Pictured here is a McDonald’s store in Yichang, Hubei province, China, on July 30, 2024.
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BEIJING — A theme emerging in the latest slew of U.S. companies’ earnings reports is a drag from the China market.
The Chinese economy — home to more than four times the population of the U.S. — has attracted multinational corporations for decades given its large, fast-growing market. But slower growth and intense local competition, amid tensions with the U.S., are now weighing on corporate earnings.
“Consumer sentiment in China is quite weak,” McDonald’s chairman, CEO and director Christopher Kempczinski, said of the quarter ended June 30.
“You’re seeing both in our industry and across a broad range of consumer industries, the consumer being very, very much deals seeking,” he added. “In fact, we’re seeing a lot of switching behavior in terms of just consumers, whatever is the best deal, that’s where they end up going.”
McDonald’s said sales for its international developmental licensed markets segment declined 1.3% from a year ago. The unit includes China, for which the company indicated sales declined but did not specify by how much.
Chinese companies have also struggled. Nationwide retail sales grew by just 2% in June from a year ago.
In the mainland China stock market, known as A shares, earnings likely hit a bottom in the first quarter and may “pick up mildly” in the second half of the year, Lei Meng, China equity strategist at UBS Securities, said in a July 23 note.
Several U.S. consumer giants echoed the downward trend in their latest earnings reports.
Apple said Greater China sales fell by 6.5% year-on-year in the quarter ended June 29. Johnson and Johnson said China is a “very volatile market” and a major business segment that’s performed below expectations.
After a “strong start” to the year, General Mills CFO Kofi Bruce said the quarter ending May 26 “saw a real souring or downturn in consumer sentiment,” hitting Haagen-Dazs store traffic and the company’s “premium dumpling business.” General Mills owns the Wanchai Ferry dumpling brand.
We don’t expect the return to the growth rates that we saw pre-Covid.
The regional results are also affecting longer-term corporate outlooks.
In China, “we don’t expect the return to the [double-digit] growth rates that we saw pre-Covid,” Procter and Gamble CFO Andre Schulten said on an earnings call last week. He expected that over time, China would improve to mid-single-digit growth, similar to that in developed markets.
Procter and Gamble said China sales for the quarter ending late June fell by 9%. Despite declining births in China, Schulten said the company was able to grow baby care product sales by 6% and increase market share thanks to a localization strategy.
Hotel operator Marriott International cut its revenue per available room (RevPAR) outlook for the year to 3% to 4% growth, due largely to expectations that Greater China will remain weak, as well as softer performance in the U.S. and Canada.
Marriott’s RevPAR Greater China fell by about 4% in the quarter ended June 30, partly affected by Chinese people choosing to travel abroad on top of a weaker-than-expected domestic recovery.
However, the company noted it signed a record number of projects in the first half of the year in China.
McDonald’s also affirmed its goal to open 1,000 new stores in China a year.
Domino’s said its China operator, DPC Dash, aims to have 1,000 stores in the country by the end of the year. Last week, DPC Dash said it had just over 900 stores as of the end of June, and that it expects first-half revenue growth of at least 45% to 2 billion yuan ($280 million).
Local competition
Coca-Cola noted “subdued” consumer confidence in China, where volumes fell in contrast to growth in Southeast Asia, Japan and South Korea. Asia Pacific net operating revenue fell by 4% year-on-year to $1.51 billion in the quarter ended June 28.
“There’s a general macro softness as the overall economy works through some of the structural issues around real estate, pricing, etc.,” Coca-Cola Chairman and CEO James Quincey said on an earnings call.
But he attributed the drop in China volumes “entirely” to the company’s shift from unprofitable water products in the country toward sparkling water, juice and teas. “I think the sparkling volume was slightly positive in China,” Quincey said.
Having to adapt to a new mix of products and promotions was a common occurrence in U.S. companies’ earnings calls.
“We’ve continued to face a more cautious consumer spending and intensified competition in the past year,” Starbucks CEO Laxman Narasimhan said on an earnings call. “Unprecedented store expansion and a mass segment price war at the expense of comp and profitability have also caused significant disruption to the operating environment.”
Chinese rival Luckin Coffee, whose drinks can cost half the price of one at Starbucks, reported a 20.9% drop in same-store sales for the quarter ended June 30.
But the company claimed sales for those stores surged by nearly 40% to the equivalent of $863.7 million. Luckin has more than 13,000 self-operated stores, primarily in China.
Starbucks said its 7,306 stores in China saw revenue drop by 11% to $733.8 million during the same quarter.
Both companies face many competitors in China, from Cotti Coffee on the lower end to Peet’s on the higher end. The only public disclosures regarding Peet’s China business described it as “strong double-digit organic sales growth” in the first half of the year.
