Widely-followed strategist Ed Yardeni, one of the biggest bulls on Wall Street, lowered his market forecast, saying President Donald Trump’s tariffs raise the risk of stagflation. “It has dawned on Wall Street (and us!) that President Trump’s tariffs aren’t negotiating chips to help the U.S. lower tariffs around the world, promoting free trade,” Yardeni said in a note to clients Thursday. “They’re trade barriers, triggering other countries to respond in kind, and they jeopardize U.S. inflation and economic growth.” Yardeni Research lowered its best-case S & P 500 target for 2025 by almost 9%, to 6,400 from 7,000, and set its worst-case target at 5,800. The new best-case target of 6,400 would still represent a more than 20% gain for the equity benchmark from Wednesday’s close. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2025. Trump ‘s aggressive tariff charges on imports into the U.S. and sudden changes in policy have stirred up volatility on Wall Street since his inauguration in January, stoking fears of dampened consumer spending, slower economic growth, weaker profits and even a recession. The S & P 500 has fallen about 9% from its recent peak, teetering near correction territory. On Thursday, investors grappled with a fresh threat from the White House to impose 200% tariffs on all alcoholic products coming from the 27-nation European Union in retaliation for the bloc’s 50% tariff on American whiskey. Yardeni said U.S. trade policy is disorganized. “We can’t ignore the potential stagflationary impact of the policies that Trump 2.0 is currently implementing haphazardly.” “In response to the now heightened risk of stagflation, we are lowering our S & P 500 valuation expectations and year-end price targets,” Yardeni said. “If tariffs stick, the one-time price increase and uncertainty regarding its impact on inflation expectations are likely to be enough to keep the FOMC on pause,” he said, referring to the policy-setting arm of the U.S. Federal Reserve. Goldman Sachs this week became the first major sell-side bank on Wall Street to slash its S & P 500 target, lowering its objective to 6,200 from 6,500 .
People watch as Berkshire Hathaway chairman Warren Buffett is seen on a screen speaking at the Berkshire Hathaway Inc annual shareholders’ meeting, in Omaha, Nebraska, U.S., May 3, 2025.
Brendan McDermid | Reuters
Berkshire Hathaway shares are hanging on solidly Monday as investors process Warren Buffett‘s surprise announcement to step down and envision a new path for the conglomerate after his legendary 60-year run.
Buffett, 94, picked the very last moment at Berkshire’s annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, to tell his loyal shareholders that it’s time for Greg Abel, vice chairman of non-insurance operations, to replace him as CEO. The board voted unanimously on Sunday to make Abel president and CEO on Jan. 1, 2026, and for Buffett to remain as chairman.
Class B shares fell 2.9% in premarket trading Monday after hitting an all-time high at $539.80 Friday. Class A shares dropped 2.8% after closing at a record high at $809,350 apiece. Berkshire issued Class B shares in 1996 at a price equal to one-thirtieth of a Class A share. In 2010, Berkshire Class B shares split 50-for-1.
“Shareholders should welcome this transparent transition, but also have confidence that Warren isn’t going anywhere,” said Macrae Sykes, portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds and a Berkshire shareholder. “Retaining the position of Chairman means he can continue to mentor Greg and the Berkshire leaders, while also providing additional intellectual capacity when the inevitable time for more major capital allocation occurs.”
It marks an end of an epic era for Berkshire, which was a failing New England textile mill six decades ago when Buffett used an investment partnership he ran to take control. Berkshire has grown into a one-of-a-kind juggernaut worth nearly $1.2 trillion with businesses encompassing insurance, railroad, retail, manufacturing and energy. Buffett is handing over his reins on a particularly high note as Berkshire shares just reached a new peak Friday.
Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares
“Buffett leaves a company that is less reliant on his investing capabilities, with an array of leading businesses with strong cash flows,” Brian Meredith, UBS’ Berkshire analyst, said in a note. “Operationally, we expect little change at BRK and the culture/strategy to remain unchanged under Abel.”
The stock could also be reacting to Berkshire’s first-quarter results that showed a 14% decline in operating earnings, driven by a 48.6% plunge in insurance-underwriting profit. Berkshire said the Southern California wildfires led to a $1.1 billion loss during the period.
Berkshire shares have significantly outperformed the S&P 500, rising nearly 19% this year. Investors seeking relatively safe places to hide find Berkshire appealing because of the defensive nature of its huge insurance empire and the conglomerate’s unmatched balance sheet.
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell. Berkshire Hathaway — Warren Buffett’s conglomerate saw shares fall more than 1% in premarket after hitting a record high Friday. The decline came after Berkshire’s operating earnings fell 14% in the first quarter , driven by a 48.6% plunge in insurance-underwriting profit. Buffett also surprised shareholders by announcing at Saturday’s annual meeting his intention to step down as CEO by the end of the year. The board voted unanimously on Sunday to make Greg Abel president and CEO on Jan. 1, 2026 and for Buffett, 94, to remain as chairman. Streamers — Streaming companies fell after President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on movies produced outside of the U.S. in a Sunday Truth Social post to save the “dying” American movie industry. Netflix declined 5%, Disney shed 3%, while Warner Bros. Discovery , Paramount and Amazon respectively slipped 2%, 1% and 1%. United Airlines — The travel stock dipped 1%, giving back some of its 7% gain from Friday. United announced on Friday that it was cutting some of its flights out of Newark, N.J., citing staffing and technology issues at the airport. Howard Hughes Holding — The stock popped 8% after the real estate developer and activist investor Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square said the fund will buy 9 million newly issued shares of Howard Hughes for $100 per share. The price represents a 48% premium to the stock’s closing price on Friday. Sunoco — Shares ticked lower nearly 1% after Sunoco announced it plans to acquire Parkland Corp. The cash and equity deal is valued at $9.1 billion, a figure that includes assumed debt. Wolfspeed — The semiconductor stock popped 7%, adding onto its Friday rally of 24%. Shares soared after Wolfspeed last week reaffirmed its third-quarter guidance and announced that executive vice president and chief financial officer Neill Reynolds would be concluding his position. Loews — The luxury hospitality stock rose 0.6% after the company reported first-quarter earnings of $1.74, which came below last year’s figures of $2.05. However, Loews posted revenue of $4.49 billion, which was 6% higher versus the year-ago number of $4.23 billion. — CNBC’s Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Yun Li and Jesse Pound contributed reporting.
OMAHA, Nebraska — Warren Buffett said he will ask the board of Berkshire Hathaway to replace him as CEO with his already designated successor, Greg Abel, at year end.
Buffett noted that he would still ‘hang around’ to help, but the final word would be with Abel.
The investing legend said at the annual meeting celebrating 60 years of him at the helm of Berkshire that he wouldn’t sell a single share.
“I would add this, the decision to keep every share is an economic decision because i think the prospects of Berkshire will be better under Greg’s management than mine,” said Buffett.
Buffett and Abel told CNBC’s Becky Quick after the shareholder meeting that the pair would discuss at a Sunday board meeting what Buffett’s role will be formally. Buffett, 94, is currently CEO and chairman of the conglomerate.
So it’s not clear whether Abel will also assume the chairman role.
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