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China economy on track for strong March performance: China Beige Book

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Employees work on a battery production line at Jiangsu Yongda Power Supply Co. on March 26, 2024 in Suqian, Jiangsu province of China.

Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty Images

BEIJING — China’s economy is ending the first quarter on a “strong” note, according to a business survey published by the China Beige Book on Thursday.

“The economy clearly improved in March, thanks to better industrial activity and stronger retail spending,” said Shehzad H. Qazi, chief operating officer at the China Beige Book, a U.S.-based research firm.

China’s official data on retail sales, industrial production and fixed asset investment for January and February beat expectations across the board. Figures for the first two months of the year are typically reported together to account for the week-long Lunar New Year holiday, which follows the agrarian calendar.

The China Beige Book said it surveyed 1,436 businesses between March 1 and 23, split roughly between state-owned and non-state-owned firms.

“China Beige Book’s March data show the economy poised for a strong end to Q1,” the report said. “Revenue growth accelerated atop last month while pricing gains boosted margins.”

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The National Bureau of Statistics is scheduled to release first quarter data on April 16.

China earlier this month announced the country would target growth of around 5% for the year. Some analysts said it was an ambitious target given the current level of announced government stimulus.

The China Beige Book found that businesses have pulled back their borrowing due to higher interest rates, but also observed signs of a pause on the lending side.

“Market observers have largely missed the substantial policy easing we’ve tracked over the past year, and now some lenders may be hitting the brakes,” the report said.

Employment improves

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Foreign shareholders going to Omaha for Berkshire meeting face new puzzle

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Attendees arrive at the auditorium of the CHI Health Center during the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, US, on Saturday, May 6, 2023. 

David Williams | Bloomberg | Getty Images

For decades, Berkshire Hathaway‘s annual meeting — Warren Buffett’s “Woodstock for Capitalists” — has attracted foreign investors traveling to Omaha, Nebraska, sometimes from thousands of miles away. This year, their international trip has a new wrinkle to it.

Xin Jin, a Chinese investor in Guangzhou, wanted to pay his second visit to Omaha this May but international travel in the current political climate worried him. In 2012, he poured half his assets in to Berkshire’s stock, which became one of the most profitable names in his portfolio.

“I really want to go to Omaha this year,” Jin said. “I admire Buffett and I’m very touched by him.”

A consumer-focused Chinese investor in Shanghai who didn’t want to be named but who has attended the annual meeting three times, also said the hostile political environment kept him from traveling this year. Another Chinese shareholder noted there are fewer third-party agencies organizing trips to Omaha this time. One shareholder in Jakarta, Indonesia who attended last year decided to stay home, saying he’s concerned about “unnecessary and unfounded issues with customs.”

This year’s meeting comes after President Donald Trump launched a global trade war in the early days of his second term, intensifying political tensions between the U.S. and other nations. China, in particular, has issued a risk alert for Chinese tourists travelling to the U.S., citing recent “deterioration of China-U.S. economic and trade relations and the domestic security situation in the U.S.”

“What I noticed the last couple of years, the demographics of the shareholders tilted a lot more towards international — shareholders being there for the first time, largely international and very young,” said David Kass, a finance professor at the University of Maryland, who once held private lunches for his students and Buffett.

Berkshire’s annual gathering can attract as many as 40,000 people to the Cornhusker State for a unique opportunity to hear from Buffett, his designated successor Greg Abel and Berkshire’s insurance chief, Ajit Jain. The Q&A session will be broadcast on CNBC and webcast in English and Mandarin.

Buffett, 94, has long acknowledged the growing international representation at his annual gathering. In fact, he and his late partner Charlie Munger used to hold special receptions for those traveling from outside North America. He eventually ended the event as the number of foreign attendees grew.

“Our count grew to about 800 last year, and my simply signing one item per person took about 2 1⁄2 hours,” Buffett said in annual letter in 2009. “Since we expect even more international visitors this year, Charlie and I decided we must drop this function. But be assured, we welcome every international visitor who comes.”

— With assistance from CNBC’s Evelyn Cheng.

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