Bright spots
Not all major consumer brands have reported such difficulties.
Canada Goose reported Greater China sales grew by 12.3% to 21.9 million Canadian dollars ($15.8 million) in the quarter ended June 30.
Nike reported 7% year-on-year growth in Greater China revenue — nearly 15% of its business — for the quarter ended May 31.
“While our outlook for the near term has softened, we remain confident in Nike’s competitive position in China in the long term,” said Matthew Friend, CFO and executive vice president of the company.
Adidas reported 9% growth in Greater China revenue for the quarter ended June 30. The region accounts for about 14% of the company’s total net revenue.
CEO Bjorn Gulden said on an earnings call that Adidas was taking market share in China every month, but local brands posed fierce competition. “Many of them are manufacturers that go then straight to retail with their own stores,” he said. “So the speed they have and the price value they have for that consumer was different than it was earlier. And we are trying to adjust to that.”
Skechers reported 3.4% year-on-year growth in China in the three months ended June 30.
“We continue to think China is on the road to recovery,” Skechers CFO John Vandemore said on an earnings call. “We expect a better second half of the year than what we’ve seen thus far, but we are watching things carefully.”
— CNBC’s Robert Hum and Sonia Heng contributed to this report.
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Spirit Airlines — Trading in shares of the discount airline was halted on Monday after Spirit filed for bankruptcy . Trump Media & Technology Group — Shares in President-elect Donald Trump’s media company pulled back roughly 5%. Although the stock has been increasingly volatile in the wake of Trump’s election, it has gained more than 52% in 2024. Liberty Energy , Oklo — Stock in Liberty Energy gained about 5% after President-elect Donald Trump selected CEO Chris Wright as his incoming energy secretary . Shares of nuclear company Oklo, where Wright is a board member, advanced more than 20%. Roku — Shares climbed about 4% on the back of Baird’s upgrade to outperform from neutral. After a sizable drop to the streaming stock’s share price this year, Baird said investors are now “overlooking” long-term potential and changes in the business backdrop. Redfin — The online real estate company’s stock slipped 3.4% following a downgrade at Goldman Sachs to sell from neutral. The bank cited rising competition for the call. CVS Health — Shares of the drugstore operator jumped nearly 6% following a decision to add four new board members in a deal with Glenview Capital. Separately, Wells Fargo upgraded the stock to overweight from equal weight. The firm believes downside to aggressive growth initiatives at Aetna, the company’s health insurance segment, have peaked. Robinhood — Shares of the financial services platform jumped more than 8%, hitting a new 52-week high, after Needham upgraded the stock to buy from hold . The firm believes changes at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission under Trump’s new administration will lead to more product launches from the company. On Monday, Piper Sandler also became more bullish on the name, with its updated price target reflecting more than 11% upside from Friday’s close. Super Micro Computer — Shares of the chipmaker surged more than 17% following a Barron’s report that Super Micro is expected to file a plan for its annual report by Monday as to avoid having its listing removed from the Nasdaq . Moderna — Shares of the biotech company jumped more than 5% after HSBC upgraded the stock to buy from hold and said it views the stock as being undervalued. The firm said Moderna’s “pipeline deserves more than the market is giving it credit for,” noting that an upcoming stock catalyst is an interim analysis expected by the end of this year for the company’s cytomegalovirus, or CMV, vaccine phase 3 study. Warner Bros. Discovery — Stock in the media conglomerate added nearly 3% after the company reached a settlement with the National Basketball Association over allegations of breach of contract, per a Wall Street Journal report. — CNBC’s Alex Harring, Sean Conlon, Hakyung Kim, Pia Singh and Michelle Fox contributed reporting.
