Widely-followed strategist Ed Yardeni, one of the biggest bulls on Wall Street, lowered his market forecast, saying President Donald Trump’s tariffs raise the risk of stagflation. “It has dawned on Wall Street (and us!) that President Trump’s tariffs aren’t negotiating chips to help the U.S. lower tariffs around the world, promoting free trade,” Yardeni said in a note to clients Thursday. “They’re trade barriers, triggering other countries to respond in kind, and they jeopardize U.S. inflation and economic growth.” Yardeni Research lowered its best-case S & P 500 target for 2025 by almost 9%, to 6,400 from 7,000, and set its worst-case target at 5,800. The new best-case target of 6,400 would still represent a more than 20% gain for the equity benchmark from Wednesday’s close. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2025. Trump ‘s aggressive tariff charges on imports into the U.S. and sudden changes in policy have stirred up volatility on Wall Street since his inauguration in January, stoking fears of dampened consumer spending, slower economic growth, weaker profits and even a recession. The S & P 500 has fallen about 9% from its recent peak, teetering near correction territory. On Thursday, investors grappled with a fresh threat from the White House to impose 200% tariffs on all alcoholic products coming from the 27-nation European Union in retaliation for the bloc’s 50% tariff on American whiskey. Yardeni said U.S. trade policy is disorganized. “We can’t ignore the potential stagflationary impact of the policies that Trump 2.0 is currently implementing haphazardly.” “In response to the now heightened risk of stagflation, we are lowering our S & P 500 valuation expectations and year-end price targets,” Yardeni said. “If tariffs stick, the one-time price increase and uncertainty regarding its impact on inflation expectations are likely to be enough to keep the FOMC on pause,” he said, referring to the policy-setting arm of the U.S. Federal Reserve. Goldman Sachs this week became the first major sell-side bank on Wall Street to slash its S & P 500 target, lowering its objective to 6,200 from 6,500 .
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell. Rubrik — The data management stock popped 18.5%. Rubrik beat Wall Street’s expectations, posting an adjusted loss of 18 cents per share for its fourth quarter, which was narrower than the 39 cent loss expected from analysts polled by LSEG. The company also reported $258 million in revenue, above the consensus estimate of $233 million. Chipotle Mexican Grill — The stock rose about 2% after receiving an upgrade to buy from hold at Loop Capital. The firm believes its recent pullback has created an attractive buying opportunity for investors and said that the name is good for managing risk related to President Donald Trump’s tariffs. Li Auto — U.S.-listed shares of the Chinese electric vehicle maker fell nearly 6% after the company posted a decline in its fourth-quarter net profit. The company’s deliveries rose 20% in its latest financial quarter, reflecting the impact of price cuts on its overall revenue. Ulta Beauty —The beauty retailer jumped 7% after its fourth-quarter results beat expectations. Ulta’s earnings came in at $8.46 per share, topping the LSEG consensus estimate of $7.12 per share. Its revenue was $3.49 billion, versus the $3.46 billion expected from analysts. However, the company issued weak guidance for the full year. DocuSign — The tech stock jumped more than 9% after fourth-quarter results beat estimates on the top and bottom lines. DocuSign reported adjusted earnings of 86 cents per share on $776 million of revenue. Analysts were expecting 85 cents in earnings per share and $761 million of revenue, according to LSEG. PagerDuty — Shares of the data company gained 4.8% after PagerDuty reported strong earnings and announced a share repurchase program. PagerDuty posted adjusted earnings of 22 cents on $121.4 million in revenue for the fourth quarter, while analysts polled by LSEG anticipated 16 cents per share in earnings on $120 million in revenue. Semtech — The semiconductor company jumped 12.1% on the heels of better-than-anticipated earnings for its fourth quarter and strong current-quarter guidance. Semtech reported earnings of 40 cents, excluding items, on $251 million in revenue. Analysts polled by LSEG, meanwhile, had expected 32 cents earned per share and revenue of $249 million. — CNBC’s Sean Conlon, Jesse Pound and Michelle Fox contributed reporting.
The Deutsche Telekom pavilion at Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, Spain.
Angel Garcia | Bloomberg | Getty Images
BARCELONA — Europe’s telecommunication firms are ramping up calls for more industry consolidation to help the region compete more effectively with superpowers like the U.S. and China on key technologies like 5G and artificial intelligence.
