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Social Security benefits have lost 20% of buying power since 2010. The problem could soon get worse

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High inflation is continuing to wreak havoc on older Americans’ finances.

New research published by the Senior Citizens League, a nonpartisan group that focuses on issues relating to older Americans, estimated that Social Security benefits have lost 20% of their buying power since 2010. On average, payments for retired workers would need to rise by $4,440 per year, or $370 per month, to compensate for that lost value.

“The study confirms that prices older consumers are paying have outstripped cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs), leaving many on the edge of financial distress,” the report said.

Between 2010 and 2024, benefits have risen by about 58%, thanks to the annual COLA. Yet the cost of most goods and services purchased by the typical retiree rose 73% during that same time period. 

THE ‘MAGIC NUMBER’ TO RETIRE COMFORTABLY HITS NEW ALL-TIME HIGH

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A Social Security card sits alongside checks from the U.S. Treasury in Washington, D.C., on Oct. 14, 2021. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images / Getty Images)

The problem may soon get worse. 

Recipients are on track to receive a 2.63% COLA in 2025, which is below the current 3% pace of inflation. It would mark the lowest annual COLA since 2021. The Social Security Administration will release the final adjustment percentage in mid-October.

In the 1990s and early 2000s, about 60% of the cost-of-living increases beat the inflation rate, while in the 2010s, only 40% did. Through the 2020s so far, just one cost-of-living increase — a record 8.7% bump in 2023 — has done so.

“The reality is that COLAs have become less and less likely to match inflation over time,” the report said.

AMERICANS ARE WORRIED ABOUT OUTLIVING THEIR RETIREMENT SAVINGS

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Social Security recipients are on track to receive a 2.63% cost-of-living adjustment in 2025, which is below the current 3% pace of inflation. (iStock / iStock)

Consumers are grappling with a number of financial headwinds, including steep interest rates and ongoing inflation that has made the cost of just about everything from rent to gasoline to groceries more expensive. The burden is disproportionately borne by low-income Americans, whose already stretched paychecks are heavily affected by price fluctuations.

While inflation has fallen considerably from a peak of 9.1% notched during June 2022, it remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal. And when compared with January 2021, before the inflation crisis began, prices are up nearly 20%.

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The uncertain economic landscape has many Americans reconsidering whether retirement is a realistic goal. 

More than one-quarter of all non-retired investors said they would likely be forced to return to the workforce at some point due to inadequate savings if they were to retire within the next 12 months, and 19% doubt they will ever save up enough money to retire, according to separate survey data from Nationwide.

“Americans believe they will need over $1 million to retire comfortably, a figure that could be discouraging for even the most committed retirement savers,” said Rona Guymon, senior vice president of Nationwide annuity distribution.

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Biggest banks planning to sue the Federal Reserve over annual stress tests

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A general view of the Federal Reserve Building in Washington, United States.

Samuel Corum | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images

The biggest banks are planning to sue the Federal Reserve over the annual bank stress tests, according to a person familiar with the matter. A lawsuit is expected this week and could come as soon as Tuesday morning, the person said.

The Fed’s stress test is an annual ritual that forces banks to maintain adequate cushions for bad loans and dictates the size of share repurchases and dividends.

After the market close on Monday, the Federal Reserve announced in a statement that it is looking to make changes to the bank stress tests and will be seeking public comment on what it calls “significant changes to improve the transparency of its bank stress tests and to reduce the volatility of resulting capital buffer requirements.”

The Fed said it made the determination to change the tests because of “the evolving legal landscape,” pointing to changes in administrative laws in recent years. It didn’t outline any specific changes to the framework of the annual stress tests.

While the big banks will likely view the changes as a win, it may be too little too late.

Also, the changes may not go far enough to satisfy the banks’ concerns about onerous capital requirements. “These proposed changes are not designed to materially affect overall capital requirements, according to the Fed.

The CEO of BPI (Bank Policy Institute), Greg Baer, which represents big banks like JPMorgan, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs, welcomed the Fed announcement, saying in a statement “The Board’s announcement today is a first step towards transparency and accountability.”

However, Baer also hinted at further action: “We are reviewing it closely and considering additional options to ensure timely reforms that are both good law and good policy.”

Groups like the BPI and the American Bankers Association have raised concerns about the stress test process in the past, claiming that it is opaque, and has resulted in higher capital rules that hurt bank lending and economic growth.

In July, the groups accused the Fed of being in violation of the Administrative Procedure Act, because it didn’t seek public comment on its stress scenarios and kept supervisory models secret.

CNBC’s Hugh Son contributed to this report.

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