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell. Tesla — The electric vehicle maker jumped 6% after Bloomberg News reported that President-elect Donald Trump’s transition team is planning to make a national regulatory framework for self-driving vehicles a top priority for the U.S. Transportation Department. Spirit Airlines — Shares of the struggling airline were halted on Monday after the company filed for bankruptcy protection . The stock is down more than 90% year to date and closed at just $1.08 per share on Friday. The stock rose 2.8% when trading resumed. Liberty Energy , Oklo — Shares of Liberty Energy rose 5% after Trump picked CEO Chris Wright as energy secretary . Shares of nuclear startup Oklo, where Wright also serves as a board member, also surged almost 9%. Roku — Shares popped 3.1% after Baird upgraded the streaming stock to outperform from neutral. After a large drop this year, Baird said investors are “overlooking” long-term potential and shifts in the business backdrop. Nvidia — The chipmaking stock fell 3% on a report from The Information that its Blackwell AI chip has overheating issues, raising concerns about delays to customers. Nvidia is slated to report its quarterly earnings on Wednesday. Super Micro Computer — The troubled chipmaker’s stock jumped nearly 13% after Barron’s reported on Friday that the company is expected to file a plan for its delayed annual report by Monday to avoid being delisted from the Nasdaq. Robinhood — The electronic trading platform stock gained 1% after Needham upgraded shares to buy from hold. Needham believes Robinhood will benefit from a more lax regulatory environment under Trump’s Securities and Exchange Commission appointees. CVS Health — Shares of the drugstore company rose 2% following a Wells Fargo upgrade to overweight from equal weight. The firm believes downside to aggressive growth initiatives at Aetna, the company’s health insurance segment, have peaked. Warner Bros. Discovery — The stockgained 3% after the entertainment conglomerate settled a breach of contract lawsuit with the National Basketball Association over television rights, the Wall Street Journal reported , citing people familiar with the matter. In the agreement, Warner Bros. will be able to develop new shows with NBA content in both the U.S. and overseas. Warner Bros. sued the NBA in July after the basketball league signed new rights deals with several competing media platforms. Moderna — Shares popped 2.4% after HSBC upgraded Moderna to buy from hold, saying the pharmaceutical company’s shift to oncology from respiratory vaccines could unlock future growth that isn’t yet reflected in the price. The stock slid along with other vaccine makers last week after Trump selected vaccine skeptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as health secretary. — CNBC’s Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Spencer Kimball and Lisa Kailai Han contributed reporting
Trump donor Norm Champ details how the Biden-Harris regulations have been hurting Americans’ retirement funds on ‘The Bottom Line.’
Tens of millions of private-sector workers lack access to a retirement savings plan through their employer, which experts at the AARP Public Policy Institute warn could pose a significant burden to future taxpayers.
The institute estimates that 57 million private sector workers in the U.S. – about half of the workforce – are not offered either a traditional pension or a retirement savings plan through their employer, a problem that has persisted for decades, according to David John, senior strategic policy adviser at AARP.
In April, an AARP survey showed that 20% of adults at least 50 years old had no retirement savings, and more than half were worried they would not have enough money to support them in retirement.
John said that individuals in their 50s or early 60s who are facing retirement without enough savings are in the midst of a crisis.
For society as a whole, he said, “It’s not a crisis right now, but it’s pretty inevitable that it will be.”
“It’s a really significant problem, and it’s one that’s going to affect all of us, because if we’re not the ones with the small retirement savings to supplement Social Security, we’re going to be the ones who are paying the taxes to help the people who didn’t have that opportunity,” John said.
An AARP survey showed that 20% of adults at least 50 years old had no retirement savings. (Annette Riedl/picture alliance via Getty Images / Getty Images)
If many people lack adequate retirement savings, they will likely require more forms of public assistance – from nonprofit organizations or government programs. This could include support for health care needs, housing or other essential services.
To help, more than a dozen states have already set up or are in the process of implementing state-facilitated retirement savings plans for small businesses, according to John.
Small businesses are more likely not to provide retirement savings benefits to employees compared to larger corporations. Pew Charity Trusts cited Bureau of Labor Statistics data showing that 57% of private-sector firms with fewer than 100 workers offered a retirement benefit plan as of 2023. However, 86% of companies with at least 100 workers and about 91% of firms with at least 500 workers did.
For small businesses, their main focus is often on staying afloat, leaving little time or resources to handle such tasks. But these state programs, such as CalSavers, California’s retirement savings program for workers who do not have a way to save for retirement at work, are a way to help that does not have any cost to a small business.
More than a dozen states have already set up or are in the process of implementing state-facilitated retirement savings plans for small businesses. (iStock / iStock)
Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate, told FOX Business that the bigger issue is that most workers don’t recognize that they can still contribute to a retirement account independently, without relying on their employer.
“Something lost on consumers is that lack of access to a retirement savings plan through your employer doesn’t mean that you can’t save for retirement on a tax-advantaged basis,” McBride said.
If someone or their spouse with whom they jointly file taxes with has an earned income, they are eligible to contribute to an Individual Retirement Account (IRA), which provides tax advantages for retirement savings.
It’s estimated that 57 million private sector workers in the U.S. are not offered either a traditional pension or a retirement savings plan through their employer. (iStock / iStock)
According to the IRS, there are several types of IRAs available, including a traditional IRA, a tax-advantaged personal savings plan where contributions may be tax-deductible, and a Roth IRA, a tax-advantaged personal savings plan where contributions are not deductible but qualified distributions may be tax-free.
While McBride said the “lack of employee-sponsored retirement savings isn’t a barrier to saving for retirement,” he did acknowledge that it is harder. There is no employee match and there are lower contribution limits for IRAs compared to workplace-based plans, according to McBride.
Still, he doesn’t believe enough workers are taking advantage of these accounts.