Last week at the Mobile World Congress (MWC) trade show in Barcelona, CEOs of several telecoms firms called on regulators to make it easier for them to combine their operations with other businesses and reduce the overall number of carriers operating across the continent.
Currently, there are numerous telco players operating in multiple EU countries and non-EU members such as the U.K. However, telco chiefs told CNBC this situation is untenable, as they’re unable to compete effectively when it comes to price and network quality.
“If we’re going to invest in technology, in deep know-how, and bring drastic change, positive drastic change in Europe — like other large technological companies have done in the U.S. or we’re seeing today in China — we need scale,” Marc Murtra, CEO of Spanish telecoms giant Telefonica, told CNBC’s Karen Tso in an interview.
“To be able to get scale, we need to consolidate a fragmented market like the telecoms market in Europe,” Murtra added. “And for that, we need a regulation that allows us to consolidate. So what we do ask is: please unleash us. Let us gain scale. Let us invest in technology and bring upon productive change.”
Christel Heydemann, CEO of French carrier Orange, said that while some mega-deal activity is starting to gather pace in Europe, more needs to be done to guarantee the continent’s competitiveness on the world stage.
Last year, Orange closed a deal to merge its Spanish operations with local mobile network provider Masmovil. Meanwhile, more recently, the U.K.’s Competition and Markets Authority approved a £15 billion ($19 billion) merger between telecoms firms Vodafone and Three in the U.K., subject to certain conditions.
“We’ve been actively driving consolidation in Europe,” Orange’s Heydemann told CNBC. “We see things changing now. There’s still a lot of hope.”
However, she added: “I think there’s a lot of pressure in Europe from the business environment on our political leaders to get things to change. But really, things have not yet changed.”
During a fiery keynote address on Monday, the CEO of German telco Deutsche Telekom, Tim Höttges, said that other telco markets such as the U.S. and India have condensed in size to only a handful of players.
The American telco industry is dominated by its three largest mobile network operators, Verizon, AT&T and T-Mobile. T-Mobile is majority-owned by Deutsche Telekom.
A chart comparing the share price performance of T-Mobile, America’s largest telco by market cap, with that of Germany’s Deutsche Telekom and France’s Orange.
“We need a reform of the of the competition policy,” Höttges said onstage at MWC. “We have to be allowed to consolidate our activities.”
“There is no reason that every market has to operate with three or four operators,” he added. “We should build a European single market … because, if we cannot increase our consumer prices, if we cannot charge the over-the-top players, we have to get efficiencies out of the scale which we created.”
“Over-the-top” refers to media platforms such as Netflix that deliver content over the internet, bypassing traditional cable networks.
Europe’s competitiveness in focus
From AI to advances to next-generation 5G networks, Europe’s telecoms firms have been investing heavily into new technologies in a bid to move beyond the legacy model of laying down cables that enable internet connectivity — a business model that’s earned them the pejorative term “dumb pipes.”
However, this costly endeavor of modernization has happened in tandem with sluggish revenue growth and an inability for the sector to effectively monetize its networks to the same degree that technology giants have done with the emergence of mobile applications and, more recently, generative AI tools.
At MWC, many mobile network operators talked up their usage of AI to improve network quality, better serve their customers and gain market share from competitors.
Still, Europe’s telco bosses say they could be accelerating their digital transformation journeys if they were allowed to combine with other large multinational players.
“There’s this real focus now around European competitiveness,” Luke Kehoe, industry analyst for Europe at network intelligence firm Ookla, told CNBC on the sidelines of MWC last week. “There’s a goal to mobilize policy to improve telecoms networks.”
In January, the European Commission, the executive body of the European Union, issued its so-called “Competitiveness Compass” to EU lawmakers.
The document calls for, among other things, “revised guidelines for assessing mergers so that innovation, resilience and the investment intensity of competition in certain strategic sectors are given adequate weight in light of the European economy’s acute needs.”
It also calls for a new Digital Networks Act that would look to improve incentives for telcos to build next-generation mobile networks, reduce compliance costs, improve connectivity for end-users, and harmonize EU policy across the network spectrum, or the range of radio frequencies used for wireless communication.
“The common theme and the mood music is certainly reducing ex-ante regulation and to foster what they would call a more competitive environment which is an environment more conducive of consolidation,” Ookla’s Kehoe told CNBC. “Moving forward, I think that there will be more consolidation.”
