones,” he wrote. “It explains why most of the investments have been in real estate — which tends to appreciate faster than other investments — and in Census tracts that were already improving before being designated as opportunity zones.”

So far, three other research studies have concluded that the investments made little to no impact on commercial development, no clear marks on housing prices, employment and business formation and a notable boost in multifamily and other residential property, according to a presentation last September at a Brookings Institution event by Naomi Feldman, an associate professor of economics at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem who has studied opportunity zones. 

The credit “deviates a lot from previous policies” that were much more prescriptive, Feldman said.

“It didn’t want the government to have a lot of oversay over what was going on, where the investment was going, the type of investments and things like that,” she said. “It offered uncapped tax incentives for private individual investors to invest unrealized capital gains. So this was the big innovation of OZs. It was taking the stock of unrealized capital gains that wealthy individuals, or even less wealthy individuals, had sitting, and they could roll it over into these funds that could then be invested in these opportunity zones. And there were a lot of tax breaks that came with that.”

READ MORE: 3 oil and gas investments that bring big tax savings

A ‘place-based’ strategy

The shifts that Lalla is calling for in the policy “could either be narrowing criteria for what qualifies as an opportunity zone or creating force multipliers that further incentivize investments in more places,” he said. In other words, investors may consider ideas for, say, semiconductor plants, workforce training facilities or data centers across the Midwest and in rural areas throughout the country rather than trying to build more luxury residential properties in New York and Los Angeles.

While President Donald Trump has certainly favored that type of economic development over his career in real estate, entertainment and politics, those properties could tap into other tax incentives. And a refreshed approach to opportunity zones could speak to the “real innovation and talent potential in midsized cities throughout the Heartland,” enabling a policy that experts like Lalla describe as “place-based,” he said. With any policies that mention the words “diversity, equity and inclusion” in the slightest under threat during the second Trump administration, that location-based lens to inclusion remains an area of bipartisan agreement, according to Lalla.

“We can’t have cities across the country isolated from tech and innovation,” he said. “When you take a geographic lens to economic inclusion, to economic mobility, to economic prosperity, you are including communities like Tulsa, Oklahoma. You’re including communities throughout Appalachia, throughout the Midwest that have been isolated over the past 20 years.”

READ MORE: Can ESG come back from the dead?

Hope for the future?

In the book, Lalla compares the similar goals of opportunity zones to those of earlier policies under President Joe Biden’s administration like the Inflation Reduction Act, the CHIPS and Science Act, the American Rescue Plan and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act.

“Together, these bills provided hundreds of millions of dollars in grant money for a more diverse group of cities and regions to invest in innovation infrastructure and ecosystems,” Lalla writes. “Although it will take years for these investments to bear fruit, they mark an encouraging change in federal economic development policy. I am cautiously optimistic that the incoming Trump administration will continue this trend, which has disproportionately helped the Heartland. For example, Trump’s opportunity zone program in his first term, which offered tax incentives to invest in distressed parts of the country, should be adapted and scaled to support innovation ecosystems in the Heartland. For the first time in generations, the government is taking a place-based approach to economic development, intentionally seeking to fund projects in communities historically disconnected from the nation’s innovation system and in essential industries. They’re doing so through a decidedly regional approach.”

Advisors and clients thinking together about aligning investment portfolios to their principles and local economies can get involved with those efforts — regardless of their political views, Lalla said.

“This really is a bipartisan issue. Opportunity zones won wide bipartisan approval,” he said. “Heartland cities can flourish and can do so in a complicated political environment.”

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Ramp releases tool to detect fraudulent AI-generated receipts

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Ramp, a spend management solutions provider, released a new solution within 24 hours in direct response to recent advances in AI image generation that make it easy to create extremely convincing fake receipts that could be used for financial fraud. 

Dave Wieseneck, an “expert in residence” at Ramp who administers the company’s own instance of Ramp, noted that faking receipts is not a new practice. What’s changed is that, with the recent image generation update from OpenAI, it has now become much easier, making what may have once been a painstaking effort into a casual thing done in minutes.

“So while it’s always been possible to create fake receipts, AI has made it super duper easy, especially OpenAI with their latest model. So I think it’s just super easy now and anybody can do it, as opposed to experts that are in the know,” he said in an interview. 

Generated by ChatGPT

AI generated receipt

Rather than try to assess the image itself, the software looks at the file’s metadata for markers particular to generative AI systems. Once those markers are present, the software flags the receipt as a probable fake. 

“When we see that these markers are present, we have really high confidence of high accuracy to identify them as potentially AI generated receipts,” said Wieseneck. “I was the first person to test it out as the person that owns our internal instance of Ramp and dog foods the heck out of our product.” 

While the speed at which they produced this solution may be remarkable, he said it is part of the company culture. The team, especially small pods within it, will observe a problem and stop what they’re doing to focus on a specific need. They get a group together on a Slack channel, work through the problem, code it late at night and push it out in the morning. 

Wieseneck conceded it is not a total solution but rather a first line of defense to deter the casual fraudster. He compared it to locking your door before going out. If the front door is unlocked, a person can just stroll in and steal everything, but will likely give up if it is locked. A professional criminal with tons of breaking and entering experience, however, is unlikely to be deterred by a lock alone, versus a lock plus an alarm system plus an actual security guard. 

“But that doesn’t mean that you don’t lock your door and you don’t add pieces of defense to make it harder for people to either rob your house or, in this case, defraud your company,” he said.

This isn’t to say there’s no plans to bolster this solution further. After all, the feature is only days old. He said the company is already looking into things like pixel analysis and textual analysis of the document itself to further enhance its AI detection capabilities, though he stressed that they want to be very confident it works before pushing it out to customers. 

“We’re focused on giving finance teams confidence that legitimate receipts won’t be falsely flagged. So we want to tread carefully. We have lots of ideas. We’re going to work through them and kind of solve them in the same process we’ve always done here at Ramp,” he said. 

This is likely only the beginning of AI image generators being used to fake documentation. For instance, it has recently been found that bots are also very good at forging passports.

AI fraud ascendant

This speaks to an overall trend of AI being used in financial crimes which was highlighted in a recent report from financial and risk advisory solutions provider Kroll, which surveyed about 600 CEOs, chief compliance officers, general counsel, chief risk officers and other financial crime compliance professionals. What they found was that experts in this area are growing alarmed at the rising use of AI by cybercriminals and other bad actors, and few are confident their own programs are ready to meet this challenge. 

The poll found that 61% of respondents say use of AI by cybercriminals is a leading catalyst for risk exposure, such as through the generation of deep fakes and, likely, AI-generated financial documents. While 57% think AI will help against financial crime, 49% think it will hinder (Kroll said they are likely both right). 

“The rapid-fire adoption of AI tools can be a blessing and a curse when it comes to financial crime, providing new and more efficient ways to combat it while also creating new techniques to exploit the broadening attack surface — be it via AI-powered phishing attacks, deepfakes, or real-time mimicry of expected security configurations,” said the report. 

Yet, many professionals do not feel their current programs are up to the task. The rise in AI-guided fraud is part of an overall projected 71% increase in financial crime risks in 2025. Meanwhile, only 23% rate their compliance programs as “very effective” with lack of technology and investment named as prime reasons. Many also lack confidence in the governance infrastructure overseeing financial crime, with just 29% describing it as “robust.” 

They’re also not entirely convinced that more AI is the solution. The poll found that confidence in AI technology has dropped dramatically over the past two years: those who say AI tools have had a positive impact on financial crime compliance have gone from 39% in 2023 to only 20% today. Despite this, there remains heavy investment in AI. The poll found 25% already say AI is an established part of their financial crime compliance program, and 30% say they are in the early stages of adoption. Meanwhile, in the year ahead, 49% expect their organization will invest in AI solutions to tackle financial crime, and 47% say the same about their cybersecurity budgets. 

To help combat AI-enabled financial crime, Kroll recommended companies form cross-functional teams that go beyond IT and cybersecurity and involve those in AML, compliance, legal, product and senior management. Further, Kroll said there has to be focused, hands-on training with new AI tools that are updated and repeated as the organization implements new AI capabilities and the regulatory and risk landscape changes. Finally, to combat AI-related fraud, Kroll recommended companies maintain a “back to the basics” approach. Focus on fundamental human intervention and confirmation procedures — regardless of how convincing or time-sensitive circumstances appear.

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