However, the telco industry has some way to go toward seeing transformational cross-border mergers and acquisitions, Kehoe added.
For many telco industry analysts, the demands for increased consolidation is nothing new.
“European telco CEOs have never been shy about calling for consolidation and growth-friendly regulation,” Nik Willetts, CEO of the telco industry association TM Forum, told CNBC. “But regulation is only one piece of the puzzle.”
“In the last 12 months we’ve seen a new energy from our members in Europe to get on with the huge task to transform themselves: simplifying, modernizing and automating their operations and legacy tech.”
“This will make it possible to rapidly adapt to new customer needs and market realities, whether building new partnerships, undergoing M&A or delayering integrated businesses – all trends we expect to reach new heights over the next 24 months,” he added.
Chinese videostreaming company iQiyi announced March 13, 2025, it will open a theme park later in the year in Yangzhou, Jiangsu province.
iQIYI
BEIJING — Chinese videostreaming platform iQiyi announced Thursday it plans later this year to open its first full-fledged theme park in China based on characters from its own shows.
The forthcoming “iQiyi Land” is set to open in the city of Yangzhou in Jiangsu province, just over two hours from Shanghai by high-speed train. The company said the theme park will include seven types of attractions — including immersive theater, interactive film sets and experiences that use virtual reality — largely based on characters from iQiyi’s films and television dramas.
It’s the latest company to bet that local consumers will spend more on experiences, despite tepid retail sales.
Legoland is opening its first China resort in Shanghai this summer, while Warner Bros. Discovery last month announced it is opening a “Harry Potter Studio Tour” in 2027 in the same city. Chinese toy company Pop Mart opened a themed “Pop Land” in Beijing in late 2023, which has become the most popular attraction in the city’s business district, according to rankings from Dianping.
IQiyi’s planned theme park builds on the company’s recent success with VR-specific attractions.
The company has developed technology that combines VR headsets with moving platforms — giving visitors the impression that they are walking, riding on boats or sitting in a flying carriage. That means a theme park-like experience can be compressed into a space as small as a square just 57 feet long.
Since iQiyi’s first dedicated VR experience opened in Shanghai two years ago, the company has worked with business partners to open more than 40 locations in at least 20 Chinese cities. One VR experience based on iQiyi’s “Strange Tales of the Tang Dynasty: Journey to the West” gained more than 100,000 visitors in its first year of opening, according to the company.
VR, gaming and artificial intelligence have enabled the emergence of “distributed” theme parks that are more compact, interactive and able to iterate content more quickly, Hang Zhang, senior vice president at iQiyi, said in a Chinese statement translated by CNBC.
He said some of the VR-based experiences will first be released in iQiyi Land before they’re launched in other venues.
IQiyi shares closed nearly 3% higher in U.S. trading Thursday and are up 14% for the year so far.
Post-Covid growth
Mainland China’s theme park revenue is forecast to exceed 480 billion yuan ($67 billion) this year, with more than 500 million visitors, according to data shared by the International Association of Amusement Parks and Attractions. That would be up exponentially from 30.39 billion yuan recorded across 86 major theme parks in mainland China in 2023, just after Covid-19 pandemic controls ended, the data showed.
Parks are increasingly using a mix of virtual reality to engage guests, while using AI tools to manage crowds, the association said. It added that parks are also combining global intellectual property franchises with domestic narratives in China.
Comcast, whose Universal Studios Beijing opened in 2021, said higher revenue at its international theme parks offset lower guest attendance at its U.S. parks in the fourth quarter.
A tough environment
Tourism has been a rare bright spot in China’s otherwise lackluster consumer market. The consumer price index, an indicator of domestic demand, rose by just 0.2% last year while the tourism component increased by 3.5%.
However, competition in content remains fierce. IQiyi reported an 8% drop in 2024 revenue to 29.23 billion yuan, reversing a 10% increase the prior year.
Theme park projects can also face delays.
A Legoland in western China’s Sichuan province was originally scheduled to open by 2023. When CNBC contacted operator Merlin Entertainments about the project, the company only emphasized the summer opening of Legoland in Shanghai this summer.
Disclosure: Comcast is the owner of NBCUniversal, parent company of CNBC.